Home for all your discussion of basketball statistical analysis.
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Mike G
- Posts: 6175
- Joined: Fri Apr 15, 2011 12:02 am
- Location: Asheville, NC
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by Mike G »
Preview
Code: Select all
. Warriors Min PER WS/48 BPM e480 WS vorp eWin
Draymond Green 416 21.3 .264 11.0 1.94 2.28 1.35 1.67
Klay Thompson 413 8.5 .035 -2.0 .48 .30 .00 .41
Stephen Curry 412 28.0 .288 11.3 2.64 2.47 1.37 2.24
Kevin Durant 334 25.2 .257 7.1 2.38 1.78 .76 1.64
Andre Iguodala 278 9.2 .092 .9 .41 .53 .20 .23
Ian Clark 175 14.8 .150 .6 .74 .54 .11 .27
David West 171 17.7 .221 5.8 1.18 .79 .33 .42
Patrick McCaw 147 15.8 .212 5.8 .90 .65 .29 .27
S Livingston 145 10.8 .119 1.5 .37 .36 .13 .11
Zaza Pachulia 145 16.7 .193 2.5 1.37 .58 .16 .41
JaVale McGee 126 27.0 .293 4.0 1.84 .77 .19 .48
. Cavs Min PER WS/48 BPM e480 WS vorp eWin
LeBron James 532 30.4 .299 11.0 2.93 3.31 1.73 3.22
Kyrie Irving 452 22.6 .193 1.9 1.98 1.82 .44 1.85
T Thompson 429 15.4 .188 3.8 .80 1.68 .62 .71
Kevin Love 417 19.7 .198 3.5 1.77 1.72 .57 1.52
J.R. Smith 341 9.0 .103 2.9 .03 .73 .42 .02
Kyle Korver 230 12.9 .142 2.7 .39 .68 .27 .19
Iman Shumpert 209 11.4 .141 2.4 .39 .61 .23 .17
Deron Williams 201 14.9 .177 1.6 .84 .74 .18 .35
Channing Frye 143 23.5 .279 6.5 1.60 .83 .30 .47
R Jefferson 95 7.6 .076 -1.1 -.04 .15 .02 -.01
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Mike G
- Posts: 6175
- Joined: Fri Apr 15, 2011 12:02 am
- Location: Asheville, NC
Post
by Mike G »
Warriors 1, Cavs 0
113-91
Pythagorean wins .95 - .05, eWins .72 - .28
Code: Select all
eWins per36 rates tm Min Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e480
.27 Kevin Durant GSW 38 .642 48.9 5.9 7.0 .0 .0 .0 3.46
.23 Stephen Curry GSW 35 .636 40.8 4.8 9.5 3.1 2.1 .0 3.18
.15 LeBron James Cle 40 .551 26.0 11.6 6.5 .0 7.3 1.8 1.86
.12 Kevin Love Cle 34 .507 13.0 19.3 1.0 .0 1.1 3.2 1.66
.07 Zaza Pachulia GSW 15 .734 25.9 11.5 .0 5.0 .0 .0 2.11
.06 Kyrie Irving Cle 35 .535 24.1 2.7 1.9 .0 4.2 1.0 .87
.04 Andre Iguodala GSW 24 .714 13.0 3.3 1.3 2.9 .0 1.4 .76
.04 Draymond Green GSW 36 .337 7.2 8.6 1.9 2.0 2.0 1.0 .48
.02 Richard Jefferson Cle 15 .577 21.3 7.7 .0 .0 4.5 .0 .71
.01 Iman Shumpert Cle 16 .417 6.8 9.0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .18
eWins per36 rates tm Min Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e480
.00 Shaun Livingston GSW 15 .200 2.4 3.5 4.1 2.3 .0 .0 .08
.00 David West GSW 8 .250 5.0 3.2 3.8 .0 .0 .0 .01
-.01 Klay Thompson GSW 36 .188 2.8 2.3 3.7 1.0 .0 .0 -.11
-.01 Ian Clark GSW 18 .408 5.8 1.5 .0 1.9 .0 .0 -.22
-.01 Kyle Korver Cle 19 .000 .0 6.1 1.6 .0 .0 .0 -.33
-.02 Tristan Thompson Cle 23 .000 .0 5.5 2.9 .0 1.6 .0 -.39
-.03 Deron Williams Cle 19 .000 .0 4.6 1.6 .0 3.6 .0 -.73
-.05 J.R. Smith Cle 28 .375 2.5 .0 .0 .0 2.6 .0 -.93
shooting: GS .499 - .468 Cle
rebounds: Cle 59 - 50 GS
turnovers: GS 4 - 20 Cle
http://www.basketball-reference.com/pla ... otals.html
Those last 4 combined for 3 points on 14 shots, in 89 minutes. And 5 TO.
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Mike G
- Posts: 6175
- Joined: Fri Apr 15, 2011 12:02 am
- Location: Asheville, NC
Post
by Mike G »
Warriors 2, Cavs 0
avg score 122.5 - 102.0
Pyth wins 1.84 - .16, eWins 1.42 - .58
Code: Select all
eWins per36 rates tm mpg Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e480
.57 Kevin Durant GS 40 .664 40.3 8.8 5.6 1.4 1.4 2.1 3.47
.46 Stephen Curry GS 36 .652 40.5 7.2 9.4 2.1 5.2 .0 3.14
.36 LeBron James Cle 40 .613 26.8 10.3 7.2 1.4 5.5 1.3 2.16
.22 Kevin Love Cle 32 .545 18.9 13.9 .4 1.1 1.1 1.6 1.64
.11 Draymond Green GS 30 .467 12.3 9.0 4.3 1.8 3.1 .6 .88
.08 Kyrie Irving Cle 38 .462 16.9 2.1 3.2 1.0 3.4 .4 .51
.06 Klay Thompson GS 37 .475 11.8 4.7 2.2 .5 1.0 .0 .38
.04 Andre Iguodala GS 27 .545 7.7 3.9 3.4 1.3 .6 1.2 .40
.04 Zaza Pachulia GS 14 .667 15.1 7.9 .0 2.6 2.6 .0 .66
.03 Ian Clark GS 16 .538 14.1 2.8 1.9 1.1 1.1 .0 .45
eWins per36 rates tm mpg Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e480
.03 Richard Jefferson Cle 14 .615 18.0 5.1 .0 1.2 2.3 .0 .48
.02 Shaun Livingston GS 17 .462 10.0 2.5 2.6 1.0 .0 .0 .28
.02 Iman Shumpert Cle 19 .393 5.4 6.9 .0 2.6 .0 .0 .20
.01 David West GS 10 .333 4.7 5.8 4.4 .0 .0 1.6 .35
.00 Tristan Thompson Cle 22 .400 4.4 5.8 1.8 1.7 .8 .0 .00
-.00 Channing Frye Cle 6 .200 2.2 7.6 2.1 .0 .0 .0 -.04
-.03 Kyle Korver Cle 22 .471 3.9 2.7 1.1 .8 .0 .0 -.29
-.03 Deron Williams Cle 17 .000 .0 5.2 2.9 1.0 2.0 .0 -.49
-.10 J.R. Smith Cle 21 .250 1.1 1.5 .0 .0 2.6 .0 -1.14
Shooting: GS .569 - .490 Cle
Rebounds: GS 51.5 - 50.0 Cle
Turnovers: GS 12.0 - 14.5 Cle
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Mike G
- Posts: 6175
- Joined: Fri Apr 15, 2011 12:02 am
- Location: Asheville, NC
Post
by Mike G »
Warriors 3, Cavs 0
avg score 121.0 - 105.7
Pyth wins 2.58 - .42, eWins 2.04 - .96
Code: Select all
eWins per36 rates tm mpg Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e480
.78 Kevin Durant GS 40 .675 36.6 8.5 5.1 1.2 1.8 1.6 3.12
.68 Stephen Curry GS 37 .637 34.0 9.0 8.4 2.0 3.7 .0 2.98
.60 LeBron James Cle 42 .627 28.7 10.0 6.5 1.2 5.0 1.0 2.32
.30 Kevin Love Cle 34 .500 14.3 13.8 .5 2.9 1.5 .9 1.45
.22 Kyrie Irving Cle 40 .516 21.2 3.1 2.8 .6 2.8 .3 .89
.20 Klay Thompson GS 38 .598 17.6 5.1 2.1 .3 1.0 .0 .84
.16 Draymond Green GS 31 .446 10.2 9.2 5.7 1.6 3.5 .7 .82
.11 Andre Iguodala GS 27 .528 7.6 4.7 4.4 2.5 1.3 1.1 .62
.06 JaVale McGee GS 5 .583 14.9 14.3 5.5 .0 1.9 3.3 1.80
.04 David West GS 10 .579 11.0 4.9 3.0 .0 .0 .9 .56
eWins per36 rates tm mpg Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e480
.02 Shaun Livingston GS 15 .474 10.9 2.0 2.7 .7 .7 .0 .20
.01 Ian Clark GS 13 .538 10.9 3.1 2.4 .8 1.7 .0 .16
-.00 Patrick McCaw GS 5 .250 2.2 8.1 2.1 .0 .0 .0 -.02
-.00 Iman Shumpert Cle 17 .361 4.6 5.5 .5 2.0 .0 .0 -.01
-.01 Richard Jefferson Cle 15 .531 10.7 4.8 .6 .7 2.2 .0 -.09
-.02 Tristan Thompson Cle 22 .364 2.7 5.6 2.1 1.1 1.1 .9 -.12
-.03 Zaza Pachulia GS 14 .476 8.2 6.6 .8 1.8 5.3 .0 -.34
-.04 Deron Williams Cle 12 .000 .0 5.0 2.7 .9 1.8 .0 -.57
-.04 Kyle Korver Cle 22 .516 5.6 2.3 .8 .5 .0 .0 -.32
-.09 J.R. Smith Cle 25 .559 6.9 1.3 .0 1.0 1.9 .0 -.59
Shooting: GS .585 - .510 Cle
Rebounds: GS 49.0 - 45.7 Cle
Turnovers: Cle 13.7 - 14.0 GS
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Mike G
- Posts: 6175
- Joined: Fri Apr 15, 2011 12:02 am
- Location: Asheville, NC
Post
by Mike G »
Other stats thru 3 games
Code: Select all
. Warriors min PER WS/48 BPM WS vorp
Kevin Durant 120 31.6 .352 13.9 .88 .48
Klay Thompson 114 13.1 .151 2.2 .36 .12
Stephen Curry 110 28.0 .321 14.1 .74 .44
Draymond Green 93 7.6 .040 .1 .08 .05
Andre Iguodala 82 12.7 .162 6.2 .28 .17
S Livingston 46 8.7 .065 -5.1 .06 -.04
Zaza Pachulia 41 .8 -.066 -5.7 -.06 -.04
Ian Clark 39 7.1 .068 -2.7 .06 -.01
David West 30 13.0 .181 .4 .11 .02
JaVale McGee 16 26.1 .355 25.3 .12 .11
Patrick McCaw 14 .9 .017 -10.3 .00 -.03
. totals 720 16.5 .179 5.0 2.68 1.26
. Cavs min PER WS/48 BPM WS vorp
LeBron James 125 28.3 .173 13.6 .45 .49
Kyrie Irving 119 14.9 -.028 -2.4 -.07 -.01
Kevin Love 101 20.2 .111 .9 .23 .07
J.R. Smith 76 2.4 -.073 -5.3 -.11 -.06
Tr Thompson 67 6.5 -.064 -1.4 -.09 .01
Kyle Korver 67 6.3 .018 -3.1 .02 -.02
Iman Shumpert 50 6.2 -.030 -6.9 -.03 -.06
R Jefferson 44 6.3 .003 -4.9 .00 -.03
Deron Williams 36 -11.4 -.350 -14.9 -.26 -.12
Channing Frye 11 -4.5 -.323 -20.1 -.07 -.05
. totals 720 12.5 .011 -.9 .16 .21
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Mike G
- Posts: 6175
- Joined: Fri Apr 15, 2011 12:02 am
- Location: Asheville, NC
Post
by Mike G »
Warriors 3,
Cavs 1
avg score 119.8 - 113.5
Pyth wins 2.68 - 1.32, eWins 2.34 - 1.66
Code: Select all
eWins per36 rates tm mpg Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e480
.93 Kevin Durant GS 40 .649 33.2 7.6 4.2 .9 1.6 1.6 2.80
.86 LeBron James Cle 42 .614 27.7 10.0 7.2 1.1 4.2 .8 2.48
.70 Stephen Curry GS 37 .602 25.8 8.1 7.5 2.0 3.7 .0 2.28
.46 Kevin Love Cle 33 .556 17.2 12.4 .6 2.8 1.4 1.0 1.67
.44 Kyrie Irving Cle 40 .563 24.8 4.0 2.8 .7 2.8 .2 1.32
.24 Draymond Green GS 33 .446 10.0 10.4 4.1 1.7 3.3 .7 .85
.20 Klay Thompson GS 37 .587 15.3 4.8 1.8 .2 1.0 .0 .64
.10 Andre Iguodala GS 26 .500 6.5 4.1 4.0 2.0 1.3 1.4 .45
.07 JaVale McGee GS 6 .688 15.6 12.3 3.1 .0 1.3 2.2 1.54
.05 David West GS 10 .607 12.2 5.2 1.9 .0 .8 2.0 .64
eWins per36 rates tm mpg Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e480
.04 Shaun Livingston GS 16 .538 11.9 2.4 2.4 .5 .5 .0 .31
.02 Iman Shumpert Cle 16 .429 6.4 5.0 1.6 2.1 .5 .0 .18
.02 Ian Clark GS 11 .559 11.8 2.7 1.7 .7 1.4 .0 .18
.01 Richard Jefferson Cle 17 .543 10.2 4.7 .8 .5 1.5 .4 .07
.01 Tristan Thompson Cle 26 .433 3.3 7.2 2.7 .7 1.4 .6 .03
.00 Patrick McCaw GS 6 .357 3.7 9.0 1.1 .0 .0 .0 .09
-.01 Zaza Pachulia GS 14 .552 9.3 6.7 .5 1.3 3.8 .0 -.11
-.05 J.R. Smith Cle 26 .630 9.4 1.7 .3 1.0 1.4 .0 -.24
-.05 Kyle Korver Cle 20 .543 5.8 2.4 .6 .4 .4 .4 -.32
-.07 Deron Williams Cle 12 .179 1.2 3.7 2.0 .6 1.9 .0 -.68
Shooting: GS .577 - .550 Cle
Rebounds: GS 46.8 - 45.5 Cle
Turnovers: Cle 13.0 - 13.5 GS
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Mike G
- Posts: 6175
- Joined: Fri Apr 15, 2011 12:02 am
- Location: Asheville, NC
Post
by Mike G »
other stats thru 4 games:
Code: Select all
. Warriors min PER WS/48 BPM WS vorp
Kevin Durant 159 30.5 .313 11.1 1.04 .52
Klay Thompson 148 11.9 .092 -.1 .28 .07
Stephen Curry 148 23.8 .220 9.4 .68 .42
Draymond Green 133 9.3 .008 .3 .02 .08
Andre Iguodala 103 11.8 .096 3.1 .21 .13
Shaun Livingston 65 11.4 .083 -4.0 .11 -.03
Zaza Pachulia 57 5.0 -.016 -5.3 -.02 -.05
Ian Clark 44 8.8 .026 -4.9 .02 -.03
David West 40 15.1 .116 -.5 .10 .01
JaVale McGee 23 27.0 .325 17.6 .16 .11
Patrick McCaw 22 6.6 -.003 -8.8 .00 -.04
James McAdoo 12 14.3 .156 -2.0 .04 .00
Matt Barnes 8 6.7 -.046 -11.1 -.01 -.02
. totals 960 16.2 .131 2.9 2.62 1.18
. Cavs min PER WS/48 BPM WS vorp
LeBron James 166 27.9 .202 12.7 .70 .61
Kyrie Irving 160 19.2 .059 1.5 .20 .14
Kevin Love 131 22.2 .165 3.5 .45 .18
J.R. Smith 105 6.5 .001 -1.3 .00 .02
Tristan Thompson 103 7.7 -.003 1.7 -.01 .10
Kyle Korver 78 5.4 .012 -2.4 .02 -.01
Richard Jefferson 66 9.1 .059 -2.3 .08 -.01
Iman Shumpert 62 8.8 .027 -3.3 .04 -.02
Deron Williams 49 -6.5 -.252 -11.2 -.26 -.11
Channing Frye 11 -4.5 -.323 -20.1 -.07 -.05
Dahntay Jones 10 42.5 .587 6.8 .12 .02
Derrick Williams 10 17.3 .098 -7.0 .02 -.01
James Jones 9 -2.7 -.124 -10.4 -.02 -.02
. totals 960 14.4 .063 1.5 1.27 .84
Gains from 3G to 4G:
WS: Cle 1.11, GS -.06
vorp: Cle .63, GS -.08
eWins: Cle .70, GS .30
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Mike G
- Posts: 6175
- Joined: Fri Apr 15, 2011 12:02 am
- Location: Asheville, NC
Post
by Mike G »
Warriors 4, Cavs 1
avg score 121.6 - 114.8
Pyth wins 3.41 - 1.59, eWins 2.96 - 2.04
Code: Select all
eWins per36 rates tm mpg Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e480
1.18 Kevin Durant GSW 40 .685 35.5 7.7 4.2 .9 2.0 1.4 2.86
1.10 LeBron James Cle 42 .620 28.5 10.1 6.5 1.2 3.9 .8 2.49
.93 Stephen Curry GSW 38 .606 27.3 7.7 7.7 2.1 3.7 .0 2.35
.50 Kyrie Irving Cle 40 .553 23.6 3.6 3.1 .9 3.0 .2 1.18
.47 Kevin Love Cle 32 .519 14.0 12.4 .9 2.5 1.2 1.0 1.40
.31 Draymond Green GSW 35 .440 8.9 10.5 4.3 1.7 2.5 .6 .85
.20 Klay Thompson GSW 37 .558 13.3 4.8 1.9 .4 .8 .2 .51
.16 Andre Iguodala GSW 28 .581 9.7 3.9 3.5 1.5 1.2 1.1 .54
.09 Tristan Thompson Cle 27 .560 6.7 7.8 2.7 .8 2.0 .8 .31
.08 JaVale McGee GSW 5 .688 16.0 13.0 3.3 .0 1.3 2.4 1.59
eWins per36 rates tm mpg Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e480
.06 David West GSW 10 .583 11.9 6.2 1.6 .0 1.3 1.7 .54
.06 J.R. Smith Cle 29 .766 13.5 2.0 .4 .8 1.0 .5 .18
.04 Shaun Livingston GSW 15 .559 12.3 2.1 2.2 .4 .4 .0 .26
.02 Patrick McCaw GSW 7 .423 6.9 8.9 1.5 .9 .9 .0 .35
.02 Ian Clark GSW 9 .559 11.8 2.8 1.8 .7 1.4 .0 .18
-.01 Iman Shumpert Cle 13 .409 5.8 4.7 1.5 1.5 1.0 .0 -.09
-.02 Richard Jefferson Cle 17 .537 9.1 4.6 .6 .4 1.6 .4 -.13
-.04 Zaza Pachulia GSW 13 .516 7.7 7.4 .9 1.1 4.3 .0 -.28
-.09 Deron Williams Cle 12 .156 .9 4.1 2.4 1.0 2.6 .0 -.68
-.09 Kyle Korver Cle 19 .537 5.3 2.0 .5 .3 .3 .3 -.44
Shooting: GS .586 - .560 Cle
Rebounds: GS 45.8 - 43.6 Cle
Turnovers: 13.4 - 13.4
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Mike G
- Posts: 6175
- Joined: Fri Apr 15, 2011 12:02 am
- Location: Asheville, NC
Post
by Mike G »
And the other stats, inferred:
Code: Select all
. Warriors min PER WS/48 BPM WS vorp
Kevin Durant 199 31.4 .321 11.4 1.33 .67
Stephen Curry 189 25.1 .237 9.7 .93 .55
Klay Thompson 183 11.1 .081 -.4 .31 .07
Draymond Green 177 9.9 .036 1.3 .13 .15
Andre Iguodala 141 13.1 .113 3.0 .33 .18
Shaun Livingston 75 11.4 .090 -4.1 .14 -.04
Zaza Pachulia 67 3.4 -.038 -5.1 -.05 -.05
David West 50 12.8 .062 -2.2 .06 .00
Ian Clark 44 8.8 .026 -4.9 .02 -.03
Patrick McCaw 34 10.5 .042 -4.8 .03 -.02
JaVale McGee 23 27.0 .325 17.6 .16 .11
James M McAdoo 12 14.3 .156 -2.0 .04 .00
Matt Barnes 9 6.0 -.052 -11.1 -.01 -.02
. totals 1200 16.6 .137 3.18 3.43 1.56
. Cavs min PER WS/48 BPM WS vorp
LeBron James 212 29.0 .208 12.4 .92 .76
Kyrie Irving 201 18.4 .044 -.4 .18 .08
Kevin Love 161 19.7 .126 2.4 .42 .18
J.R. Smith 146 12.0 .076 1.6 .23 .13
Tristan Thompson 133 11.6 .027 3.0 .08 .16
Kyle Korver 96 4.4 -.007 -2.7 -.01 -.02
Richard Jefferson 84 7.6 .040 -2.8 .07 -.02
Iman Shumpert 66 5.2 -.038 -5.9 -.05 -.06
Deron Williams 61 -6.1 -.270 -10.9 -.34 -.14
Channing Frye 11 -4.5 -.323 -20.1 -.07 -.05
Dahntay Jones 10 42.5 .587 6.8 .12 .02
Derrick Williams 10 17.3 .098 -7.0 .02 -.01
James Jones 9 -2.7 -.124 -10.4 -.02 -.02
. totals 1200 14.9 .061 1.41 1.54 1.02
Win Shares
almost caught up with actual wins.