2019 playoffs, East round 2

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Crow
Posts: 6188
Joined: Thu Apr 14, 2011 11:10 pm

Re: 2019 playoffs, East round 2

Post by Crow » Wed May 08, 2019 3:39 pm

Harden's best playoff BPM to date was 87th best (2 years ago). His current run is good for 103rd place.

Durant's best was 59th (also 2 years ago). Current playoff BPM is 310th best. 0 on DBPM. Embid, Gasol, Iggy, Butler and Lillard a bit ahead of Durant.

Jokic 9th best, ahead of Leonard.


C Paul with 2 of the 11 best in previous years. 385th currently. Irving a bit behind Paul. His best was 444th 3 years ago.

Curry 699th currently. His best was 27th. 2 years ago.

Giannis, 38th best for this playoffs.


Was 2 years ago the peak for the biggest older names or will one surge this time or next?

Crow
Posts: 6188
Joined: Thu Apr 14, 2011 11:10 pm

Re: 2019 playoffs, East round 2

Post by Crow » Wed May 08, 2019 9:38 pm

You mentioned BPM. I followed up with more talk about BPM because that would flow and because my comments used your link. But if that bugs you, I'll keep that in mind.

Move it if you want. I might later if it matters.

Crow
Posts: 6188
Joined: Thu Apr 14, 2011 11:10 pm

Re: 2019 playoffs, East round 2

Post by Crow » Thu May 09, 2019 1:53 am

Stevens' choice of a starting lineup did not work. It was neutral in regular season and barely very in playoffs to date but that wasn't enough.

Changes seem necessary in several ways. Including lineup management.

Crow
Posts: 6188
Joined: Thu Apr 14, 2011 11:10 pm

Re: 2019 playoffs, East round 2

Post by Crow » Thu May 09, 2019 3:34 am

Colossal failure by the Celtics' offense tonight. Bucks were meh and walked away to a huge victory.

Irving with 15 points on 25 possessions used and only got 1 assist.

Mike G
Posts: 4424
Joined: Fri Apr 15, 2011 12:02 am
Location: Asheville, NC

Re: 2019 playoffs, East round 2

Post by Mike G » Thu May 09, 2019 2:31 pm

Bucks 4 , Celtics 1
avg score 113.0 - 104.4
Pyth wins 3.71 - 1.29 , eWins 3.10 - 1.90

Code: Select all

eWins  per36 rates   tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
1.25  Antetokounmpo  Mil   34  .599   33.1  10.9   5.3   1.5   3.2  1.7   3.52
.56  Khris Middleton Mil   35  .558   19.9   6.1   4.9   1.0   2.6   .0   1.53
.51   Marcus Morris  Bos   30  .755   19.4   9.8   1.8    .2   1.3  1.2   1.63
.46   Al Horford     Bos   34  .600   16.4   7.3   4.0    .4   2.0   .8   1.29
.37   George Hill    Mil   25  .683   21.0   3.4   3.4    .3    .3   .0   1.41

.36   Kyrie Irving   Bos   36  .442   16.4   3.8   5.8   1.4   3.8   .2    .94
.33   Nikola Mirotic Mil   25  .519   13.7   8.6   1.4   1.7    .3   .6   1.23
.27   Jaylen Brown   Bos   31  .591   17.5   5.0   1.4   1.2   2.0   .2    .81
.25   Jayson Tatum   Bos   31  .455   11.3   7.8   2.3   1.2   1.8  1.4    .79
.22   Eric Bledsoe   Mil   27  .496   17.2   3.5   4.8    .8   4.3  1.1    .78

eWins  per36 rates   tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.20   Ersan Ilyasova Mil   19  .507   10.9   9.0   2.4   1.8    .7   .7   1.02
.19  Pat Connaughton Mil   29  .482    8.3   9.7   1.7    .7   1.0   .7    .62
.08  Malcolm Brogdon Mil    3  .556   19.1   5.3   7.5    .0    .0  1.9   2.23
.06   Terry Rozier   Bos   17  .377    7.4   8.0   2.0    .7    .8   .4    .35
.00   Daniel Theis   Bos    3  .444   11.8   5.0    .0    .0   2.1  1.9    .06

-.01  Tony Snell     Mil    3  .625    8.8    .0    .0   1.8    .0   .0   -.35
-.01  Semi Ojeleye   Bos    7  .650   11.1   1.5   1.5    .0    .9   .0   -.20
-.02  Marcus Smart   Bos    6  .250    3.9   3.5   3.6   3.0   3.2   .0   -.33
-.03  Aron Baynes    Bos    8  .571    5.7   6.4    .0    .8    .9   .8   -.33
-.04  Gordon Hayward Bos   29  .474    7.2   3.3   3.1    .5   2.0   .5   -.13

eWins  per36 rates   tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
-.06  Brook Lopez    Mil   25  .375    5.6   5.6    .9    .3    .9  1.5   -.23
-.09  Sterling Brown Mil   10  .179    1.5   3.7   2.0    .0   1.4   .0   -.90
shooting: Mil .539 - .519 Bos
rebounds: Mil 50.8 - 48.2 Bos
turnovers: Mil 12.0 - 13.8 Bos

Crow
Posts: 6188
Joined: Thu Apr 14, 2011 11:10 pm

Re: 2019 playoffs, East round 2

Post by Crow » Thu May 09, 2019 7:46 pm

Celtics had least effective offense that got to play in second round. Bottom quarter on team efg%, off. reb. % and turnovers. Only strong offensive factor was getting to line.

Mike G
Posts: 4424
Joined: Fri Apr 15, 2011 12:02 am
Location: Asheville, NC

Re: 2019 playoffs, East round 2

Post by Mike G » Fri May 10, 2019 12:15 pm

Raptors 3 , Sixers 3
avg score 103.2 - 100.3
Pyth wins 3.55 - 2.45 , eWins 3.27 - 2.73

Code: Select all

eWins  per36 rates  tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
1.72  Kawhi Leonard Tor   39  .662   38.7  10.0   3.8    .9   3.3   .3   3.51
1.05  Jimmy Butler  Phl   37  .563   23.6   7.8   6.0   1.0   2.3   .7   2.27
.79   Pascal Siakam Tor   34  .534   23.3   6.4   2.4   2.2   1.8   .5   1.84
.55   Joel Embiid   Phl   32  .526   19.2  10.0   3.4    .8   4.8  2.1   1.38
.44   Kyle Lowry    Tor   39  .519   13.2   5.0   6.0    .8   1.8   .3    .90

.43   Ben Simmons   Phl   35  .567   12.2   7.8   4.9   1.4   2.2   .5    .97
.42   Tobias Harris Phl   38  .432   11.3   9.4   3.9   1.0   2.4   .7    .90
.27   Marc Gasol    Tor   33  .529   10.3   5.5   4.1    .9   1.0  1.1    .64
.12   James Ennis   Phl   24  .527   10.6   6.2   1.7    .5    .7   .7    .41
.09   J.J. Redick   Phl   32  .618   15.7   2.0   1.8    .0   2.0   .2    .23

eWins  per36 rates  tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.09   Danny Green   Tor   34  .596   12.0   4.8    .6   1.5   1.8   .2    .20
.08   Greg Monroe   Phl    8  .477   11.7   8.5   1.2    .6    .7  1.9    .85
.07   Mike Scott    Phl   11  .813   16.7   5.1   1.4    .0   2.0   .0    .51
.05   Norman Powell Tor   11  .553    9.9   2.8   4.2    .4    .5   .0    .36
.02   Serge Ibaka   Tor   21  .411    9.5   7.0    .3    .3   1.4  1.5    .09

-.08  Jonah Bolden  Phl    7  .300    2.8   3.8   2.1   1.5   3.8   .0   -.97
-.09  Fred VanVleet Tor   17  .222    1.6   3.5   2.6   1.5    .7   .6   -.43
shooting: Tor .546 - .528 Phl
rebounds: Phl 46.2 - 38.3 Tor
turnovers: Tor 10.5 - 15.8 Phl

Mike G
Posts: 4424
Joined: Fri Apr 15, 2011 12:02 am
Location: Asheville, NC

Re: 2019 playoffs, East round 2

Post by Mike G » Fri May 10, 2019 2:29 pm

Bos-Mil "advanced" stats and eWins.

Code: Select all

Celtics   min    PER   WS/48   BPM   e480     WS  vorp  eWin
Horford   172   16.9   .120    4.1   1.29    .43   .26   .46
Baynes     38    5.9   .012   -5.4   -.33    .01  -.03  -.03
Theis      15   10.7  -.113  -15.3    .06   -.04  -.05   .00
Hayward   143    6.5  -.015   -2.8   -.13   -.04  -.03  -.04
Brown     157   14.4   .101    0.9    .81    .33   .11   .27

Tatum     153   11.6   .024   -0.7    .79    .08   .05   .25
Irving    182   11.1  -.072   -2.6    .94   -.27  -.03   .36
Morris    149   21.3   .232    7.2   1.63    .72   .34   .51
Smart      32    3.3  -.123   -1.2   -.33   -.08   .01  -.02
Rozier     87    6.4  -.051   -4.3    .35   -.09  -.05   .06
                      
totals   1128   12.8   .049    0.1    .81   1.13   .59  1.85

                        
Bucks     min    PER   WS/48   BPM   e480     WS  vorp  eWin
Lopez     126    3.1   .012   -1.4   -.23    .03   .02  -.06
Bledsoe   135   11.3   .026   -1.0    .78    .07   .04   .22
Ilyasova   93   16.0   .189    4.2   1.02    .37   .14   .20
G Hill    126   20.9   .269    5.7   1.41    .71   .24   .37
Giannis   170   31.0   .312   13.0   3.52   1.10   .64  1.25

Middleton 177   15.6   .141    3.0   1.53    .52   .22   .56
Mirotic   127   16.2   .184    3.9   1.23    .49   .19   .33
Conna'ton 143    9.6   .093    0.5    .62    .28   .09   .19
S Brown    48   -6.0  -.158  -10.5   -.90   -.16  -.10  -.09
Frazier    13   39.0   .550   14.6   3.22    .15   .05   .09
Snell      16    9.0   .151    0.2   -.35    .05   .01  -.01

totals   1183   15.1   .144    3.1   1.23   3.55  1.50  3.02
Others had minutes but not much. Ordering is alphabetical by first name.

Mike G
Posts: 4424
Joined: Fri Apr 15, 2011 12:02 am
Location: Asheville, NC

Re: 2019 playoffs, East round 2

Post by Mike G » Mon May 13, 2019 11:37 am

Raptors 4 , Sixers 3
avg score 101.6 - 98.9
Pyth wins 4.12 - 2.88 , eWins 3.81 - 3.19

Code: Select all

eWins  per36 rates  tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
1.93  Kawhi Leonard Tor   40  .621   37.8   9.4   3.6   1.2   3.3   .3   3.33
1.09  Jimmy Butler  Phl   38  .552   21.8   7.1   5.4   1.0   2.1   .6   1.98
.87   Pascal Siakam Tor   35  .523   21.5   7.1   2.4   2.1   1.7   .5   1.72
.66   Joel Embiid   Phl   34  .515   18.7   9.8   3.6    .6   4.6  2.2   1.34
.53   Tobias Harris Phl   38  .458   11.9   9.3   3.9   1.0   2.3   .6    .95

.52   Ben Simmons   Phl   36  .596   12.6   7.7   4.9   1.3   2.6   .9    .98
.51   Kyle Lowry    Tor   39  .497   12.5   5.1   6.0   1.0   1.8   .3    .90
.30   Marc Gasol    Tor   35  .517    9.4   6.1   3.4    .8    .8  1.4    .59
.20   J.J. Redick   Phl   33  .628   16.1   2.3   2.1    .2   1.8   .3    .41
.13   James Ennis   Phl   23  .534   11.2   6.0   1.7    .4    .9   .6    .41

eWins  per36 rates  tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.13   Serge Ibaka   Tor   22  .473   12.5   7.5    .9    .2   1.6  1.3    .42
.07   Danny Green   Tor   33  .581   10.7   4.8    .7   1.4   1.6   .3    .15
.07   Greg Monroe   Phl    7  .457   11.5   8.4   1.3    .6   1.3  1.9    .67
.07   Norman Powell Tor   10  .553   10.5   2.9   4.4    .5    .5   .0    .49
.05   Mike Scott    Phl   11  .737   14.5   5.3   1.3    .0   1.8   .0    .31

.00 Bob. Marjanovic Phl    4  .714   12.8   5.5   1.1    .0   3.4   .0   -.01
-.04  Patrick McCaw Tor    4  .333    1.8   1.2   2.5   1.2   1.3   .0   -.81
-.07  Jonah Bolden  Phl    6  .300    3.0   3.9   2.3   1.5   4.0   .0   -.89
-.10  Fred VanVleet Tor   17  .237    2.3   3.4   2.3   1.9    .9   .5   -.39
shooting: Tor .534 - .532 Phl
rebounds: Phl 45.4 - 39.9 Tor
turnovers: Tor 11.4 - 16.6 Phl

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