Coming changes to career points leaderboard

[Crow]

There are some names in top 5 on NBA / ABA career points list who are pretty likely to no longer be in top 10 in 7-12 years. Wilt and MJ may get bumped by current stars. Kobe might hold on longer but could fall too. Those retired players in second 5 now almost certainly will slip out of top 10.

LBJ would have to play 6-7 more years to get #1 on regular season points. Probably won't unless he makes staying that long a priority. Would have to do more work to make good guess if he'd keep it or get passed.

Durant, Westbrook, Harden, Curry all have good chance at top 10. Most may make top 5. Dirk may make top 5 briefly.

Does Melo make top 10? Don't really care but he might, for awhile.

Haven't thought about the younger cats yet.

[Mike G]

Here's every allegedly current player who has at any age ranked among the top 20 career scorers at that age.

Code: Select all

rank at   21  22  23  24  25  26  27  28  29  30  31  32  33  34  35  36  37
LeBron     1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   2   4   6   6   7
Durant     2   2   2   2   2   2   2   3   6  12  18            
Carmelo    3   3   3   3   3   3   6   6   5   5   4   6  10  13  17    
Wiggins    4  15                              
Dirk      73  41  28  23  22  21  16  14  13  11  10  11   9   9   7   7   5
Dwight    11   7   8  11  10  16  21  23  31  34  37                    
A Davis    8   8   7  21                            
Bosh       9  10   9  10  11  14  20  25  23  27  31             
Irving    10   9  15  16                          
Rose      25  12  21  54                          
Pierce            72  40  33  31  31  21  20  19  20  20  19  20  18  17  14
Westbrook 36  24  19  17  26  25  23  15                  
Harden        84  43  32  24  19  15                    
Towns     15                                
Deng      16  22  34  43  44  69  73  85  93      
Giannis       18       
Parker    23  23  20  24  29  33  37  41  44  47  44  47

http://bkref.com/tiny/QcQmo
Wiggins hasn't scored any points as a 22 yr old.
Durant is 236 points short of Kobe's total thru his age-28 season.
Steph ranks 35th thru age 28.