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2026 MVP Tracker
Posted: Tue Oct 28, 2025 2:05 am
by Mike G
Another way too early to be meaningful thread, but someday you'll understand.
Code: Select all
Prob% M-V-P ! tm PER WS/48 BPM
.390 Luka Doncic Dal 43.4 .435 16.2
.341 V Wembanyama SAS 43.5 .489 16.1
.100 Giannis A Mil 43.0 .425 15.0
.099 Shai G-A OKC 33.1 .321 9.7
.044 Austin Reaves LAL 35.0 .393 11.0
.015 Tyrese Maxey Phl 25.4 .259 6.9
.004 Chet Holmgren OKC 25.4 .274 4.5
.004 Nikola Vucevic Chi 23.1 .264 5.6
.002 LaMelo Ball Cha 28.0 .291 7.8
.001 Stephen Curry GSW 34.2 .281 12.1
Nobody from the Nuggets!?!
Re: 2026 MVP Tracker
Posted: Sat Nov 01, 2025 3:28 pm
by Mike G
Next In Line at bottom
Code: Select all
Prob M!V!P! tm W% PER WS/48 BPM
.481 Wemby SAS 1.00 36.9 .406 13.1
.363 Giannis Mil .80 41.9 .418 15.6
.068 Shai OKC 1.00 29.8 .279 9.2
.036 Maxey Phl .80 25.6 .240 6.7
.022 Jokic Den .60 29.5 .340 12.9
.010 Reaves LAL .67 28.0 .269 6.5
.009 Vucevic Chi 1.00 23.8 .244 6.1
.007 Holmgren OKC 1.00 23.8 .255 5.7
.003 Giddey Chi 1.00 21.0 .162 3.3
.001 K Johnson SAS 1.00 21.2 .301 3.3
Prob M!V!P! tm W% PER WS/48 BPM
--- Doncic LAL .67 38.1 .347 14.0
--- Curry GSW .67 26.1 .222 8.2
--- Markkanen Uta .40 26.8 .261 7.8
--- Sengun Hou .50 24.2 .232 7.4
--- Randle Min .40 25.9 .224 7.0
Keldon Johnson is shooting .740 TS% with 12 pts and 6 reb. in 24 mpg off the bench.
Team Win% is quite a factor right now.
Re: 2026 MVP Tracker
Posted: Sat Nov 01, 2025 4:16 pm
by Crow
Doncic is with LAL.
10-15 names gives clues of possible future candidates but the current season contest is probably between 5-6 guys.
Re: 2026 MVP Tracker
Posted: Sat Nov 01, 2025 4:24 pm
by Mike G
Crow wrote: ↑Sat Nov 01, 2025 4:16 pm
Doncic is with LAL.
What? Nobody tells me anything.
Most of these guys will be long gone once their teams have lost a game or two.
I'm curious why Steph isn't top 10. Same win% and surely better than Reaves; or almost as good.
I just like recording this stuff that will seem like ancient history in a few months.
One or more of the Big Five will likely break something.
Re: 2026 MVP Tracker
Posted: Sat Nov 01, 2025 4:47 pm
by Crow
Wemby seems destined to win one, sooner or later. Doncic probably still is but might be less likely.
Next most likely new guy...
Maxey? I dunno. Sengun likely to compete for it.
Re: 2026 MVP Tracker
Posted: Wed Nov 05, 2025 6:29 pm
by Mike G
The usual suspects...
Code: Select all
Prob player tm W% PER WS/48 BPM
.437 Shai OKC 1.00 31.8 .328 11.1
.300 Jokic Den .67 32.0 .364 15.2
.094 Giannis Mil .63 39.2 .375 13.9
.052 Wemby SAS .83 30.7 .290 8.2
.052 Maxey Phl .71 25.3 .244 7.3
.030 Reaves LAL .75 26.4 .242 6.3
.015 Giddey Chi .86 22.6 .178 4.8
.009 Vucevic Chi .86 23.4 .227 5.4
.006 Hart'stein OKC 1.00 19.1 .222 2.2
.005 Sengun Hou .67 21.9 .214 5.9
other player tm W% PER WS/48 BPM
--- Doncic Dal .29 34.1 .293 11.6
--- Randle Min .57 26.2 .244 7.6
--- Markkanen Uta .43 23.9 .202 5.8
--- Duren Det .71 26.1 .244 3.2
--- Leonard LAC .43 25.2 .183 4.9
"other" = top 10 in BPM or PER
UPDATE one day later:
Code: Select all
Prob MVP tm W% PER WS/48 BPM
.708 Jokic Den .71 34.0 .392 17.1
.145 Shai OKC .89 30.8 .315 10.4
.074 Giannis Mil .63 39.3 .376 14.0
.029 Reaves LAL .78 26.5 .242 6.4
.012 Giddey Chi .86 22.6 .179 5.0
.011 Maxey Phl .63 24.7 .223 6.7
.007 Vucevic Che .86 23.4 .228 5.6
.007 Wemby SAS .71 27.8 .244 6.2
.005 Sengun Hou .71 21.5 .200 5.5
.002 Hart'ein OKC .89 18.6 .211 1.9