most improved players of 2011-12

[J.E.]

Yeah, I'd be shocked if McGee doesn't lead the league in goaltending calls. It felt like he was cutting down on goaltends in the first few games, but that feeling is gone.

[NJN] Humphries 3
[NOH] Kaman 2
[MIA] James 2
[IND] Hibbert 2
[WAS] McGee 8
[NYK] Chandler 2
[NJN] She. Williams 2
[OKC] Ibaka 2
[ATL] Horford 2
[CLE] T. Thompson 3
[UTA] Favors 3
[CHA] Brown 2
[ORL] Howard 5
[POR] Batum 2
[HOU] Dalembert 2
[DEN] Mozgov 3
[CHA] Henderson 2

Defensive Goaltends only.
McGee has 4 times as much as the 6th worst offender

[EvanZ]

Martin's FTA/FGA has plummeted massively with the new rip-through rule:

http://blog.chron.com/ultimaterockets/2 ... s-rewrite/

[Mike G]

Martin's FTA/36 are down from last year to this year, 9.3 to 4.6; and that's after 23 FTA in the last 2 games.
His FGA are also down 17%, from 17.5 to 14.6 per 36.
His 3FG% is down from .383 to .297; eFG% from .506 to .461
Steals and blocks just about half what they were last year (from not much to about none).

Last year was possibly his best year, and he played just 32.5 mpg, a 6-year low; this year: 36.2 mpg.

[Mike G]

Here in one gynormous table of team by team big gainers and losers, defined as + or - .12 eWins, from last year to this year, in this year's minutes. This cutoff contains the 90 biggest gainers (avg 3 per team) and about as many losers.
A couple of teams have no big improvers, and one team has no big regressors.
Season at 21.4%, does not include last night's (3) games.

Code: Select all

eW+     Atlanta        Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484  2011 Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484
.46   Williams,Marvin .508   18.5  10.9   2.0   1.63      .542   14.5   6.8   1.7    .84
.41   Teague,Jeff     .518   14.9   2.5   6.8   1.05      .512   12.3   3.6   4.4    .68
.39  Radmanovic,Vladi .530   13.2   6.6   3.5   1.04   GS .558   10.1   5.8   2.0    .40
.27   Smith,Josh      .506   20.7  10.7   3.8   1.99      .531   19.3  10.1   3.5   1.74
.23   Pachulia,Zaza   .538   12.7  11.1   1.8    .88      .543    9.6   9.2   1.4    .47
.18   Mcgrady,Tracy   .564   16.1   7.2   4.2   1.33  Det .497   12.0   5.9   5.0    .91
.16   Johnson,Joe     .522   21.4   4.1   4.3   1.51      .512   20.1   4.6   4.8   1.37

-.21   Horford,Al     .576   17.0   8.8   3.1   1.48      .580   18.4  10.8   3.6   1.77
       
                             
eW+     Boston         Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484  2011 Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484
.22   O'Neal,Jermaine .464   10.2  10.2    .6    .83      .494   11.2   7.7   1.0    .44
.12   Rondo,Rajon     .542   17.3   5.6   9.7   1.61      .490   11.5   4.8  12.0   1.49

-.31   Allen,Ray      .663   19.2   3.4   2.3    .94      .607   21.0   3.9   3.0   1.30
-.33   Pierce,Paul    .523   19.7   6.3   4.4   1.36      .607   25.1   6.3   3.6   1.86
-.51   Garnett,Kevin  .518   18.1   9.8   3.2   1.48      .567   21.2  11.7   3.1   2.09
        
                            
eW+     Charlotte      Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484  2011 Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484
.89   Mullens,Byron   .517   18.7   8.5    .8   1.18  Okl .357    6.8   8.8    .0   -.06

-.12   Diaw,Boris     .508   10.8   8.6   4.6    .79      .553   13.5   6.3   4.3    .92
-.14   Carroll,Matt   .333    6.4   3.6   1.1   -.38      .522   12.5   3.9   1.1    .34
-.16   Augustin,D.J.  .520   16.2   3.7   5.8   1.02      .532   17.0   3.5   6.3   1.17
-.23   Maggette,Corey .427   14.1   7.7   1.4    .56  Mil .558   22.3   6.2   2.0   1.17
-.40   Thomas,Tyrus   .407    8.7   5.3    .7    .24      .525   16.3   9.4   1.0   1.13
         
                           
eW+     Chicago        Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484  2011 Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484
.66   Lucas,John      .451   19.2   4.3   5.2   1.31      .250    4.0   0.0   3.1   -.44
.31   Watson,C.J.     .559   23.9   3.8   7.1   1.86      .460   11.7   3.0   5.6    .69
.15   Asik,Omer       .496    8.2  11.6    .9    .68      .536    7.9  10.4   1.0    .42
.15   Gibson,Taj      .528   15.5   8.0   1.2   1.12      .494   11.9  10.0   1.2    .89
.13   Brewer,Ronnie   .526   13.5   4.4   3.5    .78      .510   10.0   5.3   2.7    .62

-.25   Boozer,Carlos  .538   22.2  11.0   2.0   1.85      .534   23.5  12.8   3.2   2.10
-.34   Rose,Derrick   .545   25.2   3.7   8.8   2.11      .540   28.6   4.6   8.2   2.45
-.46   Noah,Joakim    .467   11.7  12.4   2.5   1.13      .566   15.8  13.5   2.8   1.66
          
                           
eW+     Cleveland      Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484  2011 Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484
.36  Varejao,Anderson .490   12.1  14.4   2.0   1.40      .550   10.6  11.8   1.5    .97
.23   Jamison,Antawn  .481   21.0   7.3   1.8   1.58      .509   18.9   7.7   1.7   1.30

-.21   Gibson,Daniel  .536   10.7   3.9   1.7    .32      .526   13.8   3.4   3.3    .63
          
                          
eW+     Dallas         Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484  2011 Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484
.40   West,Delonte    .498   15.7   3.1   6.4   1.11  Bos .529   10.8   2.9   4.8    .52
.36   Mahinmi,Ian     .642   16.6   9.3    .4   1.04      .622   12.2   7.7    .5    .46
.27   Haywood,Brendan .477    9.9  12.3    .3    .84      .514    8.1   9.7    .5    .42
.18   Terry,Jason     .555   19.7   2.0   5.1   1.27      .540   18.5   2.2   4.7   1.06
.16   Wright,Brandan  .620   24.2  10.3    .0   2.12   NJ .532   11.1   7.4    .9    .59

-.34   Nowitzki,Dirk  .537   25.3   7.0   3.1   1.92      .600   28.9   8.2   3.0   2.28
-.39   Kidd,Jason     .444    6.6   5.2   6.7    .58      .496    9.1   5.3   9.8   1.17
-.53   Odom,Lamar     .398   12.2   8.8   2.5    .78   LA .581   18.1  10.1   3.6   1.61
           
                         
eW+     Denver         Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484  2011 Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484
.51   Harrington,Al   .621   21.4   8.1   1.4   1.40      .521   14.6   6.8   2.1    .73
.40  Gallinari,Danilo .580   18.7   5.9   3.3   1.41      .580   17.6   5.5   1.9   1.01
.32   Brewer,Corey    .612   20.7   5.0   1.5   1.24  Dal .473   11.2   4.2   1.9    .38
.28   Lawson,Ty       .549   18.2   3.7   8.1   1.51      .583   16.2   3.7   6.8   1.23
.23   Mozgov,Timofey  .512   11.1  10.2   2.1    .83      .513    9.8   7.9   1.0    .34
.15   Fernandez,Rudy  .531   12.6   3.6   5.6    .86  Por .515   12.7   3.5   3.5    .63
.14   Koufos,Kosta    .621   14.4  13.4    .0   1.10      .466    9.8   9.4    .4    .43

-.15   Afflalo,Arron  .533   14.9   4.1   2.1    .64      .612   15.1   4.3   2.9    .80
         
                           
eW+     Detroit        Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484  2011 Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484
.70   Monroe,Greg     .585   20.3  12.2   2.8   1.82      .563   12.9  10.9   1.6   1.13
.12   Maxiell,Jason   .429    8.1   8.1    .4    .35      .497    8.3   6.9    .6    .13

-.16   Daye,Austin    .255    6.9   6.5   2.1    .02      .511   12.4   7.1   1.7    .67
-.21   Stuckey,Rodney .464   15.8   4.2   4.6    .94      .532   18.7   4.1   5.6   1.28
-.47  Prince,Tayshaun .455   13.3   3.9   1.9    .56      .506   16.0   5.4   3.0   1.01
          
                          
eW+     Golden St.     Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484  2011 Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484
.24   Biedrins,Andris .688    9.8  14.1    .6   1.29      .522    7.6  11.6   1.6    .66
.21   Robinson,Nate   .535   15.9   2.9   5.2    .99  Bos .504   14.1   3.2   3.8    .56
.20   Rush,Brandon    .600   13.1   4.4   1.6    .64  Ind .534   12.1   4.3   1.2    .37
.14   Smith,Ishmael   .435   14.4   5.2   4.7   1.21  Mem .402    5.9   3.4   5.7    .13
.12   Lee,David       .550   19.7  10.7   2.0   1.49      .541   16.6  10.1   3.1   1.36

-.27   Wright,Dorell  .494   10.7   6.4   1.9    .62      .533   15.3   5.1   2.7    .95
         
                           
eW+     Houston        Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484  2011 Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484
.44   Lowry,Kyle      .567   19.1   7.1   7.6   1.78      .541   14.7   4.7   7.6   1.29
.30  Dalembert,Samuel .646   14.5  12.8    .5   1.43  Sac .502   11.3  13.3   1.2    .99
.16   Hill,Jordan     .493   11.0  12.5   1.0    .91      .515   11.3   9.2    .9    .58

-.17   Budinger,Chase .517   13.2   5.4   1.4    .58      .528   14.7   5.7   2.6    .86
-.22 Patterson,Patric .440    9.1   6.4    .8    .32      .569   12.5   7.7   1.6    .78
-.60   Scola,Luis     .480   19.1   7.4   1.9   1.03      .531   20.8   9.9   3.1   1.69
-.90   Martin,Kevin   .521   18.8   3.2   2.8    .94      .586   28.4   3.9   2.9   1.81
          
                          
eW+     Indiana        Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484  2011 Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484
.39   Hibbert,Roy     .542   20.9  12.5   2.8   1.85      .499   16.9  10.5   2.9   1.35
.25   George,Paul     .582   15.6   6.2   3.3    .97      .534   13.1   6.2   1.8    .68
.13   Hill,George     .580   16.6   4.0   2.5    .94   SA .576   15.1   3.3   3.2    .74

-.16   Jones,Dahntay  .464   11.1   3.9   1.4    .19      .546   15.2   3.4   1.7    .54
-.21   West,David     .488   17.2   9.2   3.7   1.51   NO .549   22.6   9.1   2.5   1.79
-.25   Granger,Danny  .435   18.7   5.0   1.7   1.16      .544   22.6   5.9   2.7   1.47
        
                            
eW+     LA Clippers    Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484  2011 Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484
-.13   Gomes,Ryan     .470    7.2   5.1   1.5   -.03      .500    9.4   5.0   2.0    .29
-.15   Evans,Reggie   .500    4.5  13.5    .8    .27  Tor .449    5.2  17.1   1.6    .84
-.20   Paul,Chris     .591   19.5   3.2   8.6   1.75   NO .566   18.7   4.8  10.0   2.04
-.21 Billups,Chauncey .531   20.8   3.2   4.1   1.17   NY .602   20.9   3.2   6.6   1.49
-.24   Butler,Caron   .504   16.0   4.9   2.2    .91  Dal .517   20.0   5.5   2.1   1.18
       
                             
eW+     LA Lakers      Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484  2011 Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484
.27   Bryant,Kobe     .529   34.9   5.8   5.0   2.66      .538   30.5   6.0   5.5   2.43
.26   Barnes,Matt     .591   15.6   8.3   3.3   1.12      .561   12.3   7.4   2.3    .72
.25   Blake,Steve     .509   11.5   2.8   3.9    .41      .497    6.6   3.3   3.6    .01
.20   Bynum,Andrew    .534   20.1  15.3   1.5   2.02      .591   17.6  13.4   2.0   1.76

-.18   Mcroberts,Josh .558    9.8   8.6   2.1    .63  Ind .597   13.3   9.0   3.5   1.09
-.18   Ebanks,Devin   .464    8.4   5.8   1.7    .19      .496   15.7   7.0    .5    .90
-.19   Artest,Ron     .385    9.4   4.7   2.6    .26      .480   11.1   4.4   2.9    .58
-.63   Gasol,Pau      .555   18.0   9.7   2.3   1.50      .577   21.5  10.8   3.6   2.04
         
                           
eW+     Memphis        Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484  2011 Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484
.29   Gasol,Marc      .558   15.6  10.9   2.6   1.56      .567   15.3   9.2   2.9   1.27

-.15   Gay,Rudy       .489   19.2   6.7   1.8   1.23      .540   19.6   6.4   2.7   1.38
           
                         
eW+     Miami          Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484  2011 Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484
.56   Chalmers,Mario  .678   17.8   3.9   6.0   1.21      .533   10.7   3.5   4.4    .49
.33   James,Lebron    .619   33.1   8.4   8.0   3.15      .581   29.4   7.9   7.6   2.79
.24   Anthony,Joel    .672    6.4   7.9    .3    .23      .565    3.9   6.6    .6   -.19
.17   Pittman,Dexter  .500    9.8   7.1    .7    .30      .333    4.2   8.5    .0  -1.15

-.40   Wade,Dwyane    .481   21.5   4.9   6.3   1.85      .568   29.0   7.1   5.2   2.46
-.44   Battier,Shane  .450    5.8   2.8   1.2   -.13  Mem .562   10.0   6.0   3.0    .62
          
                          
eW+     Milwaukee      Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484  2011 Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484
-.13   Delfino,Carlos .505   11.4   5.1   2.5    .68      .513   14.3   5.0   2.6    .87
-.14   Udrih,Beno     .549   14.8   3.6   3.5    .48  Sac .579   15.1   3.9   4.8    .95
-.46  Jackson,Stephen .481   16.3   4.3   3.2    .66  Cha .512   19.9   5.3   3.5   1.19
            
                        
eW+     Minnesota      Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484  2011 Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484
.15   Ellington,Wayne .520   12.1   3.1   1.0    .37      .484   10.0   3.1   1.8    .07

-.15   Milicic,Darko  .413   10.0   8.7    .7    .46      .477   12.1   8.5   2.2    .75
-.15   Johnson,Wesley .394    9.6   4.9   1.7    .21      .487   11.4   4.5   2.5    .45
-.20  Beasley,Michael .417   15.6   8.4   1.4    .76      .503   20.3   6.8   2.3   1.20
-.24 Tolliver,Anthony .543    8.5   5.6    .5    .13      .573   10.2   7.3   1.8    .49
            
                        
eW+     New Jersey     Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484  2011 Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484
.13   Petro,Johan     .514   10.9   7.8   2.0    .63      .449    8.5   7.7   1.4    .30
.12   Farmar,Jordan   .574   16.2   3.8   6.0   1.09      .500   13.2   3.6   6.4    .83

-.17 Williams,Shelden .461    8.2   9.5    .6    .44   NY .513   10.0  11.4   1.3    .73
-.25  Williams,Shawne .333    6.2   5.8   1.1   -.13   NY .554   11.2   6.1   1.2    .48
-.33 Stevenson,Deshaw .404    5.6   2.5   1.7   -.27  Dal .545   13.3   3.6   2.6    .51
-.49   Williams,Deron .499   18.9   3.9   8.2   1.37      .555   20.7   4.3   9.6   1.84
           
                         
eW+    New Orleans     Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484  2011 Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484
.44   Jack,Jarrett    .527   17.5   4.3   6.2   1.23      .494   14.3   3.7   4.5    .79
.31   Smith,Jason     .457   16.1   8.3    .8   1.11      .484    9.7   7.7   1.0    .36
.25   Vasquez,Greivis .432   10.8   4.1   5.2    .67  Mem .488    8.8   2.9   5.4    .22
.23   Landry,Carl     .505   18.5   7.9   1.4   1.09      .543   16.1   6.6   1.0    .77

-.16   Okafor,Emeka   .531   12.7  11.5    .7   1.01      .570   14.1  12.8    .7   1.20
-.44  Belinelli,Marco .480   12.1   4.4   1.2    .29      .555   18.0   3.3   1.8    .77
                                    
eW+     New York       Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484  2011 Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484
.24   Anthony,Carmelo .511   28.2   7.4   5.0   2.27      .546   26.6   8.0   3.2   2.01
.18   Balkman,Renaldo .545   12.8   9.0   1.9   1.00      .533    7.4   3.3   1.0   -.06

-.12   Douglas,Toney  .395   13.9   3.6   4.3    .67      .529   13.8   4.2   4.3    .85
-.29   Fields,Landry  .481   10.0   4.8   3.9    .49      .590   12.1   7.8   2.4    .81
-.36   Chandler,Tyson .741   12.8  11.0   1.4   1.12      .674   17.0  13.6    .6   1.50
-.43 Stoudemire,Amare .481   21.1   8.7   1.8   1.41      .553   25.3   8.4   2.8   1.93
         
                           
eW+     Oklahoma       Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484  2011 Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484
.42   Harden,James    .616   21.2   4.8   3.9   1.37      .583   16.4   4.2   2.8    .91
.20   Collison,Nick   .667   10.5   6.9   2.7    .52      .591    7.6   7.2   1.6    .22
.18   Durant,Kevin    .595   29.6   7.1   3.8   2.29      .576   28.4   7.0   2.7   2.13

-.12   Ibaka,Serge    .534   10.8   9.5   1.1    .98      .570   13.9  10.9    .4   1.15
-.24 Westbrook,Russel .514   24.3   5.7   7.3   1.99      .526   23.9   5.4   9.3   2.22
-.27   Mohammed,Nazr  .438    8.6   8.3   1.2    .47      .531   15.4  11.2    .6   1.11
-.30 Perkins,Kendrick .583    8.2   8.4   1.0    .27      .524    9.3  12.7   1.4    .64
          
                          
eW+     Orlando        Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484  2011 Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484
.41   Anderson,Ryan   .600   23.5   9.6   1.1   1.87      .585   18.8   9.3   1.3   1.41
.36   Redick,J.J.     .577   17.9   3.8   3.2   1.05      .580   15.1   2.7   2.4    .60
.32   Turkoglu,Hedo   .620   19.5   4.2   6.7   1.41      .548   14.0   5.6   5.4   1.04
.17   Wafer,Von       .656   19.9   4.1   2.6    .96  Bos .517   11.0   2.9   2.0    .25
.13   Duhon,Chris     .574    6.1   2.5   6.0    .11      .442    5.0   2.3   5.3   -.15

-.12   Howard,Dwight  .544   21.9  16.5   2.7   2.47      .594   26.7  15.4   1.5   2.57
-.13   Davis,Glen     .415   12.6   8.2   1.4    .64  Bos .490   14.6   6.9   1.4    .84
-.23 Richardson,Jason .504   15.1   3.9   3.0    .78      .550   18.5   4.9   2.2   1.12
-.63   Nelson,Jameer  .458   10.8   3.3   7.6    .65      .542   18.1   4.1   8.1   1.42
          
                          
eW+     Philly         Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484  2011 Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484
.61   Hawes,Spencer   .595   17.6  12.2   4.5   2.00      .477   13.0  10.9   2.7   1.09
.58   Turner,Evan     .511   16.6   8.3   4.2   1.33      .478   10.4   6.0   2.9    .51
.45   Williams,Lou    .553   26.5   3.3   5.3   1.86      .528   19.9   2.9   4.5   1.23
.31   Iguodala,Andre  .556   18.7   6.9   4.8   1.69      .520   14.9   6.1   6.3   1.38
        
                            
eW+     Phoenix        Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484  2011 Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484
.47   Gortat,Marcin   .602   19.2  11.6   1.0   1.71      .584   14.3  10.9   1.2   1.15
.35   Price,Ronnie    .508   11.0   4.0   5.9    .56  Uta .429    7.3   2.8   2.3   -.18

-.12   Dudley,Jared   .520   12.7   4.8   1.7    .59      .587   14.2   5.1   1.7    .73
-.13   Nash,Steve     .632   20.3   2.0  11.1   1.64      .591   17.3   4.0  12.7   1.79
-.31   Hill,Grant     .411   11.8   4.7   1.8    .52      .554   16.5   5.4   3.1    .98
        
                            
eW+     Portland       Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484  2011 Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484
.32   Crawford,Jamal  .455   18.6   3.1   5.0   1.17  Atl .536   16.8   2.1   3.3    .73

-.14   Camby,Marcus   .385    5.6  14.1   4.1   1.00      .421    6.3  16.7   3.0   1.27
-.27  Matthews,Wesley .549   16.8   3.7   1.4    .80      .572   19.8   3.9   2.2   1.08
-.48   Felton,Raymond .413   11.3   3.1   8.3    .80  Den .517   14.7   3.6   8.7   1.28
          
                          
eW+     Sacramento     Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484  2011 Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484
.20  Cousins,Demarcus .483   18.7  13.9    .8   1.57      .474   16.7  12.1   3.0   1.31

-.12 Garcia,Francisco .487    9.9   3.9   1.2    .37      .546   14.4   3.7   1.7    .68
-.22   Hayes,Chuck    .459    7.9  11.2   2.1    .63  Hou .545   10.5  11.2   3.8   1.16
-.27  Thornton,Marcus .511   17.7   3.8   1.6    .82      .519   18.3   5.4   2.5   1.12
-.45   Hickson,J.J.   .424   10.0  10.7   1.1    .65  Cle .494   16.9  11.8   1.4   1.26
-.59   Salmons,John   .410    9.0   4.4   2.4    .25  Mil .503   16.1   4.1   3.6    .91
          
                          
eW+     San Antonio    Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484  2011 Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484
.35   Green,Daniel    .582   15.8   7.0   2.4   1.14      .586   14.8   5.2    .7    .53
.20   Ginobili,Manu   .763   34.2   6.8   4.6   2.84      .570   23.7   4.9   6.4   1.98

-.13   Parker,Tony    .494   20.5   3.8   8.3   1.70      .560   22.0   3.8   8.2   1.84
-.27   Duncan,Tim     .492   18.7  10.7   4.0   1.75      .529   18.8  12.8   3.8   2.07
          
                          
eW+     Toronto        Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484  2011 Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484
.45   Bargnani,Andrea .568   26.1   7.2   1.7   1.80      .524   21.5   5.9   1.7   1.23
.15   Forbes,Gary     .451   15.9   6.9   3.8   1.24  Den .515   12.7   4.9   2.1    .47
.12   Butler,Rasual   .379    8.2   5.6   1.1    .12  Chi .443    8.3   3.5   1.0   -.07

-.12   Johnson,Amir   .571   12.8  11.7   2.0    .97      .598   14.3  10.0   1.5   1.11
-.24   Johnson,James  .375    7.0   6.6   2.5    .38      .497   11.5   6.9   3.7    .74
-.26   Derozan,Demar  .470   16.9   3.9   1.3    .62      .520   17.6   4.5   1.8    .87
-.30  Magloire,Jamaal .280    2.6   9.3    .6   -.34  Mia .565    7.4  12.5    .6    .55
         
                           
eW+     Utah           Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484  2011 Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484
.41   Millsap,Paul    .580   22.6  11.2   2.5   2.15      .568   20.0   9.1   2.7   1.63
.37   Hayward,Gordon  .500   13.6   4.2   4.7    .80      .568   11.1   4.1   2.2    .27
.18   Howard,Josh     .511   17.4   4.6   1.7    .85  Was .410   11.1   6.7   1.9    .51
.17   Jefferson,Al    .499   21.6  10.9   1.9   1.96      .522   19.4  11.0   1.9   1.75
.17   Favors,Derrick  .522   14.7  11.1    .1   1.05      .530   12.1  10.0    .8    .73

-.37   Harris,Devin   .500   13.8   2.0   6.8    .78      .532   18.5   3.1   7.7   1.30
          
                          
eW+     Washington     Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484  2011 Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484
.28   Mcgee,Javale    .502   14.8  12.7    .4   1.49      .555   13.8  11.3    .6   1.16
.12   Seraphin,Kevin  .352    6.6   8.2    .9    .56      .474    6.6   7.4    .4   -.09

-.19   Wall,John      .453   15.3   4.6   5.4    .97      .484   14.9   4.7   7.2   1.14
-.23   Lewis,Rashard  .433   11.1   5.3    .9    .39      .530   14.2   6.3   1.8    .73
-.28   Blatche,Andray .427   13.2   9.1   1.3    .89      .490   17.3   9.4   2.2   1.28

Stl, Blk, TO, and PF rates are also included in eWins/484 minutes.
A number of players have lower shooting% and also better e484. That is due to picking up their games in other areas, often including scoring production.

[Crow]

Atlanta with 7 gainers... how much is because the new coaching is sinking in and how much is because the coaching has changed?

How much of the Denver gains are post-Melo gains vs other change by the individuals?

[Crow]

A quick take on most improvement and decline at team level:

http://www.hoopsstats.com/basketball/fa ... rends/12/1

[EvanZ]

So, uh, Vince Carter is 2nd in non-prior-informed (I'd call it "uninformed", but I imagine Jerry doesn't like that) 2012 RAPM. I haven't watched him at all. Is that for real? I mean, I thought his best years were way behind him now.

[Mike G]

Vince was above avg last year (1.17 e484) and closer to avg this year (1.11).
He's playing just 21 mpg (from 28 last year), and his net difference is -.04 eWins.

As recently as 2009, his last year in NJ, he was 1.61 times avg.

[J.E.]

So, uh, Vince Carter is 2nd in non-prior-informed (I'd call it "uninformed", but I imagine Jerry doesn't like that) 2012 RAPM. I haven't watched him at all. Is that for real? I mean, I thought his best years were way behind him now.

Chill out. I think everybody will know what you're talking about. I'll try to watch some Mavs games in the next days to see what's up. Informed RAPM had him around ~40 last year though (with a pretty stable progress over the years), so it didn't think his career was on the downside

[Mike G]

At .272 of the season, Marcin Gortat is coming on strong.

Code: Select all

eW+    per36 rates    tm    Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484  2011 Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484
1.03  Mullens,Byron  Cha   .500   17.4   8.0    .8   1.08  Okl .357    6.8   8.8    .0   -.06
.96   Monroe,Greg    Det   .561   20.0  13.0   2.9   1.90      .563   12.9  10.9   1.6   1.13
.90   Gortat,Marcin  Phx   .596   20.7  12.7   1.1   1.99      .584   14.3  10.9   1.2   1.15
.78   Chalmers,Mario Mia   .656   17.9   3.6   6.3   1.20      .533   10.7   3.5   4.4    .49
.75 Gallinari,Danilo Den   .606   20.8   6.0   3.5   1.60      .580   17.6   5.5   1.9   1.01

.73   Hibbert,Roy    Ind   .546   21.5  13.1   3.1   2.06      .499   16.9  10.5   2.9   1.35
.71   Hawes,Spencer  Phi   .595   18.1  13.1   4.4   2.14      .477   13.0  10.9   2.7   1.09
.67   Lucas,John     Chi   .468   19.4   4.0   4.8   1.25      .250    4.0   0.0   3.1   -.44
.63   Jack,Jarrett   NOH   .521   18.3   4.4   6.1   1.27      .494   14.3   3.7   4.5    .79
.62  Bargnani,Andrea Tor   .566   27.2   7.0   1.9   1.87      .524   21.5   5.9   1.7   1.23

eW+    per36 rates    tm    Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484  2011 Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484
.62   Teague,Jeff    Atl   .536   16.2   2.7   6.3   1.14      .512   12.3   3.6   4.4    .68
.62   Millsap,Paul   Uta   .575   23.4  11.4   2.6   2.23      .568   20.0   9.1   2.7   1.63
.62   Harden,James   Okl   .649   22.1   5.0   4.0   1.48      .583   16.4   4.2   2.8    .91
.60   Harrington,Al  Den   .607   20.8   7.9   1.7   1.36      .521   14.6   6.8   2.1    .73
.59   West,Delonte   Dal   .507   15.9   3.9   6.3   1.20  Bos .529   10.8   2.9   4.8    .52

.55   Turner,Evan    Phi   .489   14.8   7.9   3.8   1.11      .478   10.4   6.0   2.9    .51
.55  Williams,Marvin Atl   .510   17.9  10.8   2.0   1.55      .542   14.5   6.8   1.7    .84
.51   Anderson,Ryan  Orl   .591   23.6   9.2   1.1   1.89      .585   18.8   9.3   1.3   1.41
.50  Haywood,Brendan Dal   .513   11.3  12.7    .6   1.01      .514    8.1   9.7    .5    .42
.50   James,Lebron   Mia   .599   32.6   8.8   7.8   3.17      .581   29.4   7.9   7.6   2.79

Biggest dropoffs in the minutes they've played:

Code: Select all

eW+     per36 rates    tm    Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484  2011 Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484
-.79   Martin,Kevin   Hou   .543   22.2   3.3   2.5   1.22      .586   28.4   3.9   2.9   1.81
-.78   Scola,Luis     Hou   .505   19.4   7.3   1.8   1.03      .531   20.8   9.9   3.1   1.69
-.76   Salmons,John   Sac   .404    8.8   4.1   2.3    .19  Mil .503   16.1   4.1   3.6    .91
-.71   Hickson,J.J.   Sac   .423    9.6   9.8    .9    .47  Cle .494   16.9  11.8   1.4   1.26
-.70   Gasol,Pau      LAL   .552   18.3   9.6   2.9   1.57      .577   21.5  10.8   3.6   2.04

-.68   Odom,Lamar     Dal   .406   13.4   7.7   2.6    .79  LAL .581   18.1  10.1   3.6   1.61
-.68   Nelson,Jameer  Orl   .466   11.8   3.2   8.4    .73      .542   18.1   4.1   8.1   1.42
-.63   Battier,Shane  Mia   .428    6.0   3.0   1.5   -.10  Mem .562   10.0   6.0   3.0    .62
-.60  Belinelli,Marco NOH   .483   12.2   4.1   1.2    .26      .555   18.0   3.3   1.8    .77
-.58   Kidd,Jason     Dal   .404    5.9   6.1   7.2    .56      .496    9.1   5.3   9.8   1.17

-.58   Felton,Raymond Por   .448   12.7   2.8   8.3    .85  Den .517   14.7   3.6   8.7   1.28
-.57 Stoudemire,Amare NYK   .493   20.8   9.6   1.7   1.43      .553   25.3   8.4   2.8   1.93
-.53  Prince,Tayshaun Det   .461   13.9   4.0   1.9    .59      .506   16.0   5.4   3.0   1.01
-.53  Jackson,Stephen Mil   .481   16.3   4.1   3.3    .68  Cha .512   19.9   5.3   3.5   1.19
-.51   Williams,Deron NJN   .499   19.9   4.2   8.5   1.46      .555   20.7   4.3   9.6   1.84

[Mike G]

At 33% of the season:

Code: Select all

eW+    per36 rates     tm    Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484  2011 Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484
1.23  Monroe,Greg     Det   .557   20.2  13.0   2.5   1.89      .563   12.9  10.9   1.6   1.13
1.11  Mullens,Byron   Cha   .506   17.1   7.3    .7    .97  Okl .357    6.8   8.8    .0   -.06
.92   Gortat,Marcin   Phx   .574   19.8  12.7   1.0   1.82      .584   14.3  10.9   1.2   1.15
.90   Chalmers,Mario  Mia   .639   17.6   3.7   6.2   1.17      .533   10.7   3.5   4.4    .49
.88   Williams,Marvin Atl   .545   20.0  10.3   2.4   1.77      .542   14.5   6.8   1.7    .84

.87   Teague,Jeff     Atl   .554   17.3   2.7   6.4   1.25      .512   12.3   3.6   4.4    .68
.84  Gallinari,Danilo Den   .580   20.9   6.4   3.1   1.58      .580   17.6   5.5   1.9   1.01
.83   Hibbert,Roy     Ind   .542   21.2  13.1   2.8   2.01      .499   16.9  10.5   2.9   1.35
.77   Jack,Jarrett    NOH   .522   18.1   4.3   6.2   1.28      .494   14.3   3.7   4.5    .79
.76   West,Delonte    Dal   .526   16.7   4.1   6.2   1.28  Bos .529   10.8   2.9   4.8    .52

.74   Hawes,Spencer   Phi   .595   19.1  13.2   4.4   2.20      .477   13.0  10.9   2.7   1.09
.73   James,Lebron    Mia   .610   33.9   9.1   7.8   3.24      .581   29.4   7.9   7.6   2.79
.72   Harrington,Al   Den   .589   20.6   7.7   1.9   1.37      .521   14.6   6.8   2.1    .73
.72   Hayward,Gordon  Uta   .475   13.5   4.8   5.0    .90      .568   11.1   4.1   2.2    .27
.71  Varejao,Anderson Cle   .511   13.1  15.1   2.1   1.51      .550   10.6  11.8   1.5    .97

eW+    per36 rates     tm    Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484  2011 Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484
.68  Aldridge,Lamarcu Por   .538   26.5   9.2   3.2   2.22      .540   22.4   9.3   2.0   1.81
.66   Bargnani,Andrea Tor   .566   27.6   7.1   1.9   1.91      .524   21.5   5.9   1.7   1.23
.66   Millsap,Paul    Uta   .558   22.1  11.8   2.4   2.13      .568   20.0   9.1   2.7   1.63
.65   Anderson,Ryan   Orl   .591   23.8   9.7   1.0   1.91      .585   18.8   9.3   1.3   1.41
.62   Haywood,Brendan Dal   .534   11.3  13.3    .7   1.05      .514    8.1   9.7    .5    .42

.62   Turner,Evan     Phi   .495   14.6   7.8   3.7   1.06      .478   10.4   6.0   2.9    .51
.61  Jennings,Brandon Mil   .535   23.2   3.6   5.5   1.71      .486   18.5   4.3   5.2   1.32
.61   George,Paul     Ind   .592   17.1   6.9   2.8   1.15      .534   13.1   6.2   1.8    .68
.61   Lucas,John      Chi   .459   17.8   3.7   4.6   1.04      .250    4.0   0.0   3.1   -.44
.59   Gasol,Marc      Mem   .545   16.3  10.9   2.9   1.63      .567   15.3   9.2   2.9   1.27

I'll go out on a limb and predict that Gortat ends up on top of this list, while Nowitzki will drag bottom:

Code: Select all

eW+     per36 rates    tm   Eff%    Sco   Reb   Ast  e484  2011 Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484
-.89   Scola,Luis     Hou   .500   19.7   7.5   2.2  1.05      .531   20.8   9.9   3.1   1.69
-.87   Salmons,John   Sac   .412    8.8   4.4   2.2   .17  Mil .503   16.1   4.1   3.6    .91
-.79   Odom,Lamar     Dal   .427   13.5   7.7   2.4   .79  LAL .581   18.1  10.1   3.6   1.61
-.79   Battier,Shane  Mia   .437    5.6   3.2   1.7  -.12  Mem .562   10.0   6.0   3.0    .62
-.78   Hickson,J.J.   Sac   .417    9.3  10.0    .9   .44  Cle .494   16.9  11.8   1.4   1.26

-.78   Nelson,Jameer  Orl   .463   11.9   3.4   7.8   .70      .542   18.1   4.1   8.1   1.42
-.75   Gasol,Pau      LAL   .547   18.6   9.8   2.9  1.60      .577   21.5  10.8   3.6   2.04
-.75   Nowitzki,Dirk  Dal   .506   22.1   7.5   2.9  1.68      .600   28.9   8.2   3.0   2.28
-.66 Stoudemire,Amare NYK   .493   20.7   9.3   1.8  1.44      .553   25.3   8.4   2.8   1.93
-.62  Jackson,Stephen Mil   .467   15.5   4.1   3.5   .65  Cha .512   19.9   5.3   3.5   1.19

eW+     per36 rates    tm   Eff%    Sco   Reb   Ast  e484  2011 Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484
-.62  Belinelli,Marco NOH   .485   12.7   4.3   1.1   .32      .555   18.0   3.3   1.8    .77
-.61   Martin,Kevin   Hou   .558   23.8   3.6   2.7  1.40      .586   28.4   3.9   2.9   1.81
-.56  Prince,Tayshaun Det   .461   14.1   4.7   1.9   .64      .506   16.0   5.4   3.0   1.01
-.56   Kidd,Jason     Dal   .404    5.8   6.2   7.3   .58      .496    9.1   5.3   9.8   1.17
-.53   Felton,Raymond Por   .449   12.9   3.0   8.6   .93  Den .517   14.7   3.6   8.7   1.28

-.52 Stevenson,Deshaw NJN   .420    5.6   3.1   1.6  -.27  Dal .545   13.3   3.6   2.6    .51
-.51 Tolliver,Anthony Min   .509    6.9   4.9    .4  -.15      .573   10.2   7.3   1.8    .49
-.51   Thomas,Tyrus   Cha   .434    9.8   7.4    .8   .58      .525   16.3   9.4   1.0   1.13
-.48 Perkins,Kendrick Okl   .534    7.6   8.9   1.1   .23      .524    9.3  12.7   1.4    .64
-.46   Artest,Ron     LAL   .378    7.7   4.0   2.8   .10      .480   11.1   4.4   2.9    .58

[Crow]

Monroe -2.8 and -2.5 on prior informed and non-prior informed RAPM this season. He was better but still estimated at -1.7 last season. Another perspective to consider or not?

Gortat unchanged on prior-informed RAPM year to year at -1.1. On non-prior informed he is estimated better at -0.6 but that is probably not significant and it is not good either.

Chalmers on the other hand did improve a lot on RAPM from -0.6 on prior-informed to +1.3 and +2.4 on non-prior informed for this season.

Accept, reject RAPM on these cases or study the boxscore and RAPM results and the paradoxes further?

RAPM see almost no difference in Marvin Williams estimated impact- moderately negative.

Non-prior informed RAPM suggests Hibbert was decline from around +1 to near neutral.

RAPM has Hawes making a very large improvement. Or is it much ado the team, despite the method and the goal of this metric?

RAPM has James making a large decline though still strong.

RAPM has Kidd making a very large decline.

RAPM has Bargnani making a very large improvement from terrible to less terrible or neutral on non-prior informed.

RAPM agrees Marc Gasol improved while Pau declined.

Perkins a modest improvement. Artest a singificant decline.



Do some GMs consistently choose players who look better on boxscore stats over RAPM or vice versa in the draft, in free agency, in who they re-sign, in who they trade away or for? With more time lots of trends can be studied.

[Mike G]

I don't know about GM's, but coaches tend to use players more when their productivity increases, and vise versa.
The top 25 improvers in the table averaged 25 minutes last year and are getting 30 mpg this year.
The 20 big decliners -- in (production decline) * (minutes) -- are down from 30 mpg to 28, on avg. Several of these are still seeing minutes because their teams are truly desperate.

A player's non-boxscore contributions may happen to move the opposite of what these numbers tend, but in general I assume a given player has improved when he's more productive.
So Battier, for example, may have value not seen in his box scores. But when his shooting% drops by .125 -- his scoring, rebounding, and his assist rates all drop to barely half what they were last year -- that looks like serious decline.
Minutes declining -- from 29 to 23 -- seems to corroborate it.

[Crow]

Most or all coaches trust / know boxscore data better than they do RAPM so change will probably be mainly because of change in boxscore data. It would be interesting to check and see if there are clear examples of organizations who make noticeable minute changes that can be correlated to changes in RAPM (seasonal data or sharp moves in within season data) mostly or alone (not accompanied by similar moves in boxscore data). It would depend on the case - and the context- how wise that was, but there might be times when picking up on the RAPM cue would make a meaningful difference. For playoff minute decisons or trades (before the market picks up on an apparent value change in the boxscore or in the impression from tape) or whatever. For all the science, it still has some art and involves some judgment calls, or educated guesses.

[Mike G]

At .387 of the season, Monroe pulls away from the pack.

Code: Select all

eW+    per36 rates    tm    Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484   2011 Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484
1.51  Monroe,Greg    Det   .562   20.4   13.0   2.5   1.95      .563   12.9  10.9   1.6   1.13
1.17  Mullens,Byron  Cha   .502   16.5    7.2    .7    .95  Okl .357    6.8   8.8    .0   -.06
1.05  Gortat,Marcin  Phx   .573   18.9   12.4   1.1   1.78      .584   14.3  10.9   1.2   1.15
1.01  Chalmers,Mario Mia   .650   17.3    3.9   5.9   1.17      .533   10.7   3.5   4.4    .49
.96 Varejao,Anderson Cle   .528   13.7   15.0   2.1   1.58      .550   10.6  11.8   1.5    .97

.94 Gallinari,Danilo Den   .583   20.6    6.4   3.1   1.56      .580   17.6   5.5   1.9   1.01
.91   Hayward,Gordon Uta   .502   13.9    4.5   4.5    .92      .568   11.1   4.1   2.2    .27
.89   George,Paul    Ind   .587   17.1    6.8   2.9   1.24      .534   13.1   6.2   1.8    .68
.85   Teague,Jeff    Atl   .547   16.5    2.8   6.0   1.17      .512   12.3   3.6   4.4    .68
.85 Aldridge,Lamarcu Por   .547   26.4    9.0   3.1   2.24      .540   22.4   9.3   2.0   1.81

.83   West,Delonte   Dal   .514   15.5    4.3   6.1   1.22  Bos .529   10.8   2.9   4.8    .52
.80   Hibbert,Roy    Ind   .529   19.4   12.7   2.5   1.87      .499   16.9  10.5   2.9   1.35
.79 Cousins,Demarcus Sac   .495   19.9   14.8   1.1   1.86      .474   16.7  12.1   3.0   1.31
.77   Harrington,Al  Den   .577   19.4    8.0   1.8   1.26      .521   14.6   6.8   2.1    .73
.77  Williams,Marvin Atl   .544   18.2    9.7   2.1   1.51      .542   14.5   6.8   1.7    .84

eW+    per36 rates    tm    Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484   2011 Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484
.74   Mcgee,Javale   Was   .502   14.7   12.3    .4   1.65      .555   13.8  11.3    .6   1.16
.72   Jack,Jarrett   NOH   .510   17.5    4.2   5.9   1.23      .494   14.3   3.7   4.5    .79
.71   Gasol,Marc     Mem   .540   16.6   10.5   2.7   1.62      .567   15.3   9.2   2.9   1.27
.70   Millsap,Paul   Uta   .564   21.3   12.3   2.5   2.08      .568   20.0   9.1   2.7   1.63
.68   Lowry,Kyle     Hou   .534   17.1    6.5   8.2   1.68      .541   14.7   4.7   7.6   1.29

.67   Pekovic,Nikola Min   .646   19.2    9.8    .4   1.22      .561   12.6   7.3    .9    .29
.67  Bargnani,Andrea Tor   .566   27.0    7.0   2.0   1.92      .524   21.5   5.9   1.7   1.23
.67  Vasquez,Greivis NOH   .504   12.9    3.8   5.5    .78  Mem .488    8.8   2.9   5.4    .22
.66   James,Lebron   Mia   .602   31.9    8.9   7.6   3.13      .581   29.4   7.9   7.6   2.79
.65   Turner,Evan    Phi   .498   14.3    7.4   3.6   1.01      .478   10.4   6.0   2.9    .51

Appearing suddenly -- not among top 90 gainers posted Jan. 20 -- are Vasquez and Pekovic.
http://www.basketball-reference.com/pla ... elog/2012/
The most-improved Sixers barely place one player in the top 25. But Hawes, Lou Williams, and Iguodala are also among the top 50.

Meanwhile, a fierce battle for last place:

Code: Select all

eW+     per36 rates    tm    Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484  2011 Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484
-.92   Battier,Shane  Mia   .423    5.5   3.1   1.8   -.13  Mem .562   10.0   6.0   3.0    .62
-.92   Salmons,John   Sac   .441    9.8   4.3   2.4    .28  Mil .503   16.1   4.1   3.6    .91
-.92   Odom,Lamar     Dal   .419   13.1   7.6   2.6    .77  LAL .581   18.1  10.1   3.6   1.61
-.88   Hickson,J.J.   Sac   .432    9.4   9.4    .8    .45  Cle .494   16.9  11.8   1.4   1.26
-.85   Scola,Luis     Hou   .508   20.4   7.5   2.2   1.17      .531   20.8   9.9   3.1   1.69

-.81   Nelson,Jameer  Orl   .466   12.3   3.3   7.7    .75      .542   18.1   4.1   8.1   1.42
-.78   Martin,Kevin   Hou   .543   22.7   3.7   3.0   1.34      .586   28.4   3.9   2.9   1.81
-.76 Perkins,Kendrick Okl   .528    6.9   8.3   1.0    .09      .524    9.3  12.7   1.4    .64
-.76  Belinelli,Marco NOH   .495   13.1   3.7   1.2    .29      .555   18.0   3.3   1.8    .77
-.66   Nowitzki,Dirk  Dal   .533   23.6   7.6   2.9   1.82      .600   28.9   8.2   3.0   2.28

-.66   Gasol,Pau      LAL   .540   18.6  10.4   3.0   1.70      .577   21.5  10.8   3.6   2.04
-.66  Jackson,Stephen Mil   .476   15.4   4.0   3.5    .67  Cha .512   19.9   5.3   3.5   1.19
-.63   West,David     Ind   .494   16.6   8.7   3.4   1.39  NOH .549   22.6   9.1   2.5   1.79
-.62   Felton,Raymond Por   .445   12.8   2.8   8.3    .92  Den .517   14.7   3.6   8.7   1.28
-.61 Tolliver,Anthony Min   .486    6.6   4.8    .6   -.19      .573   10.2   7.3   1.8    .49