APBRmetrics

Let's see if I can improve on my basement finish from last year!

ATL 43
BRK 28
BOS 50
CHA 42
CHI 39
CLE 61
DAL 37
DEN 35
DET 42
GSW 65
HOU 45
IND 37
LAC 50
LAL 22
MEM 39
MIA 34
MIL 33
MIN 38
NOP 37
NYK 36
OKC 43
ORL 38
PHI 26
PHX 33
POR 44
SAC 37
SAS 53
TOR 50
UTA 50
WAS 43

Below is a link to RAPM numbers for all of the major NCAA conferences for the past 6 years. I counted theA-10, AAC, ACC, Big East, B1G, Big 12, Pac-12 and SEC as the "major conferences". https://www.dropbox.com/sh/l1yy0tzmudcg5tx/AAAjmCB-0H8ZDxVXSaBHtdzYa?dl=0 Play-by-play was scraped off ...

Couldn't we just use something like WPA/LI to adjust for the effect of playing a lot when the game is already decided? Seems like it's a pretty simple thing to do for baseball games.

Ugh, Indy is killing me this year by being so good. Last time I use an all-human forecasting system.

Sorry, bunch of stuff came up - & since I don't get paid for this, I'm still working on the projections. All the theory stuff is done - too much minutiae to finish tonight. I should have fully fleshed out stuff tomorrow - I'll post here & at my site a day late & a dollar short. The cool...

Team WinProjFinal ------ ATL 51 BOS 43 BKN 27 CHA 27 CHI 52 CLE 53 DAL 32 DEN 36 DET 34 GSW 59 HOU 54 IND 30 LAC 54 LAL 28 MEM 51 MIA 47 MIL 45 MIN 27 NOP 41 NYK 36 OKC 56 ORL 28 PHI 28 PHX 37 POR 27 SAC 34 SAS 54 TOR 46 UTA 46 WAS 47 I did a pretty simple algorithm for these, not really trusting m...

Hey all, I've been working on season-stat-line projections for NBA players for the past few days, and I've linked it below. It's still pretty bare-bones, as there aren't as many team-wide adjustments as I would like. Per 36 Minutes/Rate Stats (The first tab shows per 36 minute projections, while the...

I'll post my team projections in here once I finish up. Just wondering, do you guys also have a contest for individual player "stat line" projections? If so, I'd like to enter that one as well.

Hey, I was thinking about doing research on two topics because I couldn't find anything about them through searching. Before I start, though, I'd like to make sure that there isn't anything that's already been done about them. The two topics are: 1) Aging curves for rebounding/passing/etc. (the only...