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2016 Western Playoffs rounds 2-3

Posted: Sun May 01, 2016 12:27 pm
by Mike G
Spurs 1, Thunder 0
124-92
Pythagorean wins .98 - .02, eWins .74 - .26

Code: Select all

eWins   per36 rates   tm   Min   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast  Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.19 LaMarcus Aldridge SAS   29  .809   55.8   7.7   1.1   .0   2.9  2.5   3.20
.16   Kawhi Leonard   SAS   21  .833   54.0   9.0   7.8   .0   2.0   .0   3.56
.10   Danny Green     SAS   26  1.20   31.9   5.8   1.2  1.4   1.6  4.3   1.92
.07   Kevin Durant    OKC   33  .471   14.1  10.3   4.6   .0   1.1   .0    .97
.06 Russell Westbrook OKC   29  .333   13.2   2.9   8.0  2.5   2.5   .0    .94

.05   Manu Ginobili   SAS   11  .857   25.2   3.4  14.8   .0    .0   .0   2.18
.05   Tony Parker     SAS   27  .333    2.6   5.5  14.3   .0    .0   .0    .88
.05  Boban Marjanovic SAS    8  .667   22.1  23.9   8.2   .0   5.4  9.4   2.87
.05   Steven Adams    OKC   25  .563   10.7  17.2    .0   .0   1.5  1.5    .88
.04   Serge Ibaka     OKC   29  .633   19.4   2.9    .0  1.3    .0   .0    .72

eWins   per36 rates   tm   Min   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast  Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.04   Boris Diaw      SAS   18  .750   14.3   8.2   7.1   .0   2.3   .0    .99
.04   Dion Waiters    OKC   16  .579   21.9   5.3   1.6  4.6   4.6   .0   1.10
.03   Tim Duncan      SAS   21  .444   13.6   3.6   3.1   .0  -2.0  1.8    .78
.03   Kyle Anderson   SAS   24  .200    2.4  10.7   2.6  3.0    .0  1.5    .61
.03   Randy Foye      OKC   10  .625   16.0  13.0   5.2   .0    .0   .0   1.46

.02   David West      SAS   19  .500    9.8   5.8   3.4   .0    .0  1.9    .55
.02   Anthony Morrow  OKC    5  1.25   36.8    .0    .0   .0    .0   .0   1.52
.01   Patrick Mills   SAS   10  .273   10.4   3.8   6.5  3.7   4.3   .0    .71
.01   Nazr Mohammed   OKC    4  1.00   17.6  11.3    .0   .0    .0  9.7   1.63
.01   Andre Miller    SAS   11  .833   18.8   3.4    .0   .0    .0   .0    .53

eWins   per36 rates   tm   Min   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast  Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.01   Enes Kanter     OKC   19  .375    8.4   8.9    .0   .0   1.9   .0    .14
.00   Nick Collison   OKC   19  1.00    3.5   6.7    .0  1.9    .0   .0   -.03
-.01  Cameron Payne   OKC   18  .250    4.3   2.4   7.1   .0   4.1   .0   -.15
-.01  Kevin Martin    SAS   14  .143    4.0    .0   2.3  2.6   3.0   .0   -.36
-.02  Kyle Singler    OKC   12  .000     .0   3.6    .0   .0    .0   .0   -.64
-.03  Andre Roberson  OKC   19  .000     .0   2.3    .0   .0   2.0   .0   -.82
shooting: SA .660 - .482 OKC
rebounds: SA 43 - 38 OKC
turnovers: SA 8 - 10 OKC

Note: Duncan had 7 TO in round 1, and now he has 6.
Apparently, one of the 2 he was charged with in game 4 has been expunged.

Re: 2016 playoffs round 2

Posted: Mon May 02, 2016 11:58 am
by Mike G
Warriors 1, Blazers 0
118-106
Pyth wins .81 - .19, eWins .65 - .35

Code: Select all

eWins   per36 rates   tm   min   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.22   Draymond Green  GSW   37  .622   24.6  12.8  10.2   1.0   2.0  2.0   2.86
.21   Klay Thompson   GSW   37  .627   38.6   4.9   4.7   2.0   2.0   .0   2.69
.10   Damian Lillard  Por   42  .484   21.4    .0   3.3   3.5    .9   .0   1.17
.10   Andrew Bogut    GSW   24  .625   14.8  18.1    .0   3.0   1.5  4.5   1.97
.06   Ed Davis        Por   19  .846   22.4  10.5   4.0    .0    .0   .0   1.63

.06  Shaun Livingston GSW   28  .545   15.4   5.2   7.5    .0   1.3   .0   1.06
.05   Allen Crabbe    Por   34  .714   15.3   4.4   2.3   1.0    .0   .0    .78
.04   Mason Plumlee   Por   25  .063     .3  16.1   7.0    .0   2.9  2.9    .84
.04  Anderson Varejao GSW    7  .667   19.6   8.9   4.3   4.5    .0  8.9   2.86
.04   Al-Farouq Aminu Por   26  .577   19.1   4.8   1.1    .0   4.2  2.8    .71

eWins   per36 rates   tm   min   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.03   Harrison Barnes GSW   38  .625    9.7  11.5    .0   1.9   2.9   .0    .40
.02  Gerald Henderson Por   16  .833   12.7   5.3   4.7    .0   4.1  2.1    .54
.01 Marreese Speights GSW    8  .429   20.3   3.9   3.9    .0   3.9   .0    .59
.00   Andre Iguodala  GSW   29  .600    7.2   4.8   3.4    .0   1.2   .0    .08
.00   C.J. McCollum   Por   40  .333    6.4   2.3   2.2    .9    .0   .9    .05

.00   Brian Roberts   Por    7  1.00   11.4    .0   3.4    .0    .0   .0    .19
.00   Leandro Barbosa GSW   14  .600   13.8   2.3    .0    .0   2.3   .0   -.15
.00  Maurice Harkless Por   29  .370    8.1   3.2   1.0   1.3   1.3   .0   -.08
-.01  Ian Clark       GSW    8  .286    8.6    .0    .0    .0    .0   .0   -.35
-.01  Brandon Rush    GSW    8  .000     .0   3.9    .0    .0    .0   .0   -.70
shooting: GS .573 - .493 Por
rebounds: GS 55 - 40 Por
turnovers: Por 9 - 12 GS

Re: 2016 playoffs round 2

Posted: Tue May 03, 2016 9:48 am
by Mike G
Spurs 1, Thunder 1
avg score 110.5 - 95.0
Pyth wins 1.76 - .24, eWins 1.38 - .62

Code: Select all

eWins   per36 rates   tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.57 LaMarcus Aldridge SAS   36  .798   54.9   7.3   2.0    .0   1.0  2.0   3.79
.26   Kawhi Leonard   SAS   29  .574   28.3   7.9   5.8   1.3   1.9  1.3   2.16
.23 Russell Westbrook OKC   34  .430   18.8   5.3  10.1   2.2   2.7   .5   1.67
.19   Kevin Durant    OKC   38  .571   21.2   7.9   4.3    .0   2.9   .5   1.24
.15   Steven Adams    OKC   32  .700   12.8  17.0    .0    .6   1.7  1.1   1.13

.14   Danny Green     SAS   31  .730   19.1   3.6   1.3   2.9   1.2  1.7   1.09
.13   Manu Ginobili   SAS   17  .739   25.2   4.3   7.0   2.1   2.1  1.0   1.85
.11   Tony Parker     SAS   27  .360    5.0   3.5  14.5    .7    .7   .0   1.02
.08   Serge Ibaka     OKC   31  .620   15.2   4.5    .5   1.2    .6  1.1    .61
.06   Enes Kanter     OKC   19  .529   15.1  11.9    .0    .0   3.6  2.6    .80

eWins   per36 rates   tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.05   Boris Diaw      SAS   14  .667   12.9   5.2   7.2    .0   1.3   .0    .88
.05  Boban Marjanovic SAS    6  .667   15.4  19.9   6.3    .0   5.5  5.5   1.94
.04   David West      SAS   15  .423   10.6   7.0   2.7   1.1   1.1  2.3    .66
.04   Randy Foye      OKC    5  .625   17.4  11.0   6.2    .0    .0   .0   1.70
.02   Tim Duncan      SAS   25  .294    4.6   8.4   3.6    .0    .7   .7    .24

.01   Kyle Anderson   SAS   15  .200    1.0   8.5   2.7   2.4    .0  1.2    .23
.01   Andre Miller    SAS    6  .833   19.2   3.2    .0    .0    .0   .0    .60
.00   Patrick Mills   SAS   16  .276    5.4   3.3   5.1   1.1   2.1   .0    .03
-.00  Nick Collison   OKC   10  1.00    4.3   6.0    .0   1.8    .0   .0   -.11
-.01  Anthony Morrow  OKC   10  .700   11.3    .0    .0    .0    .0   .0   -.13

eWins   per36 rates   tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
-.02  Kevin Martin    SAS    7  .143    1.8    .0   3.0   2.4   2.4   .0   -.62
-.02  Kyle Singler    OKC    6  .000     .0   3.1    .0    .0    .0   .0   -.79
-.02  Dion Waiters    OKC   21  .483   10.3   2.8    .8   1.7   3.4   .0   -.26
-.03  Cameron Payne   OKC   13  .167    1.5   1.4   6.3   1.3   3.9   .0   -.53
-.06  Andre Roberson  OKC   22  .000     .0   3.6    .8   2.5   1.7   .0   -.61
shooting: SA .568 - .514 OKC
rebounds: OKC 43.0 - 40.0 SA
turnovers: SA 9.0 - 14.0 OKC

Re: 2016 playoffs round 2

Posted: Wed May 04, 2016 10:15 am
by Mike G
Warriors 2, Blazers 0
avg score 114.0 - 102.5
pyth wins 1.61 - .39, eWins 1.30 - .70

Code: Select all

eWins   per36 rates   tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast  Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.39   Draymond Green  GSW   39  .494   17.6  12.5   7.3   .9   1.9  3.3   2.40
.33   Klay Thompson   GSW   38  .598   32.4   3.8   3.3  1.0   1.9   .0   2.08
.22   Damian Lillard  Por   41  .524   22.0   1.7   3.9  2.7   1.8   .0   1.33
.16   Andrew Bogut    GSW   21  .700   14.0  16.8    .0  1.8   1.8  4.5   1.89
.12  Shaun Livingston GSW   31  .481   14.3   4.8   5.2   .6   1.2   .6    .95

.12   Andre Iguodala  GSW   30  .700   14.3   5.2   3.5  1.2    .6   .0    .94
.10   Allen Crabbe    Por   27  .741   14.0   4.8   3.1  1.3    .0   .0    .91
.10   Ed Davis        Por   17  .714   16.2  11.3   2.4   .0   1.0  2.0   1.38
.08   Festus Ezeli    GSW    7  1.00   31.3  15.2   2.2   .0   2.6  2.6   2.86
.07   Al-Farouq Aminu Por   32  .604   16.4   5.5   1.4   .0   4.1  1.8    .54

eWins   per36 rates   tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast  Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.07   Harrison Barnes GSW   35  .676   13.3   7.7    .5  1.0   2.1   .0    .47
.07  Gerald Henderson Por   22  .708   14.4   3.7   3.7   .8   1.6   .8    .73
.05   C.J. McCollum   Por   41  .436   11.3   2.1   1.8   .9    .9   .9    .28
.05   Mason Plumlee   Por   27  .233    2.6  15.0   5.5   .0   5.5  2.1    .43
.04  Anderson Varejao GSW    6  .500   10.7   8.7   2.5  2.9    .0  5.9   1.74

.02  Maurice Harkless Por   28  .396    9.5   6.2   1.0   .7   1.3   .0    .15
.02   Leandro Barbosa GSW   14  .591   16.3   4.9    .0   .0   2.5   .0    .27
.00   Ian Clark       GSW   10  .450   11.5   3.3    .0   .0    .0   .0    .02
.00 Marreese Speights GSW    7  .273    9.7   2.5   4.3   .0   5.0  2.5   -.08
-.01   Brian Roberts  Por    6  .333    3.5    .0   4.3   .0    .0   .0   -.45
shooting: GS .559 - .515 Por
rebounds: GS 51.5 - 39.5 Por
turnovers: GS 11.0 - 13.0 Por

Re: 2016 Playoffs round 2

Posted: Wed May 04, 2016 7:47 pm
by Crow
Anyone develop a sophisticated model for offensive and defensive rebounding matchups using fg% and rebounding rates? At position level instead of at team level? How random are the distributions?

Re: 2016 Western Playoffs round 2

Posted: Sat May 07, 2016 11:05 am
by Mike G
Spurs 2, Thunder 1
avg score 107.0 - 95.3
Pyth wins 2.47 - .53, eWins 1.98 - 1.02

Code: Select all

eWins   per36 rates   tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.67 LaMarcus Aldridge SAS   39  .682   38.1   7.3   1.3    .3   1.0  1.6   2.75
.51   Kawhi Leonard   SAS   32  .603   31.7   9.2   4.7   1.1   2.5  1.1   2.56
.43 Russell Westbrook OKC   35  .435   21.7   6.8   9.6   1.7   3.5   .3   1.97
.32   Kevin Durant    OKC   39  .588   22.8   6.8   3.7    .3   3.4   .6   1.30
.27   Tony Parker     SAS   29  .509   12.1   5.7  11.4    .4    .9   .0   1.47

.16   Manu Ginobili   SAS   17  .595   18.2   5.0   7.0   2.7   2.9   .7   1.45
.16   Danny Green     SAS   32  .714   14.3   3.6   1.3   2.6    .8  1.5    .77
.15   Steven Adams    OKC   35  .676    8.2  14.6    .3    .3   1.4  1.0    .70
.14   Serge Ibaka     OKC   33  .697   16.1   4.9    .3    .7    .4  1.1    .70
.11   Enes Kanter     OKC   19  .542   15.1  11.7    .0    .6   2.5  1.8    .96

eWins   per36 rates   tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.06   Boris Diaw      SAS   13  .500    8.0   4.6   7.2    .9    .9   .9    .76
.06   David West      SAS   18  .474   10.6   5.4   3.0    .6   1.4  1.9    .49
.03   Tim Duncan      SAS   21  .286    4.3   7.4   3.6    .0    .6  1.2    .20
.02   Patrick Mills   SAS   15  .355    6.7   2.5   5.6   1.5   1.7   .0    .20
.01   Kyle Anderson   SAS   11  .167     .8   8.0   2.6   2.2    .0  1.1    .14

-.02  Anthony Morrow  OKC    8  .583    8.7    .0    .0    .0    .0   .0   -.37
-.04  Cameron Payne   OKC   12  .219    3.7   3.3   5.0   1.0   5.0   .0   -.60
-.05  Dion Waiters    OKC   22  .465    9.0   2.3   1.0   1.6   2.7   .0   -.37
-.06  Andre Roberson  OKC   23  .250    1.0   4.6   1.0   2.1   1.0  1.0   -.42
shooting: SA .558 - .516 OKC
rebounds: OKC 42.7 - 39.0 SA
turnovers: SA 9.3 - 14.0 OKC

Out of the OKC rotation since G1: Collison, Singler, Foye, Heustis, Nazr; for SA: Martin, Miller, Boban.

Re: 2016 Western Playoffs round 2

Posted: Sun May 08, 2016 11:28 am
by Mike G
Warriors 2, Blazers 1
avg score 112.0 - 108.3
Pyth wins 1.83 - 1.17, eWins 1.66 - 1.34

Code: Select all

eWins   per36 rates   tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast  Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.59   Draymond Green  GSW   40  .579   24.4  10.8   6.4   .9   1.8  2.5   2.39
.48   Damian Lillard  Por   41  .583   28.5   2.7   5.2  1.8   2.1   .0   1.86
.44   Klay Thompson   GSW   38  .600   33.3   2.8   2.3  1.0   2.2   .3   1.86
.25   Al-Farouq Aminu Por   35  .754   22.4   7.1    .9   .0   2.8  1.4   1.13
.21   Andrew Bogut    GSW   17  .714   16.2  17.9    .0  1.4   2.0  5.4   1.91

.15   Ed Davis        Por   21  .697   14.2  11.8   1.3   .5   1.6  2.2   1.14
.14  Shaun Livingston GSW   29  .492   11.6   4.5   6.7   .4   1.7   .4    .79
.14   C.J. McCollum   Por   41  .471   13.7   3.0   2.2   .9    .9   .6    .55
.13   Allen Crabbe    Por   28  .625   13.0   4.6   2.4  1.2    .0   .0    .72
.09   Mason Plumlee   Por   23  .261    3.2  15.5   5.1   .0   4.6  2.1    .60

eWins   per36 rates   tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast  Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.08   Harrison Barnes GSW   34  .577   10.5   7.2    .6  1.1   1.4   .0    .37
.07  Gerald Henderson Por   22  .568   12.5   3.1   3.4   .5   1.0   .5    .50
.07   Andre Iguodala  GSW   30  .524    7.9   4.9   3.4   .8    .8   .4    .36
.07   Festus Ezeli    GSW    6  .900   22.5  13.1   1.4   .0   1.7  1.7   1.72
.06   Leandro Barbosa GSW   15  .639   18.6   6.5    .0   .7   2.9   .0    .68

.04  Maurice Harkless Por   21  .393    9.6   5.7    .9  1.7   1.7   .0    .28
.03  Anderson Varejao GSW    4  .500    9.9   8.2   2.2  2.8    .0  5.6   1.35
.00   Ian Clark       GSW   12  .441   10.1   2.6   1.4   .0    .9   .0   -.01
-.20 Marreese Speights GSW   6  .214    4.6   1.7   5.5   .0   3.4  1.7   -.20
-.02  Brandon Rush    GSW    7  .000     .0   5.7   1.2   .0    .0   .0   -.43
-.02  Brian Roberts   Por    6  .300    3.1    .0   3.0   .0   1.8   .0   -.64
shooting: GS .559 - .543 Por
rebounds: GS 48.3 - 40.0 Por
turnovers: GS 11.3 - 12.0 Por

Re: 2016 Western Playoffs round 2

Posted: Mon May 09, 2016 11:17 am
by Mike G
Spurs 2, Thunder 2
avg score 104.5 - 99.3
Pyth wins 2.66 - 1.34, eWins 2.33 - 1.67

Code: Select all

eWins   per36 rates   tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.69 LaMarcus Aldridge SAS   38  .641   30.6   7.3   1.0    .2   1.3  1.2   2.17
.66 Russell Westbrook OKC   36  .419   19.3   7.0  12.3   2.0   3.4   .2   2.22
.59   Kawhi Leonard   SAS   34  .565   26.5   8.6   3.8   1.9   3.0   .8   2.10
.55   Kevin Durant    OKC   40  .610   27.2   6.2   3.8    .5   3.7   .4   1.66
.36   Tony Parker     SAS   30  .562   16.4   4.4   8.9    .6   2.0   .3   1.43

.25   Steven Adams    OKC   35  .696   10.1  14.0    .3    .3   1.3  1.2    .86
.20   Manu Ginobili   SAS   19  .633   17.7   4.8   5.3   2.4   2.7   .5   1.28
.17   Enes Kanter     OKC   21  .578   14.4  11.6    .0    .4   1.7  1.2    .96
.13   Serge Ibaka     OKC   32  .679   13.6   4.1    .3    .6    .3  1.1    .48
.12   Danny Green     SAS   31  .636    9.4   4.5   1.3   2.6    .7  1.2    .46

eWins   per36 rates   tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.11   Boris Diaw      SAS   15  .588   12.2   5.2   4.6    .6    .6   .6    .86
.10   David West      SAS   20  .448   10.1   7.4   3.1    .4   1.5  1.8    .60
.05   Randy Foye      OKC    5  .714   17.9   5.9   3.7    .0    .0   .0   1.27
.05   Patrick Mills   SAS   15  .385    7.4   3.2   6.0   1.2   1.3   .0    .38
.04   Kyle Anderson   SAS    9  .250    2.3   7.5   2.2   4.9    .0  1.0    .50

.04   Dion Waiters    OKC   24  .552   13.2   2.9   1.9   1.5   1.9   .0    .19
.02   Tim Duncan      SAS   19  .286    3.8   8.2   2.9    .0    .5  1.0    .11
-.01  Nick Collison   OKC    6  1.00    3.5   6.9    .0   1.6    .0   .0   -.23
-.02  Anthony Morrow  OKC    6  .583    9.0    .0    .0    .0    .0   .0   -.38
-.07  Cameron Payne   OKC   10  .219    4.1   3.1   5.0    .9   6.7   .0   -.92
-.08  Andre Roberson  OKC   23  .200     .8   5.4   1.3   2.0   1.3   .8   -.41
shooting: SA .549 - .536 OKC
rebounds: OKC 42.0 - 37.8 SA
turnovers: SA 10.5 - 14.0 OKC

After 4 games, the leader in 3-ptrs is Serge Ibaka (11)
He's gone from 0.8 per game in the season, to 2.1 in the playoffs.

Re: 2016 Western Playoffs round 2

Posted: Tue May 10, 2016 10:16 am
by Mike G
Warriors 3, Blazers 1
avg score 117.0 - 112.5
Pyth wins 2.51 - 1.49, eWins 2.26 - 1.74

Code: Select all

eWins   per36 rates   tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e493
.81   Draymond Green  GSW   41  .609   21.6   9.8   5.8   1.6   1.8  3.4   2.43
.63   Damian Lillard  Por   42  .548   25.3   3.3   5.6   1.3   2.2   .2   1.84
.52   Klay Thompson   GSW   39  .595   27.5   3.0   2.1   1.2   1.9   .2   1.63
.33   Al-Farouq Aminu Por   36  .680   18.5   8.5   1.1    .3   2.3  1.3   1.15
.24   Andrew Bogut    GSW   20  .639   10.5  15.8    .4   1.8   2.3  4.5   1.50

.22   Stephen Curry   GSW    9  .597   37.0   8.4   6.3    .0   3.8   .0   2.91
.18   C.J. McCollum   Por   43  .479   13.8   2.8   2.0   1.3   1.7   .4    .53
.17   Ed Davis        Por   20  .721   13.7  10.7   1.3    .4   2.0  1.7   1.04
.15   Mason Plumlee   Por   27  .353    5.2  15.3   4.2    .3   4.7  1.4    .72
.15  Shaun Livingston GSW   25  .479   10.4   4.9   6.3    .7   2.2   .4    .75

eWins   per36 rates   tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e493
.14   Allen Crabbe    Por   31  .642   12.1   4.0   2.1    .8    .3   .0    .55
.09   Festus Ezeli    GSW    7  .833   19.5  11.4    .9    .0   1.1  2.1   1.61
.09  Maurice Harkless Por   20  .395    9.8   7.1   1.1   1.8   1.3   .0    .52
.08   Harrison Barnes GSW   33  .541    9.7   6.9    .5    .8   1.4   .0    .30
.07   Leandro Barbosa GSW   14  .587   14.7   5.6    .9   1.2   2.3   .0    .60

.06  Gerald Henderson Por   22  .517    9.9   3.0   2.5   1.1   1.1   .8    .35
.05 Marreese Speights GSW    7  .447   14.2   4.1   5.3   1.1   2.1  1.1   1.00
.04   Andre Iguodala  GSW   32  .527    6.9   4.2   2.7    .8   1.1   .3    .15
-.01  Ian Clark       GSW   12  .439    8.9   1.9   1.1    .7    .7   .0   -.06
-.02  Brandon Rush    GSW    6  .000     .0   5.4   1.1    .0    .0   .0   -.51
-.03  Brian Roberts   Por    5  .300    2.3    .0   3.3    .0   1.3   .0   -.67
shooting: GS .568 - .533 Por
rebounds/48: GS 47.3 - 41.9 Por
turnovers: GS 12.0 - 13.5 Por

Re: 2016 Western Playoffs round 2

Posted: Wed May 11, 2016 11:49 am
by Mike G
Thunder 3, Spurs 2
avg score : SA 101.8 - 98.4 OKC
Pyth wins 3.06 - 1.94, eWins 2.78 - 2.22

Code: Select all

eWins   per36 rates   tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.83 Russell Westbrook OKC   36  .452   22.6   7.7   9.6   2.0   4.3   .2   2.18
.82 LaMarcus Aldridge SAS   38  .588   28.5   7.6   1.2    .6   1.5  1.1   2.07
.79   Kawhi Leonard   SAS   35  .571   26.4   7.8   3.2   2.5   2.5   .6   2.14
.69   Kevin Durant    OKC   41  .583   26.0   5.9   3.6    .7   3.8   .5   1.62
.36   Tony Parker     SAS   30  .513   14.4   4.4   6.8    .7   1.9   .5   1.14

.34   Steven Adams    OKC   35  .654   10.8  13.3    .4    .4   1.3  1.0    .94
.29   Danny Green     SAS   31  .753   13.3   4.3   1.1   2.6    .5  1.2    .90
.24   Enes Kanter     OKC   23  .563   13.0  12.5    .0    .3   1.9  1.8   1.02
.20   Manu Ginobili   SAS   19  .596   14.6   4.5   4.1   1.9   2.1   .8   1.02
.13   Serge Ibaka     OKC   31  .674   12.6   4.2    .4    .5   1.0  1.1    .41

eWins   per36 rates   tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.09   Dion Waiters    OKC   24  .568   13.4   3.1   1.9   1.2   1.8   .0    .34
.08   David West      SAS   19  .424    8.6   6.4   2.4    .4   1.2  1.5    .42
.08   Patrick Mills   SAS   15  .404    7.3   4.5   4.2   1.4   1.0   .0    .48
.07   Boris Diaw      SAS   15  .478    9.4   5.4   3.3    .5   1.5   .5    .45
.03   Randy Foye      OKC    7  .650   12.5   3.4   2.0    .0    .0   .0    .46

.03   Kyle Anderson   SAS    9  .250    1.7   6.6   1.4   3.8    .0   .8    .31
.01   Tim Duncan      SAS   21  .293    3.8   6.9   2.0    .0    .8  1.4    .05
-.00  Nick Collison   OKC    5  1.00    3.7   6.5    .0   1.5    .0   .0   -.10
-.02  Anthony Morrow  OKC    5  .500    7.7    .0    .0    .0    .0   .0   -.35
-.04  Andre Roberson  OKC   23  .167     .5   6.2    .9   1.9   1.0   .9   -.18
-.06  Cameron Payne   OKC    8  .219    3.8   2.9   4.2    .9   6.4   .0   -.79
shooting: SA .535 - .533 OKC
rebounds: OKC 44.4 - 37.4 SA
turnovers: SA 10.0 - 15.2 OKC

Re: 2016 Western Playoffs round 2

Posted: Thu May 12, 2016 11:18 am
by Mike G
Warriors 4, Blazers 1
avg score 118.6 - 114.2
pyth wins 3.12 - 1.88, eWins 2.81 - 2.19

Code: Select all

eWins   per36 rates   tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast    PF   Stl   TO   Blk   e490
.89   Draymond Green  GSW   40  .600   19.3  10.1   5.6   3.3   1.7   2.2  2.9   2.19
.72   Damian Lillard  Por   42  .532   23.9   3.8   5.5   2.3   1.4   2.7   .2   1.71
.67   Klay Thompson   GSW   38  .646   29.2   2.8   1.9   2.3   1.0   1.7   .4   1.73
.42   Al-Farouq Aminu Por   36  .677   17.5   8.4   1.2   2.8    .6   1.9  1.0   1.13
.40   Stephen Curry   GSW   15  .622   33.0   6.8   7.7   2.0    .5   3.9   .0   2.67

.29   C.J. McCollum   Por   42  .491   14.8   3.6   2.3   2.6   1.2   1.6   .4    .68
.29   Andrew Bogut    GSW   17  .587   10.4  16.4   1.4   7.5   1.7   2.1  4.2   1.61
.23   Allen Crabbe    Por   31  .724   14.8   3.8   1.7   2.0   1.1    .5   .0    .72
.20   Ed Davis        Por   21  .649   11.8  10.5   1.6   5.2    .3   2.0  2.3    .93
.18   Mason Plumlee   Por   26  .363    5.4  14.2   4.5   5.4    .3   4.3  1.4    .67

eWins   per36 rates   tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast    PF   Stl   TO   Blk   e490
.16  Shaun Livingston GSW   23  .506   11.6   4.8   5.5   3.7    .9   3.1   .3    .66
.13  Maurice Harkless Por   20  .437   12.0   6.8    .9   5.5   2.2   1.5   .0    .65
.12   Festus Ezeli    GSW    9  .742   18.5  10.9    .6   3.7    .0   2.2  2.2   1.35
.09   Leandro Barbosa GSW   13  .625   16.5   5.3    .8   3.4   1.0   2.0   .0    .68
.08 Marreese Speights GSW    7  .423   14.0   6.8   4.2   8.6    .9   1.7   .9   1.03

.07   Harrison Barnes GSW   34  .516    8.6   7.0    .5   3.0    .6   1.1   .0    .20
.04  Anderson Varejao GSW    3  .600   10.7   5.6   4.7   5.7   1.9    .0  3.8   1.36
.04   Andre Iguodala  GSW   32  .523    6.4   4.3   2.7   1.5    .9   1.1   .4    .12
.03  Gerald Henderson Por   21  .471    8.0   3.5   2.1   3.2   1.0   1.0   .7    .15

eWins   per36 rates   tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast    PF   Stl   TO   Blk   e490
-.01   Ian Clark      GSW    9  .439    9.1   2.0   1.1   4.1    .7    .7   .0   -.07
-.02   Brandon Rush   GSW    4  .000     .0   5.7   1.2   1.4    .0    .0   .0   -.51
-.03   Brian Roberts  Por    6  .364    5.3   1.0   2.5   4.1    .0   1.0   .0   -.44
shooting: GS .581 - .535 Por
rebounds: GS 46.6 - 42.9 Por
turnovers: GS 12.8 - 13.0 Por

Re: 2016 Western Playoffs round 2

Posted: Fri May 13, 2016 11:21 am
by Mike G
Thunder 4, Spurs 2
avg score: SA 101.3 -100.8 OKC
Pyth wins 3.10 - 2.90, eWins 3.05 - 2.95

Code: Select all

eWins   per36 rates   tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast    PF   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
1.07 Russell Westbrook OKC  37  .472   23.9   6.9  10.9   2.6   2.0   4.7   .2   2.33
.95 LaMarcus Aldridge SAS   37  .577   26.7   8.7   1.3   1.6    .5   1.2  1.1   2.04
.93   Kawhi Leonard   SAS   36  .545   24.9   7.9   3.5   2.9   2.6   2.2   .5   2.10
.93   Kevin Durant    OKC   41  .590   27.9   6.3   3.5   1.3    .6   3.6   .4   1.81
.46   Steven Adams    OKC   36  .688   12.1  12.9    .3   3.4    .7   1.1  1.0   1.04

.36   Tony Parker     SAS   29  .512   13.7   3.9   6.8   1.9    .8   2.1   .4   1.00
.28   Danny Green     SAS   31  .703   12.8   3.5    .9   3.4   2.8    .4  1.0    .74
.27   Enes Kanter     OKC   23  .531   12.3  12.3    .0   2.8    .5   1.6  1.5    .96
.20   Serge Ibaka     OKC   32  .617   11.8   5.6    .6   2.9    .4    .8  1.5    .49
.15   Manu Ginobili   SAS   19  .549   12.3   3.8   3.9   3.6   1.5   2.0   .6    .62

eWins   per36 rates   tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast    PF   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.09   David West      SAS   17  .434    9.2   6.6   2.2   5.0    .3   1.5  1.7    .43
.08   Dion Waiters    OKC   23  .527   11.8   3.2   2.8   4.5   1.2   1.8   .0    .29
.07   Patrick Mills   SAS   15  .471    8.7   3.7   4.8    .4   1.2   1.7   .0    .40
.06  Boban Marjanovic SAS    3  .750   14.6  15.0   3.4   8.9    .0   3.9  3.5   1.51
.06   Boris Diaw      SAS   13  .478    9.1   5.2   3.4   1.8    .4   1.5   .4    .37

.05   Tim Duncan      SAS   23  .391    7.4   6.5   1.5   3.5    .0   1.2  1.3    .18
.04   Andre Miller    SAS    3  .583   10.7   7.1   6.4   5.1    .0    .0   .0   1.01
.02   Randy Foye      OKC    7  .536   10.4   3.3   2.4   2.3    .0    .8   .7    .25
.02   Andre Roberson  OKC   24  .429    3.3   6.7   1.0   3.5   1.8    .8  1.2    .06
.01   Kyle Anderson   SAS   10  .385    4.2   5.3   1.1   2.8   2.8    .6   .6    .11

eWins   per36 rates   tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast    PF   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
-.01  Nick Collison   OKC    4  1.00    3.9   6.3    .0   4.4   1.5    .0   .0   -.16
-.02  Anthony Morrow  OKC    4  .500    7.9    .0    .0    .0    .0    .0   .0   -.44
-.02  Kyle Singler    OKC    2  .000     .0   3.1    .0   2.9    .0    .0   .0   -.92
-.02  Kevin Martin    SAS    3  .100    1.0   3.6   1.6   1.7   1.7   1.9   .0   -.59
-.07  Cameron Payne   OKC    7  .219    3.6   2.8   4.5   2.6    .9   6.4   .0   -.85
Shooting : OKC .538 - .527 SA
rebounds: OKC 45.3 - 37.8 SA
turnovers: SA 10.0 - 14.7 OKC

Re: 2016 Western Playoffs rounds 2-3

Posted: Tue May 17, 2016 10:43 am
by Mike G
Western Conference Finals

Thunder 1, Warriors 0
108 - 102
Pythagorean wins .68 - .32, eWins .59 - .41

Code: Select all

eWins   per36 rates   tm   Min  Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.22 Russell Westbrook OKC   41  .48   23.7   5.0  10.6   6.2   2.9   .0   2.60
.14   Stephen Curry   GSW   40  .57   25.3   8.0   5.6   2.7   6.4   .0   1.63
.10   Kevin Durant    OKC   45  .39   18.0   7.6   2.8   2.4   4.4   .8   1.06
.10   Klay Thompson   GSW   39  .50   20.9   7.4   3.5    .0   1.9   .0   1.21
.09   Draymond Green  GSW   40  .47   18.7   4.0   3.2    .9   1.8  1.8   1.10

.09   Steven Adams    OKC   37  .64   16.8  11.2    .0    .0   1.1  1.9   1.18
.07   Andre Roberson  OKC   21  1.17  17.9   8.4   1.7   1.8    .0  1.7   1.50
.05   Serge Ibaka     OKC   36  .50    9.4  10.6   1.1    .0   1.1  1.0    .60
.04   Harrison Barnes GSW   32  .75   14.9   5.1   2.0    .0   1.1   .0    .56
.04   Enes Kanter     OKC   18  .50   13.8  10.8    .0   1.9   2.1  1.8    .98

eWins   per36 rates   tm   Min  Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.03   Andre Iguodala  GSW   32  .60    6.9   4.9   3.9   3.3   1.1   .0    .50
.03   Dion Waiters    OKC   30  .71   13.6   1.1   4.6    .0    .0   .0    .51
.02   Andrew Bogut    GSW   18          .0   5.5   5.6   2.1    .0  4.1    .57
.01   Leandro Barbosa GSW    4  .50   15.9   7.3   7.4    .0    .0   .0   1.51
.01   Festus Ezeli    GSW    7  .50   11.8  12.7    .0    .0    .0   .0    .51

-.00  Randy Foye      OKC   13  .75    8.3   2.5   2.6    .0    .0   .0   -.06
-.01 Marreese Speights GSW   6  .25    3.0    .0    .0    .0    .0   .0   -.98
-.02 Shaun Livingston GSW   20  .29    4.2   4.6   1.6    .0   1.7   .0   -.41
shooting: OKC .514 - .513 GS
rebounds: OKC 52 - 44 GS
turnovers: OKC 12 - 14 GS

Re: 2016 Western Playoffs rounds 2-3

Posted: Thu May 19, 2016 10:05 am
by Mike G
Warriors 1, Thunder 1
avg score 110.0 - 99.5
Pyth wins 1.58 - .42, eWins 1.29 - .71

Code: Select all

eWins   per36 rates   tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.37   Stephen Curry   GSW   35  .667   37.1   6.5   5.5   2.1   5.2   .0   2.57
.30 Russell Westbrook OKC   36  .483   19.6   3.4  11.4   4.6   3.3   .0   1.98
.22   Draymond Green  GSW   36  .493   15.9   6.8   6.4   1.0   1.5  2.0   1.46
.17   Klay Thompson   GSW   35  .455   18.5   6.0   5.1    .5   2.1   .0   1.20
.14   Kevin Durant    OKC   41  .509   23.8   6.8   1.7   1.8   6.3   .4    .85

.12   Harrison Barnes GSW   32  .719   15.4   6.6   3.2    .0    .6   .0    .93
.11   Andre Iguodala  GSW   29  .556   12.5   5.1   3.4   3.7    .6   .0    .94
.11   Festus Ezeli    GSW   11  .682   31.7  13.8   1.8    .0   1.7  1.7   2.47
.10   Steven Adams    OKC   37  .641   11.4  10.5    .0    .0    .5   .9    .66
.08 Marreese Speights GSW    8  .778   47.6   4.8    .0    .0   4.7   .0   2.49

eWins   per36 rates   tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.06   Andre Roberson  OKC   18  .750   13.1   7.9   1.0   1.0   1.1  2.0    .76
.06   Andrew Bogut    GSW   17  1.00    7.8  10.3   4.9   2.2   2.2  2.2    .80
.03   Leandro Barbosa GSW   10  .375    8.7   5.7   6.3   3.7   1.8   .0    .74
.03   Serge Ibaka     OKC   33  .412    4.6  10.0    .5   1.7    .6   .5    .21
.03   Enes Kanter     OKC   17  .538   13.8   8.1   1.0   1.1   3.4  2.0    .39

.01   Randy Foye      OKC   16  .667    7.9   3.1   2.1   1.1    .0  1.0    .08
.00   Dion Waiters    OKC   30  .447    7.7   1.1   4.0    .6    .6   .6    .01
.00  Shaun Livingston GSW   19  .300    3.3   6.7   4.3    .0    .9   .0   -.03
shooting: GS .554 - .517 OKC
rebounds: GS 44.5 - 44.0 OKC
turnovers: GS 13.0 - 14.0 OKC

Re: 2016 Western Playoffs rounds 2-3

Posted: Mon May 23, 2016 12:24 pm
by Mike G
Thunder 2, Warriors 1
avg score 110.7 - 108.3
Pyth wins 1.71 - 1.29, eWins 1.61 - 1.39

Code: Select all

eWins   per36 rates   tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast    PF   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.59 Russell Westbrook OKC   35  .529   25.1   5.2  12.6   2.1   3.9   3.7   .0   2.71
.45   Stephen Curry   GSW   33  .634   31.1   6.1   4.3   1.5   2.2   4.1   .0   2.14
.43   Kevin Durant    OKC   38  .587   29.8   7.6   1.9   2.6   1.3   4.7  1.2   1.83
.17   Klay Thompson   GSW   31  .460   18.8   4.7   3.6   2.0    .4   2.8   .0    .89
.17   Andre Iguodala  GSW   27  .604   12.3   5.1   3.2   1.7   3.4    .9   .0    .97

.16   Draymond Green  GSW   35  .438   11.2   5.9   4.8   3.2   1.1   2.5  1.4    .75
.15   Steven Adams    OKC   30  .623   12.5  10.9    .4   3.3    .0    .9  1.2    .81
.12   Enes Kanter     OKC   17  .500   14.4  13.5   1.4   5.5    .7   2.9  1.3   1.12
.12   Andre Roberson  OKC   22  .735   13.8   7.7   1.1   2.8   1.1   1.2  1.1    .85
.11   Festus Ezeli    GSW   10  .622   26.0   9.9   1.0   8.9    .0   1.1  1.1   1.73

eWins   per36 rates   tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast    PF   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.11   Serge Ibaka     OKC   33  .467    7.0  10.0    .4   3.0   1.9    .8  1.1    .55
.08   Andrew Bogut    GSW   15  .600    5.0  11.4   4.7   7.4   1.6   1.7  1.6    .81
.07 Marreese Speights GSW   10  .579   26.8   5.9    .0   7.1   1.2   4.9  1.2   1.15
.05   Dion Waiters    OKC   31  .500    9.7   1.9   4.0   2.3    .4    .8   .4    .25
.04   Harrison Barnes GSW   32  .600    9.4   4.9   1.8   2.3    .0    .4   .0    .20

.04   Leandro Barbosa GSW    9  .500   11.8   3.6   3.5   2.5   2.5   1.3   .0    .67
.04   Ian Clark       GSW    9  .450   10.0   5.1   4.9   2.6   2.6   2.6   .0    .65
.03  Shaun Livingston GSW   18  .375    5.5   5.2   4.5   2.6    .7    .7   .0    .24
-.01  Randy Foye      OKC   18  .600    6.7   1.9   1.9   4.4   1.3    .7   .6   -.08
shooting: OKC .548 - .536 GS
rebounds: OKC 46.7 - 42.3 GS
turnovers: 13.3 - 13.3

GS gained 0 eWins by just showing up last night.
In Pyth wins, their efforts got them from 1.58 after 2 games, to 1.29 now -- a loss of .29