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Re: "Points Above Average"
Posted: Thu Apr 09, 2015 2:49 pm
by BasketDork
Was that meant to insult me ?
Re: "Points Above Average"
Posted: Fri Apr 10, 2015 9:33 am
by J.E.
BasketDork wrote:Was that meant to insult me ?
Not directed at you. Sorry if it came off that way
Re: "Points Above Average"
Posted: Fri Apr 10, 2015 10:10 am
by permaximum
J.E. wrote:BasketDork wrote:Was that meant to insult me ?
Not directed at you. Sorry if it came off that way
My post was above yours, but it doesn't make sense if you directed at me either. Although I have a feeling you directed at me because I called your name in a couple of previous debates and I have been critical of your professional, payed work called RPM or xRAPM before, I won't reply it with the appropriate tone until I become sure about your intentions.
Re: "Points Above Average"
Posted: Fri Apr 10, 2015 4:45 pm
by BasketDork
I was going to say, I wasn't trying to reinvent the wheel or anything, just putz around a little with numbers and see what turns up. I greatly respect what you guys do, am a sports stat/advanced stat/sabrmetrics junkie, looking to eventually work in the field I love, and any help or advice you guys can offer is greatly appreciated. I was about to say, "that Jerry was a bit harsh." Haha. I love how there's this wealth of information out there for all us who love the game can play with and pick apart.
Re: "Points Above Average"
Posted: Fri Apr 10, 2015 6:36 pm
by NateTG
BasketDork wrote:I was going to say, I wasn't trying to reinvent the wheel or anything, just putz around a little with numbers and see what turns up. ... looking to eventually work in the field I love, and any help or advice you guys can offer is greatly appreciated.
Fundamentally, I think you have things backwards - it makes more sense to start with a question or problem, and then work the numbers guided by that. If you keep the primal motivation in mind then you can update your metrics as methodology and data become more sophisticated, and it puts you into a good position to understand and evaluate any criticism of the metric proper. Similarly, without understanding what the goal is others may struggle to provide useful input.
Counting stats like 'points made above average' that don't normalize for usage in some way are flawed for anything other than entertainment purposes like constructing a narrative or reviewing a player's career.
Re: "Points Above Average"
Posted: Sat Apr 11, 2015 3:30 am
by BasketDork
2013-14 PAA Leaders (min 1500 MP)
LG. AVG- 54.1 TS%
1. K.Durant OKC---------383.93----63.5 TS%
2. L.James MIA----------347.85-----64.9
3. J.Harden HOU--------230.63-----61.8
4. S.Curry GSW-----------211.98-----61.0
5. D.Nowitzki DAL-------178.37-----60.3
6. K.Love MIN-------------169.95-----59.1
7. I.Thomas, Jr. SAC---168.34-----57.4
8. D.Lillard POR ----------161.07-----56.8
9. G.Dragic PHX----------160.78-----60.4
10. A.Afflalo ORL--------152.97-----57.4
11. C.Anthony NYK-----150.48-----56.1
12. S.Ibaka OKC----------149.18-----57.6
13. K.Korver ATL---------145.68-----65.3
14. B.Griffin LAC---------139.07-----58.3
15. K.Lowry TOR---------129.94-----56.7
16. D.Howard HOU------127.52-----60.0
17. K.Faried DEN---------122.47------57.3
18. D.Jordan LAC--------120.96------63.0
19. J.Meeks LAL----------120.66------60.1
20. C.Bosh MIA------------120.14------59.7
Re: "Points Above Average"
Posted: Sat Apr 11, 2015 8:36 am
by permaximum
J.E. wrote:Seek professional help
Your silence confirms this was directed at me. You should get your basic stuff right before talking about "professional" stuff.
J.E. wrote:Per 36, his highest PPG is 26.7. No other per 36 stats really stand out
You make errors at the very basic level, and chances are 100% that you make a lot of errors calculating xRAPM without even knowing it. Since you think so highly of yourself although you're a typical "stat" guy from realgm forums albeit with some knowledge about python, you are definetely delusional.
Do not make a mistake again, for your delusions "Seek professional help."
Re: "Points Above Average"
Posted: Sat Apr 11, 2015 10:19 am
by J.E.
permaximum wrote:
J.E. wrote:Per 36, his highest PPG is 26.7. No other per 36 stats really stand out
You make errors at the very basic level
haha
Oh shit. Someone typed in "26.7" instead of "27.6" in a post on an internet message board. Where's the guillotine? All the work he has ever done is flawed!
When I said "seek help" I meant it. The attitude you display in many of your posts on this message board will not serve you well, in
many facets of life. A therapist may be able to help with the issues you have
(extremely sorry for the derail)
Re: "Points Above Average"
Posted: Sat Apr 11, 2015 11:27 am
by permaximum
You just made another "mistake" again by lying and calling it was a "typo". It was not.
J.E. wrote:He won many scoring titles (which felt like a bigger thing back then), but never because of his FG%/TS% but because he took lots of shots and played looots of minutes (up to 43.7 per game). Per 36, his highest PPG is 26.7. No other per 36 stats really stand out, except for STLs.
1. In the context of this paragraph, you looked at the years he won his 4 scoring titles and you actually saw his 26.7 pp/36m of the 2001 season and thought that was it. You couldn't even think about the fact that it could be one of the seasons he did not win the title.
2. If his highest PP/36 happened in an another season where he won the scoring title and/or if his highest pp/36 in a season where he won the scoring title was NOT actually 26.7, it could have been a typo. You just made an another mistake.
3. If you shared your step-by-step process of calculating RPM or xRAPM I would bet everything I got that you made a lot of minor errors there.
4. Why don't you participate in prediction contests? You know you will end with a mediocre result there and xRAPM or RPM will lose it's magic among a few elites. So, you will be criticized more often. Even PER surpasses xRAPM with 100% roster turnover for god's sake
As for my attitude, I have never ever insulted any personality in this board except mystic perhaps because he insulted me first. I joke time to time implicitly (especially when I discuss things with Mike G or DSMok1 or Crow), but they are just jokes. Nothing more. This forum is so serious and it needs just a bit candy.
As for your attitude, I can say after mystic you are by far the most rude member of this forum. People lump your attitude because of the things you share (I'm still thankful for them), but even I recall a few incidents where some member couldn't take it anymore and called you rude. There are more statistical evidence that there's a problem with YOUR attitude than mine.
The worst, you don't even know there's a problem with YOUR attitude and continue insulting others and then proclaim you insulted me because of my attitude.
Re: "Points Above Average"
Posted: Sat Apr 11, 2015 2:33 pm
by BasketDork
21. T.Jones HOU-----------114.88---57.7
22. D.Lee GSW--------------111.12----56.6
23. D.Collison LAC--------107.79----57.5
24. W.Matthews POR----107.29----58.8
25. A.Drummond DET---105.94----59.9
26. C.Parsons HOU-------104.09----56.5
27. M.Gortat WAS---------101.60----56.8
28. Joe Johnson BKN---101.55----56.4
29. A.Davis NOR-------------98.28----58.2
30. Ge.Green PHX-----------97.43----58.5
31. J.Lin HOU-----------------96.55----57.2
32. M.Belinelli SA------------96.34----60.5
33. R.Lopez POR------------96.06----60.5
34. D.Carroll ATL-------------95.75----57.5
35. N.Young LAL-------------93.32----56.4
36. R.Jefferson UTH-------92.83-----57.3
37. T.Ariza WAS--------------91.92-----59.0
38. B.Diaw SA-----------------91.83-----57.8
39. P.Pierce BKN-------------91.63-----59.5
40. D.J. Augustin 2TM----91.60-----56.9
Re: "Points Above Average"
Posted: Sat Apr 11, 2015 4:13 pm
by BasketDork
Next step, incorporating Usage and Offensive Efficiency, I'm thinking to scale it to per 100 possessions to give it some merit..
Re: "Points Above Average"
Posted: Wed Apr 22, 2015 4:04 pm
by BasketDork
2012-2013 PAA Leaders (min. 1500 MP)
LG. AVG- 53.5 TS%
1. K.Durant OKC-------------394.91----64.7 TS%
2. L.James MIA--------------333.77----64.0
3. J.Harden HOU------------219.11----60.0
4. S.Curry GSW---------------163.73---58.9
5. T.Chandler NYK----------139.68---67.1
6. S.Ibaka OKC---------------132.75----61.2
7. K.Bryant LAL--------------130.93----57.0
8. K.Korver ATL--------------129.61----63.7
9. K.Martin OKC-------------129.39----60.8
10. T.Parker SA--------------120.86----58.8
11. C.Bosh MIA--------------118.55----59.2
12. C.Paul LAC---------------117.78----59.4
13. J.Calderon 2TM--------108.57---61.6
14. T.Splitter SA-------------101.88----60.9
15. C.Landry GSW----------101.10----60.5
16. D.Williams BKN--------100.34----57.4
17. C.Parsons HOU----------98.71----58.4
18. J.Hickson POR-----------96.53----59.1
19. M.Webster WAS---------95.45---60.1
20. B.Griffin LAC--------------93.20----57.2
Re: "Points Above Average"
Posted: Wed Apr 22, 2015 8:25 pm
by BasketDork
21. R.Allen MIA----------------92.23----59.9
22. D.Wade MIA---------------92.16----57.1
23. D.Green SA-----------------90.71----60.0
24. D.Howard LAL------------85.90----57.3
25. C.Anthony NYK----------85.71-----56.0
26. D.Jordan LAC-------------84.85-----60.6
27. T.Sefolosha OKC--------81.40-----61.7
28. B.Lopez BKN--------------81.05-----56.7
29. A.Johnson TOR----------77.09-----59.1
30. I.Thomas,Jr SAC--------74.74----57.4
31. A.Kirelenko MIN---------73.70----59.0
32. S.Nash LAL----------------73.64-----60.5
33. J.Dudley PHX-------------69.59----58.2
34. W.Matthews POR-------69.44----57.4
35. J.Redick 3TM-------------69.38----57.1
36. V.Carter DAL---------------68.62----57.1
37. D.Lee GSW------------------67.64----56.1
38. D.Collison DAL-----------67.60-----57.5
39. S.Battier MIA--------------66.65----62.3
40. K.Leonard SA-------------66.28----59.2
Re: "Points Above Average"
Posted: Thu Apr 23, 2015 10:33 pm
by BasketDork
2014-15 PAA Leaders (min. 1500 MP)
LG. AVG- 53.4 TS%
1. S.Curry GSW-------------309.77-----63.8 TS%
2. J.Harden HOU--------------260.22-----60.5
3. K.Korver ATL----------------215.13-----69.9
4. J.Redick LAC----------------180.81-----62.2
5. T.Chandler DAL------------180.30-----69.7
6. C.Paul LAC-------------------162.59-----59.6
7. K.Thompson GSW--------160.93------59.1
8. A.Davis NOR-----------------159.81------59.1
9. D.Jordan LAC ---------------154.18------63.8
10. J.Valenciunas TOR------137.67------62.3
11. K.Irving CLE---------------136.77------58.3
12. L.James CLE----------------129.97-----57.7
13. J.Butler CHI-----------------109.34-----58.3
--- K.Durant OKC-----------107.36-----63.3 (*)
14. R.Gobert UTH---------------101.76-----62.7
15. D.Carroll ATL----------------101.10-----60.3
16. D.Green SA-------------------98.44-----59.6
17. G.Dragic 2TM-----------------95.03-----57.7
18. A.Morrow OKC---------------91.58-----60.4
19. M.Gortat WAS----------------90.31-----58.7
20. I.Thomas,Jr 2TM------------85.51-----57.9
21. G.Hayward UTH--------------85.16 ----56.7
Re: "Points Above Average"
Posted: Thu Apr 23, 2015 11:22 pm
by BasketDork
22. W.Matthews POR----------84.84----58.6
23. T.Zeller. BOS-----------------84.10----59.4
24. D.Lillard POR-----------------79.83----56.0
25. A.Johnson TOR-------------79.45----60.3
26. T.Mozgov 2TM--------------79.32----59.4
27. P.Pierce WAS----------------68.85----58.0
28. P.Millsap ATL----------------66.85----56.5
29. E.Davis ATL-------------------66.26----59.4
30. L.Williams TOR--------------66.11----56.4
31. J.Teague ATL----------------65.75----56.6
32. E.Kanter 2TM----------------61.86-----56.4
33. D.Nowitzki DAL-------------61.84---56.0
34. K.Leonard SA----------------61.57----56.7
35. K.Love CLE--------------------61.22----56.2
36. M.Gasol MEM----------------60.75----55.8
37. C.Parsons DAL--------------60.32-----56.7
38. A.Horford ATL---------------59.57-----56.3
39. R.Gay SAC-------------------56.71-----55.6
40. H.Barnes GSW---------------56.32-----57.3