Home for all your discussion of basketball statistical analysis.
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Mike G
- Posts: 6175
- Joined: Fri Apr 15, 2011 12:02 am
- Location: Asheville, NC
Post
by Mike G »
Warriors 3 , Rockets 2
avg score 110.4 - 109.2
Pyth wins 2.68 - 2.32 , eWins 2.59 - 2.41
Code: Select all
eWins per36 rates tm mpg Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e490
1.03 James Harden Hou 41 .586 31.9 6.6 5.1 1.6 3.4 .5 2.48
.77 Kevin Durant GS 42 .576 28.0 4.7 3.6 .7 2.9 .7 1.79
.63 Draymond Green GS 41 .634 13.3 10.5 7.2 1.1 2.9 .7 1.51
.43 Stephen Curry GS 40 .505 17.8 4.5 4.8 1.1 2.7 .2 1.05
.38 Chris Paul Hou 39 .525 13.0 6.6 5.5 1.9 3.4 .4 .95
.37 Andre Iguodala GS 34 .640 14.3 6.1 3.6 .4 .4 1.1 1.06
.30 Clint Capela Hou 28 .538 10.7 14.3 2.2 .3 2.1 .8 1.03
.29 P.J. Tucker Hou 40 .588 8.9 8.8 1.9 1.6 1.0 .7 .69
.28 Eric Gordon Hou 39 .603 21.0 2.6 .8 .6 3.3 .9 .70
.28 Klay Thompson GS 42 .521 13.6 5.3 1.6 2.1 1.7 .0 .66
eWins per36 rates tm mpg Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e490
.13 Nene Hilario Hou 7 .895 21.4 8.0 1.9 2.8 1.0 .9 1.84
.08 Kevon Looney GS 18 .786 9.9 8.2 1.5 .8 1.9 1.1 .46
.04 Austin Rivers Hou 22 .567 10.3 4.1 2.3 .9 1.8 .3 .19
.00 Shaun Livingston GS 13 .417 5.7 2.7 3.0 1.5 .0 .0 .03
.00 Gerald Green Hou 6 .545 11.8 3.5 .0 .0 1.2 1.1 .04
.00 Iman Shumpert Hou 16 .558 11.0 4.4 .0 .4 1.4 .0 .01
-.02 Alfonzo McKinnie GS 9 .350 3.5 8.2 .7 .0 .8 .0 -.19
shooting: Hou .574 - .556 GS
rebounds: Hou 41.3 - 39.8 GS
turnovers:
GS 13.2 - 16.2 Hou
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Mike G
- Posts: 6175
- Joined: Fri Apr 15, 2011 12:02 am
- Location: Asheville, NC
Post
by Mike G »
Nuggets 3 ,
Blazers 3
avg score 116.0 - 113.2
Pyth wins 3.49 - 2.51 , eWins 3.24 - 2.76
Code: Select all
eWins per36 rates tm mpg Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e513
1.15 Nikola Jokic Den 42 .631 24.9 11.5 7.4 1.0 3.4 .6 2.33
.73 Jamal Murray Den 40 .546 21.7 5.2 5.1 .8 1.3 .2 1.55
.72 Damian Lillard Por 41 .545 24.5 3.6 5.2 1.4 2.9 .3 1.53
.59 CJ McCollum Por 41 .507 20.3 4.7 3.1 .7 1.4 .4 1.22
.59 Paul Millsap Den 37 .577 18.3 8.5 1.2 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.35
.41 Rodney Hood Por 25 .719 25.8 4.2 1.3 .0 1.0 .7 1.41
.34 Enes Kanter Por 34 .520 13.2 10.9 .9 .9 2.2 .7 .85
.25 Zach Collins Por 21 .614 15.6 6.1 1.9 1.1 2.0 3.0 1.04
.25 Will Barton Den 26 .463 12.3 7.1 2.9 .7 1.0 .9 .85
.19 Gary Harris Den 40 .506 11.3 3.8 2.0 1.5 1.3 .6 .41
eWins per36 rates tm mpg Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e513
.18 Mason Plumlee Den 16 .574 9.7 10.2 2.9 2.1 1.9 1.8 1.00
.17 Al-Farouq Aminu Por 30 .432 8.3 8.6 1.7 1.0 1.7 1.0 .47
.12 Malik Beasley Den 20 .490 13.2 5.0 1.5 .6 .6 .3 .54
.12 Maurice Harkless Por 21 .471 8.8 6.6 3.0 2.1 2.1 .6 .46
.11 Evan Turner Por 14 .250 1.0 10.9 7.8 .4 .8 .4 .68
.06 Torrey Craig Den 24 .493 8.1 6.5 .6 .8 .6 .5 .20
-.01 Seth Curry Por 21 .507 9.4 2.6 1.1 .0 .6 .3 -.03
-.04 Monte Morris Den 12 .259 4.2 .9 4.4 .5 1.0 .0 -.26
shooting: Den .535 - .532 Por
rebounds: Den 48.2 - 43.5 Por
turnovers: Den 10.3 - 11.7 Por
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Mike G
- Posts: 6175
- Joined: Fri Apr 15, 2011 12:02 am
- Location: Asheville, NC
Post
by Mike G »
Warriors 4 , Rockets 2
avg score 111.7 - 109.8
Pyth wins 3.33 - 2.67 , eWins 3.16 - 2.84
Code: Select all
eWins per36 rates tm mpg Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e488
1.19 James Harden Hou 40 .582 32.2 7.0 5.2 2.0 3.9 .5 2.39
.76 Kevin Durant GS 35 .576 28.1 4.7 3.9 .7 2.9 .7 1.76
.69 Draymond Green GS 40 .598 12.2 10.7 7.8 1.1 3.0 .8 1.40
.60 Stephen Curry GS 39 .532 20.6 4.8 5.0 .9 2.8 .2 1.23
.56 Chris Paul Hou 39 .559 15.6 7.5 5.7 1.6 3.2 .3 1.18
.46 Andre Iguodala GS 35 .653 15.1 5.5 3.7 1.2 .9 .9 1.08
.38 Klay Thompson GS 42 .550 15.7 4.8 1.8 1.9 2.1 .3 .74
.35 P.J. Tucker Hou 41 .631 10.0 8.0 1.9 1.8 .8 .6 .70
.32 Clint Capela Hou 29 .520 10.6 14.2 2.1 .2 2.4 .6 .89
.25 Eric Gordon Hou 39 .588 18.9 2.4 1.3 .5 3.2 .8 .53
eWins per36 rates tm mpg Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e488
.17 Kevon Looney GS 18 .783 13.1 8.3 1.6 .9 1.8 1.2 .78
.14 Nene Hilario Hou 7 .905 19.2 8.0 2.3 2.2 1.7 1.5 1.54
.07 Austin Rivers Hou 21 .589 11.4 3.8 2.3 .8 1.5 .3 .25
.05 Shaun Livingston GS 13 .500 9.3 3.2 3.0 1.2 .0 .0 .33
.02 Andrew Bogut GS 4 .250 1.7 15.4 1.7 .0 1.6 1.6 .39
.01 Gerald Green Hou 7 .450 11.2 4.2 .0 1.5 1.7 .8 .17
.01 Jonas Jerebko GS 5 .409 7.0 8.0 2.2 .0 1.0 .0 .20
.01 Quinn Cook GS 3 .200 1.9 4.4 6.4 2.0 .0 .0 .37
-.01 Iman Shumpert Hou 15 .558 9.8 4.3 .4 .4 1.2 .0 -.05
-.03 Alfonzo McKinnie GS 8 .350 3.0 7.8 .7 .0 .6 .0 -.25
-.04 Danuel House Hou 4 .250 2.0 4.2 .0 .0 1.4 .0 -.79
shooting: Hou .575 - .565 GS
rebounds/48: Hou 41.1 - 39.0 GS
turnovers:
GS 13.8 - 16.3 Hou
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Mike G
- Posts: 6175
- Joined: Fri Apr 15, 2011 12:02 am
- Location: Asheville, NC
Post
by Mike G »
Here they are in other stats, having removed their 1st-round numbers from current ones. Ranked by VORP in the series.
Code: Select all
Dubs min PER WS/48 BPM WS VORP
Green 241 17.5 .134 5.8 .67 .47
Iguodala 208 18.0 .158 6.5 .68 .44
Looney 110 17.6 .177 5.0 .41 .19
Durant 212 22.4 .139 1.6 .61 .19
Thompson 249 12.8 .042 0.9 .22 .18
Curry 236 15.5 .075 0.6 .37 .15
Bell 11 24.0 .294 11.3 .07 .04
Liv'ston 80 11.7 .099 -1.9 .17 .00
Cook 16 7.1 -.024 -4.1 -.01 -.01
Bogut 22 8.9 .015 -3.7 .01 -.01
Jerebko 31 7.9 .013 -3.7 .01 -.01
McKinnie 50 3.0 -.019 -5.1 -.02 -.04
totals 1465 15.9 .103 2.4 3.13 1.60
Rockets min PER WS/48 BPM WS VORP
Harden 242 27.8 .222 7.9 1.12 .60
Tucker 247 14.1 .142 5.0 .73 .43
Paul 232 16.7 .124 2.9 .60 .29
Nene 44 29.0 .353 13.4 .32 .17
Rivers 128 9.1 .065 -1.1 .17 .03
Capela 173 14.0 .072 -1.4 .26 .03
Gordon 234 12.7 .032 -2.1 .16 .00
Faried 5 11.7 -.328 -9.0 -.03 -.01
Shumpert 92 6.5 .039 -3.6 .07 -.04
Green 42 6.2 -.067 -9.7 -.06 -.08
House 26 -3.9 -.274 -19.6 -.15 -.11
totals 1465 15.5 .103 1.6 3.15 1.30
Win Shares total more than 6, perhaps because I didn't properly adjust to 48.8 mpg. Interesting that Hou > GSW in this measure.
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Crow
- Posts: 10623
- Joined: Thu Apr 14, 2011 11:10 pm
Post
by Crow »
The Nuggets should make major changes, including considering trading anyone not named Jokic.
The Blazers will fight on. But if the run ends before a title, they should consider, probably make, some changes.
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Mike G
- Posts: 6175
- Joined: Fri Apr 15, 2011 12:02 am
- Location: Asheville, NC
Post
by Mike G »
Blazers 4 , Nuggets 3
avg score : Den 113.1 - 111.3 Por
Pyth wins 3.88 - 3.12 , eWins 3.69 - 3.31
Code: Select all
eWins per36 rates tm mpg Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e509
1.33 Nikola Jokic Den 42 .605 23.8 11.2 6.6 .9 3.2 1.0 2.29
.81 Damian Lillard Por 41 .519 20.9 4.1 5.4 1.5 2.6 .3 1.43
.79 Jamal Murray Den 40 .522 19.8 5.2 5.1 .7 1.3 .1 1.44
.78 CJ McCollum Por 42 .526 21.4 4.9 2.7 .7 1.1 .5 1.36
.63 Paul Millsap Den 36 .540 16.2 8.2 1.2 1.4 1.4 1.9 1.26
.43 Rodney Hood Por 24 .691 23.6 4.2 1.2 .0 .8 .6 1.28
.39 Enes Kanter Por 35 .511 12.3 10.7 .9 .7 2.0 .6 .81
.32 Zach Collins Por 21 .598 14.7 6.2 1.9 .9 1.9 3.5 1.11
.28 Will Barton Den 25 .461 11.9 6.8 2.8 .6 .9 .8 .82
.25 Gary Harris Den 40 .522 11.4 4.0 2.0 1.3 1.3 .5 .45
eWins per36 rates tm mpg Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e509
.22 Mason Plumlee Den 16 .534 8.8 10.3 2.5 1.8 1.6 2.1 1.00
.21 Evan Turner Por 15 .462 5.4 11.2 7.1 .3 .7 .7 1.05
.19 Maurice Harkless Por 20 .481 9.2 6.9 3.5 2.1 1.9 .8 .68
.18 Al-Farouq Aminu Por 27 .421 8.1 8.7 1.6 1.0 1.8 1.0 .48
.11 Malik Beasley Den 18 .481 12.1 4.7 1.4 .6 .6 .3 .46
.08 Torrey Craig Den 25 .500 7.9 6.8 .9 .6 .7 .4 .24
.06 Meyers Leonard Por 5 .438 11.3 9.3 3.0 .0 .0 .0 .85
-.01 Monte Morris Den 12 .290 5.2 1.6 4.4 .8 .9 .0 -.07
-.05 Seth Curry Por 20 .481 7.9 2.3 1.0 .0 .5 .2 -.18
shooting: Por .524 - .522 Den
rebounds: Den 48.5 - 45.0 Por
turnovers: Den 10.3 - 10.9 Por