2016 Finals: Warriors vs Cavs II

[Mike G]

A little preview -- playoffs to date and reference points for later.

Code: Select all

. Cavs          min   PER   WS/48   BPM   e480    perW    WS    bpmW   eWin
LeBron James    530   29.1   .288  12.0   2.78    2.79   3.18   3.63   3.04
Kyrie Irving    501   24.6   .228   4.8   2.10    2.13   2.38   2.00   2.17
Kevin Love      455   20.5   .202   3.2   1.92    1.51   1.91   1.53   1.80
J.R. Smith      469   14.4   .166   5.7    .63     .91   1.62   2.04    .61
Channing Frye   204   23.9   .282   8.0   1.59     .83   1.20   1.07    .67

Tr. Thompson    396   12.1   .138   3.0    .46     .57   1.14   1.30    .37
Ri. Jefferson   213   13.4   .154    .8    .59     .37    .68    .51    .26
Iman Shumpert   239   10.2   .129   3.2    .25     .24    .64    .80    .12
Ma. Dellavedova 195   12.6   .137  -3.6    .79     .30    .56    .13    .32
Timofey Mozgov   50    3.4  -.018  -4.6    .01    -.03   -.02    .01    .00
  
                            
. Warriors      min   PER   WS/48   BPM   e480    perW    WS    bpmW   eWin
Draymond Green  639   17.8   .157   6.5   1.43    1.73   2.09   2.98   1.89
Klay Thompson   602   21.2   .170   3.4   1.65    2.09   2.13   2.07   2.06
Stephen Curry   368   26.0   .204   8.5   2.39    1.68   1.56   2.01   1.82
Andre Iguodala  528   13.7   .143   3.7    .60     .95   1.57   1.88    .65
Andrew Bogut    305   18.6   .218   7.9   1.43     .88   1.39   1.59    .90

Sh. Livingston  367   13.6   .105  -1.0    .92     .65    .80    .62    .70
Harrison Barnes 521    8.7   .060   -.9    .24     .35    .65    .90    .26
Leandro Barbosa 176   16.0   .140   1.1    .75     .41    .51    .44    .27
Festus Ezeli    142   17.8   .125  -3.2   1.24     .39    .37    .12    .36
Ma. Speights    168   15.3   .057  -4.1   1.37     .36    .20    .08    .48

Ian Clark       134   12.9   .106   -.5    .75     .22    .30    .25    .21
Anderson Varejao 52   17.1   .219   4.1    .79     .13    .24    .19    .08
Brandon Rush     82    9.9   .114  -1.5    .41     .08    .19    .12    .07

Both teams have 12 wins, GSW with 25% more minutes.
Cavs with more total WS (13.3 to 12.0), GSW with slightly more of the other 'win' equivalents.

[Mike G]

Round-by-round progressions:

Code: Select all

.  Golden State                   Cleveland
PER   WS/48   BPM   e480      PER   WS/48   BPM   e480
Stephen Curry                LeBron James         
24.0   .144   8.0   2.81      23.3   .164   5.6   2.28
31.5   .266  10.9   2.67      27.1   .247  11.4   2.50
24.7   .195   7.9   2.24      34.7   .408  17.2   3.29

Draymond Green               Kyrie Irving         
17.2   .219   7.1   1.58      27.7   .239   5.1   2.34
27.0   .268  10.9   2.19      22.9   .258   4.1   1.74
11.2   .031   2.8    .76      23.5   .200   5.1   2.12

Klay Thompson                Kevin Love         
22.2   .266   6.4   2.03      21.4   .170   -.4   2.03
24.7   .192   3.4   1.73      19.3   .164   1.5   1.95
17.8   .085   1.3   1.33      20.7   .255   7.3   1.77

Andre Iguodala               J.R. Smith         
18.8   .263   6.5   1.31      16.4   .172   5.1    .74
10.3   .071    .1    .12      13.4   .144   6.5    .49
12.9   .120   4.5    .49      13.7   .178   5.6    .63

Harrison Barnes              Tristan Thompson         
_6.7   .060  -2.3    .23      11.6   .128   4.6    .04
_8.6   .041  -3.0    .20      13.6   .091   1.3    .67
10.2   .075   1.9    .27      11.4   .178   3.1    .58

PER   WS/48   BPM   e480      PER   WS/48   BPM   e480
Andrew Bogut                 Channing Frye         
19.3   .313  11.9   1.63       2.8   .027  -2.0   -.60
20.3   .185   6.2   1.61      30.7   .316   9.6   2.05
16.9   .174   6.2   1.16      24.8   .331   9.7   1.84

Shaun Livingston             Iman Shumpert         
21.2   .291   5.5   1.77       8.1   .048   -.3    .15
12.6   .028  -4.6    .66      18.3   .251   7.2    .81
_5.7  -.035  -4.9    .17       6.3   .097   2.6   -.06

Leandro Barbosa              Richard Jefferson         
16.5   .196   3.5    .97       5.8   .055  -1.3   -.44
17.1   .121  -1.5    .68      21.5   .252   5.8   1.30
13.5   .081   1.4    .50      14.6   .172   -.2    .93

Festus Ezeli                 Matthew Dellavedova         
11.1   .047  -5.1   1.04      25.8   .349   3.2   1.73
22.1   .192  -2.2   1.35       2.2  -.009  -8.1    .02
19.2   .129  -2.6   1.30       7.0   .031  -7.1    .39

Marreese Speights            Timofey Mozgov         
19.5   .186    .0   1.86     -11.4  -.333 -14.2  -1.80
11.7  -.036  -5.7   1.03      -4.8  -.067  -2.4  -1.03
12.4  -.042  -8.1    .98      17.0   .202    .0   1.70

PER   WS/48   BPM   e480      PER   WS/48   BPM   e480
Ian Clark                        
21.3   .321   8.4   1.58               
_6.0  -.051  -9.3   -.07               
_7.7  -.057  -3.6    .43  
             
Brandon Rush                        
15.3   .190   2.8    .88               
_1.1  -.025  -7.1   -.51               
_9.6   .124  -3.0    .50           
    
Anderson Varejao                        
_6.6   .091  -2.0    .26               
27.0   .314  10.9   1.36               
16.6   .231   3.0    .71               

[Nathan]

What do people think about Frye's potential to be an X-factor? He ranked 23rd in the NBA in RPM at +3.5, but was basically a non-factor for the Cavs in the regular season since he joined the team so late in the year. There's reason to believe that stat isn't a total fluke since he ranked 11th in the league in RPM two years ago. And of course, he's been on fire in the playoffs, for what it's worth. Naively, replacing 30 minutes of Thompson (+0.8 RPM) and Mozgov (-4.0 RPM) with 30 minutes of Frye could make the Cavs a truly elite team, although probably still a full notch behind the Warriors. Thoughts?

[sndesai1]

i def don't see the rationale for him only getting 7 mins in game 1

as a warriors fan, i'd love for him to ride the pine tho

[Mike G]

Warriors 1, Cavs 0
104-89
Pythagorean wins .89 - .11, eWins .69 - .31

Code: Select all

eWins   per36 rates   tm   Min   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.16   Draymond Green  GSW   41  .615   18.7   9.2   6.8   3.5   2.7   .9   1.91
.16  Shaun Livingston GSW   26  .833   40.8   5.1   4.2   1.3    .0   .0   2.87
.16   LeBron James    Cle   41  .500   20.0  11.2   7.1   1.8   4.0   .9   1.82
.11   Andre Iguodala  GSW   36  .667   15.2   6.5   6.5   1.0    .0  1.0   1.46
.10   Kyrie Irving    Cle   38  .464   24.1   3.0   3.3   2.9   3.3   .0   1.27

.07   Kevin Love      Cle   37  .486   16.2  13.5   1.8   1.0   4.5   .0    .97
.07   Andrew Bogut    GSW   16  .714   31.1   6.6   5.1    .0    .0   .0   2.20
.07   Leandro Barbosa GSW   11  1.10   52.9   2.9    .0    .0    .0   .0   3.04
.06  Tristan Thompson Cle   31  .455    9.1  14.9    .0    .0    .0  1.2    .88
.05   Harrison Barnes GSW   30  .619   18.3   1.2   2.7   1.2    .0   .0    .85

eWins   per36 rates   tm   Min   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.05   Klay Thompson   GSW   24  .360   11.1   7.3   3.6    .0    .0  3.1   1.00
.02   Stephen Curry   GSW   36  .367   10.7   4.8   7.2    .0   5.1   .0    .31
.01   Festus Ezeli    GSW   11  .250    3.7   8.8    .0   3.1    .0   .0    .26
.00   Channing Frye   Cle    7  .500    7.9   5.1    .0    .0    .0   .0    .01
.00 Richard Jefferson Cle   12  .429    6.3   6.0    .0    .0    .0   .0   -.03

-.01  Iman Shumpert   Cle   17  1.50   10.2   2.1    .0    .0   2.3   .0   -.35
-.02 Matt Dellavedova Cle   11  .333    4.7    .0   2.8    .0   3.5   .0   -.74
-.05  J.R. Smith      Cle   36  .500    2.5   1.1    .9    .0   1.1  1.0   -.68

shooting: GS .565 - .473 Cle
rebounds: Cle 47 - 41 GS
turnovers: GS 9 - 17 Cle

[Mike G]

.. Naively, replacing 30 minutes of Thompson (+0.8 RPM) and Mozgov (-4.0 RPM) with 30 minutes of Frye could make the Cavs a truly elite team, ..

i def don't see the rationale for him only getting 7 mins in game 1

Frye missed his only FGA, got 2 FT and 1 Reb. The Cavs were +4 in his 7:10, -4 w Thompson (31 min) -- apparently -15 in the other 10 min (w neither).

In the first 3 rounds, Thompson/Mozgov total +75 in 412 min., or +8.7 pts per 48.
Frye saw +71 in 204 min, or +16.7/48

The disparity holds for all playoff opponents so far, so it isn't just a random matchup advantage.

EDIT: It's as if Cle decided to go beyond an 8-man rotation, and Frye was on deck.
He's more important since Delli has tanked. < He may just kamikaze @ Draymond -- the guy who neutralized LeBron, as did Livingston.

[Mike G]

Warriors 2, Cavs 0
avg score 107-83
pyth wins 1.93 - .07, eWins 1.47 - .53

Code: Select all

eWins   per36 rates   tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.39   Draymond Green  GSW   38  .657   30.9   9.2   5.7   2.4   2.0   .5   2.48
.28   LeBron James    Cle   37  .500   20.7  10.4   7.6   3.0   5.9  1.0   1.78
.22  Shaun Livingston GSW   25  .818   31.4   4.4   5.4    .7    .7   .7   2.12
.17   Stephen Curry   GSW   31  .558   22.9   8.8   5.9    .0   5.6   .6   1.34
.15   Klay Thompson   GSW   28  .500   20.4   4.8   4.5   1.3   2.7  1.3   1.28

.14   Leandro Barbosa GSW   15  .875   39.8   4.9   1.1   1.2    .0   .0   2.38
.14   Andre Iguodala  GSW   33  .576   13.3   6.8   4.8    .5   1.1  1.1   1.01
.13   Andrew Bogut    GSW   16  .545   18.2  11.3   2.4   2.4   2.5  6.0   1.98
.10   Kyrie Irving    Cle   36  .429   16.7   3.2   2.2   3.1   3.4   .0    .71
.10  Tristan Thompson Cle   26  .450   11.2  13.0    .0    .7    .0   .7    .91

eWins   per36 rates   tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.08   Kevin Love      Cle   29  .449   12.7  10.7   1.1   1.3   3.5   .0    .64
.05 Richard Jefferson Cle   19  .600   14.7   6.6    .0    .9   1.0   .9    .69
.05   Harrison Barnes GSW   33  .486   11.6   3.5   1.7   1.1   1.8   .6    .35
.04   Festus Ezeli    GSW   11  .500   14.4   8.0   1.5   1.5   1.6   .0    .81
.00  Matt Dellavedova Cle   14  .346    8.3   1.3   3.1    .0   1.3   .0   -.05

-.03  Iman Shumpert   Cle   19  .750    6.8   1.9    .0    .0   2.0   .0   -.45
-.05  J.R. Smith      Cle   35  .400    3.4   1.6   1.3   1.0   1.1   .5   -.34

shooting: GS .601 - .449 Cle
rebounds: GS 43.5 - 40.5 Cle
turnovers: GS 15.0 - 17.5 Cle

[Mike G]

Dismal is too mild a word to describe the Cavs' performance. Last night, their "best" plus-minus was with Kevin Love, who bailed before the bottom totally fell out. Ranked by raw +/- per 48 minutes over 2 games:

Code: Select all

plus-minus, raw   pos  tm   mpg  Gm1  Gm2   /48
Leandro Barbosa   SG   GSW   15   14   21    58
Andre Iguodala    SF   GSW   33   21   28    36
Shaun Livingston  PG   GSW   25   20   12    31
Klay Thompson     SG   GSW   28    5   23    24
Draymond Green    PF   GSW   38   17   20    24
Stephen Curry     PG   GSW   31   -1   25    19
Harrison Barnes   SF   GSW   33    7   11    13
Festus Ezeli       C   GSW   11    3    2    11
Andrew Bogut       C   GSW   16   -8   10     3
Kevin Love        PF   Cle   29   -8   -8   -13
Tristan Thompson  PF   Cle   26   -4  -13   -16
LeBron James      SF   Cle   37   -9  -20   -19
J.R. Smith        SG   Cle   35  -13  -21   -23
Kyrie Irving      PG   Cle   36   -9  -26   -24
Richard Jefferson SF   Cle   19  -10  -14   -30
Timofey Mozgov     C   Cle   7.5   2  -13   -35
Iman Shumpert     SG   Cle   19  -15  -20   -45
Matt Dellavedova  PG   Cle   14  -19  -14   -57

Are the Cavs being less dominated in the frontcourt, while the Dubs' guards are having their way with their eastern counterparts?
Or is it more/also that the smaller both teams play, the more it favors GS?

Historical reminder: the 2005 Finals went like this:

Code: Select all

G   SAS  Det
1    84   69
2    97   76

3    79   96
4    71  102
5    96   95

6    86   95
7    81   74

These were the top 2 defensive teams in the league. Add 10 points and it could be GS/Cle.

[Mike G]

Subtracting OP min*rates from current min*rates as seen here:
http://www.basketball-reference.com/tea ... s_advanced

Code: Select all

. Warriors     min   PER   WS/48    BPM   e480    WS   vorp  eWin
Draymond Green  75   28.3   .395   15.1   2.48    .62   .32   .39
Andre Iguodala  65   17.3   .252   11.0   1.01    .34   .21   .14
Harrison Barnes 65    8.7   .105    3.6    .35    .14   .09   .05
Stephen Curry   61   12.6   .091    2.9   1.34    .12   .07   .17
Klay Thompson   56   15.3   .182    5.8   1.28    .21   .11   .15

Sh. Livingston  50   27.8   .439   11.5   2.12    .46   .17   .22
Andrew Bogut    31   24.0   .305   14.4   1.98    .20   .13   .13
Leandro Barbosa 29   32.3   .423   11.0   2.38    .26   .09   .14
Festus Ezeli    22   14.1   .192    1.3    .81    .09   .02   .04
Ian Clark       11   22.1   .291    8.7   2.03    .07   .03   .05

Brandon Rush     9   -3.2  -.028   -3.5   -.30   -.01   .00  -.01
Ma. Speights     7   -2.2   .157   -9.1   -.08    .02  -.01   .00
Anderson Varejao 3    7.9   .237    9.6    .82    .01   .01   .01
                        
. totals        484  18.7   .251    8.2   1.45   2.53  1.24  1.47
  

. Cavs         min   PER   WS/48    BPM   e480    WS   vorp  eWin
LeBron James    74   23.4   .035   10.4   1.78    .05   .23   .28
Kyrie Irving    71   12.5  -.086   -3.3    .71   -.13  -.02   .10
J.R. Smith      70    2.1  -.065   -2.8   -.34   -.09  -.01  -.05
Kevin Love      58    9.0  -.134   -8.3    .64   -.16  -.09   .08
Tr. Thompson    51   15.6   .033   -8.4    .91    .03  -.08   .10

Ri. Jefferson   38   18.7   .134   -1.8    .69    .11   .00   .05
Iman Shumpert   37    2.0  -.087   -8.0   -.45   -.07  -.06  -.03
Ma. Dellavedova 28    2.2  -.205  -15.5   -.05   -.12  -.09   .00
Timofey Mozgov  15   12.9   .025   -5.0    .69    .01  -.01   .02
Channing Frye   11    6.3  -.070  -19.4    .21   -.02  -.05   .00

James Jones     11   -2.7  -.114   -8.8   -.42   -.03  -.02  -.01
Mo Williams     11  -10.7  -.554  -10.9   -.24   -.13  -.02  -.01
Dahntay Jones    7   10.8   .004  -11.1    .08    .00  -.02   .00
                        
. totals        482  10.6  -.053   -4.0    .53   -.54  -.25   .53

In WS/48, only Jefferson is above avg for the Cavs. In BPM, he joins LeBron at > replacement level.

[Mike G]

Warriors 2, Cavs 1
avg score 101.3 - 95.3
Pyth wins 2.07 - .93, eWins 1.79 - 1.21

Code: Select all

eWins   per36 rates   tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.55   LeBron James    Cle   38  .525   25.2  10.6   6.8   2.2   5.5  1.1   2.28
.44   Draymond Green  GSW   37  .575   18.9   8.3   7.1   1.6   2.0   .7   1.90
.30   Kyrie Irving    Cle   36  .482   22.1   3.7   4.0   2.4   3.0   .0   1.35
.27  Shaun Livingston GSW   23  .780   23.6   6.0   6.0    .5   2.0  1.0   1.88
.25   Stephen Curry   GSW   31  .585   23.5   6.0   5.9    .8   6.1   .4   1.30

.22  Tristan Thompson Cle   27  .561   13.2  14.6    .8    .4    .0   .4   1.30
.19   Leandro Barbosa GSW   15  .725   28.2   3.1   2.5   2.3    .0   .8   2.06
.17   Andre Iguodala  GSW   31  .638   13.3   5.4   3.8    .4   1.2   .8    .85
.15   Harrison Barnes GSW   33  .581   14.6   5.3   2.5    .7   1.5   .4    .75
.13   Klay Thompson   GSW   29  .444   14.1   3.8   4.0   1.3   2.6   .8    .73

eWins   per36 rates   tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.13   Andrew Bogut    GSW   14  .471   13.3   9.6   2.0   1.7   2.7  5.2   1.44
.12 Richard Jefferson Cle   24  .615   12.7   8.0    .9   1.5   1.1   .4    .77
.08   Kevin Love      Cle   19  .449   12.4  11.0   1.2   1.3   3.4   .0    .67
.02   Festus Ezeli    GSW    8  .444    9.7   6.9   1.6   1.4   1.4   .0    .39
.02   J.R. Smith      Cle   36  .583    8.9   2.6   1.2   1.7    .7   .3    .09

.02   Timofey Mozgov  Cle    7  .500   12.2  12.2    .0   3.2   7.0  1.5    .41
-.01 Matt Dellavedova Cle   12  .367    7.9   2.1   3.5    .0   1.0   .0   -.07
-.02  Channing Frye   Cle    8  .333    1.7   3.1    .0    .0    .0  2.6   -.44
-.07  Iman Shumpert   Cle   18  .500    5.2   4.8    .6    .0   2.8   .0   -.61

shooting: GS .569 - .503 Cle
rebounds: Cle 44.3 - 39.7 GS
turnovers: GS 16.0 - 16.3 Cle

[Mike G]

For posterity

Code: Select all

. Warriors     min   PER   WS/48   BPM   e480    WS   vorp  eWin
Draymond Green 111   20.5   .225   8.5   1.90    .52   .29   .44
Harrison Barnes 98   13.8   .117   2.9    .75    .24   .12   .15
Andre Iguodala  93   16.4   .170   6.4    .85    .33   .19   .17
Stephen Curry   92   13.0   .034   1.0   1.30    .07   .07   .25
Klay Thompson   87   10.1   .012    .2    .73    .02   .05   .13

Sh. Livingston  70   23.0   .286   6.5   1.88    .42   .15   .27
Leandro Barbosa 45   28.3   .336   9.0   2.06    .32   .12   .19
Andrew Bogut    43   18.6   .137   7.9   1.44    .12   .11   .13
Festus Ezeli    25   11.1   .092  -2.5    .39    .05   .00   .02
Ian Clark       16   14.8   .059   -.5   1.29    .02   .01   .04

Brandon Rush    15   -3.0  -.099  -8.0   -.57   -.03  -.02  -.02
Ma. Speights    15    5.5   .057  -11.    .06    .02  -.04   .00
An. Varejao     13    2.1   .004  -2.9    .10    .00   .00   .00
                        
. totals       723   15.9   .138   3.8   1.19   2.08  1.04  1.79
     
                   
. Cavs         min   PER   WS/48   BPM   e480    WS   vorp  eWin
LeBron James   115   25.2   .120   9.8   2.28    .29   .34   .55
J.R. Smith     108   10.1   .086   3.0    .09    .19   .14   .02
Kyrie Irving   107   18.3   .086   1.4   1.35    .19   .09   .30
Tr. Thompson    82   22.0   .220   1.8   1.30    .38   .08   .22
Ri. Jefferson   72   17.4   .178   3.2    .77    .27   .09   .12

Kevin Love      58    9.0  -.072  -5.6    .67   -.09  -.05   .08
Iman Shumpert   54    1.0  -.072  -6.0   -.61   -.08  -.05  -.07
Ma. Dellavedova 36    4.9  -.081  -9.4   -.07   -.06  -.07  -.01
Channing Frye   24    2.1   .064  -6.3   -.44    .03  -.03  -.02
Timofey Mozgov  21    8.1  -.025  -4.3    .41   -.01  -.01   .02

James Jones     16    4.3   .030  -3.0   -.25    .01   .00  -.01
Mo Williams     15   -3.9  -.355  -8.5   -.26   -.11  -.02  -.01
Dahntay Jones   11    2.4  -.044  -10.   -.37   -.01  -.02  -.01
                        
. totals       719   13.9   .066   0.6    .79    .99   .47  1.18

Cavs no longer looking so much like LeBron James and the Replacements.

[Mike G]

Warriors 3, Cavs 1
avg score 103.0 - 95.8
pyth wins 2.90 - 1.10, eWins 2.45 - 1.55

Code: Select all

eWins   per36 rates   tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.72   LeBron James    Cle   40  .529   23.3  10.8   6.7   2.0   5.6  1.4   2.16
.52   Stephen Curry   GSW   33  .606   29.1   5.6   6.0   1.1   5.2   .3   1.90
.51   Draymond Green  GSW   38  .522   14.9   9.0   6.4   1.7   2.2  1.2   1.61
.49   Kyrie Irving    Cle   38  .505   23.5   3.7   3.7   2.4   2.3   .2   1.57
.28  Shaun Livingston GSW   22  .678   19.7   6.0   5.3    .4   1.6   .8   1.50

.27   Klay Thompson   GSW   32  .526   18.2   3.8   3.1   1.2   2.1   .9   1.03
.26  Tristan Thompson Cle   28  .553   12.3  13.4    .6    .3    .0   .6   1.14
.24   Andre Iguodala  GSW   33  .563   11.6   5.5   5.1    .5   1.1   .8    .89
.23   Harrison Barnes GSW   35  .595   14.0   5.9   2.4    .8   1.1   .3    .81
.19   Leandro Barbosa GSW   11  .725   27.1   3.1   2.6   2.3    .0   .8   2.00

eWins   per36 rates   tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.13   Kevin Love      Cle   21  .493   13.1   9.9    .8    .9   2.3   .4    .75
.13   Andrew Bogut    GSW   13  .471   10.8   8.6   2.5   1.4   2.2  4.9   1.17
.09 Richard Jefferson Cle   24  .600   10.1   8.4    .7   1.1   1.6   .3    .43
.02  Anderson Varejao GSW    4  .300    4.7  12.1   6.9    .0   2.1   .0    .56
.02   Timofey Mozgov  Cle    5  .500   11.8  12.2    .0   3.2   6.9  1.5    .40

.02   Festus Ezeli    GSW    7  .400    8.9   6.6   1.5   1.3   1.3   .0    .29
.01  Matt Dellavedova Cle   10  .382    8.9   2.8   3.9    .0    .9   .0    .12
-.02  J.R. Smith      Cle   38  .543    7.8   2.3   1.1   1.2    .5   .2   -.08
-.04  Channing Frye   Cle    8  .250    1.1   3.3    .0    .0    .0  1.9   -.59
-.10  Iman Shumpert   Cle   17  .393    4.1   4.3    .5    .0   2.7   .0   -.72

shooting: GS .567 - .506 Cle
rebounds: Cle 43.3 - 40.5 GS
turnovers: GS 14.3 - 15.0 Cle

[Mike G]

Finals thru 4 games:

Code: Select all

. Warriors     min   PER   WS/48   BPM   e480    WS   vorp  eWin
Draymond Green 153   17.8   .167   6.5   1.59    .53   .33   .51
Ha. Barnes     138   14.4   .141   3.4    .83    .41   .19   .24
Stephen Curry  132   19.2   .128   5.5   1.87    .35   .25   .51
Andre Iguodala 130   15.2   .148   5.2    .90    .40   .23   .24
Klay Thompson  126   14.3   .095   2.2   1.03    .25   .13   .27

Sh. Livingston  89   20.3   .243   4.6   1.50    .45   .15   .28
Andrew Bogut    53   17.2   .130   6.5   1.16    .14   .11   .13
Leandro Barbosa 45   28.8   .336   9.4   2.03    .32   .13   .19
Festus Ezeli    26    8.8   .041  -5.1    .30    .02  -.02   .02
An. Varejao     17    9.8   .146   2.1    .56    .05   .02   .02

Ian Clark       16   14.8   .059  -1.4   1.21    .02   .00   .04
Brandon Rush    15   -3.0  -.099  -8.6   -.53   -.03  -.02  -.02
Ma. Speights    15    5.5   .045  -13.    .14    .01  -.04   .00
James M. McAdoo  8    9.6   .103  -4.8    .76    .02  -.01   .01

. totals       963   16.4   .147   4.0   1.22   2.95  1.44  2.45
                        

. Cavs         min   PER   WS/48   BPM   e480    WS   vorp  eWin
LeBron James   160   25.2   .107   9.8   2.13    .36   .47   .71
J.R. Smith     151    8.2   .059   1.2   -.03    .19   .12  -.01
Kyrie Irving   151   21.6   .120   3.1   1.55    .38   .19   .49
Tr. Thompson   110   21.3   .179    .7   1.17    .41   .07   .27
Ri. Jefferson   97   13.1   .112    .8    .46    .23   .07   .09

Kevin Love      83   12.7  -.005  -5.2    .76   -.01  -.07   .13
Iman Shumpert   69    -.5  -.134  -8.0   -.68   -.19  -.10  -.10
Ma. Dellavedova 40    7.3  -.063  -8.3    .14   -.05  -.06   .01
Channing Frye   33     .2   .009  -7.8   -.55    .01  -.05  -.04
Timofey Mozgov  21    8.1  -.045  -5.3    .40   -.02  -.02   .02

James Jones     16    4.3   .011  -4.0   -.21    .00  -.01  -.01
Mo Williams     15   -3.9  -.369  -8.5   -.20   -.12  -.02  -.01
Dahntay Jones   12    2.5  -.056  -12.   -.38   -.01  -.03  -.01
                        
. totals       958   14.3   .058    .4    .78   1.16   .57  1.55

Can Curry win a Finals mvp? He's tied with Draymond in eWins, trails in VORP; behind also Barnes, Iggy, and Livingston in WS.
LeBron easily leads all participants in VORP and eWins; just 3rd on the Cavs in WinShares.

[Vikapolyak]

Spurs, Cavs are very tough teams but Warriors and Spurs get away with a lot BS moving screens, holding, and non calls on their D play.

P.S.:
ЕСЛИ ЧТО-ТО НЕПОНЯТНО ВСЕГДА СМОТРИ СЮДА!

[Mike G]

Warriors 3, Cavs 2
avg score 101.8 - 99.0
Pyth wins 2.96 - 2.04, eWins 2.73 - 2.27

Code: Select all

eWins   per36 rates   tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   PF   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
1.14  LeBron James    Cle   41  .549   27.2  11.6   6.6   2.2  2.2   4.8  1.7   2.69
.81   Kyrie Irving    Cle   38  .569   29.5   3.5   4.0   2.5  2.3   2.6   .4   2.04
.64   Stephen Curry   GSW   34  .590   27.7   5.9   4.9   3.2   .9   4.8   .9   1.79
.49   Draymond Green  GSW   31  .522   14.8   9.1   5.6   2.6  1.7   2.2  1.2   1.54
.47   Klay Thompson   GSW   33  .594   23.7   3.6   2.2   2.0   .9   1.8   .7   1.35

.34   Andre Iguodala  GSW   34  .556   12.2   6.6   4.7   1.0   .8   1.5   .6    .96
.33  Tristan Thompson Cle   30  .522   10.4  13.4    .4   3.1   .5    .0   .9   1.05
.27  Shaun Livingston GSW   22  .635   17.5   6.0   4.7   3.1   .6   2.2   .6   1.19
.18   Harrison Barnes GSW   35  .482   10.4   5.8   1.9   1.0   .8    .9   .4    .50
.15   Leandro Barbosa GSW   11  .696   23.2   2.4   1.8   4.7  1.8   1.2   .6   1.29

eWins   per36 rates   tm   mpg   Eff%   Sco   Reb   Ast   PF   Stl   TO   Blk   e480
.13   Andrew Bogut    GSW   12  .471    9.3   9.3   1.8   7.8  1.2   3.1  6.0   1.02
.12 Richard Jefferson Cle   22  .614   12.2   7.4    .6   3.8  1.9   2.3   .3    .52
.08   Kevin Love      Cle   23  .455    9.7   8.0    .9   2.2   .6   2.3   .9    .35
.02  Anderson Varejao GSW    5  .333    5.9   8.6   4.9   7.2   .0   1.2   .0    .38
.02   Festus Ezeli    GSW    7  .385    7.3   7.4    .9   4.5   .9    .9   .9    .26

-.01   J.R. Smith     Cle   36  .527    8.6   2.4   1.1   3.8  1.2    .6   .2   -.02
-.01 Marreese Speights GS    5  .267    6.4   4.9   2.4   7.1  1.2   2.4   .0   -.15
-.03 Matt Dellavedova Cle    9  .342    7.4   2.3   3.4   5.0   .0   2.3   .0   -.28
-.04   Channing Frye  Cle    7  .250    1.0   3.1    .0   4.8   .0    .0  1.9   -.59
-.12   Iman Shumpert  Cle   19  .417    4.3   3.4    .3   2.1   .4   2.2   .7   -.59

shooting: GS .548 - .523 Cle
rebounds: Cle 42.8 - 41.0 GS
turnovers: GS 14.8 - 15.2 Cle