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2017 Finals: Cavs - Warriors III

Posted: Fri Jun 02, 2017 3:53 am
by Mike G
Preview

Code: Select all

. Warriors     Min   PER   WS/48   BPM   e480    WS   vorp  eWin
Draymond Green 416   21.3   .264  11.0   1.94   2.28  1.35  1.67
Klay Thompson  413    8.5   .035  -2.0    .48    .30   .00   .41
Stephen Curry  412   28.0   .288  11.3   2.64   2.47  1.37  2.24
Kevin Durant   334   25.2   .257   7.1   2.38   1.78   .76  1.64
Andre Iguodala 278    9.2   .092    .9    .41    .53   .20   .23

Ian Clark      175   14.8   .150    .6    .74    .54   .11   .27
David West     171   17.7   .221   5.8   1.18    .79   .33   .42
Patrick McCaw  147   15.8   .212   5.8    .90    .65   .29   .27
S Livingston   145   10.8   .119   1.5    .37    .36   .13   .11
Zaza Pachulia  145   16.7   .193   2.5   1.37    .58   .16   .41
JaVale McGee   126   27.0   .293   4.0   1.84    .77   .19   .48
                        
                        
. Cavs         Min   PER   WS/48   BPM   e480    WS   vorp  eWin
LeBron James   532   30.4   .299  11.0   2.93   3.31  1.73  3.22
Kyrie Irving   452   22.6   .193   1.9   1.98   1.82   .44  1.85
T Thompson     429   15.4   .188   3.8    .80   1.68   .62   .71
Kevin Love     417   19.7   .198   3.5   1.77   1.72   .57  1.52
J.R. Smith     341    9.0   .103   2.9    .03    .73   .42   .02

Kyle Korver    230   12.9   .142   2.7    .39    .68   .27   .19
Iman Shumpert  209   11.4   .141   2.4    .39    .61   .23   .17
Deron Williams 201   14.9   .177   1.6    .84    .74   .18   .35
Channing Frye  143   23.5   .279   6.5   1.60    .83   .30   .47
R Jefferson     95    7.6   .076  -1.1   -.04    .15   .02  -.01

Re: 2017 Finals: Cavs - Warriors III

Posted: Fri Jun 02, 2017 11:47 am
by Mike G
Warriors 1, Cavs 0
113-91
Pythagorean wins .95 - .05, eWins .72 - .28

Code: Select all

eWins   per36 rates   tm   Min   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast  Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.27   Kevin Durant    GSW   38  .642   48.9   5.9   7.0   .0    .0   .0   3.46
.23   Stephen Curry   GSW   35  .636   40.8   4.8   9.5  3.1   2.1   .0   3.18
.15   LeBron James    Cle   40  .551   26.0  11.6   6.5   .0   7.3  1.8   1.86
.12   Kevin Love      Cle   34  .507   13.0  19.3   1.0   .0   1.1  3.2   1.66
.07   Zaza Pachulia   GSW   15  .734   25.9  11.5    .0  5.0    .0   .0   2.11

.06   Kyrie Irving    Cle   35  .535   24.1   2.7   1.9   .0   4.2  1.0    .87
.04   Andre Iguodala  GSW   24  .714   13.0   3.3   1.3  2.9    .0  1.4    .76
.04   Draymond Green  GSW   36  .337    7.2   8.6   1.9  2.0   2.0  1.0    .48
.02 Richard Jefferson Cle   15  .577   21.3   7.7    .0   .0   4.5   .0    .71
.01   Iman Shumpert   Cle   16  .417    6.8   9.0    .0   .0    .0   .0    .18

eWins   per36 rates   tm   Min   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast  Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.00  Shaun Livingston GSW   15  .200    2.4   3.5   4.1  2.3    .0   .0    .08
.00   David West      GSW    8  .250    5.0   3.2   3.8   .0    .0   .0    .01
-.01  Klay Thompson   GSW   36  .188    2.8   2.3   3.7  1.0    .0   .0   -.11
-.01  Ian Clark       GSW   18  .408    5.8   1.5    .0  1.9    .0   .0   -.22

-.01  Kyle Korver     Cle   19  .000     .0   6.1   1.6   .0    .0   .0   -.33
-.02 Tristan Thompson Cle   23  .000     .0   5.5   2.9   .0   1.6   .0   -.39
-.03  Deron Williams  Cle   19  .000     .0   4.6   1.6   .0   3.6   .0   -.73
-.05  J.R. Smith      Cle   28  .375    2.5    .0    .0   .0   2.6   .0   -.93
shooting: GS .499 - .468 Cle
rebounds: Cle 59 - 50 GS
turnovers: GS 4 - 20 Cle
http://www.basketball-reference.com/pla ... otals.html
Those last 4 combined for 3 points on 14 shots, in 89 minutes. And 5 TO.

Re: 2017 Finals: Cavs - Warriors III

Posted: Mon Jun 05, 2017 11:34 am
by Mike G
Warriors 2, Cavs 0
avg score 122.5 - 102.0
Pyth wins 1.84 - .16, eWins 1.42 - .58

Code: Select all

eWins   per36 rates    tm  mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.57   Kevin Durant     GS   40  .664   40.3   8.8   5.6   1.4   1.4  2.1   3.47
.46   Stephen Curry    GS   36  .652   40.5   7.2   9.4   2.1   5.2   .0   3.14
.36   LeBron James    Cle   40  .613   26.8  10.3   7.2   1.4   5.5  1.3   2.16
.22   Kevin Love      Cle   32  .545   18.9  13.9    .4   1.1   1.1  1.6   1.64
.11   Draymond Green   GS   30  .467   12.3   9.0   4.3   1.8   3.1   .6    .88

.08   Kyrie Irving    Cle   38  .462   16.9   2.1   3.2   1.0   3.4   .4    .51
.06   Klay Thompson    GS   37  .475   11.8   4.7   2.2    .5   1.0   .0    .38
.04   Andre Iguodala   GS   27  .545    7.7   3.9   3.4   1.3    .6  1.2    .40
.04   Zaza Pachulia    GS   14  .667   15.1   7.9    .0   2.6   2.6   .0    .66
.03   Ian Clark        GS   16  .538   14.1   2.8   1.9   1.1   1.1   .0    .45

eWins   per36 rates    tm  mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.03 Richard Jefferson Cle   14  .615   18.0   5.1    .0   1.2   2.3   .0    .48
.02  Shaun Livingston  GS   17  .462   10.0   2.5   2.6   1.0    .0   .0    .28
.02   Iman Shumpert   Cle   19  .393    5.4   6.9    .0   2.6    .0   .0    .20
.01   David West       GS   10  .333    4.7   5.8   4.4    .0    .0  1.6    .35
.00  Tristan Thompson Cle   22  .400    4.4   5.8   1.8   1.7    .8   .0    .00

-.00   Channing Frye  Cle    6  .200    2.2   7.6   2.1    .0    .0   .0   -.04
-.03   Kyle Korver    Cle   22  .471    3.9   2.7   1.1    .8    .0   .0   -.29
-.03   Deron Williams Cle   17  .000     .0   5.2   2.9   1.0   2.0   .0   -.49
-.10   J.R. Smith     Cle   21  .250    1.1   1.5    .0    .0   2.6   .0  -1.14
Shooting: GS .569 - .490 Cle
Rebounds: GS 51.5 - 50.0 Cle
Turnovers: GS 12.0 - 14.5 Cle

Re: 2017 Finals: Cavs - Warriors III

Posted: Thu Jun 08, 2017 10:57 am
by Mike G
Warriors 3, Cavs 0
avg score 121.0 - 105.7
Pyth wins 2.58 - .42, eWins 2.04 - .96

Code: Select all

eWins   per36 rates   tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.78   Kevin Durant     GS   40  .675   36.6   8.5   5.1   1.2   1.8  1.6   3.12
.68   Stephen Curry    GS   37  .637   34.0   9.0   8.4   2.0   3.7   .0   2.98
.60   LeBron James    Cle   42  .627   28.7  10.0   6.5   1.2   5.0  1.0   2.32
.30   Kevin Love      Cle   34  .500   14.3  13.8    .5   2.9   1.5   .9   1.45
.22   Kyrie Irving    Cle   40  .516   21.2   3.1   2.8    .6   2.8   .3    .89

.20   Klay Thompson    GS   38  .598   17.6   5.1   2.1    .3   1.0   .0    .84
.16   Draymond Green   GS   31  .446   10.2   9.2   5.7   1.6   3.5   .7    .82
.11   Andre Iguodala   GS   27  .528    7.6   4.7   4.4   2.5   1.3  1.1    .62
.06   JaVale McGee     GS    5  .583   14.9  14.3   5.5    .0   1.9  3.3   1.80
.04   David West       GS   10  .579   11.0   4.9   3.0    .0    .0   .9    .56

eWins   per36 rates   tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.02   Shaun Livingston GS   15  .474   10.9   2.0   2.7    .7    .7   .0    .20
.01   Ian Clark        GS   13  .538   10.9   3.1   2.4    .8   1.7   .0    .16
-.00  Patrick McCaw    GS    5  .250    2.2   8.1   2.1    .0    .0   .0   -.02
-.00  Iman Shumpert   Cle   17  .361    4.6   5.5    .5   2.0    .0   .0   -.01
-.01 Richard Jefferson Cle  15  .531   10.7   4.8    .6    .7   2.2   .0   -.09

-.02 Tristan Thompson Cle   22  .364    2.7   5.6   2.1   1.1   1.1   .9   -.12
-.03  Zaza Pachulia    GS   14  .476    8.2   6.6    .8   1.8   5.3   .0   -.34
-.04  Deron Williams  Cle   12  .000     .0   5.0   2.7    .9   1.8   .0   -.57
-.04  Kyle Korver     Cle   22  .516    5.6   2.3    .8    .5    .0   .0   -.32
-.09  J.R. Smith      Cle   25  .559    6.9   1.3    .0   1.0   1.9   .0   -.59
Shooting: GS .585 - .510 Cle
Rebounds: GS 49.0 - 45.7 Cle
Turnovers: Cle 13.7 - 14.0 GS

Re: 2017 Finals: Cavs - Warriors III

Posted: Thu Jun 08, 2017 2:18 pm
by Mike G
Other stats thru 3 games

Code: Select all

. Warriors    min   PER   WS/48    BPM     WS   vorp
Kevin Durant  120   31.6   .352   13.9     .88   .48
Klay Thompson 114   13.1   .151    2.2     .36   .12
Stephen Curry 110   28.0   .321   14.1     .74   .44
Draymond Green 93    7.6   .040     .1     .08   .05
Andre Iguodala 82   12.7   .162    6.2     .28   .17

S Livingston   46    8.7   .065   -5.1     .06  -.04
Zaza Pachulia  41     .8  -.066   -5.7    -.06  -.04
Ian Clark      39    7.1   .068   -2.7     .06  -.01
David West     30   13.0   .181     .4     .11   .02
JaVale McGee   16   26.1   .355   25.3     .12   .11
Patrick McCaw  14     .9   .017  -10.3     .00  -.03

. totals      720   16.5   .179    5.0    2.68  1.26
    
                    
. Cavs        min   PER   WS/48   BPM      WS   vorp
LeBron James  125   28.3   .173   13.6     .45   .49
Kyrie Irving  119   14.9  -.028   -2.4    -.07  -.01
Kevin Love    101   20.2   .111     .9     .23   .07
J.R. Smith     76    2.4  -.073   -5.3    -.11  -.06
Tr Thompson    67    6.5  -.064   -1.4    -.09   .01

Kyle Korver    67    6.3   .018   -3.1     .02  -.02
Iman Shumpert  50    6.2  -.030   -6.9    -.03  -.06
R Jefferson    44    6.3   .003   -4.9     .00  -.03
Deron Williams 36  -11.4  -.350  -14.9    -.26  -.12
Channing Frye  11   -4.5  -.323  -20.1    -.07  -.05

. totals      720   12.5   .011    -.9     .16   .21

Re: 2017 Finals: Cavs - Warriors III

Posted: Sat Jun 10, 2017 10:59 am
by Mike G
Warriors 3, Cavs 1
avg score 119.8 - 113.5
Pyth wins 2.68 - 1.32, eWins 2.34 - 1.66

Code: Select all

eWins   per36 rates   tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.93   Kevin Durant     GS   40  .649   33.2   7.6   4.2    .9   1.6  1.6   2.80
.86   LeBron James    Cle   42  .614   27.7  10.0   7.2   1.1   4.2   .8   2.48
.70   Stephen Curry    GS   37  .602   25.8   8.1   7.5   2.0   3.7   .0   2.28
.46   Kevin Love      Cle   33  .556   17.2  12.4    .6   2.8   1.4  1.0   1.67
.44   Kyrie Irving    Cle   40  .563   24.8   4.0   2.8    .7   2.8   .2   1.32

.24   Draymond Green   GS   33  .446   10.0  10.4   4.1   1.7   3.3   .7    .85
.20   Klay Thompson    GS   37  .587   15.3   4.8   1.8    .2   1.0   .0    .64
.10   Andre Iguodala   GS   26  .500    6.5   4.1   4.0   2.0   1.3  1.4    .45
.07   JaVale McGee     GS    6  .688   15.6  12.3   3.1    .0   1.3  2.2   1.54
.05   David West       GS   10  .607   12.2   5.2   1.9    .0    .8  2.0    .64

eWins   per36 rates   tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.04  Shaun Livingston  GS   16  .538   11.9   2.4   2.4    .5    .5   .0    .31
.02   Iman Shumpert   Cle   16  .429    6.4   5.0   1.6   2.1    .5   .0    .18
.02   Ian Clark        GS   11  .559   11.8   2.7   1.7    .7   1.4   .0    .18
.01 Richard Jefferson Cle   17  .543   10.2   4.7    .8    .5   1.5   .4    .07
.01  Tristan Thompson Cle   26  .433    3.3   7.2   2.7    .7   1.4   .6    .03

.00   Patrick McCaw    GS    6  .357    3.7   9.0   1.1    .0    .0   .0    .09
-.01  Zaza Pachulia    GS   14  .552    9.3   6.7    .5   1.3   3.8   .0   -.11
-.05  J.R. Smith      Cle   26  .630    9.4   1.7    .3   1.0   1.4   .0   -.24
-.05  Kyle Korver     Cle   20  .543    5.8   2.4    .6    .4    .4   .4   -.32
-.07  Deron Williams  Cle   12  .179    1.2   3.7   2.0    .6   1.9   .0   -.68
Shooting: GS .577 - .550 Cle
Rebounds: GS 46.8 - 45.5 Cle
Turnovers: Cle 13.0 - 13.5 GS

Re: 2017 Finals: Cavs - Warriors III

Posted: Sat Jun 10, 2017 11:21 pm
by Mike G
other stats thru 4 games:

Code: Select all

. Warriors       min   PER   WS/48   BPM    WS   vorp
Kevin Durant     159   30.5   .313  11.1   1.04   .52
Klay Thompson    148   11.9   .092   -.1    .28   .07
Stephen Curry    148   23.8   .220   9.4    .68   .42
Draymond Green   133    9.3   .008    .3    .02   .08
Andre Iguodala   103   11.8   .096   3.1    .21   .13

Shaun Livingston  65   11.4   .083  -4.0    .11  -.03
Zaza Pachulia     57    5.0  -.016  -5.3   -.02  -.05
Ian Clark         44    8.8   .026  -4.9    .02  -.03
David West        40   15.1   .116   -.5    .10   .01
JaVale McGee      23   27.0   .325  17.6    .16   .11

Patrick McCaw     22    6.6  -.003  -8.8    .00  -.04
James  McAdoo     12   14.3   .156  -2.0    .04   .00
Matt Barnes        8    6.7  -.046 -11.1   -.01  -.02
              
. totals         960   16.2   .131   2.9   2.62  1.18
                  
. Cavs           min   PER   WS/48   BPM    WS   vorp
LeBron James     166   27.9   .202  12.7    .70   .61
Kyrie Irving     160   19.2   .059   1.5    .20   .14
Kevin Love       131   22.2   .165   3.5    .45   .18
J.R. Smith       105    6.5   .001  -1.3    .00   .02
Tristan Thompson 103    7.7  -.003   1.7   -.01   .10

Kyle Korver       78    5.4   .012  -2.4    .02  -.01
Richard Jefferson 66    9.1   .059  -2.3    .08  -.01
Iman Shumpert     62    8.8   .027  -3.3    .04  -.02
Deron Williams    49   -6.5  -.252 -11.2   -.26  -.11
Channing Frye     11   -4.5  -.323 -20.1   -.07  -.05

Dahntay Jones     10   42.5   .587   6.8    .12   .02
Derrick Williams  10   17.3   .098  -7.0    .02  -.01
James Jones        9   -2.7  -.124 -10.4   -.02  -.02

. totals         960   14.4   .063   1.5   1.27   .84
Gains from 3G to 4G:
WS: Cle 1.11, GS -.06
vorp: Cle .63, GS -.08
eWins: Cle .70, GS .30

Re: 2017 Finals: Cavs - Warriors III

Posted: Tue Jun 13, 2017 10:57 am
by Mike G
Warriors 4, Cavs 1
avg score 121.6 - 114.8
Pyth wins 3.41 - 1.59, eWins 2.96 - 2.04

Code: Select all

eWins   per36 rates   tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast  Stl   TO   Blk   e480
1.18  Kevin Durant    GSW   40  .685   35.5   7.7   4.2   .9   2.0  1.4   2.86
1.10  LeBron James    Cle   42  .620   28.5  10.1   6.5  1.2   3.9   .8   2.49
.93   Stephen Curry   GSW   38  .606   27.3   7.7   7.7  2.1   3.7   .0   2.35
.50   Kyrie Irving    Cle   40  .553   23.6   3.6   3.1   .9   3.0   .2   1.18
.47   Kevin Love      Cle   32  .519   14.0  12.4    .9  2.5   1.2  1.0   1.40

.31   Draymond Green  GSW   35  .440    8.9  10.5   4.3  1.7   2.5   .6    .85
.20   Klay Thompson   GSW   37  .558   13.3   4.8   1.9   .4    .8   .2    .51
.16   Andre Iguodala  GSW   28  .581    9.7   3.9   3.5  1.5   1.2  1.1    .54
.09  Tristan Thompson Cle   27  .560    6.7   7.8   2.7   .8   2.0   .8    .31
.08   JaVale McGee    GSW    5  .688   16.0  13.0   3.3   .0   1.3  2.4   1.59

eWins   per36 rates   tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast  Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.06   David West      GSW   10  .583   11.9   6.2   1.6   .0   1.3  1.7    .54
.06   J.R. Smith      Cle   29  .766   13.5   2.0    .4   .8   1.0   .5    .18
.04  Shaun Livingston GSW   15  .559   12.3   2.1   2.2   .4    .4   .0    .26
.02   Patrick McCaw   GSW    7  .423    6.9   8.9   1.5   .9    .9   .0    .35
.02   Ian Clark       GSW    9  .559   11.8   2.8   1.8   .7   1.4   .0    .18

-.01  Iman Shumpert   Cle   13  .409    5.8   4.7   1.5  1.5   1.0   .0   -.09
-.02 Richard Jefferson Cle  17  .537    9.1   4.6    .6   .4   1.6   .4   -.13
-.04  Zaza Pachulia   GSW   13  .516    7.7   7.4    .9  1.1   4.3   .0   -.28
-.09  Deron Williams  Cle   12  .156     .9   4.1   2.4  1.0   2.6   .0   -.68
-.09  Kyle Korver     Cle   19  .537    5.3   2.0    .5   .3    .3   .3   -.44
Shooting: GS .586 - .560 Cle
Rebounds: GS 45.8 - 43.6 Cle
Turnovers: 13.4 - 13.4

Re: 2017 Finals: Cavs - Warriors III

Posted: Tue Jun 13, 2017 11:25 am
by Mike G
And the other stats, inferred:

Code: Select all

. Warriors       min   PER   WS/48    BPM    WS   vorp
Kevin Durant     199   31.4   .321   11.4   1.33   .67
Stephen Curry    189   25.1   .237    9.7    .93   .55
Klay Thompson    183   11.1   .081    -.4    .31   .07
Draymond Green   177    9.9   .036    1.3    .13   .15
Andre Iguodala   141   13.1   .113    3.0    .33   .18

Shaun Livingston  75   11.4   .090   -4.1    .14  -.04
Zaza Pachulia     67    3.4  -.038   -5.1   -.05  -.05
David West        50   12.8   .062   -2.2    .06   .00
Ian Clark         44    8.8   .026   -4.9    .02  -.03
Patrick McCaw     34   10.5   .042   -4.8    .03  -.02

JaVale McGee      23   27.0   .325   17.6    .16   .11
James M McAdoo    12   14.3   .156   -2.0    .04   .00
Matt Barnes        9    6.0  -.052  -11.1   -.01  -.02
              
. totals         1200  16.6   .137   3.18   3.43  1.56
      
            
. Cavs           min   PER   WS/48    BPM    WS   vorp
LeBron James     212   29.0   .208   12.4    .92   .76
Kyrie Irving     201   18.4   .044    -.4    .18   .08
Kevin Love       161   19.7   .126    2.4    .42   .18
J.R. Smith       146   12.0   .076    1.6    .23   .13
Tristan Thompson 133   11.6   .027    3.0    .08   .16

Kyle Korver       96    4.4  -.007   -2.7   -.01  -.02
Richard Jefferson 84    7.6   .040   -2.8    .07  -.02
Iman Shumpert     66    5.2  -.038   -5.9   -.05  -.06
Deron Williams    61   -6.1  -.270  -10.9   -.34  -.14
Channing Frye     11   -4.5  -.323  -20.1   -.07  -.05

Dahntay Jones     10   42.5   .587    6.8    .12   .02
Derrick Williams  10   17.3   .098   -7.0    .02  -.01
James Jones        9   -2.7  -.124  -10.4   -.02  -.02
             
. totals         1200  14.9   .061   1.41   1.54  1.02
http://www.basketball-reference.com/tea ... s_advanced
Win Shares almost caught up with actual wins.