APBRmetrics

DQ
Somehow I had you with 43 wins for NOP.
Now you are 10 short of 1230.

Unsolicited but easy to find and a 'regular', the ESPN Experts' averages, and Walrus : west EExp Walr east EExp Walr Dal 41.9 39.4 Atl 48.0 42.1 Den 50.3 50.1 Bos 40.1 40.9 GSW 45.5 46.9 Brk 24.7 25.8 Hou 50.1 49.5 Cha 29.6 36.2 LAC 48.3 46.1 Chi 32.7 32.6 LAL 47.6 44.2 Cle 54.9 52.9 Mem 42.3 43.1 D...

DQuinn1575 wrote: ↑Tue Oct 21, 2025 2:43 am
I followed my math, ...

It seems your wins total 1232, which is two too many.

Pelton is high by 7, EBET 1 short. Should we adjust them or let them stand?

Some players who got serious run last year and don't seem to appear on any roster yet this year? With last year's minutes and most recent team: min player ? tm 2283 Malik Beasley Det 1925 Keon Johnson Brk 1349 Trey Lyles Sac 1250 Ricky Council Phl 1173 Cody Martin Phx 1120 Ben Simmons LAC 993 Brando...

If no objections, I submit a "subjective" prediction slate. It's just eWins rounded up/down plus a few beyond just rounding. Biggest difference is Denver, where their projected 5 thru 8 players -- Cam Johnson, Hardaway, Bruce Brown, and Valanciunas -- are all incoming and likely to out-per...

Thanks man. I came here to ask if anyone could get this, and end up doing the whole shebang. Four entries again: tm perW WS bpmW eWin Atl 43.8 42.2 43.5 43.1 Bos 38.7 47.7 41.8 37.4 Brk 27.1 33.4 28.1 26.8 Cha 31.0 27.5 31.0 32.0 Chi 33.6 38.2 34.8 32.0 Cle 49.7 54.0 52.7 49.6 Dal 53.7 43.6 45.0 50....

Distilling last season's Improved spreadsheet (from 2024 to '25) by players' age, there are interesting trends. To smooth out the results, I've averaged 3 years centered on a single age cohort: The 20-21 line is an avg of 19-20, 20-21, and 21-22. Showing total minutes (in thousands), eWins per 484 m...

Every year I neglect or forget to put an age correction in my predictions. We all know that younger players tend to be better this year than they were last year, while older guys are likely to have declined. Right? I gathered up 10 years of my own non-age-curved team win predictions and how they var...

PER and WS/48 standardized to 15.0 and .100 respectively, then adjusted upward for strength of competition; converted to "wins" (vs avg comp.) and averaged (pW+WS+eW)/3 xyzW Phx pW WS eW xyzW LVA pW WS eW .37 Kahleah Copper .42 .34 .34 .95 A'ja Wilson .90 1.08 .86 .31 Alyssa Thomas .38 .14...

A list of NBA MVP's in the VORP era. MVP's in the middle, flanked by their WS rank (L) and (R) their VORP rank that year. Outside (L) are Best-Of-the-Rest in WS and (R) in VORP. These show either the gap between the MVP and everyone else, or the actual leader, marked by an * . Double ** represents a...

A couple of entries by Kevin Pelton: his own plus ESPN BET over/under total . west KPel EBET east KPel EBET OKC 59.2 62.5 Cle 50.1 56.5 GSW 56.1 46.5 Orl 49.9 51.5 Den 52.2 53.5 NYK 47.2 53.5 LAC 49.7 47.5 Ind 45.9 38.5 Hou 46.9 53.5 Bos 45.6 40.5 LAL 45.8 48.5 Mil 44.5 42.5 Mem 44.6 40.5 Atl 44.3 4...

LVA 4 - 0 Phx avg score 91.8 - 84.5 Pyth wins 2.85 - 1.15 , eWins 2.42 - 1.58 eWin per36 rates tm mpg Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e400 .86 A'ja Wilson LV 36 .559 30.9 11.9 4.3 1.0 2.0 2.0 2.38 .56 Jackie Young LV 35 .529 23.4 5.3 6.8 1.6 1.9 .0 1.62 .47 Chelsea Gray LV 37 .490 12.1 5.2 7.7 2.2 1.2 ...

LVA 3 - 0 Phx avg score 90.0 - 84.0 Pyth wins 2.04 - .96 , eWins 1.77 - 1.23 eWin per36 rates tm mpg Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e400 .63 A'ja Wilson LV 36 .580 30.9 12.8 4.1 .7 2.0 1.7 2.32 .40 Jackie Young LV 34 .538 24.8 4.6 5.7 1.7 1.8 .0 1.56 .33 Chelsea Gray LV 36 .468 10.1 5.7 8.4 2.3 1.7 2....

LVA 2 - 0 Phx avg score 90.0 - 82.0 Pyth wins 1.45 - .55 , eWins 1.23 - .77 eWin per36 rates tm mpg Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e400 .39 A'ja Wilson LV 35 .538 27.3 13.0 4.1 1.0 1.6 1.0 2.24 .26 Chelsea Gray LV 35 .486 10.0 8.1 10.3 2.0 2.1 2.1 1.49 .24 Jackie Young LV 33 .560 25.8 5.8 3.8 1.6 2.8 ...

LVA 89 - 86 Phx Pyth wins .59 - .41, eWins .56 - .44 eWin per36 rates tm min Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e400 .16 A'ja Wilson LV 38 .512 19.5 9.5 4.6 1.0 .0 1.9 1.70 .16 Dana Evans LV 25 .808 37.1 2.7 3.9 5.6 .0 .0 2.54 .11 Alyssa Thomas Phx 38 .625 16.2 9.8 8.0 .0 4.8 1.0 1.18 .11 Kahleah Copper P...