APBRmetrics

Foul rate is now just the highest in 18 years compared to season data, down from 40 years.

LeBron's 10+ pt streak is over.

BPM before tonight was -0.6.

Points and rebounds per minute down 40%.

Small sample but...

This kind of streak seems kind of sketchy. Lots of games he didn't score 10 because he didn't play. Very few, perhaps none, where he left early due to injury.
Last night, Draymond Green had zero assists, breaking a streak of games with at least 1. He got hurt @ 9 minutes.
(Last time he got 0, it was a 3 minute appearance last Jan.)
No player should be encouraged to play hurt, just to keep a trivial streak going.

Leaguewide fg% from 0-3 feet began to move up noticeably in 2017-18. Frequency started to decline. Fg% from 3-10 feet started to rise noticeably in 2020-21 with frequency rising. Both are currently 6% higher than seen in late 2010s. About 6% of frequency has shifted from 0-3 feet to 3-10 feet as well. Longer layups, floaters, hooks, short jumpers, whatever, it is more used. Relatively inefficient but better than past.

Long 2s from 16-23 feet quickly fell from earliest data in late 1990s from almost 46% to near 40% a few years later and have stayed there.

"Floaters" or runners or "teardrop" (Mark Jackson) are usually major penetration moves, often drawing a C or other big. I wonder if these can be separated out and an O-Reb% increase found.
In other words, a 45% FGA with a 40% OReb chance could be a much better ORtg on the play.
A shot virtually no one would take in the previous century is very much a staple now for perhaps half of NBA guards/wings.

By a simple sum of I believe individual efficiency measures of bench players

https://www.hoopsstats.com/basketball/f ... iffeff/1-1

3 assumed contenders have bottom 5 benches and 2 more are at least 20th.

6 contenders or possible contenders rank high. Rockets and Thunder only 9th and 10th respectively.

Other methods should be found / considered. Sum of minutes weighted actial EPM or another quality metric with a RAPM component (especially for defense).

on fouls and free throws received and given:

https://x.com/bballstrategy/status/2011 ... 95324?s=20

and a continuation:

https://x.com/bballstrategy/status/2011 ... 56946?s=20

Quantative study of size matchups? Has it been done?

https://x.com/bballstrategy/status/2017 ... 91170?s=20

Not sure if / where I have done this before:

Thunder have 12 6-6 & under.
Nuggets, 8
Spurs 11.
Lakers 7
Rockets 8
Warriors 11
Timberwolves 7
Suns 10

Celtics 8
Pistons 7
Knicks 10
Cavs 11

Minutes-weighted, current OKC players make their avg height 6-6.5
T-Wolves come in at 6-7.5

Useful information.

Match-up detail may be worthwhile in playoffs.

A few counts of category leaders:

https://x.com/bballstrategy/status/2028 ... 80903?s=20

Offensive efficiency with tiny lead for all-time mark over 2023-24.

TS% tied for 2nd best.

FTa per game up almost 2 from last season and about the same as 2022-23. Highest in 12 seasons but 15th lowest all-time.

3pta drops 0.6 from peak last season. Answering a question at Sloan, an NBA exec passed on chance to call a peak or acknowledge the slight drop.

ORebs per game continue 5 year rise.

Top ts% rapm factors by season (for as long as it exists):

Nash all of top 3

Nash, James Cuury take first nine.

Jokic enters at 10th.

Those 4 take every place thru 27th.

Then Durant and Harden, later Wade, Embìd and Lillard.

Those 8 take all of top 73.

T Young, S O'Neal and Ginobil take a few spots from them in top 90. Kobe Bryant enters at about 100 with a mix of others before and after that.

Cade Cunnigham, SGA and #1s on recent titlewinners by regular season BPM:

https://x.com/bballstrategy/status/2043 ... 90000?s=20