2013 Playoffs, Eastern Conf. round 1

[Mike G]

Garnett's slow start and subsequent climb back toward superstar play:

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eWins  Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.03   .333    7.6   9.0   4.3   .0   2.9   1.0    .37
.15   .435   13.2  12.5   3.5   .0   3.6   1.8   1.17
.31   .432   13.2  15.6   3.1   .8   2.7   1.2   1.55
.52   .495   14.0  15.5   4.2   .8   2.5   1.1   1.94
.73   .530   15.4  16.0   4.4   .6   3.0   1.3   2.09

These are cumulative rates and eWins after 1 game, 2, etc., from previous posts.
Meanwhile, Carmelo has morphed into shooting specialist:

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eWins  Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.31   .563   41.9   6.2   1.0   3.5   2.6   .0   3.58
.59   .569   44.6   5.3   1.1   1.8   1.8   .0   3.56
.67   .555   40.0   3.8    .8   1.5   1.8   .0   2.71
.85   .502   36.8   4.6   1.1   1.3   2.9   .0   2.56
.92   .486   31.4   5.0   1.2   1.0   2.3   .0   2.18

His current .486 effective shooting % is just at the team's average in the series.
During the season, 'Melo rebounded at 72% of Garnett's rate, and in this series it's 31%
His Ast% is half what it was in the season.

[Mike G]

Nets 3, Bulls 3
avg score: Brk 100.5 - 97.2 Chi
Pyth wins: 3.66 - 2.34, eWins 3.33 - 2.67

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eWins   per36 rates  tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast  Stl   TO   Blk   e505
1.00  Brook Lopez    Brk   38  .547   23.2   7.7   1.5   .8   2.4  3.1   2.21
.82   Deron Williams Brk   42  .553   18.9   2.6   7.8  1.0   3.1   .6   1.65
.63   Carlos Boozer  Chi   42  .571   16.2  10.9   1.6   .4   2.4   .0   1.27
.47   Joakim Noah    Chi   29  .386   10.0  12.6   2.5   .6   2.5  3.2   1.34
.45   Nate Robinson  Chi   30  .605   22.5   1.7   3.5  1.0   2.3   .0   1.28

.40   Jimmy Butler   Chi   37  .579   12.7   4.6   2.4  1.2    .7   .8    .92
.39   Joe Johnson    Brk   39  .527   16.0   3.3   2.8   .8   1.4   .0    .85
.39   Reggie Evans   Brk   31  .484    5.9  16.1    .8  1.4    .8   .4   1.07
.32   Andray Blatche Brk   20  .534   17.1   8.7   1.3   .3   1.1   .5   1.38
.29   Gerald Wallace Brk   34  .533   12.1   5.2   2.2  1.4   1.4   .9    .71

eWins   per36 rates  tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast  Stl   TO   Blk   e505
.24  Marco Belinelli Chi   19  .537   16.3   4.0   3.8   .8   1.7   .0   1.05
.23   C.J. Watson    Brk   24  .505   12.3   3.9   3.0   .9    .2   .2    .81
.23   Luol Deng      Chi   37  .388    9.9   7.0   2.7   .8   2.0   .5    .51
.15   Nazr Mohammed  Chi   12  .566   11.9   8.9   1.3   .0    .8  1.9   1.04
.14   Kirk Hinrich   Chi   27  .511   10.2   2.8   4.5  1.8   1.8   .2    .44

.08   Kris Humphries Brk   12  .509   11.3   8.0    .4   .4    .8   .8    .54
.00   Taj Gibson     Chi   16  .600   12.0   4.5    .5   .3   1.6   .9    .00

Shooting: Brk .521 - .512 Chi
Rebounds: 39.9 each, per 48 min
Turnovers: Brk 11.5 - 13.0 Chi

[Mike G]

Knicks 4, Celtics 2
avg score 87.7 - 82.3
Pythagorean Wins: 4.18 - 1.82, eWins: 3.59 - 2.41

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eWins   per36 rates  tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e488
1.09 Carmelo Anthony NYK   41  .474   30.3   5.4   1.9   1.2   2.3   .1   2.14
.84   Kevin Garnett  Bos   35  .555   16.4  14.7   4.3    .9   3.3  1.0   1.93
.77   Raymond Felton NYK   41  .500   18.4   4.1   5.6   1.5   1.9   .5   1.52
.62   Jeff Green     Bos   43  .567   21.4   4.7   2.2    .3   2.7   .6   1.16
.60   Paul Pierce    Bos   43  .477   18.7   5.0   5.6    .7   4.6   .4   1.15

.51   Iman Shumpert  NYK   29  .587   15.1  10.1   2.0   2.3   1.5   .7   1.47
.37   J.R. Smith     NYK   27  .469   19.6   5.6   1.9   1.1   2.7   .5   1.14
.32   Jason Terry    Bos   32  .605   16.2   2.5   2.6    .8    .9   .4    .83
.29   Tyson Chandler NYK   29  .564    8.2  12.8    .7   1.1   1.3   .9    .83
.26   Pablo Prigioni NYK   19  .517   12.1   4.5   4.6   3.6   1.3   .0   1.14

eWins   per36 rates  tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e488
.23   Kenyon Martin  NYK   20  .529    9.4  10.6   1.0    .9   1.4  2.6    .92
.11   Brandon Bass   Bos   34  .548    8.0   7.4   1.5    .4    .9   .2    .27
.06   Steve Novak    NYK    7  .750   16.4   3.7    .0    .8    .0   .0    .69
.06   Jason Kidd     NYK   26  .306    2.0   7.9   3.7   1.3   1.8   .9    .17

.00 Terence Williams Bos    8  .227    2.4   7.2   5.0    .0   2.8   .7   -.03
-.02  Avery Bradley  Bos   32  .455    7.9   2.6   1.9   2.1   2.1   .2   -.04
-.03  Courtney Lee   Bos    7  .429    4.5   1.8   1.0   1.7    .0   .0   -.34
-.04  Chris Copeland NYK    4  .000     .0   1.7    .0   2.9   1.4   .0   -.91
-.05 Jordan Crawford Bos   10  .375    8.6   1.8    .0   1.1   1.7   .0   -.38

Shooting: Bos .516 - .490 NY
Rebounds: NY 41.6 - 38.3 Bos
Turnovers: NY 12.0 - 16.3 Bos


Pacers 4, Hawks 2
avg score: 94.5 - 89.3
Pyth Wins: 4.07 - 1.93, eWins: 3.54 - 2.46

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eWins   per36 rates   tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.94   Paul George     Ind   40  .544   20.8   9.1   5.2   1.7   2.4   .8   1.89
.67   Al Horford      Atl   36  .518   18.4   8.5   3.3   1.0   1.5   .8   1.47
.65   Josh Smith      Atl   33  .472   20.0   7.9   4.2   2.0   2.9   .6   1.57
.62   Roy Hibbert     Ind   32  .540   20.1  10.6   2.0    .2   2.7  2.1   1.55
.60   George Hill     Ind   35  .569   19.9   4.0   5.4   1.6   2.3   .2   1.37

.54   David West      Ind   34  .536   21.2   6.7   2.4    .7   2.5   .7   1.28
.38  Lance Stephenson Ind   33  .500   10.0   9.3   5.8   1.3   2.8   .2    .93
.35   Jeff Teague     Atl   36  .421   13.4   2.8   5.8   1.5   2.4   .3    .78
.19   Devin Harris    Atl   38  .450   11.1   2.6   3.9   1.6   1.9   .2    .41
.17  Tyler Hansbrough Ind   16  .479   13.7  10.5   1.3   1.8   2.5   .0    .85

eWins   per36 rates   tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.13   Kyle Korver     Atl   30  .555   13.1   3.9    .9    .4   1.2   .8    .36
.13   Gerald Green    Ind   12  .557   20.3   3.0   1.2    .0   1.0   .5    .86
.13   Johan Petro     Atl   17  .518   11.0   7.6   1.6    .4   1.1  1.4    .61
.11   Ivan Johnson    Atl   18  .514   12.6   6.1   1.0   1.3   1.9  1.0    .50
.09  Anthony Tolliver Atl   11  .774   15.7   4.3    .5    .5    .5   .5    .62

.06   D.J. Augustin   Ind   17  .421   10.7   3.3   2.5   1.0   1.0   .0    .29
.05   Ian Mahinmi     Ind    7  .321    6.2  12.5   1.0    .0   1.7  3.4    .61
.02 Jeff Pendergraph  Ind   10  .318    6.3   9.7    .7    .0   1.2   .6    .13
.01 Deshawn Stevenson Atl    8  .900    9.7   7.2    .8    .0   1.5   .0    .15

Shooting: Ind .505 - .494 Atl
Rebounds: Ind 49.3 - 38.3 Atl
Turnovers: Atl 12.0 - 15.0 Ind

[Mike G]

Bulls 4, Nets 3
Average score: Brk 99.4 - 97.4 Chi
Pyth wins: 3.97 - 3.03, eWins: 3.73 - 3.26

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eWins   per36 rates   tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast  Stl   TO   Blk   e501
1.08  Brook Lopez     Brk   38  .538   22.9   8.0   1.4   .8   2.2  3.0   2.06
.97   Deron Williams  Brk   42  .560   19.6   3.1   7.6   .9   2.7   .5   1.67
.71   Joakim Noah     Chi   31  .447   12.5  12.6   2.4   .7   2.2  3.6   1.64
.70   Carlos Boozer   Chi   40  .565   16.9  10.6   1.6   .5   2.4   .0   1.24
.51   Nate Robinson   Chi   30  .580   21.4   2.2   3.7  1.2   2.3   .0   1.23

.41   Marco Belinelli Chi   22  .582   18.9   4.4   3.4   .9   1.3   .0   1.33
.40   Andray Blatche  Brk   20  .541   17.5   8.7   2.1   .5   1.2   .7   1.47
.40   Reggie Evans    Brk   30  .500    5.5  16.5   1.1  1.2   1.0   .3    .97
.38   Gerald Wallace  Brk   35  .545   13.2   4.7   2.6  1.2   1.4   .8    .79
.37   Jimmy Butler    Chi   38  .554   11.6   4.5   2.5  1.0    .7   .7    .70

eWins   per36 rates   tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast  Stl   TO   Blk   e501
.32   Joe Johnson     Brk   39  .484   13.9   3.3   2.7  1.1   1.6   .0    .59
.24   Luol Deng       Chi   32  .388    9.9   6.8   2.8   .8   2.0   .5    .53
.23   C.J. Watson     Brk   23  .492   12.0   3.8   2.7  1.0    .2   .2    .70
.17   Nazr Mohammed   Chi   11  .561   12.3   9.2   1.3   .0    .7  1.8   1.04
.16   Kirk Hinrich    Chi   23  .511   10.3   2.7   4.7  1.8   1.8   .2    .50

.10   Kris Humphries  Brk   12  .449   10.3   9.1    .4   .4    .7  1.1    .60
.02   Marquis Teague  Chi    3  .400    8.3   0.0   4.2  2.3    .0  1.1    .46
-.01  Taj Gibson      Chi   16  .571   11.4   4.1    .7   .3   1.9   .8   -.04
-.04  Marshon Brooks  Brk    6  .444    5.2   3.7   2.1   .0   2.0   .0   -.56
-.05  Keith Bogans    Brk    3  .000     .0   2.8   2.6   .0   1.3   .0  -1.03
-.05 Jerry Stackhouse Brk    4  .208    3.1   4.4    .0   .0   2.0   .0   -.97

Shooting: Chi .518 - .516 Brk
Rebounds: Brk 40.3 - 39.9 Chi (per 48)
Turnovers: Brk 11.1 - 12.3 Chi