APBRmetrics

Using team salary data and team off/def ratings for the past ten years, I was able to construct this graph: http://imgur.com/NvEbGAH I would expect that as team salaries increase, offensive ratings would increase, and defensive ratings would decrease. But it seems like this expectation has only occu...

When you go to the stats page and use splits isn't it only the last N games, where N<=20?

Does anybody know where to get data (specifically offensive rating, defensive rating, Strength of Schedule, TS%, etc) for each team, for the first ten games of the past 10+ seasons?

Right. I said that. I think my main point was that even after a month (which is still a pretty small sample) you can still predict relatively accurately given a relatively crappy model.

Here's what I did: Do you know the Pythagorean Expectation Formula? If not, here is the wiki link: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pythagorean_expectation Basically, it estimates winning percentage using points scored and points scored against. I project points scored/scored against per 100 possessions...

Anyone know of any methods that successfully predict a team's winning percentage in the next season within a reasonable accuracy? Or successfully predict a team's winning percentage for the rest of the season after, say, 10% of the regular season?

Do you think there is any value in creating an adjusted turnover metric? For example, one that might incorporate free throw misses as turnovers, etc. If you do think there is value, what sort of data would you incorporate into the metric? If you don't think there is any value, do you think it is bec...