2012 West Conf. Finals: Okl vs SA

Mike G · Post by **Mike G** » Mon May 28, 2012 1:19 pm

Spurs 1, Thunder 0
score: 101 - 98
Pythagorean wins: .60 - .40; eWins .55 - .45

eWins   per36 rates   tm  mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.18   Ginobili,Manu   SA   34  .788   42.4   5.4   3.1   1.1   3.2   .0   2.54
.15   Durant,Kevin    Okl  43  .540   23.5   7.3   3.1   1.7   1.7  2.5   1.66
.10   Parker,Tony     SA   38  .486   17.4   7.8   6.5   1.9   3.8   .0   1.24
.09   Splitter,Tiago  SA   13  .600   32.0  16.7   8.9    .0   2.7   .0   3.19
.08   Diaw,Boris      SA   22  .667   16.5   6.7   7.4    .0    .0   .0   1.65

.07   Fisher,Derek    Okl  23  .813   29.1    .0   2.9   1.5   1.5   .0   1.54
.07   Ibaka,Serge     Okl  22  .556    7.9  10.0   1.6   1.6    .0  3.3   1.58
.07   Duncan,Tim      SA   35  .444   14.4  11.6   2.4    .0   2.1  1.0    .92
.06  Sefolosha,Thabo  Okl  31  .500    7.0   5.1   2.4   4.7    .0  1.2    .93
.06   Collison,Nick   Okl  17  .625   12.8  12.7   4.1   2.1   2.1   .0   1.60

eWins   per36 rates   tm  mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.05   Harden,James    Okl  31  .559   23.8   6.0   1.2   2.3   4.6   .0    .77
.03   Jackson,Stephen SA   23  .833   11.1   4.8   1.7   1.5   1.5   .0    .69
.03   Neal,Gary       SA   24  .667   18.4   1.5   1.7    .0    .0   .0    .61
.03  Westbrook,Russel Okl  37  .386   12.9   4.2   5.6    .0   3.9  1.9    .34
.01   Leonard,Kawhi   SA   25  .389    7.4  10.4    .0   1.4   2.9   .0    .12

.01   Bonner,Matt     SA   11  .000     .0   9.9   7.5    .0   3.2   .0    .23
-.01  Cook,Daequan    Okl   8  .000     .0   3.8    .0    .0    .0   .0   -.68
-.03 Perkins,Kendrick Okl  28  .417    4.9   2.2   1.3    .0   1.3  1.3   -.43
-.03  Green,Daniel    SA   16  .000     .0   4.6    .0    .0   4.5  2.2   -.98

shooting: SA .529 - .519 Okl
rebounds: SA 50 - 43 Okl
turnovers: Okl 13 - 16 SA

Mike G · Post by **Mike G** » Wed May 30, 2012 1:01 pm

Spurs 2, Thunder 0
Avg score: 110.5 - 104.5
Pyth wins: 1.36 - .64; eWins 1.18 - .82

Code: Select all

eWins   per36 rates   tm  mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.33   Durant,Kevin    Okl  43  .630   26.4   6.4   3.2   2.1   2.1  2.1   1.89
.31   Parker,Tony     SA   39  .642   27.8   5.2   7.6    .9   2.8   .0   1.90
.25   Ginobili,Manu   SA   30  .730   35.2   3.6   4.6    .6   3.0   .0   2.03
.25   Harden,James    Okl  33  .671   30.3   7.1   2.3   2.2   2.2   .0   1.82
.17   Duncan,Tim      SA   36  .397   10.5  12.0   5.2    .0   2.5  2.5   1.16

.16   Diaw,Boris      SA   25  .773   16.1   8.3   5.2    .7   1.5   .7   1.60
.15   Splitter,Tiago  SA   12  .586   28.6   8.9   9.9    .0   1.4   .0   3.09
.14  Westbrook,Russel Okl  39  .454   16.1   5.6   6.1    .0   1.9   .9    .85
.11   Leonard,Kawhi   SA   30  .581   13.4  10.5    .0   1.2   1.8  1.2    .86
.10   Ibaka,Serge     Okl  31  .371    4.8  10.1    .6   1.8   1.2  3.5    .76

eWins   per36 rates   tm  mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.04   Fisher,Derek    Okl  25  .548   14.8   2.2   2.0   1.4   1.4   .0    .37
.04   Collison,Nick   Okl  13  .417    5.0  12.0   2.5   2.7   1.3   .0    .65
.03  Sefolosha,Thabo  Okl  23  .409    4.4   4.7   1.5   3.1    .0   .8    .33
.02   Neal,Gary       SA   17  .750   16.4   1.1   1.3    .0   1.1   .0    .29
.01   Bonner,Matt     SA   14  .400    3.5   6.4   4.5    .0   1.2   .0    .18

.01   Jackson,Stephen SA   18  .571    7.3   4.1   2.4   1.0   1.0   .0    .09
-.02  Green,Daniel    SA   22  .313    4.9   6.0   2.2    .8   3.4  1.7   -.19
-.06 Perkins,Kendrick Okl  27  .333    3.4   4.8   1.3    .7   3.4  2.0   -.50

Shooting: SA .579 - .521 Okl
Rebounds: SA 45.5 - 41.5 Okl
Turnovers: Okl 11.5 - 14.5 SA

Mike G · Post by **Mike G** » Fri Jun 01, 2012 12:48 pm

Spurs 2, Thunder 1
Avg score: Okl 103.7 - 101 SA
Pyth wins: Okl 1.76 - 1.24 SA; eWins 1.63 - 1.37

Code: Select all

eWins   per36 rates   tm  mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.49   Durant,Kevin   Okl   41  .606   26.5   6.3   3.9   1.8   2.4  1.5   1.93
.37   Parker,Tony     SA   35  .636   27.0   4.9   6.5    .7   3.8   .0   1.67
.35   Harden,James   Okl   30  .660   28.6   6.6   2.9   1.5   1.9   .0   1.85
.30 Westbrook,Russel Okl   37  .425   15.1   6.3   7.8   1.3   2.0  1.3   1.28
.26   Ginobili,Manu   SA   27  .692   28.3   5.2   3.4    .4   3.8   .0   1.53

.21   Ibaka,Serge    Okl   30  .474    9.2   8.2    .8   2.0    .8  3.6   1.10
.19   Duncan,Tim      SA   32  .380   11.2   9.6   3.8    .0   2.6  3.7    .95
.17  Sefolosha,Thabo Okl   28  .509   10.2   5.4   1.3   4.4    .0   .9    .97
.16   Diaw,Boris      SA   21  .667   11.7   8.2   4.9    .6   1.7   .6   1.23
.14   Splitter,Tiago  SA   12  .581   18.8   7.4   6.5    .0   2.7   .0   1.83

eWins   per36 rates   tm  mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.13   Leonard,Kawhi   SA   25  .540   10.8  11.4    .0   1.0   1.5  1.4    .85
.09   Collison,Nick  Okl   12  .611   10.5  12.0   1.8   2.7    .9   .0   1.24
.08   Jackson,Stephen SA   19  .857   18.5   3.6   1.2   1.2   2.9   .0    .70
.06   Fisher,Derek   Okl   23  .500   12.5   3.0   3.5   1.0   1.0   .0    .40
.02   Neal,Gary       SA   18  .524   12.3    .6   4.0    .0   1.2   .0    .17

.01   Green,Daniel    SA   21  .342    4.9   6.4   1.9   1.1   2.3  1.7    .05
.00 Perkins,Kendrick Okl   25  .375    4.4   7.3   1.0    .5   2.9  2.9    .02
-.04  Bonner,Matt     SA   17  .222    1.3   6.0   2.9    .0   1.3   .0   -.38

shooting: SA .552 - .524 Okl
rebounds: SA 44.0 - 42.3 Okl
turnovers: Okl 10.0 - 16.7 SA

Crow · Post by **Crow** » Sat Jun 02, 2012 2:38 am

The four guys who play 20+ minutes per game but are contributing less than .05 wins per game, according to ewins, are Leonard, Green, Fisher and Perkins. San Antonio paid their pair about $2.5 million for the season. The Thunder paid almost $10 million for their pair.

Mike G · Post by **Mike G** » Sun Jun 03, 2012 1:12 pm

Thunder 2, Spurs 2
Avg score: Okl 105.0 - 101.5 SA
Pyth wins: 2.44 - 1.56; eWins 2.22 - 1.78

Code: Select all

eWins   per36 rates   tm  mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.71   Durant,Kevin   Okl   42  .641   30.8   6.3   4.6   1.3   2.0  1.3   2.04
.40   Harden,James   Okl   31  .600   25.1   7.4   4.4   1.4   2.3   .0   1.56
.35   Ibaka,Serge    Okl   33  .639   15.8   7.4    .6   1.4    .8  3.3   1.27
.34   Parker,Tony     SA   36  .576   21.7   4.2   6.0    .5   3.0   .0   1.12
.32   Ginobili,Manu   SA   27  .705   30.4   4.2   4.1    .7   5.0   .0   1.46

.28 Westbrook,Russel Okl   37  .404   12.3   6.1   7.8   1.2   2.2  1.0    .93
.26   Duncan,Tim      SA   33  .418   12.7   9.6   3.5    .0   1.9  3.0    .93
.24   Leonard,Kawhi   SA   27  .667   15.2  11.5    .0   1.0   1.7  1.0   1.07
.21   Diaw,Boris      SA   24  .612   12.1   8.4   4.1    .8   1.1   .4   1.05
.18  Sefolosha,Thabo Okl   26  .507    9.7   6.7   1.5   3.8    .0   .7    .84

eWins   per36 rates   tm  mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.17   Jackson,Stephen SA   20  .854   22.6   2.8   1.9   1.3   2.6   .0   1.01
.15   Collison,Nick  Okl   14  .679   14.7  10.1   2.0   3.1   1.3   .0   1.34
.13   Splitter,Tiago  SA   11  .514   15.7   7.8   7.0    .0   2.5   .0   1.52
.11 Perkins,Kendrick Okl   27  .519    8.9   8.6   1.1    .3   3.0  2.3    .47
.07   Blair,Dejuan    SA    5  .667   19.9  14.5    .0   1.7    .0  1.7   1.65

.07   Fisher,Derek   Okl   22  .438    9.4   3.5   4.9    .8    .8   .0    .37
.06   Neal,Gary       SA   18  .566   14.5   1.0   3.8    .0   1.0   .0    .39
.02   Anderson,James  SA    4  .667    7.8   6.4   2.2    .0    .0   .0    .66
.00   Green,Daniel    SA   21  .357    5.3   5.6   2.0    .9   1.8  1.3    .02
-.02  Mills,Patrick   SA    3  .300    4.9    .0   3.2    .0   2.8   .0   -.61

-.03  Bonner,Matt     SA   13  .200    1.0   6.2   2.9    .0   1.3   .0   -.26
-.03  Cook,Daequan   Okl    5  .250    1.5   1.9    .0    .0    .0   .0   -.73

shooting: SA .557 - .545 Okl
rebounds: Okl 42.0 - 40.8 SA
turnovers: Okl 10.5 - 15.0 SA

Mike G · Post by **Mike G** » Mon Jun 04, 2012 10:44 pm

For fair and balanced coverage, here's the same game-by-game eWins reconstruction that I did for the Mia-Bos series. Just the top 5 players on each team.

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Team        Cumulative eWins           Single Game eWins
.OKC       G1    G2    G3    G4       G1    G2    G3    G4
Durant    .15   .33   .49   .71      .15   .18   .16   .22
Harden    .05   .25   .35   .40      .05   .20   .10   .05
Ibaka     .07   .10   .21   .35      .07   .03   .11   .14
Westbrook .03   .14   .30   .28      .03   .11   .16  -.02
Sefolosha .06   .03   .17   .18      .06  -.03   .14   .01
                           
SAS        G1    G2    G3    G4       G1    G2    G3    G4
Parker    .10   .31   .37   .34      .10   .21   .06  -.03
Ginobili  .18   .25   .26   .32      .18   .07   .01   .06
Duncan    .07   .17   .19   .26      .07   .10   .02   .07
Leonard   .01   .11   .13   .24      .01   .10   .02   .11
Diaw      .08   .16   .16   .21      .08   .08   .00   .05

Durant's been remarkably consistent. He's had 4 of the 8 best games in the series.
Only in G4 was he the hands-down best player; and only Ibaka was even half as good.

Mike G · Post by **Mike G** » Tue Jun 05, 2012 1:20 pm

Thunder 3, Spurs 2
Avg score: Okl 105.6 - 101.8 SA
Pyth wins: 3.10 - 1.90; eWins 2.80 - 2.20

Code: Select all

eWins   per36 rates   tm  mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.86   Durant,Kevin   Okl   42  .636   28.9   5.8   4.5   1.6   2.3  1.2   1.97
.52   Harden,James   Okl   32  .621   24.0   6.7   4.0   1.6   1.8   .0   1.58
.49   Ginobili,Manu   SA   29  .697   31.1   4.8   4.6   1.0   4.9   .0   1.64
.43 Westbrook,Russel Okl   38  .412   13.9   5.5   8.3   1.7   2.9   .9   1.07
.43   Duncan,Tim      SA   33  .464   14.9  10.7   3.3    .2   2.0  2.6   1.23

.41   Ibaka,Serge    Okl   30  .639   15.6   7.7    .5   1.2   1.0  3.3   1.30
.39   Parker,Tony     SA   37  .559   20.4   4.3   5.4    .6   3.3   .0   1.00
.30   Leonard,Kawhi   SA   29  .632   11.7  11.5    .5   1.0   1.5   .8    .99
.23   Diaw,Boris      SA   24  .593   10.6   7.7   4.1    .9   1.5   .3    .91
.21  Sefolosha,Thabo Okl   25  .520   10.0   6.8   1.5   3.4    .9   .6    .80

eWins   per36 rates   tm  mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.19  Jackson,Stephen  SA   22  .814   19.3   2.7   2.3   1.6   2.5   .0    .85
.18   Collison,Nick  Okl   15  .735   13.3   7.6   1.4   2.7    .9   .4   1.13
.14   Splitter,Tiago  SA   10  .561   15.8   7.5   5.2    .0   2.5   .0   1.32
.11 Perkins,Kendrick Okl   28  .500    7.7   9.6    .8    .3   2.9  1.8    .39
.07   Fisher,Derek   Okl   22  .436    9.0   3.4   4.0    .9    .6   .0    .32

.07   Blair,Dejuan    SA    5  .700   17.4  11.7    .0   1.2   1.2  1.2   1.23
.01   Cook,Daequan   Okl    5  .714   14.1   1.5    .0    .0    .0   .0    .18
.00   Neal,Gary       SA   17  .478   10.7   1.3   3.0    .0   1.2   .0    .01
.00   Green,Daniel    SA   18  .333    5.3   5.7   2.2    .8   2.0  1.2   -.01
-.04  Bonner,Matt     SA   11  .200    1.1   5.9   2.6    .0   1.2   .0   -.33

shooting: SA .561 - .553 Okl
rebounds: SA 41.0 - 40.4 Okl
turnovers: Okl 11.6 - 16.2 SA

Mike G · Post by **Mike G** » Thu Jun 07, 2012 12:25 pm

Oklahoma Thunder 4, San Antonio Spurs 2
Average score: Okl 105.8 - 101.3 SA
Pythagorean wins: Okl 3.84 - 2.16 SA; eWins 3.42 - 2.58

Code: Select all

eWins   per36 rates   tm  mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
1.15  Durant,Kevin   Okl   43  .646   29.4   6.9   4.4   1.4   2.1  1.3   2.13
.61   Harden,James   Okl   32  .627   23.1   6.5   4.1   1.3   2.0   .0   1.51
.57   Duncan,Tim      SA   35  .472   16.0  11.4   3.0    .4   1.9  2.4   1.31
.56 Westbrook,Russel Okl   39  .445   15.8   6.0   7.8   1.4   3.1   .9   1.16
.54   Parker,Tony     SA   38  .542   20.9   4.0   6.3    .8   2.9   .0   1.14

.46   Ginobili,Manu   SA   30  .657   25.9   5.0   3.9    .8   4.5   .0   1.22
.44   Ibaka,Serge    Okl   31  .621   14.7   7.3    .4   1.0   1.2  3.1   1.16
.37   Jackson,Stephen SA   24  .899   23.5   3.2   1.9   1.7   2.4   .0   1.25
.28  Sefolosha,Thabo Okl   26  .565   10.9   6.7   1.5   3.3    .9   .5    .88
.25   Leonard,Kawhi   SA   31  .589    9.5   9.5    .6   1.0   1.4   .6    .66

eWins   per36 rates   tm  mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.23   Diaw,Boris      SA   25  .574    8.7   7.8   3.9   1.2   2.0   .2    .76
.17   Collison,Nick  Okl   14  .694   11.6   8.7   1.3   2.4   1.2   .4   1.01
.14   Splitter,Tiago  SA    9  .561   15.1   7.3   4.9    .0   2.4   .0   1.23
.12 Perkins,Kendrick Okl   28  .449    6.7   8.8   1.2    .7   2.6  1.7    .35
.09   Fisher,Derek   Okl   22  .467    9.7   2.8   3.6   1.0    .5   .0    .32

.06   Blair,Dejuan    SA    5  .700   16.2  11.1    .0   1.1   1.1  1.1   1.11
.02   Anderson,James  SA    3  .667    6.9   6.2   1.9    .0    .0   .0    .54
.01   Cook,Daequan   Okl    4  .714   13.9   1.5    .0    .0    .0   .0    .16
.01   Neal,Gary       SA   17  .476   10.5   1.4   2.7    .3   1.0   .0    .03
-.01  Green,Daniel    SA   15  .323    4.8   5.4   2.0    .8   1.9  1.1   -.07
-.04  Bonner,Matt     SA    9  .200    1.1   5.9   2.5    .0   1.2   .0   -.34

Effective Shooting: Okl .562 - .556 SA
Rebounds per game: Okl 40.7 - 39.8 SA
Turnovers per game: Okl 12.2 - 15.5 SA

APBRmetrics

2012 West Conf. Finals: Okl vs SA

2012 West Conf. Finals: Okl vs SA

Re: 2012 West Conf. Finals: Okl vs SA

Re: 2012 West Conf. Finals: Okl vs SA

Re: 2012 West Conf. Finals: Okl vs SA

Re: 2012 West Conf. Finals: Okl vs SA

Re: 2012 West Conf. Finals: Okl vs SA

Re: 2012 West Conf. Finals: Okl vs SA

Re: 2012 West Conf. Finals: Okl vs SA