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2026 Playoff Summaries
Posted: Thu Apr 23, 2026 3:46 pm
by Mike G
2-game leaders. xyz is a mix of eWins, VORP, and WS. Other available stats are shown.
Code: Select all
xyz Player Pos tm min PER WS WS/48 BPM VORP e480 eWin
.309 Shai G-A PG OKC 67 32.8 .56 .403 9.5 .20 2.57 .36
.303 Cade Cunningham PG Det 78 24.3 .32 .194 8.1 .20 2.74 .44
.299 Donovan Mitchell SG Cle 68 31.4 .43 .302 8.5 .18 2.88 .41
.295 Jayson Tatum PF Bos 71 25.1 .41 .278 8.3 .19 2.64 .39
.290 Jaylen Brown SF Bos 68 27.4 .36 .252 9.9 .21 2.58 .36
.272 James Harden PG Cle 68 27.4 .34 .241 9.3 .20 2.37 .34
.271 Luke Kennard SG LA 80 24.0 .42 .254 6.3 .17 2.05 .34
.269 Jalen Williams SG OKC 52 33.8 .44 .408 13.8 .21 2.47 .27
.268 LeBron James SF LA 78 24.1 .43 .263 5.2 .15 2.40 .39
.256 Evan Mobley PF Cle 66 26.7 .42 .305 7.1 .16 2.41 .33
xyz Player Pos tm min PER WS WS/48 BPM VORP e480 eWin
.252 Robert Williams C Por 40 36.2 .35 .418 20.0 .22 2.90 .24
.251 Nikola Jokić C Den 80 20.6 .22 .132 6.8 .18 2.22 .37
.241 Marcus Smart SG LA 69 23.4 .29 .202 8.2 .18 2.03 .29
.231 Karl-A Towns C NY 66 24.4 .32 .233 7.2 .16 2.11 .29
.220 Josh Hart SF NY 72 18.9 .27 .178 6.2 .15 1.91 .29
.209 Scoot Henderson PG Por 65 23.6 .26 .189 7.6 .16 1.80 .24
.198 VJ Edgecombe SG Phl 69 23.4 .21 .143 8.2 .18 1.48 .21
.192 Luke Kornet C SAS 42 29.9 .31 .358 11.2 .14 2.32 .20
.189 Jalen Brunson PG NY 72 20.8 .20 .135 4.1 .11 2.01 .30
.188 Jamal Murray PG Den 82 19.5 .20 .116 3.4 .12 1.73 .30
xyz Player Pos tm min PER WS WS/48 BPM VORP e480 eWin
.186 Vi. Wembanyama C SAS 45 27.6 .19 .202 8.4 .12 3.03 .28
.183 Alperen Şengün C Hou 71 21.2 .16 .109 5.4 .14 1.76 .26
.183 OG Anunoby PF NY 76 17.0 .31 .198 4.6 .13 1.23 .19
.174 Chet Holmgren PF OKC 57 24.9 .31 .258 5.4 .11 1.75 .21
.172 Collin M-Boyles PF Tor 46 28.8 .23 .239 9.6 .14 1.96 .19
.172 CJ McCollum PG Atl 69 23.7 .11 .075 6.0 .14 1.82 .26
.166 Paolo Banchero PF Orl 71 17.3 .14 .095 4.4 .12 1.70 .25
.161 Do. DiVincenzo SG Min 62 17.4 .20 .154 7.4 .15 1.21 .16
.159 Wendell Carter C Orl 61 17.9 .29 .227 5.9 .12 1.19 .15
.159 Tyrese Maxey PG Phl 76 18.9 .12 .074 4.3 .12 1.49 .24
xyz Player Pos tm min PER WS WS/48 BPM VORP e480 eWin
.159 Anthony Edwards SG Min 78 18.2 .10 .062 3.6 .11 1.71 .28
.159 Royce O'Neale SF Phx 57 20.4 .22 .184 9.9 .17 1.04 .12
.157 Onyeka Okongwu C Atl 67 19.0 .25 .177 4.3 .11 1.28 .18
.156 Ajay Mitchell SG OKC 51 22.5 .31 .288 6.9 .12 1.39 .15
.149 RJ Barrett SF Tor 68 21.7 .18 .126 3.3 .09 1.52 .22
I think at least one player from each team is included here.
Re: 2026 Playoff Summaries
Posted: Sat Apr 25, 2026 3:29 pm
by Mike G
Thru the first 22 playoff games, 20 best individual performances.
GameScore is multiplied by 100/(Opp Pts) to derive GSc2.
"game" (for lack of another term) = (GSc2 + 2*(BPM+5.25)*min/48)/3 -- the BPM component counts twice as much as adjusted GmSc, for now.
Code: Select all
game Player tm opp G GSc2 BPM min TS% Pt Rb As St Bk TO
24.1 Scottie Barnes Tor Cle 3 32.5 22.1 35 .77 33 5 11 1 1 1
22.2 Marcus Smart LAL Hou 2 27.8 21.0 36 .82 25 2 7 5 1 3
21.2 Marcus Smart LAL Hou 3 25.1 18.2 39 .76 21 4 10 5 2 3
20.4 VJ Edgecombe Phl Bos 2 27.6 17.5 35 .75 30 10 2 2 0 2
20.3 OG Anunoby NYK Atl 3 26.0 17.6 37 .76 29 9 1 1 3 0
19.2 Alperen Sengun Hou LAL 3 27.3 10.3 47 .58 33 16 6 3 1 3
19.2 Jrue Holiday Por SAS 3 23.1 15.2 41 .81 29 6 5 4 0 2
19.2 Amen Thompson Hou LAL 3 26.4 10.2 48 .66 26 11 4 3 3 1
19.0 Dylan Harper SAS Por 3 25.2 20.3 30 .92 27 10 3 1 1 1
18.4 RJ Barrett Tor Cle 3 26.3 12.4 39 .75 33 5 5 2 1 2
game Player tm opp G GSc2 BPM min TS% Pt Rb As St Bk TO
18.0 Shai G-A OKC Phx 2 28.5 10.7 38 .64 37 5 9 1 0 3
17.9 Jason Tatum Bos Phl 1 28.0 13.7 32 .64 25 11 7 2 0 1
17.5 Jalen Williams OKC Phx 1 26.8 16.1 29 .69 22 7 6 1 1 1
17.5 Jaylen Brown Bos Phl 2 23.1 13.3 38 .62 36 7 4 1 1 3
16.8 Wendell Carter Orl Det 1 19.8 14.8 37 .94 17 7 5 2 1 0
16.6 CJ McCollum Atl NYK 2 24.2 12.2 35 .64 32 3 6 2 1 2
16.6 James Harden Cle Tor 2 23.6 12.7 35 .76 28 5 4 5 1 5
16.4 Karl-A Towns NYK Atl 3 22.5 13.5 34 .72 21 17 4 2 2 3
16.3 Deni Avdija Por SAS 1 22.6 10.7 40 .64 30 10 5 1 1 2
16.3 Vi. Wembanyama SAS Por 1 24.4 12.6 33 .75 35 5 1 0 2 4
Re: 2026 Playoff Summaries
Posted: Thu Apr 30, 2026 2:51 pm
by Mike G
OKC 4 - 0 Phx
Game-by-game eWins, approximately.
Code: Select all
eWins by game : tm 1 2 3 4
.85 Shai G-A OKC .14 .22 .35 .14
.47 Chet Holmgren OKC .10 .11 .07 .19
.36 Is. Hartenstein OKC .07 .08 .05 .16
.33 Dillon Brooks Phx .05 .08 .12 .08
.29 Jalen Williams OKC .15 .12 .03 .00
.28 Ajay Mitchell OKC .06 .09 .04 .09
.26 Jalen Green Phx .05 .02 .12 .07
.19 Devin Booker Phx .06 .07 .06 .00
.19 Collin Gillespie Phx .02 .04 .07 .06
.14 Alex Caruso OKC .05 .05 .04
.14 Oso Ighodaro Phx .02 .02 .04 .06
.13 Royce O'Neale Phx .02 .10 -.03 .04
.12 Cason Wallace OKC .04 .03 .00 .05
.10 Jaylin Williams OKC (.06) .03 .01
.06 Luguentz Dort OKC .04 .02 .05 -.05
.06 Grayson Allen Phx .00 .06
.03 Jared McCain OKC (.04) -.01
.03 Isaiah Joe OKC .04 .01 -.02 .00
.02 Aaron Wiggins OKC .02 .00
-.03 Khaman Maluach Phx (-.03) -.01 .01
-.05 Ryan Dunn Phx -.01 -.02 -.01 -.01
= may include some earlier minutes.
Is one of these formats better than the other?
Code: Select all
eWin Spurs 1 2 3 4 5 eWin Blazers 1 2 3 4 5
.75 Wemby .23 .05 -.02 .28 .21 .45 Avdija .19 .04 .07 .11 .04
.63 Fox .15 .06 .05 .23 .14 .38 Williams .09 .15 .06 .01 .07
.51 Castle .11 .10 .19 .11 .00 .34 Holiday .04 .07 .19 .06 -.02
.34 Kornet .10 .10 .10 -.01 .05 .22 Clingan .01 .07 .06 .03 .05
.30 Vassell .06 .15 .02 .06 .01 .12 Henderson .06 .18 .00 -.10 -.02
.30 Champagnie .06 .03 .03 .02 .16 .11 Sharpe .01 .03 .01 .05 .01
.29 Harper -.01 -.02 .26 -.05 .11 .08 Grant -.03 -.05 .03 .06 .07
.10 Johnson .00 .01 .02 .05 .02 .03 Thybulle .00 -.02 .01 .01 .03
.10 Bryant (.01) .04 .04 .01 .01 Camar -.02 .09 -.10 .02 .02
-.05 Barnes -.01 -.02 -.01 .00 -.01
Re: 2026 Playoff Summaries
Posted: Sat May 02, 2026 3:33 pm
by Mike G
Code: Select all
. Hou 1 2 3 4 5 6 . LAL 1 2 3 4 5 6
Şengün .08 .18 .22 .17 .13 .05 LeBron .20 .19 .18 -.01 .17 .24
Thompson .09 .08 .18 .18 .09 .08 Smart .06 .23 .23 .02 .00 .12
Eason .12 .02 -.02 .20 .11 .05 Ayton .15 .00 -.03 .12 .16 .10
Smith .07 .05 .07 .13 .15 .00 Rui .04 .04 .09 .05 .01 .16
Sheppard .03 .00 .03 .11 .07 -.02 Kennard .18 .16 .02 -.06 -.02 .01
Durant .07 Reaves .09 .09
Okogie .01 -.01 -.01 .04 .03 .00 Hayes .00 .04 .06 -.03 -.02 .05
Tate .02 -.02 .00 .01 .00 .02 V'bilt .00 .00 .02 .04 .00 .01
Capela -.01 .01 .01 .00 .00 .01 LaRavia .03 -.04 -.02 .00 .01 .03
F-Smith -.02 .01 -.03 Bronny (-.01) .00 .02
Holiday -.03 .00 -.03 .00 -.01 .01
Re: 2026 Playoff Summaries
Posted: Sun May 03, 2026 12:43 pm
by Mike G
Code: Select all
. Bos 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 . Phl 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
Tatum .20 .19 .17 .28 .18 .13 .00 Maxey .06 .18 .15 .05 .20 .24 .28
Brown .14 .22 .15 .11 .07 .01 .21 Embiid .15 .18 .18 .28
Queta .08 .03 .06 .10 .06 .04 .12 George .05 .10 .08 .06 .11 .12 .01
Pritc'd .06 .00 .05 .20 .08 .04 .02 Edgecombe .04 .17 .04 -.06 .02 .09 .10
White .06 -.02 .05 .02 -.06 .00 .13 Grimes .01 .00 .02 .06 .08 -.01 .00
Hauser .08 .03 .02 .01 .01 .00 .01 Drummond .01 .05 .02 -.01 .05 .03 -.01
Garza .03 .02 .02 .04 .03 .05 -.05 Oubre .03 .01 .08 -.06 -.03 .05 -.01
Sch'man .02 .02 .05 .03 -.01 .02 -.02 Barlow .01 -.02 .00 -.01 .01 .00 -.01
Vučević .02 .03 .05 .00 .03 .00 -.02 Bona .0 -.04 .04 -.02 -.01 -.01 .00
Harper .06 .00 Edwards .03 .01 -.04 -.01 -.01 -.01 -.01
Walsh .02 .00 -.01 .01 .02 .02 -.02
total .74 .52 .61 .85 .38 .34 .37 total .26 .48 .39 .15 .62 .66 .63
Re: 2026 Playoff Summaries
Posted: Mon May 04, 2026 9:46 am
by Mike G
Best individual games of the first round:
Code: Select all
xyz Player tm G GmSc BPM min TS% Pt Rb As St Bk TO
28.8 Ayo Dosumnu Min 4 37.1 22.1 42 .97 43 4 1 0 1 1
24.8 Shai G-A OKC 3 38.6 19.5 38 .83 42 4 8 1 0 3
24.0 Scottie Barnes Tor 3 33.8 22.1 35 .77 33 5 11 1 1 1
23.6 OG Anunoby NYK 6 31.0 26.6 27 .90 29 7 2 4 1 0
22.2 Marcus Smart LAL 2 26.1 21.0 36 .82 25 2 7 5 1 3
21.2 Tobias Harris Det 7 28.6 16.8 36 .78 30 9 2 3 1 1
21.1 Marcus Smart LAL 3 27.1 18.2 39 .76 21 4 10 5 2 3
20.7 Jalen Brunson NYK 5 32.4 14.7 35 .74 39 3 8 0 0 1
20.5 Scottie Barnes Tor 6 28.3 12.7 48 .55 25 7 14 3 3 3
20.4 Cade Cunningham Det 5 33.8 11.5 44 .77 45 4 5 1 0 6
xyz. Player tm G GmSc BPM min TS% Pt Rb As St Bk TO
20.3 VJ Edgecombe Phl 2 26.8 17.5 35 .75 30 10 2 2 0 2
20.3 Payton Pritchard Bos 4 28.2 16.7 35 .73 32 4 5 1 0 0
20.2 OG Anunoby NYK 3 28.3 17.6 37 .76 29 9 1 1 3 0
20.2 Vi. Wembanyama SAS 4 28.5 15.9 34 .66 27 12 3 4 7 4
19.3 Nikola Jokic Den 5 30.9 14.3 38 .60 27 12 16 0 2 3
19.2 Alperen Sengun Hou 3 30.6 10.3 47 .58 33 16 6 3 1 3
19.2 Jrue Holiday Por 3 27.7 15.2 41 .81 29 6 5 4 0 2
19.2 Amen Thompson Hou 3 29.6 10.2 48 .66 26 11 4 3 3 1
19.0 De'Aaron Fox SAS 4 25.8 12.9 39 .75 28 6 7 1 2 3
18.9 Dylan Harper SAS 3 27.2 20.3 30 .92 27 10 3 1 1 1
xyz. Player tm G GmSc BPM min TS% Pt Rb As St Bk TO
18.7 Cade Cunningham Det 7 27.1 11.4 40 .71 32 1 12 0 2 4
18.4 Tyrese Maxey Phl 7 27.4 9.6 45 .73 30 11 7 0 0 1
18.4 Jason Tatum Bos 4 25.6 14.4 35 .75 30 7 11 0 0 5
18.4 RJ Barrett Tor 3 27.4 12.4 39 .75 33 5 5 2 1 2
18.2 Paolo Banchero Orl 5 30.9 11.3 41 .62 45 9 7 2 0 6
18.2 Joel Embiid Phl 7 27.3 11.6 39 .55 34 12 6 0 1 1
18.1 Paolo Banchero Orl 4 25.2 13.9 38 .54 25 12 9 3 2 3
17.9 Shai G-A OKC 2 30.5 10.7 38 .64 37 5 9 1 0 3
17.8 Jason Tatum Bos 1 25.5 13.7 32 .64 25 11 7 2 0 1
17.6 Vi. Wembanyama SAS 5 22.4 15.7 34 .88 17 14 3 0 6 1
17.6 Jaden McDaniels Min 6 27.1 8.2 45 .58 32 10 3 2 1 0
xyz = (2/3)*(BPM+5.25)*min/48 + (1/3)GmSc*100/OppPts
Re: 2026 Playoff Summaries
Posted: Mon May 04, 2026 10:37 pm
by Mike G
First round team stats, and correlations to player minutes:
Code: Select all
win PER WS/48 BPM e480 lose PER WS/48 BPM e480
OKC 20.2 .210 3.69 1.38 Phx 13.5 -.008 -0.57 .62
corr .34 .35 .13 .38 corr .54 .28 .34 .70
SAS 17.1 .173 3.07 1.32 Por 12.8 .029 0.06 .68
corr .07 .02 .02 .08 corr .80 .55 .76 .74
win PER WS/48 BPM e480 lose PER WS/48 BPM e480
NYK 18.2 .203 3.31 1.39 Atl 12.6 -.006 -0.97 .61
corr .47 .45 .59 .65 corr .68 .37 .60 .69
Min 15.1 .127 1.97 1.13 Den 13.9 .070 0.81 .87
corr -.11 -.11 -.32 -.21 corr .65 .18 .52 .68
win PER WS/48 BPM e480 lose PER WS/48 BPM e480
LAL 14.7 .120 0.47 1.08 Hou 14.2 .089 -0.15 .92
corr .63 .44 .65 .63 corr .75 .68 .78 .79
Phl 14.8 .083 1.24 .91 Bos 15.5 .121 1.87 1.09
corr .29 .18 .34 .31 corr .30 -.06 .27 .38
win PER WS/48 BPM e480 lose PER WS/48 BPM e480
Det 14.7 .133 2.18 1.15 Orl 13.0 .073 0.92 .85
corr .85 .76 .71 .89 corr .26 .12 .31 .38
Cle 15.6 .123 1.36 1.05 Tor 15.2 .085 1.01 .95
corr .69 .27 .53 .78 corr .49 .31 .54 .56
Most of the very low stat:minutes correlations are due to a team's best player(s) missing some games.
Re: 2026 Playoff Summaries
Posted: Sat May 09, 2026 1:17 am
by Mike G
Leaders thru 2 games of the 2nd round. Teams have played 6-9 games.
Code: Select all
xyzW player tm min PER WS/48 BPM e480 perW WS bpmW eWin
1.56 Karl-A Towns NYK 239 30.8 .387 14.0 3.04 1.41 1.89 1.51 1.51
1.43 Cade Cunningham Det 367 21.4 .169 6.0 2.15 1.33 1.27 1.35 1.64
1.42 OG Anunoby NYK 282 26.3 .338 10.0 2.03 1.36 1.95 1.41 1.20
1.12 Scottie Barnes Tor 273 23.3 .178 8.1 1.97 1.11 .99 1.19 1.12
1.10 Tobias Harris Det 323 19.5 .187 4.0 1.80 1.02 1.24 .97 1.21
1.10 Tyrese Maxey Phl 360 20.2 .103 4.1 1.63 1.20 .76 1.09 1.22
1.09 Evan Mobley Cle 304 20.7 .187 5.7 1.72 1.05 1.16 1.08 1.09
1.08 Jalen Brunson NYK 281 23.4 .230 3.6 2.03 1.15 1.32 .81 1.19
1.06 Shai G-A OKC 206 30.2 .325 8.2 2.31 1.18 1.37 .91 .99
1.04 Jayson Tatum Bos 218 24.4 .216 8.9 2.54 .95 .96 1.01 1.15
xyzW player tm min PER WS/48 BPM e480 perW WS bpmW eWin
1.03 LeBron James LAL 307 20.0 .125 4.2 1.97 1.01 .78 .94 1.26
1.00 Paolo Banchero Orl 273 20.4 .113 6.5 2.08 .92 .63 1.05 1.18
.99 Nikola Jokić Den 237 22.9 .136 8.0 2.29 .94 .66 1.03 1.13
.97 Ausar Thompson Det 286 18.2 .185 6.9 1.41 .82 1.08 1.13 .84
.97 Vi. Wembanyama SAS 178 27.5 .262 9.8 2.93 .91 .95 .88 1.09
.85 Chet Holmgren OKC 184 26.6 .288 5.6 2.41 .90 1.08 .65 .92
.84 Jarrett Allen Cle 249 20.6 .187 4.1 1.65 .85 .95 .76 .86
.79 Paul George Phl 329 16.2 .087 3.9 1.02 .78 .59 .98 .70
.75 Marcus Smart LAL 277 16.2 .104 4.4 1.32 .66 .59 .87 .76
.73 James Harden Cle 331 16.2 .074 1.3 1.22 .78 .50 .70 .84
xyzW player tm min PER WS/48 BPM e480 perW WS bpmW eWin
.72 Jaylen Brown Bos 249 19.0 .082 2.9 1.75 .76 .42 .66 .91
.72 Alperen Şengün Hou 232 20.2 .123 3.1 1.75 .77 .58 .63 .85
.71 Ayo Dosunmu Min 173 22.1 .235 8.2 1.69 .66 .83 .76 .61
.70 Donovan Mitchell Cle 318 16.6 .066 0.4 1.39 .78 .43 .57 .92
.70 Amen Thompson Hou 264 18.1 .140 2.3 1.28 .75 .76 .64 .71
.68 Joel Embiid Phl 171 24.2 .126 5.8 2.35 .74 .44 .62 .84
.67 Stephon Castle SAS 216 18.4 .188 2.0 1.74 .63 .83 .50 .78
.67 Jul. Champagnie SAS 196 17.6 .237 7.2 1.13 .53 .95 .80 .46
.67 Is. Hartenstein OKC 146 25.9 .346 5.9 1.99 .69 1.03 .53 .60
.66 Collin M-Boyles Tor 191 23.5 .192 5.6 1.33 .79 .75 .67 .53
Re: 2026 Playoff Summaries
Posted: Mon May 11, 2026 3:32 pm
by Mike G
Series overall strength = total/avg BPM of participants.
Round 1:
Code: Select all
tBPM win BPM BPM lose W-L
1.57 SAS 3.07 0.06 Por 4-1
1.56 OKC 3.69 -0.57 Phx 4-0
1.56 Phl 1.24 1.87 Bos 4-3
1.55 Det 2.18 0.92 Orl 4-3
1.39 Min 1.97 0.81 Den 4-2
1.19 Cle 1.36 1.01 Tor 4-3
1.17 NYK 3.31 -0.97 Atl 4-2
0.16 LAL 0.47 -0.15 Hou 4-2
rd 2 thus far:
Code: Select all
tBPM win BPM BPM lose W-L
1.98 Det 2.46 1.49 Cle 2-1
1.38 OKC 3.82 -1.06 LAL 3-0
1.37 SAS 2.45 0.29 Min 2-2
1.07 NYK 3.81 -1.67 Phl 4-0
Pistons and Cavs both look better in this round.
Spurs and Wolves (esp.) both look worse.
Re: 2026 Playoff Summaries
Posted: Fri May 15, 2026 12:37 am
by Mike G
Game eWins.
Cavs-Pistons thru 5 games:
Code: Select all
Det eW: 1 2 3 4 5 Cle eW: 1 2 3 4 5
Cade .10 .15 .13 .01 .18 Mitchell .07 .17 .21 .23 .03
Harris .09 .14 .05 .12 .02 Mobley .10 .04 .10 .16 .14
Ausar .10 .10 .07 -.02 .05 Harden .11 -.03 .12 .17 .16
Reed .19 .07 Allen -.02 .16 .11 .03 .11
D Rob .10 .13 .07 -.04 -.01 Strus .10 -.03 .01 .01 .13
Duren .10 .01 .04 -.01 .06 Schröder .01 -.01 .06 .02 .00
LeVert .03 .01 .16 -.01 Ellis .02 .01 .00 .00 .00
Jenkins .09 .08 -.03 -.01 .06 Tyson -.01 .01 .01 .01 -.01
Stewart .03 -.01 .00 .02 .05 Wade .00 .04 -.04 -.03 .01
Holland .03 .00 .01 .00 .00
.total .64 .64 .42 .36 .44 . total .36 .36 .58 .64 .56
Spurs-Wolves:
Code: Select all
Min eW: 1 2 3 4 5 SAS eW: 1 2 3 4 5
Edwards .12 -.05 .20 .20 .01 Wemby .10 .23 .37 .02 .29
Reid .07 .02 .11 .09 .02 Castle .14 .13 .04 .10 .14
Gobert .09 -.04 .10 .13 .00 Harper .10 .08 .02 .17 .10
McDa'ls .05 .06 .03 .00 .04 Fox -.04 .10 .05 .12 .10
Dosunmu .02 .12 Vassell .09 .06 .05 .06 .02
Conley .12 -.03 -.01 .05 .01 Champ'e .07 .09 .07 .06 -.02
Randle .04 .02 .00 -.01 .05 Johnson .01 .05 .04 -.01 .12
Clark .01 -.02 .03 -.04 .00 Kornet -.02 .06 -.01 .05 -.01
Hyland .01 -.02 .00 .00 -.02 Barnes .02 .03 -.01 -.01 .00
Shannon .03 .02 -.04 .00 -.05 Bryant -.02 .01 -.06 .02
.total .53 .07 .37 .51 .18 . total .47 .93 .63 .49 .82
Re: 2026 Playoff Summaries
Posted: Sat May 16, 2026 11:02 pm
by Mike G
Conference Finals pre-previews, team BPM in rounds 1 and 2:
Code: Select all
OKC SAS
vs Phx 3.69 vs Por 3.07
vs LAL 3.46 vs Min 3.20
NYK Det Cle
vs Atl 3.25 vs Orl 2.18 vs Tor 1.36
vs Phl 3.81 (vs Cle 2.36) (vs Det 1.61)
Det-Cle are 3-3.
Knicks have been 5-6 ppg better than Pistons and 8-9 over Cavs.
Spurs are closing the gap on Thunder, but J Dub may be back and close to full speed. Then, too, Wemby may not miss games.
Re: 2026 Playoff Summaries
Posted: Sat May 16, 2026 11:10 pm
by Crow
IF Thunder lose, it will be heavily "because" of some combination of about 7 Thunder names and probably 3-5 Spurs. Will try to sort that out, if it happens.
Re: 2026 Playoff Summaries
Posted: Mon May 18, 2026 4:06 pm
by Mike G
2nd round top players. PER and BPM converted to Wins and all scaled to total 21 (4+4+6+7).
These are averaged and divided by team games played for xyzWins per game. No-shows are zeroes.
An avg player has to go every minute to avg .100 xyz/G
Code: Select all
xyz/G player tm min PER WS/48 BPM e480 pW WS bW eW
.164 Karl-A Towns NY 94 32.1 .442 16.4 3.27 .58 .83 .63 .64
.162 Jalen Brunson NY 138 27.5 .330 6.5 2.26 .69 .91 .50 .65
.155 Ajay Mitchell OKC 121 29.3 .327 8.1 2.55 .66 .79 .49 .64
.154 Chet Holmgren OKC 130 27.3 .299 6.8 2.43 .65 .78 .48 .66
.141 Vi. Wembanyama SA 176 25.7 .246 7.0 2.86 .80 .87 .66 1.05
.132 Mikal Bridges NY 129 23.6 .301 7.7 1.58 .53 .78 .51 .42
.130 Evan Mobley Cle 260 19.5 .165 7.4 1.65 .80 .85 1.01 .89
.123 Stephon Castle SA 186 22.0 .267 5.0 2.04 .68 .99 .59 .79
.120 Do. Mitchell Cle 258 21.0 .149 3.1 1.91 .89 .77 .66 1.02
.101 Rui Hachimura LA 157 17.5 .114 6.1 .88 .41 .36 .55 .29
xyz/G player tm min PER WS/48 BPM e480 pW WS bW eW
.101 LeBron James LA 152 18.9 .048 3.8 1.55 .44 .14 .42 .49
.099 Shai G-A OKC 136 20.7 .146 0.9 1.76 .46 .40 .26 .50
.098 Jarrett Allen Cle 204 21.9 .211 4.2 1.55 .75 .86 .59 .66
.096 Is. Hartenstein OKC 110 20.5 .237 5.0 1.61 .37 .52 .35 .37
.090 Dylan Harper SA 150 21.6 .252 5.2 1.61 .54 .75 .48 .50
.085 Jul. Champagnie SA 167 16.8 .244 5.2 1.10 .41 .81 .54 .38
.080 James Harden Cle 265 14.9 .070 1.2 1.27 .52 .37 .53 .70
.077 Duncan Robinson Det 171 18.1 .187 8.4 1.00 .47 .64 .71 .35
.074 Naz Reid Min 175 16.8 .126 4.7 1.00 .42 .44 .54 .36
.071 Josh Hart NY 139 13.1 .129 1.0 1.01 .21 .36 .27 .29
xyz/G player tm min PER WS/48 BPM e480 pW WS bW eW
.070 Cade Cunningham Det 289 14.2 .027 0.2 1.08 .52 .15 .48 .65
.069 OG Anunoby NY 68 23.8 .282 7.8 1.60 .28 .38 .27 .23
.067 Devin Vassell SA 188 13.2 .162 2.1 .83 .29 .61 .42 .32
.066 De'Aaron Fox SA 189 14.6 .120 -0.6 1.31 .36 .45 .27 .52
.066 Anthony Edwards Min 205 15.6 .018 1.8 1.12 .44 .07 .45 .48
.065 Kelly Oubre Phl 128 17.4 .068 2.2 .87 .33 .17 .29 .23
.065 Ausar Thompson Det 198 15.2 .108 3.2 1.03 .41 .43 .51 .42
.061 Jared McCain OKC 58 25.8 .291 8.9 1.50 .27 .34 .25 .18
.057 Tobias Harris Det 237 13.4 .076 -0.2 .93 .38 .36 .37 .46
.056 Paul Reed Det 65 37.0 .306 11.7 3.02 .48 .40 .34 .41
Games: Det and Cle 7; SA and Min 6; LA, OKC, NY, Phl: 4
Re: 2026 Playoff Summaries
Posted: Tue May 19, 2026 10:42 am
by Mike G
Best single games of round 2
Code: Select all
game G Player tm tm opp opp GmSc PM min TS% Pt Rb As St Bk TO
24.9 3 Wemby SAS 115 108 Min 37.9 20.5 37 .838 39 15 1 1 5 1
19.7 4 Harden Cle 112 103 Det 25.6 16.7 37 .668 24 0 11 3 1 2
19.6 4 Mitchell Cle 112 103 Det 32.1 12.9 37 .660 43 5 2 1 0 1
18.6 7 Mobley Cle 125 94 Det 24.4 14.8 36 .708 21 12 6 2 2 2
18.4 6 Castle SAS 139 109 Min 30.7 16.6 30 .858 32 11 6 0 0 2
18.1 1 Brunson NYK 137 98 Phl 30.6 12.9 31 .813 35 1 3 2 0 1
17.5 5 Wemby SAS 126 97 Min 25.7 13.9 33 .625 27 17 5 0 3 4
Re: 2026 Playoff Summaries
Posted: Tue May 19, 2026 4:07 pm
by Mike G
MVP Contenders seem to not be doing so well in the postseason so far.
Eight players received at least one vote, Luka and Kawhi did not make the playoffs, and 4 others made the b-r.com top 10 mvp-likely list.
Regular season rates on the left, playoffs on the right:
Code: Select all
mvp? vPts PER WS/48 BPM G PER WS/48 BPM
Shai 939 30.8 .323 11.7 9 26.2 .246 6.1
Jokic 634 32.3 .316 14.2 6 22.7 .133 8.0
Wemby 569 29.9 .257 10.7 11 29.3 .298 10.1
Cade 117 21.6 .174 6.3 14 18.2 .098 3.4
J Brown 89 22.0 .135 3.3 7 18.5 .078 2.9
Mitchell 1 22.9 .169 5.1 14 18.4 .110 1.2
Duren 0 26.1 .266 5.0 14 13.8 .094 -1.7
Murray 0 21.8 .173 4.1 6 14.7 .009 -0.8
Durant 0 21.1 .180 4.5 1 13.8 .005 -1.7
Holmgren 0 21.6 .219 4.2 9 23.4 .243 4.9
averages 25.0 .221 6.9 avg 19.9 .131 3.2
We expect dropoff in PER and WS rates, but the BPM drops are nearly universal also.
Perhaps fatigue is hitting the biggest the hardest? Additional minutes should also create more WS and VORP, all else being equal.
Per game WS and VORP, RS and PO:
Code: Select all
mvp? G WS/G vorp/G G WS/G vorp/G
Shai 68 .22 .115 9 .19 .075
Jokic 65 .23 .142 6 .11 .099
Wemby 64 .16 .094 11 .19 .093
Cade 64 .12 .072 14 .08 .056
J Brown 71 .10 .046 7 .06 .044
Mitchell 70 .12 .060 14 .08 .029
Duren 70 .16 .050 14 .06 .002
Murray 75 .13 .055 6 .01 .012
Durant 78 .14 .060 1 .00 .003
Holmgren 69 .13 .045 9 .16 .056
averages .150 .074 avg .095 .047
weighted by PO games avg 91 .105 .048
Weighting by games played so Durant's case does not deform the curve as much as those Pistons, say.
The difference is not much.