APBRmetrics

Posted: **Thu Jun 18, 2026 4:47 pm**

The season is 1/3 completed.

e44   per36 rates     tm   Min   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e404
8.6   A'ja Wilson    LVA   479  .607   32.6   9.9   3.3   1.5   3.0  2.5   2.47
6.9  Breanna Stewart NYL   491  .558   24.5   9.8   3.3   1.6   2.5  1.5   1.92
6.7   Olivia Miles   Min   451  .661   29.1   5.9   7.0   1.4   4.0   .7   2.05
6.4  Jessica Shepard Dal   476  .604   17.9  13.1   6.3    .8   1.7   .0   1.83
6.2  Natasha Howard  Min   429  .635   27.7   9.3   3.8   1.9   4.2   .9   1.97

5.9   Caitlin Clark  Ind   410  .546   24.7   5.5   9.9   1.1   5.3   .9   1.84
5.8   Aliyah Boston  Ind   342  .592   25.9  12.4   4.0   1.8   3.8  1.7   2.18
5.7   Rhyne Howard   Atl   419  .579   22.3   4.0   3.8   2.8   1.6   .9   1.62
5.6   Angel Reese    Atl   398  .488   18.0  15.2   3.9   1.5   4.5  1.1   1.68
5.4  Veronica Burton GSV   442  .524   17.8   4.6   7.2   1.3   2.1  1.0   1.55

e44    11-20          tm   Min   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e404
5.3  Paige Bueckers  Dal   449  .598   24.0   4.1   6.7    .6   2.2   .4   1.62
5.3  Gabby Williams  GSV   401  .534   23.1   5.2   3.5   2.5   2.3   .3   1.69
5.3   Co. Williams   Min   449  .549   23.1   6.2   5.1   1.2   2.4   .4   1.61
5.2   Allisha Gray   Atl   433  .573   24.1   4.2   2.6   1.2   1.6   .4   1.43
5.1   Jonquel Jones  NYL   404  .609   21.0  11.5   3.9   1.0   2.9  1.6   1.74

4.7   Alyssa Thomas  Phx   505  .529   15.5   7.8   9.2   1.5   4.0   .2   1.37
4.7   Kelsey Plum    LAS   378  .656   28.7   2.3   6.3   1.3   3.5   .0   1.72
4.6  Brittney Sykes  Tor   477  .538   22.2   4.3   3.9   1.4   2.7   .5   1.33
4.5   Dearica Hamby  LAS   438  .583   17.4  10.2   2.7   1.7   1.9   .4   1.41
4.5  Nneka Ogwumike  LAS   450  .600   17.6  10.3   2.3   1.2   1.6   .5   1.37

e44    21-30          tm   Min   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e404
4.4  Kelsey Mitchell Ind   453  .575   25.1   1.7   3.1   1.1   2.3   .1   1.24
4.3   Jackie Young   LVA   478  .509   17.1   5.0   7.4   1.1   2.5   .5   1.24
4.2   Marina Mabrey  Tor   419  .564   23.2   4.2   4.7   1.5   3.6   .6   1.38
4.2   Jordin Canada  Atl   391  .545   14.1   4.5   9.0   2.2   2.8   .1   1.28
4.2   Sonia Citron   Was   403  .620   21.2   4.3   3.6   1.6   2.5   .6   1.23

4.1  Shakira Austin  Was   348  .539   19.0  11.1   3.8   1.1   4.4  1.7   1.39
4.1   Natasha Mack   Phx   408  .679   15.6  12.0   2.2   1.2   1.2  2.1   1.45
4.1   Kayla McBride  Min   453  .546   19.4   5.0   3.2   1.8   1.6   .2   1.23
4.0  Janelle Salaün  GSV   362  .569   21.0   6.1   2.0   1.1   1.2   .2   1.43
4.0  Kamilla Cardoso Chi   374  .562   16.9  10.2   3.4    .5   2.2  2.3   1.36

e44    31-40          tm   Min   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e404
3.9 Natisha Hiedeman Sea   441  .561   21.5   3.2   5.8   1.2   3.0   .2   1.29
3.9   Kiki Iriafen   Was   257  .589   22.6  13.3   2.3   1.1   2.3   .6   1.80
3.7  Pauline Astier  NYL   383  .645   19.1   5.0   6.2    .9   2.2   .4   1.33
3.6  Skylar Diggins  Chi   390  .511   18.5   3.8   5.3   1.2   1.9   .8   1.19
3.6   NaLyssa Smith  LVA   356  .657   20.7  10.1   1.3    .6   1.5   .8   1.38

3.6 Arike Ogunbowale Dal   444  .507   19.5   3.8   3.9   1.1   1.9   .1   1.10
3.4   Nia Coffey     Min   399  .623   14.3   8.0   3.0   1.3   1.2  1.8   1.17
3.3  Aneesah Morrow  Con   353  .461   15.2  15.1   1.9   1.2   2.7   .7   1.36
3.1 Bridget Carleton Por   468  .570   17.5   4.3   2.1   2.3   1.7   .5   1.04
3.1  Marine Johannes NYL   382  .637   18.8   4.0   4.9   1.5   2.8   .2   1.12

EDIT: Expansion team players are now listed with their actual teams, and the list is expanded to 40.
Likely there will be more wrinkles to work out.

The final column is equivalent wins per 404 minutes, and 1.00 is average.
eWins are e404*minutes/404, and this is multiplied by 44/(games played by team thus far) -- e44, or projected season eWins assuming the player plays/misses the same minutes the rest of the way.

Posted: **Thu Jun 18, 2026 5:57 pm**

5 on list for Vegas, 4 for Minnesota. 4 for Atlanta, 3 for Indiana. 3 for Golden State. Nearly 2/3rds for 5 teams. Top 7 records all have 2+. I think 5 with none. Proportional would be 2.

Posted: **Sat Jun 20, 2026 2:33 am**

Yeah thanks for drawing attention to this. See the edit and revised list above.

Posted: **Thu Jul 09, 2026 11:08 pm**

Caitlin Clark:

6th best on team by ws/40.

9th best on raw team +/- on court, 10th on / off at -9. Mildly negative with Boston, moderately negative with Cunningham.

Below league average fg% from 2 and 3.

2nd in league on usage rate. 5th on points, 1st on assists per game.

Posted: **Sat Jul 11, 2026 10:20 pm**

Just 11 WNBA players in league history average even 60% as many assists as C Clark. None of them approach her scoring average.

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career per game:  Pts   Reb   Ast    T
Caitlin Clark    19.2   5.2   8.5   32.9
Co. Vandersloot  10.0   3.2   6.6   19.8
Sabrina Ionescu  16.5   5.4   5.9   27.7
Ticha Penicheiro  6.1   3.3   5.7   15.1
Sue Bird         11.7   2.5   5.6   19.8
Te. Weatherspoon  5.0   3.1   5.3   13.4
Skylar Diggins   16.3   2.9   5.3   24.5
Natasha Cloud     8.8   3.3   5.2   17.3
Alyssa Thomas    12.6   7.6   5.2   25.4
Chelsea Gray     12.0   3.2   5.2   20.4
Jordin Canada     9.4   2.6   5.1   17.1
Dawn Staley       8.5   2.0   5.1   15.6
11avg            10.6   3.6   5.5   
%CC               .55   .68   .65

T is just the sum of other 3 columns.
Dominating the passers in Pts and Ast. Only Alyssa Thomas is notably stronger rebounder.

WNBA games are 40 minutes. Multiply her averages by 48/40, and these NBA players could be considered equivalent vs the competition. Here the 11 top Assist averages are within 80% of Clark's rate.

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@48 min  NBA      Pts   Reb   Ast    T
Caitlin *48/40   23.0   6.3  10.1   39.4
Magic Johnson    19.5   7.2  11.2   37.9
John Stockton    13.1   2.7  10.5   26.3
Trae Young       25.1   3.4   9.8   38.3
Oscar Robertson  25.7   7.5   9.6   42.8
Isiah Thomas     19.2   3.6   9.3   32.1
Chris Paul       16.8   4.4   9.2   30.4
Kevin Johnson    17.9   3.3   9.1   30.3
John Wall        18.7   4.2   8.9   31.8
Jason Kidd       12.6   6.3   8.7   27.6
Steve Nash       14.3   3.0   8.5   25.8
Norm Nixon       15.7   2.6   8.3   26.6
11avg            18.1   4.4   9.4   
%CC               .78   .70   .92

No attempt has been made to adjust for statistical 'inflation' in various eras of either league. Trae, Magic and Oscar playing in high-scoring eras; and no others especially close across the board.

Clark critics rightly point to her high turnover rate as a statistical area needing improvement.
Points, Rebounds, and Assists all arise from (or lead to) opportunities to get a turnover.
Looking at players with lots of these "opps", using this crude formula:
opps = FGA + .44*FTA + Reb + Ast
A'ja Wilson leads the league with 631 opps, and 36 players have at least 300 (roughly half of A'ja).

My best predictor of player turnovers resulting from Pts, Reb, and Ast (in 2026 WNBA) is:
TO? = .050*Pts + .052*Reb + .323*Ast
From this, A'ja would be expected to have 51 turnovers; and she has 51.

[This study was done a week or so ago, so players may have a couple more games in them; sorry about that.]

Here are the 10 most excessively turnover-prone players among those top 36 opportunists:

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Player            tm  Po   Pts   Reb  Ast   TO?  TO   TO+  TO/?
Angel Reese      Atl   F   282   221   47   41   67   26   1.65
Shakira Austin   Was   C   221   156   49   35   56   21   1.60
Kahleah Copper   Phx  GF   381    69   33   33   47   14   1.42
Natasha Howard   Min   F   336   155   55   43   59   16   1.39
Aliyah Boston    Ind  CF   306   154   53   40   52   12   1.29

Marina Mabrey    Tor   G   382    63   65   43   54   11   1.25
Flau'jae Johnson Sea   G   257   109   54   36   44    8   1.23
Aneesah Morrow   Con   F   176   158   25   25   30    5   1.20
Caitlin Clark    Ind   G   360    68  139   66   79   13   1.19
Olivia Miles     Min   G   356    91  108   57   66    9   1.15

TO? is TO expected by the formula shown.
TO+ is TO in excess of expected (TO - TO?)
Final column is ratio of TO/TO?

Here are those least apt to commit a TO while being productive:

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Player            tm   Pos  Pts  Reb  Ast   TO?  TO   TO+  TO/?
Jessica Shepard   Dal   F   271  219  102   58   32   -26   .55
Rhyne Howard      Atl   G   335   70   58   39   25   -14   .64
Paige Bueckers    Dal   G   358   68  107   56   36   -20   .64
Jackie Young      LVA   G   314   88  129   62   40   -22   .65
Veronica Burton   GSV   G   243   71  108   51   34   -17   .67

Skylar Diggins    Chi   G   250   59   89   44   30   -14   .68
Janelle Salaün    GSV   F   249   83   23   24   17   - 7   .71
Nneka Ogwumike    LAS   F   275  145   39   34   24   -10   .71
Courtney Williams Min   G   301  101   77   45   34   -11   .75
Kayla McBride     Min   G   278   75   49   34   27   - 7   .81

At first glance, it looks like those in the upper list are younger than those in the lower one; with exceptions.
EDIT: The top 10 in excess turnovers avg 25.9 years old; for the bottom 10, it's 27.8
Top 2 rebounders are best and worst in the league at taking care of the ball.

APBRmetrics

WNBA 2026 eWins etc.

WNBA 2026 eWins etc.

Re: WNBA 2026 eWins etc.

Re: WNBA 2026 eWins etc.

Re: WNBA 2026 eWins etc.

Re: WNBA 2026 eWins etc.