2018 Playoff summaries and notes.

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Mike G
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Re: 2018 Playoff summaries and notes.

Post by Mike G » Sat Jun 02, 2018 9:25 pm

Finals game 1

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gm 1      tm   min   PER   WS/53   BPM   WS   vorp
LeBron    Cle   47   43.2   .340  18.1   .33   .24
D Green    GS   47   22.3   .204  11.7   .20   .16
Curry      GS   46   22.7   .163   6.4   .16   .10
Livingston GS   18   33.3   .344   7.9   .13   .04
Looney     GS   25   16.6   .192   4.9   .10   .04

Durant     GS   46   19.5   .102    .6   .10   .03
Nance     Cle   19   28.1   .193    .2   .08   .01
McCaw      GS    4   36.0   .527  18.6   .04   .02
K Thompson GS   45   14.6   .077  -1.8   .07   .00
Bell       GS   13   15.1   .165    .9   .04   .01

gm 1      tm   min   PER   WS/53   BPM   WS   vorp
J Green   Cle   36    9.1   .008    .4   .01   .02
Hill      Cle   31    6.0   .030  -0.6   .02   .01
McGee      GS    6   29.8   .165   1.6   .02   .01
West       GS    4   16.4  -.092  -9.2  -.01  -.01
Smith     Cle   39    6.7  -.016  -3.2  -.01  -.01

Love      Cle   40   16.7   .043  -7.3   .04  -.05
Korver    Cle   16    2.6  -.027  -9.6  -.01  -.03
Young      GS   10   -6.9  -.225 -16.4  -.05  -.04
TThompson Cle   20     .8  -.138  -9.9  -.06  -.04
Clarkson  Cle   17   -1.1  -.263 -13.8  -.09  -.05

gm 1      tm   min   PER   WS/53   BPM   WS   vorp
totals     GS  265   19.6   .147   3.6   .81   .37
totals    Cle  265   15.3   .054   -.6   .30   .09
Since 1.0 win was earned in 53 game minutes (530 player minutes) you might expect Win Shares to sum to 1.00 instead of 1.11
Without scaling WS rates by 48/53, WS total 1.22

Mike G
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Joined: Fri Apr 15, 2011 12:02 am
Location: Asheville, NC

Re: 2018 Playoff summaries and notes.

Post by Mike G » Mon Jun 04, 2018 11:21 am

After 2 games, Dubs winning by 14.5 ppg

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gm 1-2    tm   mpg   PER   WS/51   BPM   WS   vorp
LeBron    Cle   46   34.0   .224  14.7   .43   .38
D Green    GS   44   17.2   .200   8.1   .36   .22
Durant     GS   43   24.0   .206   6.8   .37   .19
Curry      GS   42   23.3   .163   8.0   .29   .21
Livingston GS   17   30.9   .346   8.1   .25   .09

K Thompson GS   40   15.5   .102    .4   .17   .05
McGee      GS   12   28.3   .281   5.0   .14   .04
Hill      Cle   33   11.3   .059   1.0   .08   .05
Bell       GS   12   16.4   .207   2.9   .10   .03
West       GS    8   24.5   .226  10.2   .07   .05

gm 1-2    tm   mpg   PER   WS/51   BPM   WS   vorp
Looney     GS   18   11.0   .104   1.3   .08   .03
Nance     Cle   16   23.5   .103  -2.2   .07   .00
Love      Cle   37   20.4   .074  -3.8   .11  -.03
TThompson Cle   22   10.4  -.018  -7.9  -.02  -.07
J Green   Cle   28    7.4  -.049  -5.2  -.06  -.04

Korver    Cle   17    2.5  -.098  -9.7  -.07  -.06
Smith     Cle   35    3.9  -.103  -6.2  -.15  -.07
Young      GS   13  -11.4  -.262 -15.3  -.14  -.08
Clarkson  Cle   13   -1.7  -.299 -13.3  -.16  -.07

gm 1-2    tm   mpg   PER   WS/51   BPM   WS   vorp
totals    Cle  253   15.2   .026  -1.6   .27   .05
totals     GS  253   19.3   .168   4.5  1.78   .82

Mike G
Posts: 4129
Joined: Fri Apr 15, 2011 12:02 am
Location: Asheville, NC

Re: 2018 Playoff summaries and notes.

Post by Mike G » Wed Jun 06, 2018 11:43 pm

After 2 Finals games, LeBron'18 already ranks 5th in postseason Win Shares

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WS    per G   yr    G    mpg    Pts   Reb   Ast   Stl   Blk   TO
5.9   Duncan  03   24   42.5   24.7  11.4   5.3    .3   3.3   3.2
5.8   LeBron  12   23   42.7   30.3   9.7   5.6   1.9    .7   3.5
5.4   Dirk    06   23   42.7   27.0  11.7   2.9   1.1    .6   2.1
5.2   LeBron  13   23   41.7   25.9   8.4   6.6   1.8    .8   3.0
5.0   LeBron  18   20   41.7   34.6   9.2   9.0   1.4   1.0   4.2
It's his 3rd highest total and likely to end up as his 2nd best playoff run.
And in VORP -- holy cow!

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vorp  per G   yr    G    mpg    Pts   Reb   Ast   Stl   Blk   TO
3.5   Duncan  03   24   42.5   24.7  11.4   5.3    .3   3.3   3.2
3.5   LeBron  18   20   41.7   34.6   9.2   9.0   1.4   1.0   4.2
3.2   LeBron  12   23   42.7   30.3   9.7   5.6   1.9    .7   3.5
3.1   LeBron  16   21   39.1   26.3   9.5   7.6   2.3   1.3   3.6
2.9   Bird    84   23   41.8   27.5  11.0   5.9   2.3   1.2   3.8
LeBron is the vorp man, and by halftime tonight he is likely to have the top spot.
He also has #6 and 7, tied with Bird for 5th actually (2.9)
Jordan has the #7 and 9 WS spots; 8, 10, 11, and 12 in vorp.
http://bkref.com/tiny/xTM9h

Mike G
Posts: 4129
Joined: Fri Apr 15, 2011 12:02 am
Location: Asheville, NC

Re: 2018 Playoff summaries and notes.

Post by Mike G » Thu Jun 07, 2018 11:24 am

Dubs up 3-0 and by 12.3 ppg

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gm 1-3    tm   min   PER   WS/50   BPM   WS   vorp
LeBron    Cle   46   31.8   .207  13.4   .60   .53
Durant     GS   43   29.4   .297  10.5   .79   .40
D Green    GS   42   15.7   .181   6.6   .48   .27
Curry      GS   41   16.8   .093   2.8   .24   .15
Livingston GS   17   26.2   .303   6.3   .32   .11

Love      Cle   35   23.5   .135   1.2   .30   .08
Bell       GS   12   25.2   .298   5.5   .22   .07
McGee      GS   13   28.7   .257   4.5   .21   .06
K Thompson GS   40   12.7   .081    .0   .20   .06
Hood      Cle   10   25.2   .168   1.2   .11   .02

gm 1-3    tm   min   PER   WS/50   BPM   WS   vorp
Looney     GS   12   11.0   .106    .2   .08   .02
Iguodala   GS    7   14.2   .110   1.1   .05   .02
West       GS    7   14.4   .044   3.4   .02   .03
Nance     Cle   15   20.0   .072  -2.6   .07  -.01
Hill      Cle   31    7.5  -.006  -1.8  -.01   .01

TThompson Cle   26    9.5  -.004  -6.9  -.01  -.09
Smith     Cle   34    6.0  -.054  -4.9  -.12  -.07
J Green   Cle   25    4.9  -.067  -7.0  -.10  -.09
Young      GS   10  -10.0  -.233 -13.7  -.14  -.08
Clarkson  Cle    9   -1.7  -.304 -13.3  -.16  -.07
Korver    Cle   15   -3.6  -.193 -13.6  -.18  -.13

gm 1-3    tm   min   PER   WS/50   BPM   WS   vorp
totals     GS  249   18.6   .165   3.9  2.57  1.10
totals    Cle  249   14.8   .035  -1.1   .54   .17
GS last night was +14 in 22 Iguodala minutes.

Mike G
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Joined: Fri Apr 15, 2011 12:02 am
Location: Asheville, NC

Re: 2018 Playoff summaries and notes.

Post by Mike G » Sat Jun 09, 2018 10:13 pm

Did Durant deserve MVP? Seems he did:

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FINALS     tm   min   PER   WS/48   BPM   WS   vorp
Durant     GS   165   29.4   .307  11.5  1.05   .56
LeBron    Cle   179   28.5   .173  11.1   .65   .59
D Green    GS   166   15.8   .200   7.2   .69   .38
Curry      GS   162   21.3   .161   6.4   .54   .34
Livingston GS    65   22.2   .275   4.6   .37   .11

Bell       GS    54   22.5   .277   5.5   .31   .10
Love      Cle   133   21.8   .114    .5   .31   .08
McGee      GS    55   25.7   .248   3.7   .28   .08
Iguodala   GS    44   18.8   .206   7.2   .19   .10
Nance     Cle    68   21.4   .119   2.0   .17   .07

FINALS     tm   min   PER   WS/48   BPM   WS   vorp
K Thompson GS   148   10.8   .066  -0.8   .20   .04
Looney     GS    39   12.1   .129  -0.6   .10   .01
West       GS    28   14.0   .104   2.2   .06   .03
Hood      Cle    57   17.7   .038  -1.6   .05   .01
TThompson Cle    94   10.9   .008  -6.2   .02  -.10

Smith     Cle   129    6.7  -.040  -3.8  -.11  -.06
Clarkson  Cle    26   -2.8  -.317 -12.2  -.17  -.07
Hill      Cle   117    4.5  -.065  -4.9  -.16  -.08
Young      GS    38   -7.4  -.189 -13.0  -.15  -.10
J Green   Cle    97    4.2  -.090  -7.4  -.18  -.13
Korver    Cle    65   -6.2  -.233 -15.3  -.32  -.22

FINALS     tm   min   PER   WS/48   BPM   WS   vorp
totals     GS   985   18.8   .184   4.6  3.77  1.64
totals    Cle   985   13.6   .016  -1.7   .33   .08
Scraping from threads hereabouts, game-by-game for LeBron, Durant, Draymond, and Curry

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Win Shares            
G   LBJ    KD    DG    SC
1   .33   .10   .20   .16
2   .10   .27   .16   .13
3   .17   .42   .12  -.05
4   .05   .26   .21   .30

VORP            
G   LBJ    KD    DG    SC
1   .24   .03   .16   .10
2   .14   .16   .06   .11
3   .15   .21   .05  -.06
4   .06   .16   .11   .19

eWins            
G   LBJ    KD    DG    SC
1   .26   .14   .15   .15
2   .14   .21   .07   .22
3   .22   .35   .06   .04
4   .10   .24   .10   .27
LeBron had .33 WS in G1 and .32 after.

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