APBRmetrics

It seems like teams have communicated various advice regarding 3 pointers:
take the corner 3, take open 3s or just Take 3s! On mid-range shots I would think the rules of thumb of "don't take early" or "don't take contested unless last resort" or "take rhythm, open ones" would be given. But what about consideration of rebounding prospects? Can the SportVu data be worked to determine what offensive rebound prospect is good enough to take a mid-ranger, especially a contested one? Finding and giving a rule of thumb like "don't take, unless one of your leading Offensive Rebounders has x quality of position, or that AND you can follow your shot or you have / expect 2 teammates to have y chance at getting it? The Offensive Rebound prospect would seem to be an important criteria for expected points but I kinda doubt that team have clear rules of thumb given or at least followed. You could use video simulation to test and improve player performance / adherence to rules of thumb. Don't need perfect adherence, just attempted and improved adherence. Review worst violations to give feedback on where to change behavior.

Supposedly (1) three pointers are the second best possible shot you can take, and (2) three pointers are already above average for offensive rebounds.

So it seems like the rule of thumb ought to be take all open threes unless there's an open player in the low post.

Doesn't it depend on the shooter?

Yes, it depends some of the shooter; but I was looking for a general rule of thumb for guys in middle of distribution as opposed to unusual and on the tail and maybe breaking or changing the "rule".

Yes, an inside shot (or anything) is generally better than a mid-ranger but it is still part of the mix... and probably most needing better rules of thumb.

Around the league just about 60% of all players have better TS% from the arc, the other 40% doing better on 2FG and FT.
That 60% who are 'outside shooters' are playing 64% of all minutes, taking 67% of all FGA and FTA.

There's still an advantage gained by drawing fouls on the opposition, and this is still more likely with an inside scoring threat.
APM probably still doesn't assign the benefits of opponent fouls that a player has drawn; though ironically it may now matter less, with rotation players manning the interior defense.