Next step in league averages

[Crow]

Last season saw 3 pt attempts up yr over yr by about 1.5 for second straight yr after they had temporarily stalled around 18 for awhile. Will we get another such increase?

FTAs bounced off all-time low in 2012-3 and personal fouls up a bit from 2011-12 all-time low. Those lows might get tested, depending on what NBA is telling the refs.

League tied all-time efg% and I haven't heard anyone mention it. Same for all-time low on off. rebs per game. Break those marks this season? Could well.

Pace up 2 last season, highest in 20 years. Probably goes higher.

Offensive rating moved higher but is still modest compared to past. How much improvement will there be?

[Mike G]

Some of these were mentioned over here -- http://www.apbr.org/forum/viewtopic.php?f=6&t=5203

We also saw the highest team scoring in 20 years, at 101.0 ppg.
The last time both Pace and ORtg were higher was 1993.

OReb% was an alltime-low 25.5
Compared to the 41-yr median of 30.8, this year was just 83% of that.

[Crow]

Yes, I now see most were mentioned there. Hadn't seen that thread. Mentioned some of these here at some point earlier last season as it proceeded or before playoffs as well; but thought it was worth re-stating with a call for any feedback about projecting the next data points. Seems worth knowing was / will be on the consistent side or even leading edge of all these trends (if they stay consistent). Might help some certain teams exceed expectations while others lag a bit more than expected.

[permaximum]

I wonder does anyone take basket and ball dimensions and physics into account while comparing league averages? I'm pretty certain ball physics change quite regularly.

Another thing to look at perhaps is parquet quality.

I suspect these things get some small adjustments to increase shooting percentages and scores time to time. Not yearly but once in a few years.

[Crow]

Last times team defense kept 3 pt efg% allowed below 2 pt efg% may have been single cases in 1997-8 and 1999-2000.

Really the more proper comparison would be with ts% or ideally off. rtg. The former is possible for a sample or entire play by play record, the later would take massive video interpretation. 82games did some small sample work. Some teams may have derived more precise data and more balanced or better defensive strategies but most teams have probably guessed at balancing the threats for most or all of the 3 pt era without access to definitive data.

[Mike G]

League TS% was .541 last year; up from .535 the year before, which was up from .527 in 2012.
Have to look these up one by one, I guess.
In 2009, it was .544