Shot selection

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knarsu3
Posts: 116
Joined: Thu Apr 14, 2011 11:25 pm

Shot selection

Post by knarsu3 »

I took a detailed look here- broken down by shot clock, location, shot defense and whether it was off the dribble or catch and shoot:

http://www.vantagesports.com/#story/VEk ... -selection
Crow
Posts: 10624
Joined: Thu Apr 14, 2011 11:10 pm

Re: Shot selection

Post by Crow »

How many coaches and GMs will read this, use this information? How many teams with analytic staffs had already produced something comparable? I am assuming the answer in both cases is quite low or at least well below half. It wouldn't be revealing much for an insider or former insider to simply dispute that if their experience gives them that impression.
fpliii
Posts: 85
Joined: Fri May 10, 2013 1:38 pm

Re: Shot selection

Post by fpliii »

Awesome work! Thanks for the contribution.
Crow
Posts: 10624
Joined: Thu Apr 14, 2011 11:10 pm

Re: Shot selection

Post by Crow »

The first sentence of the article is a heavy smack. At conventional operation and perhaps trying to break free of it.
knarsu3
Posts: 116
Joined: Thu Apr 14, 2011 11:25 pm

Re: Shot selection

Post by knarsu3 »

Crow wrote:How many coaches and GMs will read this, use this information? How many teams with analytic staffs had already produced something comparable? I am assuming the answer in both cases is quite low or at least well below half. It wouldn't be revealing much for an insider or former insider to simply dispute that if their experience gives them that impression.
No idea. I'd be interested to know.

BTW, if anyone does have any questions or thoughts on the research, feel free to email me at krishnanarsu3@gmail.com. I know the site doesn't allow commenting right now (they're working on it, should happen eventually)
Crow wrote:The first sentence of the article is a heavy smack. At conventional operation and perhaps trying to break free of it.
Here's the thing, if that contested off the dribble midrange shot is taken in the last few seconds of the shot clock, I don't think you can fault anyone because any shot is better than no shot. But the crazy part is the %'s don't really align with most of those shots coming at the end of the shot clock- only 25% of the contested off the dribble midrange shots were attempted in the last 5 seconds of the shot clock (this part was supposed to be in the article but I might have forgot to include it or it got edited). That means a whopping 75% came when there really is no reason to be shooting that type of shot (and if you want to look at the last 10 seconds instead, 56.5% of contested off the dribble midrange shots were taken in the last 10 seconds of the shot clock). Now I do believe the player matters but I highly doubt even the stars make contested off dribble midrange shots at a rate that makes it a better alternative to any other shot type.
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