APBRmetrics

I just posted my season by season career projections of 291 players that my model projects at some point as being better than "replacement player" - based solely on 3 years of weighted NBA ratings broken down into 14 subsets and projected onward as the player ages. I'll be doing much more with this - it is the base for my draft model (after projecting college to NBA, I can properly project the NBA career based on age and player type).

http://hoopsnerd.com/?p=590

Please check it out, and let me know all that I really need to touch on when I sit down and fully try to explain the methodology to my readers. In the next couple weeks I'll project all past seasons, and show all the pertinent results (standard deviations overall and across the statistical spectrum & such).

Briefly looked at the 2015 rankings again. Have you done a thorough comparison of performance to date vs projection or will you at season end? That, I think, could be interesting and helpful.

3 players stood as notable cases to me- K Thompson projected 131, Steven Adams 267 and K Walker 34.
That might sound like gotcha but I am actually curious about the projections and wondering if there is something that can be learned / shared about why their performance was gone the way is has gone, so far.

Josh Smith at about 110 this season. Were does he rated on your ratings right now? What do you think he does in Houston?

Terrence Jones projected 32nd best next season. What does he get paid? Stays with Rockeys or moves on?