Search found 6 matches

by jessefischer33
Tue May 24, 2016 5:18 am
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: APBR-DraftExpress 2016 NBA Draft Project
Replies: 51
Views: 64495

Re: APBR-DraftExpress 2016 NBA Draft Project

I'd love to take part in the DX project again. I'll do my best to have something to share by the 30th but well see how much time I can devote before then - I may need an extra week. In any case we'll have our analytics draft board comparison tool updated again this year (closer to the draft). Whoeve...
by jessefischer33
Wed Aug 12, 2015 6:30 am
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: APBR-DraftExpress 2015 NBA Draft Project
Replies: 277
Views: 312408

Re: APBR-DraftExpress 2015 NBA Draft Project

While I without a doubt agree that the models perform better than GMs, one thing to keep in mind is that the models are all using "future" data to make these predictions. A more fair method to compare with GMs would be to only use prior years to make a particular years projections. It woul...
by jessefischer33
Tue Aug 11, 2015 3:14 pm
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: APBR-DraftExpress 2015 NBA Draft Project
Replies: 277
Views: 312408

Re: APBR-DraftExpress 2015 NBA Draft Project

If you haven't already seen, we have added historical projections going back to 1991 among other things. http://www.tothemean.com/2015/08/04/pas ... odels.html
by jessefischer33
Thu Jun 04, 2015 6:17 am
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: APBR-DraftExpress 2015 NBA Draft Project
Replies: 277
Views: 312408

Re: APBR-DraftExpress 2015 NBA Draft Project

Along with my updated board I would also like to point you to a new tool we have at tothemean.com which allows you to compare these analytic draft models in a better way than a shared google doc. We also allow you to compare with some more well known projections. We have already added the draft boa...
by jessefischer33
Thu Jun 04, 2015 5:50 am
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: APBR-DraftExpress 2015 NBA Draft Project
Replies: 277
Views: 312408

Re: APBR-DraftExpress 2015 NBA Draft Project

Here is a project that one or more here probably can do: Given your list of variables and processing steps, what apparent weights are the league in aggregate using on average given the draft order (not necessarily the same as draft ratings / rankings but the only reference point)? Can you backward ...
by jessefischer33
Thu Jun 04, 2015 3:26 am
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: APBR-DraftExpress 2015 NBA Draft Project
Replies: 277
Views: 312408

Re: APBR-DraftExpress 2015 NBA Draft Project

Jesse would you be interested in adding a 1st year performance check to your site on last season's models with correlation of model and avg. to that performance (some blend of BPM, RPM, DRE, WS/48)? Yes we have plans to who some back test results for the different models as long as we can get the d...