Search found 6 matches

by ryannow
Fri May 02, 2014 8:28 am
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: Flaws with RAPM
Replies: 40
Views: 18536

Re: Flaws with RAPM

Related: what's the explanation for Nick Collison's gigantic yearly RAPM? I've heard that there was some weird interaction one season, and the error has carried over (maybe.) This is a bit of a digression from other conversations going on, but I wanted to address it. The short explanation is that C...
by ryannow
Sat Apr 19, 2014 5:30 pm
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: Predicting NBA Playoffs using RAPM (updated with Finals)
Replies: 63
Views: 32023

Re: Predicting the NBA Playoffs using RAPM

The numbers still just don't add up. I ran the exact same equation, but with the actual total minutes played for this year's Spurs, and I came out with a value of 10.2. Did it for the Warriors and got 7.2. Both of those are more than 2 points higher than the team's actual SRS in that time period. I...
by ryannow
Sat Apr 19, 2014 2:59 pm
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: Predicting NBA Playoffs using RAPM (updated with Finals)
Replies: 63
Views: 32023

Re: Predicting the NBA Playoffs using RAPM

My MPG projections were based on regular season MPG, adding minutes for starters, and looking at last years 1st round MPG. The Spurs are hard to project because no one played 30 MPG for them this season. True, and if it's just the first round, that makes more sense, as I was reading these as being ...
by ryannow
Fri Apr 18, 2014 11:23 pm
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: Predicting NBA Playoffs using RAPM (updated with Finals)
Replies: 63
Views: 32023

Re: Predicting the NBA Playoffs using RAPM

A few thoughts: -Your minutes projections for the Spurs' stars seem low. Last year, Duncan, Kawhi, and Parker each saw large increases in min/g in the postseason, ending at around 36 each. Some of that was due to the Spurs playing a total of 7 overtimes in their 21 games (adding 1.4 minutes per game...
by ryannow
Tue Apr 08, 2014 11:49 am
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: Play-by-Play Data of Entire NBA Season as .csv Files
Replies: 12
Views: 9151

Re: Play-by-Play Data of Entire NBA Season as .csv Files

If you just want the shots in chronological order, you can do that just by sorting by date on the search page here . That gives me this list of shots in the 2013-14 season (sort by ascending date to go from oldest to newest). If you want to download the entire dataset, you'll have a harder time of i...
by ryannow
Fri Apr 04, 2014 8:48 am
Forum: APBRmetrics
Topic: Experimenting with Hollinger's PER and D.Oliver's O/DRtg
Replies: 9
Views: 5456

Re: Experimenting with Hollinger's PER and D.Oliver's O/DRtg

As has been mentioned by a few others, my understanding of ORTG is that it's an estimate of points created per 100 possessions used by that player, and that it has to also have an estimate of possessions used included separately in order to estimate that player's impact on his team's offensive effic...