APBRmetrics

Analysis of basketball through objective evidence
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Improved players 2016-17

http://apbr.org/metrics/viewtopic.php?t=9235

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Re: Improved players 2016-17

Posted: Sun Dec 25, 2016 10:51 am
by Mike G
Players for each team who are at least .30 eWins ahead or behind last season's pace.
Team total includes those not listed.

Code: Select all

eW+    Atl             Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484      Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484
.57   Dwight Howard   .606   19.1  17.0   1.5   2.00 Hou .583   14.7  13.1   1.7   1.63
.38   Dennis Schroder .544   21.2   3.8   7.2   1.35     .504   18.7   4.0   7.4   1.16
.37   Tim Hardaway    .528   17.8   3.0   2.6    .76     .556   12.7   3.1   2.0    .49
-.42   Paul Millsap   .540   19.4   9.2   3.9   1.68     .545   19.3   9.5   3.7   1.90
-.68   Kent Bazemore  .440   12.8   4.7   3.4    .59     .545   15.3   6.2   3.0   1.02
+.09  
                                  
eW+     Bos            Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484      Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484
1.08  Isaiah Thomas   .579   31.2   2.8   6.7   2.30     .551   24.5   3.2   6.9   1.69
1.05  Avery Bradley   .560   19.0   7.5   2.6   1.26     .534   16.2   3.0   2.4    .78
.51   Terry Rozier    .461   10.6   6.1   3.6    .61     .324    7.0   6.0   3.8    .15
-.32   Jae Crowder    .607   16.2   6.0   2.8    .94     .557   16.0   5.6   2.2   1.17
-.36   Amir Johnson   .606   13.4   7.8   3.6    .93     .593   11.2   9.6   2.9   1.22
-.45   Kelly Olynyk   .547   13.6   6.9   2.8    .72     .554   16.4   6.5   2.6   1.16
-.54   Marcus Smart   .447   10.4   4.9   5.1    .46     .456   11.4   5.1   4.0    .79
-.35 
                                   
eW+    Brk             Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484      Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484
.55  Bojan Bogdanovic .558   18.4   4.2   1.9    .73     .544   14.0   4.3   1.4    .39
.50   Sean Kilpatrick .551   19.4   5.5   3.4    .95     .569   17.9   3.1   1.4    .65
.47   Brook Lopez     .574   25.4   6.7   3.2   1.86     .552   20.9   8.6   1.9   1.56
.41   Jeremy Lin      .545   18.8   4.9   8.8   1.57 Cha .523   15.6   4.3   4.2    .85
.37   Joe Harris      .569   13.1   4.4   1.8    .28 Cle .375    5.9   6.0   4.0    .02
-.43 Hollis-Jefferson .475   10.8   7.4   3.5    .60     .509    8.9   8.9   2.1    .96
+1.29
                                    
eW+     Cha            Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484      Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484
.84   Kemba Walker    .566   26.2   4.2   6.3   2.04     .545   21.4   4.5   5.6   1.62
.67   Marco Belinelli .588   16.2   3.5   2.5    .71 Sac .494   13.1   2.3   2.5    .28
-.61  Marvin Williams .500   13.8   7.3   1.8    .80     .579   14.7   8.0   1.8   1.24
-.72 M Kidd-Gilchrist .493   11.3   8.6   1.6    .76     .589   15.8   7.8   1.7   1.17
-1.03
                                    
eW+     Chi            Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484      Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484
1.43  Jimmy Butler    .578   27.5   6.4   4.0   2.19     .550   20.2   5.0   4.3   1.54
.47   Taj Gibson      .565   17.9   9.3   1.8   1.29     .547   11.3   8.8   1.9   1.01
-.34   Isaiah Canaan  .480   10.9   2.8   1.9    .11 Phl .521   14.1   3.0   2.1    .45
-.43   Robin Lopez    .487   12.6   9.4   1.0    .89 NYK .567   13.6   9.6   1.8   1.13
-.83   Rajon Rondo    .423    9.1   7.5   8.9    .82 Sac .501   11.3   6.1  11.9   1.34
-1.57
                                    
eW+     Cle            Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484      Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484
1.11  Kevin Love      .601   27.6  12.5   2.1   2.52     .544   19.0  11.9   2.9   1.85
.88   Kyrie Irving    .581   27.5   3.6   6.6   2.00     .534   23.3   3.6   5.7   1.53
.58   LeBron James    .582   27.2   7.7   9.7   2.69     .578   26.6   7.9   7.4   2.40
.31   Channing Frye   .622   20.5   5.4   1.7   1.20     .583   12.1   6.8   1.9    .81
-.51 Tristan Thompson .567    9.5  13.3   1.1    .98     .594   10.3  12.0   1.0   1.29
-.76   J.R. Smith     .480   10.7   2.8   1.7    .17     .539   15.1   3.5   2.1    .78
+.95 
                                   
eW+     Dal            Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484      Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484
1.16  Harrison Barnes .527   22.1   5.9   1.3   1.32 GSW .553   13.3   5.6   2.3    .81
.38   Wesley Matthews .526   17.0   3.4   2.1    .72     .527   13.3   3.2   2.1    .54
-.61   Andrew Bogut   .459    5.8  16.5   3.2    .82 GSW .617    8.9  11.6   4.5   1.55
+1.09 
                                   
eW+     Den            Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484      Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484
.63   Wilson Chandler .521   18.7   8.4   2.2   1.26     .519   15.6   6.8   1.9    .89
.33   Gary Harris     .577   18.4   4.2   4.2   1.16     .560   13.3   3.3   2.1    .55
-.33   Will Barton    .530   16.2   5.6   2.9    .86     .527   16.7   7.2   2.9   1.15
-.38   Kenneth Faried .565   15.1  13.2   1.3   1.41     .566   16.9  12.5   1.7   1.69
-.78 Danilo Gallinari .578   17.8   5.1   2.2    .93     .566   19.6   5.7   2.4   1.33
-.88
                                    
eW+     Det            Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484      Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484
.62   K Caldwell-Pope .526   17.6   3.9   3.0    .94     .514   14.4   3.8   1.8    .65
.52   Beno Udrih      .534   15.6   3.4   6.5    .94 Mia .493    9.8   3.5   5.4    .29
-.93   Aron Baynes    .524   10.2   9.0    .7    .33     .551   13.7  10.5   1.3   1.20
-1.68  
                                  
eW+     GSW            Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484      Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484
1.07  Kevin Durant    .640   29.6   9.0   5.3   2.85 Okl .622   28.1   8.5   5.3   2.36
.41   Ian Clark       .627   18.3   3.3   3.2    .98     .539   12.4   3.6   3.9    .47
.32   JaVale McGee    .608   24.9  10.3   1.3   1.95 Dal .566   14.8  11.2    .3   1.26
-.46   Andre Iguodala .536    7.8   4.8   5.0    .42     .558    8.8   5.1   4.9    .71
-.57   Draymond Green .508   11.1   9.8   8.9   1.62     .575   14.2   9.7   8.7   1.91
-.61 Shaun Livingston .562    9.5   4.0   3.8    .20     .573   10.5   3.6   6.0    .77
-.77   Stephen Curry  .626   28.5   4.6   6.9   2.25     .660   31.1   5.6   7.7   2.61
-2.49
                                    
eW+     Hou            Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484      Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484
1.92  James Harden    .587   28.2   8.2  11.9   2.77     .584   26.3   5.8   7.0   1.95
.90   Eric Gordon     .586   20.8   3.0   3.5   1.08 NOP .558   15.8   2.4   2.7    .63
.47   Clint Capela    .616   18.9  12.6   1.6   1.72     .539   12.0  11.4   1.2   1.39
.45  Montrezl Harrell .632   18.0   8.4   2.0   1.19     .619   11.1   5.3   1.5    .54
-.37   Corey Brewer   .449    7.8   4.7   2.6    .01     .474   11.3   4.0   2.3    .43
-.45   Ryan Anderson  .570   16.6   6.9   1.2    .88 NOP .539   18.5   7.0   1.2   1.10
-.48   Nene Hilario   .582   15.1   7.8   1.8    .74 Was .551   15.6   8.0   2.9   1.26
+2.74  
                                  
eW+     Ind            Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484      Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484
.80   Myles Turner    .599   20.5   9.1   1.2   1.63     .524   15.9   8.4   1.1   1.19
-.31   Al Jefferson   .493   17.6   9.8   1.7   1.31 Cha .501   17.9   9.5   2.5   1.62
-.47   Paul George    .554   22.8   7.0   3.1   1.53     .547   24.4   7.1   4.1   1.80
-.63   Lavoy Allen    .339    3.3   6.6   2.5   -.13     .526    9.3   9.0   1.7   .73
-.89   Thaddeus Young .587   14.9   7.5   1.8    .87 Brk .528   15.7  10.1   1.8   1.32
-.91   Monta Ellis    .511   11.4   3.8   4.3    .30     .499   15.0   3.5   5.2   .89
-3.49 
                                   
eW+     LAC            Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484      Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484
.74   Chris Paul      .592   23.1   6.3  12.0   2.61     .566   21.9   4.4  11.7   2.24
.43   Blake Griffin   .531   24.5   9.9   5.7   2.29     .535   23.4   8.6   5.8   2.05
.38 Marreese Speights .570   21.7  11.0   1.8   1.74 GSW .499   19.0   8.9   2.7   1.37
.36  Luc Mbah a Moute .588   11.1   4.0    .7    .29     .490    6.3   4.4    .9    .03
-.34   Raymond Felton .517   11.3   3.8   3.1    .34 Dal .495   12.1   4.0   4.7    .65
-.46   DeAndre Jordan .627   15.3  15.6    .9   1.63     .599   13.8  14.0   1.3   2.01
-.69    
                                
eW+     LAL            Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484      Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484
1.37  Lou Williams    .583   26.3   3.3   4.2   1.68     .568   17.9   3.0   2.7    .88
1.13  Nick Young      .613   20.9   3.3   1.4   1.01     .478   11.8   3.0   1.0    .20
.65  D'Angelo Russell .519   20.7   4.8   6.2   1.25     .501   15.5   4.1   3.8    .65
-.47   Timofey Mozgov .546   13.6   8.9   1.5    .63 Cle .584   12.8   9.2    .9    .96
-.75   Luol Deng      .473   10.4   7.8   2.0    .62 Mia .542   14.2   6.9   2.1   1.03
+.37 
                                   
eW+     Mem            Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484      Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484
1.37  Marc Gasol      .540   24.5   7.1   4.6   2.06     .519   17.4   7.6   3.9   1.40
.81   Mike Conley     .563   24.6   4.2   6.6   1.93     .529   17.5   3.5   6.7   1.37
.58   Zach Randolph   .473   21.4  12.6   2.7   1.97     .512   18.4   9.7   2.5   1.47
-.32   Jarell Martin  .477   11.3  10.3    .5    .46     .520   13.0   7.6   1.2    .79
-.36   JaMychal Green .523   12.2  10.4   1.6    .79     .513   13.4   9.0   1.5    .97
-.37   Troy Williams  .472   11.8   4.0   1.7    .21 Cha .632   16.3   3.8   1.5    .64
+1.33  
                                  
eW+     Mia            Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484      Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484
.67   Goran Dragic    .545   22.4   4.2   6.5   1.43     .532   16.1   4.4   6.5   1.07
.67   James Johnson   .580   16.8   7.0   3.1   1.02 Tor .524   10.9   4.9   2.8    .54
.54   Tyler Johnson   .513   15.8   4.9   3.3    .95     .571   12.9   4.5   3.1    .66
.44   Dion Waiters    .450   16.3   3.9   4.3    .79 Okl .486   12.1   3.4   2.7    .37
-.46   Luke Babbitt   .463    9.5   4.2    .9    .02 NOP .521   12.3   6.0   2.0    .67
+.71
                                    
eW+     Mil            Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484      Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484
2.46  G Antetokounmpo .594   26.7   9.6   5.9   2.65     .554   17.0   8.0   4.0   1.43
1.46  Jabari Parker   .551   23.4   6.4   2.5   1.65     .528   15.7   6.0   1.8    .88
-.34   Jason Terry    .483    6.3   2.4   2.7   -.21 Hou .538   10.6   2.1   2.9    .23
-.36  Michael Beasley .562   18.8   7.9   1.8   1.07 Hou .556   22.1   8.8   1.6   1.55
-.36  Mirza Teletovic .544   15.5   5.7   1.4    .60 Phx .565   17.9   6.0   1.7   1.00
-.38   M Dellavedova  .474    9.9   3.2   7.2    .37 Cle .523   10.9   3.1   6.6    .60
-.39   Miles Plumlee  .519    9.2   6.2   2.8    .06     .598   11.7   9.0    .6    .92
+2.51
                                    
eW+     Min            Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484      Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484
.68   Zach LaVine     .593   21.5   3.3   3.0   1.11     .542   16.8   3.7   3.8    .80
.44   Karl-A Towns    .548   23.1  12.5   2.7   2.08     .582   19.7  12.3   2.2   1.87
-.36 Shabazz Muhammad .493   12.8   5.6    .9    .35     .538   16.4   5.6   1.0    .75
-.64   Cole Aldrich   .577    7.7  10.7   1.5    .64 LAC .614   13.5  11.1   2.2   1.54
-.75   Gorgui Dieng   .552   11.7   9.7   2.4    .81     .588   12.5   9.7   2.2   1.20
-1.17   Ricky Rubio   .507    8.4   5.2   8.0    .57     .515   11.3   5.3   9.7   1.32
-1.60
                                    
eW+     NOP            Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484      Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484
1.54  Anthony Davis   .563   29.8  10.8   2.0   2.77     .548   23.4  10.6   1.8   2.11
.36   Terrence Jones  .510   15.0   8.0   1.6   1.02 Hou .511   13.4   6.8   1.4    .78
-.38   Omer Asik      .503    6.5  12.1   1.1    .46     .536    7.5  12.4    .7    .84
-1.06   Solomon Hill  .500    7.1   4.6   2.3   -.04 Ind .537    9.4   6.2   2.2    .58
-1.68 
                                   
eW+     NYK            Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484      Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484
.50   Derrick Rose    .512   19.6   4.6   5.2   1.21 Chi .475   18.3   3.7   5.2    .90
-.33   Joakim Noah    .454    7.6  13.2   4.3    .94 Chi .399    6.5  13.0   5.6   1.24
-1.98 
                                   
eW+     OkC            Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484      Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484
2.15 Russell Westbrook .535  34.5  11.3  10.6   3.53     .543   24.3   8.5  11.6   2.54
-.36   Victor Oladipo .538   17.8   5.0   3.0    .96 Orl .527   17.0   5.2   3.9   1.17
-.47   Andre Roberson .498    8.2   5.5   1.3    .20     .560    7.6   5.9   1.2    .44
-.56   Jerami Grant   .554   10.9   4.2    .8    .26 Phl .493   12.0   5.9   2.0    .74
-1.44 
                                   
eW+     Orl            Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484      Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484
.91   Serge Ibaka     .569   19.6   8.2   1.2   1.44 Okl .529   13.9   7.9   1.1    .99
.51   Evan Fournier   .561   20.9   3.2   3.6   1.03     .579   16.7   3.2   2.7    .80
.36   Elfrid Payton   .503   14.9   4.7   6.8   1.08     .472   12.7   4.4   7.3    .89
-.69   Jeff Green     .498   13.6   4.4   1.8    .37 LAC .503   14.7   5.3   2.2    .82
-.93   Aaron Gordon   .482   14.4   6.1   2.2    .74     .532   13.2   9.5   2.2   1.29
-1.22 Bismack Biyombo .489    8.5  11.2   1.5    .61 Tor .566    8.9  13.1    .6   1.33
-2.26                                    
eW+     Phl            Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484      Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484
.36   Ersan Ilyasova  .574   19.4   8.2   2.1   1.23 Orl .520   14.4   7.7   1.2    .99
-.39   T.J. McConnell .464    6.9   4.3   7.9    .37     .509    9.7   5.0   6.9    .71
-.63 Robert Covington .482   12.2   7.0   1.6    .52     .536   15.0   7.5   1.6    .92
-2.88
                                    
eW+     Phx            Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484      Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484
.68   Eric Bledsoe    .546   22.8   5.8   5.9   1.67     .547   20.1   4.3   6.1   1.34
.60   Devin Booker    .502   20.5   3.2   3.4    .88     .527   16.4   3.1   3.2    .58
-.54   P.J. Tucker    .489    8.1   7.4   1.4    .27     .499    8.6   7.2   2.4    .59
+.65
                                    
eW+     Por            Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484      Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484
.82   Damian Lillard  .583   27.4   4.7   6.0   2.01     .551   24.6   4.1   6.7   1.66
.42   C.J. McCollum   .579   23.1   3.9   3.8   1.38     .540   21.0   3.4   4.6   1.20
-.35  Al-Farouq Aminu .385    7.1   9.0   2.6    .38     .526   12.4   7.6   2.1    .86
-.41   Meyers Leonard .500   11.1   7.2   1.7    .35     .558   12.6   8.0   2.4    .77
-.50   Evan Turner    .492   11.7   5.7   4.2    .63 Bos .507   12.9   5.8   5.8    .96
-.62   Allen Crabbe   .580   11.9   3.8   1.5    .19     .566   13.2   3.5   1.6    .52
-1.21  Ed Davis       .546    8.1  11.0   1.2    .39     .599   10.2  11.9   1.8   1.41
-1.76                                    
eW+     Sac            Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484      Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484
1.51 DeMarcus Cousins .546   32.0  11.6   3.5   2.93     .525   25.9  11.7   3.2   2.20
.70   Rudy Gay        .547   21.1   7.0   3.2   1.51     .531   16.9   6.8   1.8   1.07
.47   Ty Lawson       .496   11.3   4.2   6.3    .62 Ind .470    8.6   2.9   6.0    .32
-.51   Arron Afflalo  .504   11.0   3.4   1.7    .15 NYK .526   13.8   4.0   2.1    .54
-.63   Matt Barnes    .471    9.6   6.9   3.7    .38 Mem .497   12.2   7.0   2.6    .82
-.76                                    
eW+     SAS            Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484      Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484
.47   Kawhi Leonard   .593   30.2   6.9   3.4   2.50     .606   25.3   7.9   3.0   2.28
.45   Patty Mills     .638   20.3   3.1   5.6   1.25     .538   15.2   3.4   4.9    .94
-.30   Kyle Anderson  .547    7.7   7.7   2.3    .47     .520   10.2   6.8   3.5    .89
-.39   Manu Ginobili  .522   14.8   4.6   4.7    .85     .565   17.9   4.5   5.5   1.25
-.52   Tony Parker    .495   14.7   2.9   6.8    .77     .539   17.0   3.3   7.4   1.24
-.99 LaMarcus Aldridge .519  20.0   8.4   2.5   1.52     .556   23.2  10.6   1.9   2.07
-2.19                                    
eW+     Tor            Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484      Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484
1.45  DeMar DeRozan   .551   31.6   5.5   4.4   2.38     .537   24.4   4.8   4.5   1.69
.55   Terrence Ross   .612   20.5   3.6   1.1   1.12     .548   14.5   3.8   1.2    .65
.52   Kyle Lowry      .623   25.0   4.7   7.5   2.00     .566   21.5   4.9   6.8   1.76
-.34 Jonas Valanciunas .585  19.0  13.7   1.2   1.66     .598   18.2  13.2   1.1   1.89
+.67 
                                   
eW+     Uta            Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484      Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484
1.09  Gordon Hayward  .563   26.7   6.7   4.0   2.02     .548   21.2   5.4   3.8   1.40
1.00  George Hill     .657   28.3   4.2   4.9   2.13 Ind .549   13.0   4.2   3.8    .79
.47   Rudy Gobert     .692   18.0  14.1   1.0   1.83     .562   11.1  13.5   1.8   1.60
.47   Joe Ingles      .640   14.4   4.4   3.8    .71     .570    9.7   4.3   2.7    .33
.44   Rodney Hood     .525   21.1   5.1   2.6   1.25     .536   17.5   4.1   3.2    .97
-.32   Derrick Favors .486   16.7  10.3    .8   1.30     .542   19.8   9.9   1.9   1.76
-.54   Shelvin Mack   .522   14.6   3.7   5.2    .59     .506   15.7   4.5   6.6    .95
-.71   Boris Diaw     .512    9.6   4.9   4.7    .11 SAS .576   12.8   5.9   4.6    .84
+2.21
                                    
eW+     Was            Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484      Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484
.81   John Wall       .540   24.4   4.7   9.2   2.02     .503   19.2   5.0   9.9   1.62
.78   Bradley Beal    .569   24.3   3.0   3.5   1.42     .540   19.2   4.0   3.3   1.01
.40   Otto Porter     .625   15.9   7.9   1.5   1.13     .558   13.2   6.2   1.8    .94
-.34 Andrew Nicholson .449    9.9   5.0   1.2    .04 Orl .561   14.9   8.0    .9    .90
-.35  Markieff Morris .494   14.6   7.1   2.0    .74     .487   15.6   7.6   2.6    .93
-.40   Trey Burke     .510   13.7   1.3   3.4    .21 Uta .503   17.9   3.0   3.9    .84
-.44  Marcus Thornton .483   12.8   4.7   2.2    .47 Hou .507   16.9   4.5   2.7    .90
-.45   Jason Smith    .505   10.6   7.7    .9    .15 Orl .509   14.8   6.1   1.6    .89
-1.12  Marcin Gortat  .579   12.2  12.6   1.7   1.04     .583   15.5  11.9   1.7   1.57
-1.15
This season on the left, last year on the right.

Re: Improved players 2016-17

Posted: Tue Jan 03, 2017 3:31 pm
by rlee
https://16winsaring.com/otto-porter-jr- ... .65haxq2ii

Re: Improved players 2016-17

Posted: Tue Jan 03, 2017 4:47 pm
by Mike G
Article suggests Otto Porter as MIP, while just above I've ranked him as 3rd most improved on his team.
My numbers are a few days old; here are some others:

Code: Select all

Washington   2016-17             2015-16
Wizards   PER  WS/48  BPM     PER  WS/48  BPM
Wall     24.0  .151   5.1    19.8  .098   3.2
Beal     19.7  .149   1.4    15.5  .076  -0.6
Porter   17.6  .171   3.4    14.5  .119   1.8
All three metrics agree that all 3 guys have stepped up notably. This year and last:
- PER ranks them Wall-Beal-Porter
- Win Shares says it's Porter-Wall-Beal
- BPM has them Wall-Porter-Beal

The amount they've improved in each, last year to this:

Code: Select all

improve   PER  WS/48  BPM
Wall      4.2  .053   1.9
Beal      4.2  .073   2.0
Porter    3.1  .052   1.6
Both Wall and Beal are making jumps above a previous 3-4 year plateau ; Porter has improved steadily each season.
Beal and Porter are both up about 3 mpg this year, while Wall is steady at 36.

Re: Improved players 2016-17

Posted: Fri Jan 06, 2017 3:42 pm
by rlee
http://fansided.com/2017/01/06/nba-most ... er-barnes/

Re: Improved players 2016-17

Posted: Sun Jan 15, 2017 4:24 pm
by rlee
http://behindthebuckpass.com/2017/01/14 ... yer-award/

Re: Improved players 2016-17

Posted: Tue Jan 17, 2017 3:17 pm
by rlee
http://fansided.com/2017/01/17/isaiah-t ... roduction/

Re: Improved players 2016-17

Posted: Fri Jan 20, 2017 5:39 pm
by Mike G
Players with big dropoffs in productivity, who still get big minutes, thus with eWins deficits this year:

Code: Select all

eW+       per36 rates    tm   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast  e484  '16: Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484
-1.66   Marcin Gortat   Was  .580   11.4  12.7   1.7  1.02      .583   15.5  11.9   1.7   1.57
-1.60   Bismack Biyombo Orl  .509    8.1  11.0   1.4   .60  Tor .566    8.9  13.1    .6   1.33
-1.33   Ed Davis        Por  .548    7.6  10.8   1.1   .46      .599   10.2  11.9   1.8   1.41
-1.18   Stephen Curry   GSW  .616   26.5   4.6   7.2  2.21      .660   31.1   5.6   7.7   2.61
-1.17 LaMarcus Aldridge SAS  .560   20.5   8.4   2.7  1.61      .556   23.2  10.6   1.9   2.07

-1.17   Thaddeus Young  Ind  .577   13.4   7.3   1.9   .88  Brk .528   15.7  10.1   1.8   1.32
-1.14   Aaron Gordon    Orl  .513   14.1   6.3   2.3   .83      .532   13.2   9.5   2.2   1.29
-1.09   Aron Baynes     Det  .544    9.4   8.6    .7   .37      .551   13.7  10.5   1.3   1.20
-1.09  Danilo Gallinari Den  .585   16.6   5.4   2.2   .92      .566   19.6   5.7   2.4   1.33
-1.07   Solomon Hill    NOP  .500    7.0   4.7   2.2   .13  Ind .537    9.4   6.2   2.2    .58

eW+       per36 rates    tm   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast  e484  '16: Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484
-1.06   Robin Lopez     Chi  .490   11.3   9.1   1.0   .71  NYK .567   13.6   9.6   1.8   1.13
-1.05   Luol Deng       LAL  .472    9.1   7.8   2.0   .60  Mia .542   14.2   6.9   2.1   1.03
-1.03   Jerami Grant    Okl  .564    9.2   4.1    .8   .18  Phl .493   12.0   5.9   2.0    .74
-1.03  Hassan Whiteside Mia  .554   18.7  15.4    .8  1.85      .614   18.0  15.0    .5   2.23
-1.02   Jeff Green      Orl  .495   12.4   4.3   1.6   .33  LAC .503   14.7   5.3   2.2    .82

-1.02  M Kidd-Gilchrist Cha  .492   10.0   8.9   1.8   .77      .589   15.8   7.8   1.7   1.17
-.96   Tristan Thompson Cle  .556    8.8  12.6   1.1   .89      .594   10.3  12.0   1.0   1.29
-.95   Monta Ellis      Ind  .516   10.3   3.8   4.2   .40      .499   15.0   3.5   5.2    .89
-.87   Ryan Anderson    Hou  .578   15.2   6.3   1.3   .79  NOP .539   18.5   7.0   1.2   1.10
-.84   Andrew Bogut     Dal  .438    4.4  15.5   3.1   .77  GSW .617    8.9  11.6   4.5   1.55
Whiteside's big dropoff is in blocks: from 4.5/36 last year to half that this season.
Gortat leads the Wizards in minutes, playing the most of his career; but it's because they haven't had another center most of the year.

Now the improvers -- not in per minute improvement, but improved rates times minutes.

Code: Select all

eW+      per36 rates    tm   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484 '16: Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484
3.40   James Harden    Hou  .597   28.4   8.4  12.2   2.95     .584   26.3   5.8   7.0   1.95
3.26   Giannis A       Mil  .600   25.3   9.6   5.8   2.57     .554   17.0   8.0   4.0   1.43
2.52 Russell Westbrook Okl  .531   31.8  11.6  10.5   3.34     .543   24.3   8.5  11.6   2.54
1.85   Jimmy Butler    Chi  .572   25.5   6.7   4.4   2.13     .550   20.2   5.0   4.3   1.54
1.79   Jabari Parker   Mil  .559   21.0   6.6   3.0   1.50     .528   15.7   6.0   1.8    .88

1.73   DeMar DeRozan   Tor  .545   29.6   5.8   4.4   2.25     .537   24.4   4.8   4.5   1.69
1.55   Gordon Hayward  Uta  .592   26.2   6.4   3.9   2.00     .548   21.2   5.4   3.8   1.40
1.53   John Wall       Was  .541   22.6   4.7   9.8   2.13     .503   19.2   5.0   9.9   1.62
1.48   Isaiah Thomas   Bos  .604   30.8   3.0   6.3   2.25     .551   24.5   3.2   6.9   1.69
1.41   George Hill     Uta  .615   24.8   4.7   5.3   1.94 Ind .549   13.0   4.2   3.8    .79

eW+      per36 rates    tm   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484 '16: Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484
1.40   Anthony Davis   NOP  .564   28.2  11.6   2.1   2.57     .548   23.4  10.6   1.8   2.11
1.33   Harrison Barnes Dal  .538   20.6   5.9   1.5   1.24 GSW .553   13.3   5.6   2.3    .81
1.28   Nick Young      LAL  .606   18.0   3.1   1.3    .80     .478   11.8   3.0   1.0    .20
1.27   Lou Williams    LAL  .574   23.7   3.1   4.0   1.43     .568   17.9   3.0   2.7    .88
1.27   Chris Paul      LAC  .600   22.1   6.5  12.3   2.79     .566   21.9   4.4  11.7   2.24

1.27   Marc Gasol      Mem  .539   21.8   6.7   4.8   1.83     .519   17.4   7.6   3.9   1.40
1.25  DeMarcus Cousins Sac  .547   28.6  11.4   4.4   2.64     .525   25.9  11.7   3.2   2.20
1.19  D'Angelo Russell LAL  .500   18.0   5.3   5.9   1.29     .501   15.5   4.1   3.8    .65
1.18   Eric Bledsoe    Phx  .545   21.9   5.8   6.3   1.75     .547   20.1   4.3   6.1   1.34
1.18   Mike Conley     Mem  .572   23.3   4.4   7.0   1.92     .529   17.5   3.5   6.7   1.37
I'd thought Giannis was uncatchable. Harden's up almost as much in eW/min, and he's played more minutes. This is but an artifact of Houston having played 4 more games -- 10% more, almost -- than Mil.

Most of the improvers were already good last year. Only 2 of 20 are with a new team.
By eWins, 158 players are improved over previous years, while 210 have diminished rates.
67% of 348 returning players are within 1/2 eWin of what they'd have at last years rate

Re: Improved players 2016-17

Posted: Sun Jan 29, 2017 7:17 pm
by kjb
I wrote something for Bullets Forever about Gortat's decline. What I found was that his dip in overall production is mostly about opportunities. His usage is at a career low. In the tracking data, his touches are down and his opportunities are down in every play type that gets tracked, except put-backs. His ortg is ~117 despite poor (for him) free throw shooting. His fg% is 59% so far this year. His steals and blocks are down a bit, but other numbers are consistent with his career norms.

Re: Improved players 2016-17

Posted: Tue Jan 31, 2017 9:40 pm
by rlee
http://hoopshabit.com/2017/01/31/gianni ... unmpo-mip/

Re: Improved players 2016-17

Posted: Wed Feb 08, 2017 9:39 pm
by Mike G
At 5/8 of the season

Code: Select all

eW+   per36 rates  tm   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484  2016 Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484
4.03   J Harden   Hou  .595   28.7   8.4  11.8   2.92      .584   26.3   5.8   7.0   1.95
3.43   Giannis A  Mil  .592   24.6   9.6   5.5   2.39      .554   17.0   8.0   4.0   1.43
3.32  R Westbrook OkC  .530   33.2  11.2  10.2   3.42      .543   24.3   8.5  11.6   2.54
2.38   I Thomas   Bos  .614   32.2   3.0   6.7   2.40      .551   24.5   3.2   6.9   1.69
2.22   G Hayward  Uta  .595   27.4   6.5   3.8   2.09      .548   21.2   5.4   3.8   1.40

2.22   J Butler   Chi  .576   26.1   6.4   4.4   2.15      .550   20.2   5.0   4.3   1.54
2.17   J Parker   Mil  .555   21.0   7.1   3.0   1.49      .528   15.7   6.0   1.8    .88
2.14   M Gasol    Mem  .560   24.2   6.8   4.7   2.00      .519   17.4   7.6   3.9   1.40
2.11   D DeRozan  Tor  .544   30.5   5.7   4.2   2.31      .537   24.4   4.8   4.5   1.69
2.05   J Wall     Was  .534   23.0   4.7  10.1   2.17      .503   19.2   5.0   9.9   1.62

eW+   per36 rates  tm   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484  2016 Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484
2.05   L Williams LAL  .588   25.7   3.3   4.0   1.63      .568   17.9   3.0   2.7    .88
1.98   D Cousins  Sac  .548   29.2  12.3   4.8   2.75      .525   25.9  11.7   3.2   2.20
1.81   G Hill     Uta  .594   23.8   4.4   5.1   1.77  Ind .549   13.0   4.2   3.8    .79
1.80   H Barnes   Dal  .535   20.9   6.0   1.5   1.28  GSW .553   13.3   5.6   2.3    .81
1.75   G Dragic   Mia  .574   23.1   4.3   6.5   1.63      .532   16.1   4.4   6.5   1.07

1.75   E Bledsoe  Phx  .555   23.6   5.7   6.3   1.83      .547   20.1   4.3   6.1   1.34
1.66   M Conley   Mem  .566   23.5   4.3   7.2   1.95      .529   17.5   3.5   6.7   1.37
1.62   A Davis    NOP  .565   28.0  11.9   2.1   2.56      .548   23.4  10.6   1.8   2.11
1.59   B Beal     Was  .585   24.1   3.2   3.8   1.48      .540   19.2   4.0   3.3   1.01
1.57   N Young    LAL  .599   18.4   3.3   1.3    .81      .478   11.8   3.0   1.0    .20
Harden has kept it up, while Giannis has cooled.

Re: Improved players 2016-17

Posted: Wed Feb 08, 2017 10:21 pm
by Mike G
While the numbers are still warm, here are my top 20 in other people's stats; converted into something on the scale of extra wins, averaged:

Code: Select all

xyz+      2017     tm   PER   WS/48   BPM   RPM 2016  PER  WS/48   BPM   RPM
4.01   Giannis A  Mil   26.6   .215   8.4   5.2      18.8   .121   2.4   1.1
3.32   N Young    LAL   15.2   .119    .2   1.2       9.1   .003  -4.8  -5.3
2.67   B Beal     Was   19.6   .151   1.5   2.2      15.5   .076   -.6  -2.2
2.58   M Gasol    Mem   21.9   .176   5.3   3.1      17.7   .098   1.0   1.1
2.39   J Parker   Mil   19.0   .120    .5    .1      14.8   .072  -2.4  -3.2

2.29   J Butler   Chi   25.6   .242   6.5   6.4      21.3   .177   4.0   4.0
1.90   L Williams LAL   23.4   .166   2.1   1.9      17.7   .119    .3  -1.8
1.90   J Harden   Hou   27.5   .250  10.0   5.7      25.3   .204   6.7   4.4
1.84   I Thomas   Bos   27.7   .250   5.9   1.6      21.5   .177   3.0   1.2
1.78   D Cousins  Sac   26.8   .167   6.9   5.6      23.6   .122   2.6   4.8

1.54   J Wall     Was   23.4   .156   4.4   3.8      19.8   .098   3.2   2.7
1.49   A Davis    NOP   27.7   .193   4.1   3.7      25.0   .160   2.2   1.9
1.45   G Hill     Uta   20.7   .207   4.5   3.1      13.2   .118   1.5   1.0
1.40   G Hayward  Uta   23.0   .220   4.9   2.6      18.3   .147   2.5   2.9
.89   M Conley   Mem   21.8   .188   5.0   2.5      19.4   .144   1.7   2.9

.55   G Dragic    Mia   19.6   .142   2.6    .2      15.5   .096    .7   2.1
.41   H Barnes    Dal   17.6   .086  -1.7   -.1      12.3   .116   -.2  -1.3
.40   E Bledsoe   Phx   21.3   .134   3.8   1.4      20.0   .116   2.8   1.7
.31   D DeRozan   Tor   24.9   .172    .9   -.1      21.5   .169   1.4   -.1
.10  R Westbrook  OkC   29.4   .201  14.2   6.5      27.6   .245  10.0   7.9
Note that my #20 is a strong #2 in this listing; and my #3 is dead last among the 20. This suggests a more thorough scan could yield other top candidates.
And then, one could compare to best previous season, rather than just last season.

Re: Improved players 2016-17

Posted: Sun Mar 05, 2017 1:44 pm
by rlee
http://www.espn.com/blog/marc-stein/pos ... ved-ballot

Re: Improved players 2016-17

Posted: Sun Mar 05, 2017 10:15 pm
by Mike G
Thru 75% of the season.

Code: Select all

eW+     per36      tm   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484  1516 Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484
4.39   Harden     Hou  .600   27.9   8.1  11.9   2.88      .584   26.3   5.8   7.0   1.95
3.94   Giannis A  Mil  .596   23.6   9.4   5.5   2.33      .554   17.0   8.0   4.0   1.43
3.86   Westbrook  OkC  .535   32.9  11.3  10.0   3.41  Okl .543   24.3   8.5  11.6   2.54
2.52   Hayward    Uta  .587   26.2   6.1   3.8   2.04      .548   21.2   5.4   3.8   1.40
2.51   I Thomas   Bos  .608   30.8   3.0   6.6   2.30      .551   24.5   3.2   6.9   1.69

2.34   L Williams LAL  .595   25.9   3.3   4.0   1.69      .568   17.9   3.0   2.7    .88
2.27   Dragic     Mia  .574   23.0   4.2   6.3   1.66      .532   16.1   4.4   6.5   1.07
2.27   DeRozan    Tor  .542   29.7   5.8   4.0   2.24      .537   24.4   4.8   4.5   1.69
2.22   G Hill     Uta  .601   23.2   4.0   5.1   1.71  Ind .549   13.0   4.2   3.8    .79
2.18   Wall       Was  .525   21.7   4.7  10.4   2.11      .503   19.2   5.0   9.9   1.62

eW+     per36      tm   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484  1516 Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   e484
2.16   J Parker   Mil  .555   20.4   7.0   3.0   1.48      .528   15.7   6.0   1.8    .88
2.10   J Johnson  Mia  .562   16.4   6.4   4.4   1.20  Tor .524   10.9   4.9   2.8    .54
2.06   M Gasol    Mem  .551   22.5   6.8   4.9   1.89      .519   17.4   7.6   3.9   1.40
2.06   Butler     Chi  .567   24.0   6.1   4.6   2.02      .550   20.2   5.0   4.3   1.54
2.05   Conley     Mem  .581   23.5   4.1   7.0   1.96      .529   17.5   3.5   6.7   1.37

1.99   Beal       Was  .594   23.9   3.2   3.7   1.50      .540   19.2   4.0   3.3   1.01
1.99   Cousins    Sac  .548   28.5  12.1   4.9   2.71      .525   25.9  11.7   3.2   2.20
1.99   H Barnes   Dal  .536   20.5   5.6   1.5   1.25  GSW .553   13.3   5.6   2.3    .81
1.98   Waiters    Mia  .488   17.9   4.2   5.1   1.16  Okl .486   12.1   3.4   2.7    .37
1.93   Bledsoe    Phx  .554   22.6   5.5   6.5   1.80      .547   20.1   4.3   6.1   1.34
Williams and Cousins would rank a bit higher if we include their new venues.

Re: Improved players 2016-17

Posted: Mon Mar 06, 2017 10:31 pm
by Crow
Might be interesting to see usage in the table and get a sense of how much of the improvement was directly because of usage level change vs. everything else.

Re: Improved players 2016-17

Posted: Mon Mar 06, 2017 11:01 pm
by Mike G
Well, you've got scoring rates and effective shooting%. A big Eff% improvement and a smaller Sco uptick suggests no real Usage bump. A big scoring bump with little or no Eff% gain implies it's just Usage that's up.

Rather than have redundant information, I try for the fewest columns of data that will explain the most. Stl, Blk, and TO also matter, but they tend to be lesser quantities.
All times are UTC
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