2015-16 minutes projections

[schtevie]

To reiterate Crow's question, what is the theory and/or heuristic underlying these projections? This is kind of important, no?

[Kevin Pelton]

I'm just trying to predict how many minutes players are going to play. Last season is a starting point and I have a guide that balances minutes by position so I don't overpredict frontcourt/backcourt groups. That's pretty much it.

[Kevin Pelton]

File updated with Tyreke Evans injury, a few waivers:
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/ ... sp=sharing

[bondom343]

Don't want to come off as homeristic/pushy, but looking at OKC's minutes, I think the Kanter/Adams minutes are swapped. They're similar, but I'd expect an even split or maybe a few extra to Adams to be honest.

[J.E.]

Nitpicking, but I think Chandler Parsons plays less than 72 games @ 32 minutes after microfracture surgery

Dallas has been trotting out almost comical lineups in the preseason - I think the only player from their expected starting 5 to play any minutes was Nowitzki, who played two games. Not the best sign for overall team health

[Dr Positivity]

Biggest ones that stuck out to me are Gallo at only 56 Gs seems low, and I think Javale gets a bigger role than 5mpg

[Kevin Pelton]

Final update (not waiting for the Stokes/Hollins decision since neither are projected for any minutes anyway):
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/ ... sp=sharing