Search found 33 matches

by caliban
Tue Oct 19, 2021 8:57 pm
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: 2021-22 team win prediction contest
Replies: 119
Views: 49492

Re: 2022 team win prediction contest

Code: Select all

MIL	54,7
BRK	53,2
ATL	50,0
PHI	49,6
MIA	49,1
BOS	45,8
NYK	45,7
CHI	45,4
IND	41,9
WAS	37,5
TOR	36,7
CHO	34,0
DET	28,7
CLE	27,8
ORL	21,7
	
UTA	53,5
PHO	51,1
DAL	49,9
DEN	49,1
LAL	46,6
MEM	43,7
POR	42,7
GSW	41,2
LAC	40,7
SAS	37,0
NOP	36,9
MIN	36,4
SAC	35,5
HOU	25,4
OKC	18,7
by caliban
Wed Dec 23, 2020 12:13 am
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: 2020-21 team win projection contest
Replies: 113
Views: 63676

Re: 2020-21 team win projection contest

Code: Select all


48,5	LAL
47,6	LAC
46,0	MIL
45,6	UTA
44,7	BRK
43,8	DAL
42,9	PHI
42,8	DEN
42,3	TOR
41,1	MIA
40,0	NOP
39,7	BOS
38,6	IND
38,5	POR
35,4	MEM
34,5	PHO
34,3	ATL
34,2	SAS
33,5	SAC
33,2	HOU
32,5	WAS
30,6	ORL
30,5	MIN
29,8	CHI
28,1	DET
28,1	GSW
25,7	NYK
23,7	CHO
22,4	OKC
21,3	CLE


by caliban
Thu Nov 21, 2019 12:04 pm
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: 2019-20 team win projection contest
Replies: 160
Views: 177864

Re: 2019-20 team win projection contest

Nice of you to keep updating Mike G. Added a couple of other projections I found on twitter that might be of interest. PM me if I've fat fingered your numbers. Not sure this is Pelton's last RPM projection, plz confirm. Tight race so far. Think it was around this time tarrazu took the 1st spot and r...
by caliban
Tue Oct 22, 2019 9:33 pm
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: 2019-20 team win projection contest
Replies: 160
Views: 177864

Re: 2019-20 team win projection contest

Code: Select all

HOU	55,8
MIL	54,1
PHI	52,5
BOS	52,0
UTA	51,1
LAC	49,8
DEN	49,7
LAL	47,5
TOR	47,5
MIA	45,4
SAS	44,3
IND	43,2
DAL	43,2
ORL	42,6
GSW	41,9
BRK	41,8
POR	41,3
NOP	40,9
CHI	37,5
DET	37,1
MIN	36,4
SAC	36,2
OKC	35,6
PHO	35,4
WAS	31,4
MEM	30,2
CHO	28,5
ATL	27,6
NYK	27,5
CLE	21,7
by caliban
Fri Feb 15, 2019 12:17 pm
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: 2018-19 team win projection contest
Replies: 155
Views: 259020

Re: 2018-19 team win projection contest

ASbreak . Projections courtesy of

TeamRankings, Rankings & Projections Summary
FiveThirtyEight, NBA Predictions
bbref Playoff Probability Report

Added a trade deadLine at the bottom to track how it might have impacted the hopeful teams.

Image
by caliban
Sat Nov 10, 2018 2:29 pm
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: 2018-19 team win projection contest
Replies: 155
Views: 259020

Re: 2018-19 team win projection contest

PM me if I've fat fingered your entry. Open png in new tab for better resolution. 10+ games in. Projections courtesy of TeamRankings, Rankings & Projections Summary FiveThirtyEight, NBA Predictions bbstats, Luck-Adjusted Win Prediction East projected to win 590 games. 615 being equal. https://i....
by caliban
Tue Oct 16, 2018 11:26 pm
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: 2018-19 team win projection contest
Replies: 155
Views: 259020

Re: 2018-19 team win projection contest

Code: Select all

GSW	62,6
TOR	57,0
HOU	56,0
BOS	54,4
UTA	53,7
MIL	52,6
OKC	51,2
PHI	50,2
DEN	47,1
WAS	46,9
IND	46,6
MIA	43,8
NOP	43,6
LAL	43,5
SAS	42,9
LAC	40,4
POR	40,1
MIN	39,9
CHO	39,4
DET	39,0
BRK	33,4
CLE	31,3
DAL	30,8
MEM	30,2
ORL	29,6
PHO	27,1
ATL	26,9
NYK	24,5
CHI	24,4
SAC	21,3

by caliban
Tue Nov 28, 2017 1:43 pm
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: 2017-18 team win projection contest
Replies: 184
Views: 249953

Re: 2017-18 team win projection contest

Not much change since the 10 game update. Very compact field. shadow still the boards best hope against Vegas.

Image
by caliban
Sat Nov 11, 2017 8:16 pm
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: 2017-18 team win projection contest
Replies: 184
Views: 249953

Re: 2017-18 team win projection contest

Bulls last to 10. Just a blend of some available projections and #'s. Ranked by a Huber est this time. Set it up for MAE to take over from RMSE at the worst 10%err which now is at 12,2. Never used it before but saw that a variation was suggested at the start of the thread. An attempt to even out the...
by caliban
Thu Oct 19, 2017 6:33 pm
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: 2017-18 team win projection contest
Replies: 184
Views: 249953

Re: 2017-18 team win projection contest

Edit1: Updated with Mike G's, shadows and knarsu3's edited #'s. If anyone spots an error in their line send me a PM. I won't be doing high frequent updates but I'll post one occasionally.

for fun, 85% avg, 15% netrtg from first round + BOS -3 & BRK -1
Image
by caliban
Wed Oct 18, 2017 6:44 pm
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: 2017-18 team win projection contest
Replies: 184
Views: 249953

Re: 2017-18 team win projection contest

Waiting on knarsu3 and which one that is the official projection of the alternatives

With one decimal
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by caliban
Wed Oct 18, 2017 8:53 am
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: 2017-18 team win projection contest
Replies: 184
Views: 249953

Re: 2017-18 team win projection contest

Ugh, horrible stuff last night :cry:

Having a hard time accepting a submissions after the Hayward injury unless we all get a BOS update.

Edit: Hypothetical post Hayward BOS + CHI altercation update
Image
by caliban
Tue Oct 17, 2017 7:15 pm
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: 2017-18 team win projection contest
Replies: 184
Views: 249953

Re: 2017-18 team win projection contest

Edit1: Updated to the latest Pelton minutes https://i.imgur.com/uO7sMR9.png CLE 53,9 TOR 50,8 BOS 48,7 WAS 46,3 CHO 45,9 MIA 45,7 MIL 43,0 DET 37,1 ORL 35,3 PHI 34,9 IND 31,4 BRK 28,7 NYK 28,5 ATL 27,3 CHI 26,1 GSW 69,1 HOU 60,9 SAS 53,3 OKC 52,2 MIN 48,2 LAC 48,1 DEN 44,8 POR 42,2 UTA 42,1 NOP 39,4...
by caliban
Wed Aug 23, 2017 5:53 pm
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: Way-too-early 2017-18 Forecasts
Replies: 39
Views: 63678

Re: Way-too-early 2017-18 Forecasts

BOS down 6 in my model. The Brown Tatum duo better show up.