Well, it is a bit difficult to say because I do not have any real stats for the teams. And without data my expertise is quite limited. Just based on what games I have seen so far before the tournament starts. And since all are friendly and exhibition games (where coaches try differerent lineups) it is tricky to make predictions.
However, here is what I think so far for each of the favourite teams:
-USA: I am not sure if they win it this time around. Ok game with Canada (as expected), lost against Australia (did not see that game yet). So not sure. If someone has any info on current team condition and performance please share it.
-SERBIA: Really strong team. Might win it this year depending on what SPAIN and USA do
-SPAIN: Lots of good NBA players. Haven't seen any of their games yet or heard anything about current team
-FRANCE: Although high rated they did lose from SERBIA in exhibition game (need to watch that). Traditionaly good team but much of an unknown this year.
-GREECE: Probably the best team we have had for ages (if ever). Yiannis is there but also the rest of the players are pretty good. Good cohesion, work as a team. Maybe maybe in the last 4 of the tournament depending on the knockout matchups. Also Yannis's brother Thanasis will be playing (from the bench) so it will be good to see how he will perform before moving to the Bucks next season with his brother.
-AUSTRALIA: They seem to be pretty good this year. I wouldn't discount them for finishing high in the tournament.
-GERMANY: Lot's of good players there too but the games I have seen with them were rather mediocre. They even lost from Japan.
Beyond that I do not know what the other teams might do. Argentina? Lithuania? Maybe there is a surprise there.
My gut feeling is that Serbia might win it. They seem to be very strong this year.
That's my guess from the friendlies so far. I ll check the markets and see what they think. I guess things will become more clear in a few days when the tournament starts.
Whatever happens it seems like we are going to have some really interesting games ahead of us.
