Clark not coming back til next season.
Don't know the mean, median or mode measure of center here but seems like a longer than typical absence.
WNBA 2025 eWins etc. w. Playoffs
Re: WNBA 2025 eWins etc.
Final 2025 eWins and rates.
In their last few games, Collier relaxed or slumped a bit while Wilson really poured it on.
https://www.basketball-reference.com/wn ... /2025.html
Rookies totaled 28 eWins.
Code: Select all
eWin per36 rates pos tm min Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e402
8.5 A'ja Wilson C LVA 1247 .584 31.4 11.9 3.9 1.8 2.6 2.7 2.73
6.7 Alyssa Thomas F Phx 1221 .558 20.1 10.1 11.5 1.9 4.1 .5 2.20
6.6 Napheesa Collier F Min 1065 .626 32.9 8.4 4.0 1.8 2.4 1.7 2.51
6.0 Aliyah Boston Cf Ind 1327 .571 20.1 10.4 4.6 1.5 2.3 1.1 1.81
5.9 Nneka Ogwumike F Sea 1359 .594 25.1 8.5 2.7 1.4 2.3 .5 1.75
5.8 Dearica Hamby F LAS 1374 .593 22.6 9.5 3.6 1.8 3.2 .6 1.71
5.7 Jackie Young G LVA 1337 .586 22.8 5.4 6.7 1.5 2.7 .5 1.71
5.7 Allisha Gray G Atl 1451 .585 23.6 5.8 4.3 1.1 1.9 .4 1.57
5.1 Courtney Williams G Min 1260 .493 19.0 6.4 8.8 1.6 3.0 .4 1.63
5.1 Kelsey Mitchell G Ind 1381 .566 25.9 2.1 4.1 1.1 2.1 .2 1.49
eWin 11-20 pos tm min Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e402
5.1 Veronica Burton G GSV 1292 .547 17.5 5.5 9.0 1.4 2.7 .8 1.59
5.1 Sabrina Ionescu G NYL 1194 .529 23.1 5.6 7.1 1.4 3.1 .5 1.71
5.0 Brionna Jones F Atl 1169 .572 21.2 10.3 3.4 1.5 2.0 1.1 1.73
4.7 Skylar Diggins G Sea 1343 .526 19.6 3.0 7.1 1.4 2.5 1.0 1.40
4.6 Satou Sabally F Phx 1039 .524 24.1 8.0 3.7 1.8 2.8 .5 1.76
4.5 Azura Stevens Fc LAS 1249 .588 17.0 10.6 2.6 1.6 1.9 1.4 1.46
4.5 Kelsey Plum G LAS 1508 .567 20.6 3.3 5.6 1.3 3.2 .1 1.20
4.5 Breanna Stewart F NYL 948 .556 24.5 7.7 4.5 1.5 2.3 1.6 1.90
4.3 Paige Bueckers G Dal 1199 .559 21.0 4.3 5.4 1.7 2.2 .6 1.46
4.3 Rhyne Howard G Atl 1151 .518 20.5 4.8 5.6 1.6 1.8 .9 1.51
eWin 21-30 pos tm min Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e402
4.2 Kiki Iriafen F Was 1185 .538 19.2 12.3 2.1 .9 3.0 .2 1.42
4.0 Natasha Howard F Ind 1060 .584 19.4 10.5 2.3 1.9 3.0 .9 1.53
3.9 Sonia Citron G Was 1415 .599 19.3 4.8 2.7 1.6 2.4 .4 1.11
3.8 Gabby Williams F Sea 1391 .503 14.0 5.1 4.9 2.7 2.2 .6 1.11
3.8 Kamilla Cardoso C Chi 1102 .556 18.4 11.5 2.9 .5 3.3 1.6 1.37
3.7 Alanna Smith F Min 1114 .557 15.6 7.2 4.4 1.8 2.2 2.7 1.34
3.7 Tina Charles C Con 1222 .507 20.0 7.6 2.1 1.0 2.5 .6 1.22
3.7 Chelsea Gray G LVA 1368 .563 14.7 4.6 6.9 1.6 3.4 .8 1.08
3.6 Angel Reese F Chi 947 .524 16.8 14.8 3.9 1.8 4.6 .8 1.54
3.6 Jonquel Jones C NYL 830 .602 22.0 10.9 4.0 .6 3.0 1.5 1.73
eWin 31-40 pos tm min Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e402
3.4 Kayla McBride G Min 1220 .576 20.0 2.7 4.6 1.5 2.0 .1 1.13
3.4 Shakira Austin Fc Was 874 .497 20.0 10.5 2.8 1.9 3.8 1.8 1.56
3.2 Natasha Cloud G NYL 1191 .540 14.0 4.6 6.9 1.4 2.4 .4 1.07
3.1 Ezi Magbegor Fc Sea 1203 .539 11.7 8.4 2.8 .9 1.3 3.0 1.05
3.0 Jessica Shepard F Min 835 .619 16.4 12.1 4.7 .8 2.4 .2 1.43
3.0 Brittney Sykes Was Sea 1194 .485 16.9 3.9 4.8 1.6 3.0 .4 1.00
2.9 Naz Hillmon F Atl 1122 .577 14.1 8.6 3.7 .6 1.6 .6 1.05
2.6 Erica Wheeler G Sea 1126 .511 15.0 3.8 4.6 1.8 2.2 .3 .94
2.6 Jordin Canada G Atl 783 .489 15.9 4.3 8.5 2.2 2.9 .4 1.34
2.5 Ariel Atkins G Chi 971 .543 17.0 4.4 4.2 2.1 3.2 .9 1.05
eWin 41-50 pos tm min Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e402
2.5 Brittney Griner C Atl 810 .556 19.5 9.1 1.7 .2 2.6 2.1 1.23
2.5 Jewell Loyd G LVA 1245 .531 14.9 4.0 2.5 1.4 1.5 .3 .80
2.4 Janelle Salaün F GSV 973 .518 17.1 6.9 1.9 .8 2.0 .1 .99
2.3 Natisha Hiedeman G Min 833 .588 18.7 3.2 5.3 1.2 2.1 .4 1.12
2.3 Kahleah Copper Gf Phx 752 .539 23.3 3.9 2.2 1.5 3.1 .2 1.21
2.2 Kayla Thornton F GSV 662 .486 18.4 8.6 2.2 1.6 2.0 .3 1.33
2.2 Temi Fagbenle C GSV 925 .539 13.2 7.6 2.9 1.4 2.3 .9 .95
2.2 Eliz. Williams Cf Chi 906 .495 13.0 8.5 2.7 1.2 2.1 1.5 .96
2.1 Marina Mabrey G Con 1103 .472 15.2 4.9 4.3 .8 3.3 .3 .78
2.1 Aneesah Morrow F Con 775 .453 12.5 12.9 .9 1.4 2.1 .8 1.08
2.1 NaLyssa Smith Dal LVA 956 .547 13.6 8.7 1.3 .9 2.0 1.1 .87
https://www.basketball-reference.com/wn ... /2025.html
Rookies totaled 28 eWins.
Code: Select all
eWin per36 rates pos tm min Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e402
4.3 Paige Bueckers G Dal 1199 .559 21.0 4.3 5.4 1.7 2.2 .6 1.46
4.2 Kiki Iriafen F Was 1185 .538 19.2 12.3 2.1 .9 3.0 .2 1.42
3.9 Sonia Citron G Was 1415 .599 19.3 4.8 2.7 1.6 2.4 .4 1.11
2.4 Janelle Salaün F GSV 973 .518 17.1 6.9 1.9 .8 2.0 .1 .99
2.1 Aneesah Morrow F Con 775 .453 12.5 12.9 .9 1.4 2.1 .8 1.08
2.0 Dominique Malonga C Sea 600 .560 18.8 10.3 1.9 .9 2.5 1.5 1.36
1.9 Monique A Makani G Phx 881 .550 14.5 3.7 4.9 1.4 2.3 .1 .87
1.9 Saniya Rivers G Con 1097 .490 11.2 3.9 3.4 2.0 2.0 1.2 .69
1.4 Te-Hina PaoPao G Atl 720 .554 13.7 3.3 5.6 .9 2.1 .4 .80
1.1 Aziaha James G Dal 673 .457 12.2 5.4 2.6 1.2 1.9 .3 .63
eWin per36 rates pos tm min Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e402
.9 JJ Quinerly G Dal 539 .523 13.2 3.9 4.5 1.8 3.3 .4 .70
.5 Lucy Olsen G Was 508 .493 10.0 3.1 3.0 1.0 1.3 .3 .40
.5 Makayla Timpson Fc Ind 219 .582 12.3 8.0 .1 1.9 1.1 1.1 .87
.3 Maddy Westbeld F Chi 354 .473 8.7 5.6 1.8 1.2 1.4 .6 .40Re: WNBA 2025 eWins etc.
Top 5 in league, 6-1 to 6-5. No listed guards. Changes after that but not in the very top.
Re: WNBA 2025 eWins etc.
Playoff time.
Disclaimers: First pass, 1st round, I'm not scaling player Sco and Reb to their individual series but to the whole WNBA playoff field.
With that and no source of team rebounds and turnovers, I'm simply adjusting eW/400 minutes to align with team pt-diff.
Atl 80 - 68 Ind
Pythagorean wins .85 - .15 , eWins .67 - .33
shooting: Atl .497 - .439 Ind
rebounds: Atl 36 - 32 Ind
turnovers: Ind 12 - 13 Atl
Min 101 - 72 GSV
Pyth wins .97 - .03 , eWins .735 - .265
shooting: Min .631 - .497 GS
rebounds: Min 36 - 26 GS
turnovers: Min 11 - 16 GS
LVA 102 - 77 Sea
Pyth wins .95 - .05 , eWins .725 - .275
shooting: LV .626 - .503 Sea
rebounds: LV 39 - 34 Sea
turnovers: LV 9 - 12 Sea
NYL 76 - 69 Phx
Pyth wins .73 - .27 , eWins .62 - .38
shooting: NY .497 - .406 Phx
rebounds: NY 48 - 31 Phx
turnovers: Phx 10 - 20 NY
https://www.basketball-reference.com/wn ... /2025.html
Minimum 15 minutes played.
Disclaimers: First pass, 1st round, I'm not scaling player Sco and Reb to their individual series but to the whole WNBA playoff field.
With that and no source of team rebounds and turnovers, I'm simply adjusting eW/400 minutes to align with team pt-diff.
Atl 80 - 68 Ind
Pythagorean wins .85 - .15 , eWins .67 - .33
Code: Select all
eWin per36 rates tm min Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e400
.19 Naz Hillmon Atl 33 .842 26.7 10.1 4.6 .8 2.2 3.4 2.32
.17 Allisha Gray Atl 35 .476 24.5 6.4 5.8 2.4 2.1 1.1 2.00
.15 Kelsey Mitchell Ind 33 .600 32.2 1.1 4.9 .0 1.1 1.1 1.80
.15 Rhyne Howard Atl 32 .526 27.9 7.0 3.2 .9 1.2 .0 1.85
.12 Brionna Jones Atl 31 .750 20.3 6.0 4.9 2.7 2.4 .0 1.55
.08 Aliyah Boston Ind 34 .400 7.7 13.1 5.9 .0 1.1 .0 1.00
.06 Odyssey Sims Ind 31 .556 12.3 3.6 3.9 2.8 1.2 .0 .81
.03 Jordin Canada Atl 25 .125 1.9 6.0 8.2 1.1 3.0 .0 .44
.01 Natasha Howard Ind 24 .313 6.2 9.3 1.7 1.8 6.2 1.6 .20
-.00 Aerial Powers Ind 17 .357 8.1 0.0 .0 4.4 3.8 .0 -.06
eWin per36 rates tm min Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e400
-.01 Maya Caldwell Atl 21 .400 6.8 1.6 .0 1.2 3.2 1.6 -.10
-.01 Lexie Hull Ind 36 .321 7.4 4.1 1.1 .0 2.0 .0 -.09
rebounds: Atl 36 - 32 Ind
turnovers: Ind 12 - 13 Atl
Min 101 - 72 GSV
Pyth wins .97 - .03 , eWins .735 - .265
Code: Select all
eWin per36 rates tm min Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e400
.14 Napheesa Collier Min 26 .741 37.2 9.4 3.8 1.1 2.9 .0 2.24
.13 Jessica Shepard Min 17 .667 28.6 16.9 10.3 1.5 .0 .0 3.00
.10 Co. Williams Min 27 .500 16.6 6.1 7.4 4.2 2.8 1.4 1.51
.10 Na. Hiedeman Min 26 .563 27.0 4.3 7.0 1.0 2.6 .0 1.54
.09 Kayla McBride Min 26 .773 32.2 4.7 1.9 1.1 4.3 .0 1.33
.08 Veronica Burton GSV 34 .452 10.9 6.0 7.4 3.7 7.6 1.1 .92
.07 Alanna Smith Min 28 .529 13.4 8.8 3.6 4.0 2.7 .0 1.02
.06 Temi Fagbenle GSV 20 .600 18.0 6.2 5.4 .0 1.9 .0 1.23
.06 Ce. Zandalasini GSV 30 .519 13.0 5.4 2.4 1.4 1.2 .0 .82
.04 Janelle Salaün GSV 36 .591 10.5 6.8 .0 1.2 2.0 .0 .44
eWin per36 rates tm min Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e400
.03 Kate Martin GSV 26 .524 10.8 2.9 2.5 .0 1.3 1.3 .48
.02 Br. Carleton Min 21 .500 3.9 5.9 7.2 .0 .0 .0 .32
-.00 Iliana Rupert GSV 17 .000 .0 6.3 1.9 .0 1.9 1.9 -.03
-.00 Kaila Charles GSV 18 .167 1.9 2.3 2.0 2.4 2.1 .0 -.07
rebounds: Min 36 - 26 GS
turnovers: Min 11 - 16 GS
LVA 102 - 77 Sea
Pyth wins .95 - .05 , eWins .725 - .275
Code: Select all
eWin per36 rates tm min Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e400
.21 A'ja Wilson LVA 30 .630 40.6 9.3 3.0 2.8 3.7 2.5 2.77
.17 Jackie Young LVA 28 .900 31.7 6.2 11.3 3.9 5.3 .0 2.47
.11 Do. Malonga Sea 24 .500 12.3 14.4 .9 3.9 .0 1.4 1.80
.10 Dana Evans LVA 23 .591 20.7 5.4 10.6 .0 .0 .0 1.70
.09 NaLyssa Smith LVA 25 .611 18.1 12.5 1.8 .0 .0 3.0 1.52
.07 Chelsea Gray LVA 27 .500 7.0 5.1 10.0 3.1 1.4 .0 .99
.07 Jewell Loyd LVA 26 .737 21.7 3.7 1.6 .0 .0 1.3 1.01
.05 Gabby Williams Sea 27 .615 17.8 3.9 1.8 1.9 4.1 .0 .82
.05 Nneka Ogwumike Sea 27 .550 11.6 10.3 2.8 .0 4.1 .0 .70
.04 Skylar Diggins Sea 26 .480 12.3 2.7 1.9 .0 .0 .0 .57
eWin per36 rates tm min Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e400
.03 Erica Wheeler Sea 25 .435 9.2 2.5 .9 1.9 .0 .0 .49
.01 Ezi Magbegor Sea 24 .400 2.1 4.4 2.1 .0 .0 1.6 .19
.00 Kierstan Bell LVA 15 .417 11.5 2.3 .0 .0 .0 .0 .03
-.05 Brittney Sykes Sea 16 .000 .0 4.4 1.6 .0 11.6 .0 -1.17
rebounds: LV 39 - 34 Sea
turnovers: LV 9 - 12 Sea
NYL 76 - 69 Phx
Pyth wins .73 - .27 , eWins .62 - .38
Code: Select all
eWin per36 rates tm min Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e402
.24 Natasha Cloud NYL 40 .852 35.7 5.4 5.7 3.8 3.7 .0 2.45
.16 Breanna Stewart NYL 40 .545 22.9 5.4 4.6 1.9 .9 .0 1.57
.11 Alyssa Thomas Phx 41 .368 12.7 7.8 8.5 .9 2.7 .0 1.12
.11 Sabrina Ionescu NYL 43 .432 17.0 5.0 7.4 .0 4.3 1.7 1.07
.09 Jonquel Jones NYL 35 .500 9.8 12.3 2.6 .0 2.1 3.2 1.01
.08 DeWanna Bonner Phx 31 .750 18.4 5.4 .0 3.4 1.1 .0 1.03
.06 Kahleah Copper Phx 36 .484 17.5 2.0 1.2 1.1 1.0 1.0 .71
.05 Sami Whitcomb Phx 20 .429 10.7 4.8 3.9 3.4 .0 1.6 1.10
.04 Satou Sabally Phx 37 .237 7.5 7.7 2.4 3.1 3.0 .0 .49
.03 Leonie Fiebich NYL 39 .556 13.1 5.5 1.2 .0 3.8 .9 .30
eWin per36 rates tm min Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e402
.01 Natasha Mack Phx 19 .333 3.8 1.9 2.3 4.1 .0 .0 .26
.00 Monique A Makani Phx 34 .320 8.3 2.1 2.6 .0 1.1 .0 .03
-.02 Kennedy Burke NYL 15 .000 .0 8.4 .0 .0 4.3 .0 -.59
rebounds: NY 48 - 31 Phx
turnovers: Phx 10 - 20 NY
https://www.basketball-reference.com/wn ... /2025.html
Minimum 15 minutes played.
Re: WNBA 2025 eWins etc.
One game comparison of stats. Players with > 24 minutes, arranged by series:
Code: Select all
tm one game min e402 PER WS/48
Atl Allisha Gray 35 2.00 23.4 .282
Atl Naz Hillmon 33 2.32 32.3 .403
Atl Rhyne Howard 32 1.85 20.0 .278
Atl Brionna Jones 31 1.55 21.5 .288
Atl Jordin Canada 25 .44 -5.4 -.127
Ind Lexie Hull 36 -.09 -0.6 -.169
Ind Aliyah Boston 34 1.00 10.2 .066
Ind Kelsey Mitchell 33 1.80 31.5 .272
Ind Odyssey Sims 31 .81 16.6 .124
tm one game min e402 PER WS/48
Min Alanna Smith 28 1.02 16.2 .208
Min Co. Williams 27 1.51 22.5 .251
Min Napheesa Collier 26 2.24 31.5 .409
Min Natisha Hiedeman 26 1.54 23.5 .270
Min Kayla McBride 26 1.33 21.1 .214
GSV Janelle Salaün 36 .44 9.9 -.129
GSV Veronica Burton 34 .92 9.2 -.237
GSV Ce. Zandalasini 30 .82 14.2 -.020
GSV Kate Martin 26 .48 15.3 -.040
tm one game min e402 PER WS/48
LVA A'ja Wilson 30 2.77 41.7 .401
LVA Jackie Young 28 2.47 40.7 .456
LVA Chelsea Gray 27 .99 19.5 .252
LVA Jewell Loyd 26 1.01 25.1 .286
LVA NaLyssa Smith 25 1.52 29.7 .321
Sea Gabby Williams 27 .82 22.4 -.073
Sea Nneka Ogwumike 27 .70 14.5 -.116
Sea Skylar Diggins 26 .57 14.4 -.047
Sea Erica Wheeler 25 .49 13.0 -.096
tm one game min e402 PER WS/48
NYL Sabrina Ionescu 43 1.07 9.5 .102
NYL Natasha Cloud 40 2.45 31.1 .422
NYL Breanna Stewart 40 1.57 21.6 .310
NYL Leonie Fiebich 39 .30 6.1 .085
NYL Jonquel Jones 35 1.01 11.6 .191
Phx Alyssa Thomas 41 1.12 12.1 -.027
Phx Satou Sabally 37 .49 -1.6 -.242
Phx Kahleah Copper 36 .71 11.1 .093
Phx Monique A Makani 34 .03 .0 -.085
Phx DeWanna Bonner 31 1.03 22.2 .246
Re: WNBA 2025 eWins etc.
note: In a tie series, the team with more points is listed first. Team that just won is in bold.
Ind 1 - 1 Atl
avg score 72.5 - 70.0
Pyth wins 1.18 - .82 , eWins 1.09 - .91
shooting : Ind .490 - .462 Atl
rebounds: Ind 34.5 - 31.5 Atl
turnovers: Atl 13.0 - 13.5 Ind
LVA 1 - 1 Sea
avg score 92.5 - 81.5
Pyth wins 1.58 - .42 , eWins 1.29 - .71
shooting : LV .609 - .528 Sea
rebounds: LV 34.0 - 33.0 Sea
turnovers: LV 10.0 - 11.0 Sea
Ind 1 - 1 Atl
avg score 72.5 - 70.0
Pyth wins 1.18 - .82 , eWins 1.09 - .91
Code: Select all
eWin per36 rates tm mpg Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e402
.39 Kelsey Mitchell Ind 31 .622 37.2 .6 6.1 1.5 2.4 1.2 2.54
.25 Aliyah Boston Ind 28 .523 18.3 11.4 6.8 .0 1.3 .0 1.80
.22 Naz Hillmon Atl 31 .585 17.5 9.6 4.0 .5 2.4 1.8 1.40
.19 Allisha Gray Atl 33 .392 15.2 7.3 3.7 1.4 1.1 .6 1.19
.17 Brionna Jones Atl 27 .714 19.7 5.0 3.1 3.0 2.1 .0 1.29
.17 Rhyne Howard Atl 33 .484 18.4 4.6 3.1 1.4 2.3 .0 1.02
.11 Odyssey Sims Ind 29 .375 9.3 4.5 5.7 1.7 2.6 .0 .76
.11 Natasha Howard Ind 27 .500 14.0 7.8 2.7 .9 3.5 .7 .83
.09 Makayla Timpson Ind 6 1.00 45.1 8.8 .0 .0 .0 2.9 3.37
.08 Brianna Turner Ind 16 .400 4.2 11.4 2.6 4.0 2.1 1.0 1.00
eWin per36 rates tm mpg Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e402
.07 Te-Hina PaoPao Atl 10 .813 32.1 3.3 .0 1.4 4.9 1.6 1.47
.05 Jordin Canada Atl 24 .188 2.7 3.2 8.6 2.0 1.6 .0 .42
.03 Brittney Griner Atl 12 .375 11.3 4.1 4.5 .0 2.7 1.4 .55
.02 Lexie Hull Ind 29 .381 9.9 5.8 1.6 .0 3.2 .0 .16
.02 Aerial Powers Ind 18 .320 6.6 6.7 .0 2.5 2.9 .0 .20
.00 Maya Caldwell Atl 18 .500 7.4 4.8 2.1 .8 3.8 1.0 .04
-.01 Shey Peddy Ind 16 .250 2.2 3.1 1.3 2.7 2.1 .0 -.06
-.01 Nia Coffey Atl 8 .200 2.3 6.1 .0 .0 .0 .0 -.20
rebounds: Ind 34.5 - 31.5 Atl
turnovers: Atl 13.0 - 13.5 Ind
Code: Select all
. Atl PER WS/40 e400 . Ind PER WS/40 e400
Allisha Gray 12.6 .067 1.19 Kelsey Mitchell 30.2 .334 2.54
Rhyne Howard 13.0 .084 1.02 Odyssey Sims 7.2 .022 .76
Naz Hillmon 19.0 .181 1.40 Lexie Hull .3 -.049 .16
Brionna Jones 19.3 .210 1.29 Aliyah Boston 17.2 .212 1.80
Jordin Canada 2.1 -.091 .42 Natasha Howard 9.8 .073 .83
Maya Caldwell 5.2 -.038 .04 Aerial Powers 1.0 -.057 .20
Br. Griner 7.1 -.083 .55 Brianna Turner 12.6 .154 1.00
Te-H. PaoPao 23.4 .092 1.47 Shey Peddy -.4 -.054 -.06
Nia Coffey -4.4 -.131 -.20 Makayla Timpson 52.5 .648 3.37
Shatori W-K 36.4 .408 1.80 Bree Hall 53.7 .556 3.52
Sika Koné -46.7 -1.182 -2.38
. total 12.1 .058 .91 . total 12.4 .112 1.09
LVA 1 - 1 Sea
avg score 92.5 - 81.5
Pyth wins 1.58 - .42 , eWins 1.29 - .71
Code: Select all
eWin per36 rates tm mpg Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e402
.42 A'ja Wilson LVA 35 .617 29.9 11.1 4.2 1.9 3.2 2.1 2.46
.35 Jackie Young LVA 32 .694 30.6 5.8 7.3 2.6 3.5 .0 2.23
.22 Do. Malonga Sea 24 .561 14.1 15.0 2.3 1.7 .0 2.2 1.86
.22 Nneka Ogwumike Sea 31 .583 18.9 10.9 2.9 .7 2.4 .0 1.42
.17 Skylar Diggins Sea 31 .559 19.8 1.8 4.3 1.4 2.4 .6 1.10
.17 NaLyssa Smith LVA 28 .600 12.2 11.2 .7 1.7 .0 1.3 1.19
.11 Chelsea Gray LVA 32 .429 6.1 2.9 9.7 1.5 1.7 .6 .71
.11 Jewell Loyd LVA 28 .659 18.6 2.5 2.1 .0 .6 .6 .77
.09 Dana Evans LVA 18 .577 14.8 3.7 8.3 .0 .9 .0 1.04
.07 Erica Wheeler Sea 24 .500 11.8 2.9 2.3 1.7 .0 .0 .64
eWin per36 rates tm mpg Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e402
.06 Ezi Magbegor Sea 24 .545 4.0 6.4 3.2 1.0 .8 2.4 .49
.04 Gabby Williams Sea 32 .500 10.3 2.3 1.9 1.4 2.4 .0 .28
.03 Kierstan Bell LVA 13 .667 19.2 2.9 .0 .0 1.5 .0 .49
.03 Cheyenne P-Tyus LVA 8 1.00 24.3 4.0 .0 .0 4.0 2.0 .65
.02 Tiffany Mitchell Sea 6 .600 14.8 2.7 4.3 .0 .0 .0 .81
-.11 Brittney Sykes Sea 22 .211 1.6 4.4 1.4 .0 7.0 .0 -1.02
rebounds: LV 34.0 - 33.0 Sea
turnovers: LV 10.0 - 11.0 Sea
Code: Select all
. LVA PER WS/40 e400 . Sea PER WS/40 e400
A'ja Wilson 33.9 .283 2.46 Gabby Williams 11.4 -.095 .28
Chelsea Gray 13.7 .096 .71 Skylar Diggins 22.9 .071 1.10
Jackie Young 33.9 .341 2.23 Nneka Ogwumike 24.1 .080 1.42
NaLyssa Smith 22.5 .209 1.19 Do. Malonga 32.9 .270 1.86
Jewell Loyd 19.8 .159 .77 Erica Wheeler 17.2 .061 .64
Dana Evans 20.1 .207 1.04 Ezi Magbegor 12.6 .026 .49
Kierstan Bell 14.7 .056 .49 Brittney Sykes -14.4 -.462 -1.02
Cheyenne P-T 16.0 .094 .65 Ti. Mitchell 22.9 .185 .81
Aaliyah Nye -16.1 -.447 -.39 Zia Cooke 3.1 -.316 -.19
Kiah Stokes -4.3 -.049 -.94 Lexie Brown 33.3 .167 1.29
M Gustafson -16.1 -.511 .05 Ma. Holmes 2.7 -.088 -.26
. total 22.2 .182 1.29 . total 16.2 .002 .71
Re: WNBA 2025 eWins etc.
Phx 1 - 1 NYL
avg score 77.5 - 68.0
Pyth wins 1.60 - .40 , eWins 1.30 - .70
shooting : Phx .478 - .447 NY
rebounds: NY 42.0 - 35.0 Phx
turnovers: Phx 9.0 - 17.5 NY
Minnesota Lynx 2 - 0 GS Valkiries
avg score 88 - 73
Pyth wins 1.75 - .25 , eWins 1.38 - .62
shooting : Min .579 - .518 GS
rebounds: Min 32.5 - 27.0 GS
turnovers: Min 11.5 - 14.0 GS
https://www.basketball-reference.com/wn ... anced.html
avg score 77.5 - 68.0
Pyth wins 1.60 - .40 , eWins 1.30 - .70
Code: Select all
eWin per36 rates tm mpg Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e400
.36 Alyssa Thomas Phx 34 .433 18.8 7.5 10.6 1.1 2.2 .0 2.16
.25 DeWanna Bonner Phx 26 .722 22.0 7.6 .8 3.2 .7 .0 1.90
.24 Satou Sabally Phx 33 .381 14.8 7.6 4.3 3.8 2.8 .0 1.48
.24 Natasha Cloud NYL 34 .795 21.5 4.2 4.1 2.2 2.7 .0 1.41
.17 Jonquel Jones NYL 29 .438 8.4 15.6 2.1 .0 2.6 3.3 1.19
.15 Breanna Stewart NYL 30 .511 15.6 4.7 4.0 1.2 2.5 .6 1.01
.15 Sabrina Ionescu NYL 35 .362 12.0 5.1 5.8 .5 3.2 1.6 .86
.13 Kahleah Copper Phx 33 .547 17.8 2.0 .7 .5 .6 1.1 .81
.11 Sami Whitcomb Phx 22 .321 6.7 3.4 5.9 3.7 .8 .8 1.00
.10 Kathryn Westbeld Phx 13 .929 24.1 4.5 3.2 .0 1.2 .0 1.54
eWin per36 rates tm mpg Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e400
.07 Natasha Mack Phx 18 .500 9.5 5.6 2.7 2.0 1.0 1.0 .84
.07 Emma Meesseman NYL 16 .382 13.6 14.1 3.4 .0 5.3 .0 .94
.05 Monique A Makani Phx 27 .359 9.7 3.2 4.5 .0 .7 .0 .41
-.02 Leonie Fiebich NYL 32 .400 6.3 4.5 1.9 .6 2.9 .6 -.15
-.07 Kennedy Burke NYL 16 .273 5.0 5.0 .0 .0 5.3 .0 -.87
rebounds: NY 42.0 - 35.0 Phx
turnovers: Phx 9.0 - 17.5 NY
Minnesota Lynx 2 - 0 GS Valkiries
avg score 88 - 73
Pyth wins 1.75 - .25 , eWins 1.38 - .62
Code: Select all
eWin per36 rates tm mpg Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e400
.36 Napheesa Collier Min 33 .667 29.8 8.7 4.0 1.0 2.8 .0 2.20
.24 Veronica Burton GSV 35 .474 12.0 6.3 8.3 3.7 5.3 1.1 1.39
.23 Kayla McBride Min 32 .714 23.2 4.8 2.7 1.6 1.7 .0 1.45
.18 Co. Williams Min 28 .425 11.7 7.1 8.7 2.5 4.1 .7 1.33
.17 Natisha Hiedeman Min 24 .476 14.9 4.1 9.0 1.9 2.8 .7 1.42
.13 Jessica Shepard Min 18 .462 10.7 15.0 4.2 .8 .9 .0 1.47
.11 Ce. Zandalasini GSV 31 .467 13.3 5.9 3.0 1.2 3.0 .0 .68
.10 DiJ Carrington Min 13 .654 24.3 3.0 3.0 1.2 1.3 1.3 1.57
.09 Alanna Smith Min 24 .440 8.3 6.5 1.8 3.7 2.4 2.4 .79
.08 Bridget Carleton Min 22 .778 12.9 5.0 4.0 .0 .0 .0 .72
eWin per36 rates tm mpg Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e400
.07 Temi Fagbenle GSV 10 .600 20.5 6.1 5.5 .0 1.9 .0 1.40
.07 Janelle Salaün GSV 35 .659 11.0 5.8 .5 .5 1.1 .0 .40
.05 Kate Martin GSV 16 .593 13.5 3.3 2.0 .0 1.0 1.0 .67
.05 Monique Billings GSV 15 .600 11.8 4.9 .0 1.1 .0 1.1 .69
.04 Kaila Charles GSV 23 .292 3.5 4.5 3.3 2.5 .8 .8 .36
-.00 Iliana Rupert GSV 24 .571 5.2 4.0 4.4 .0 3.7 1.5 -.01
-.02 Carla Leite GSV 8 .333 5.7 4.3 1.9 .0 5.9 .0 -.62
rebounds: Min 32.5 - 27.0 GS
turnovers: Min 11.5 - 14.0 GS
Code: Select all
. Lynx min PER WS/40 e400 Valkyries min PER WS/40 e400
Collier 65 28.1 .304 2.20 Burton 70 15.5 -.031 1.39
McBride 64 22.9 .249 1.45 Salaün 69 13.9 .031 .40
Williams 55 13.3 .064 1.33 Zandalasini 62 10.1 -.090 .68
Hiedeman 48 18.4 .164 1.42 Rupert 48 5.2 -.110 -.01
A Smith 47 11.8 .111 .79 Charles 45 6.9 -.090 .36
Carleton 44 16.2 .255 .72 Martin 32 19.4 .081 .67
Shepard 36 21.0 .244 1.47 Billings 29 22.2 .105 .69
Carri'n 25 27.5 .287 1.57 Fagbenle 20 19.0 .087 1.40
Kosu 4 56.2 .625 2.58 Leite 16 -6.4 -.384 -.62
Kliu'ova 4 19.9 .195 1.57 Chen 4 36.0 .356 2.00
Sherrod 4 5.1 .056 .47 Amihere 4 3.3 -.047 -.24
Taylor 4 -12.9 -.211 -.47
.total 400 19.7 .205 1.38 . total 400 12.4 -.031 .62
Re: WNBA 2025 eWins etc.
note : Some bugs worked out; previous rates may be inconsistent.
Indiana Fever 2 -1 Atlanta Dream
avg score 77.3 - 75.0
Pyth wins 1.74 - 1.26, eWins 1.62 - 1.38
shooting : Ind .489 - .487 Atl
rebounds: Ind 34.3 - 34.0 Atl
turnovers: Ind 11.0 - 13.0 Atl
https://www.basketball-reference.com/wn ... anced.html
note2 : These may be preliminary. WS sum to less than games in all series.
Las Vegas Aces 2 - 1 Seattle Storm
avg score 86.3 - 78.7
Pyth wins 2.19 - .81 , eWins 1.84 - 1.16
shooting : LV .585 - .516 Sea
rebounds: Sea 33.0 - 31.7 LV
turnovers: LV 11.0 - 12.7 Sea
Indiana Fever 2 -1 Atlanta Dream
avg score 77.3 - 75.0
Pyth wins 1.74 - 1.26, eWins 1.62 - 1.38
Code: Select all
eWin per36 rates tm mpg Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e400
.47 Kelsey Mitchell Ind 32 .619 29.6 1.1 4.0 .9 1.9 .8 1.95
.42 Aliyah Boston Ind 30 .514 15.4 11.8 6.7 .5 .8 .0 1.89
.34 Allisha Gray Atl 33 .462 16.3 9.2 2.5 1.0 1.5 .7 1.39
.29 Odyssey Sims Ind 29 .403 12.6 3.8 7.5 2.6 1.7 .0 1.35
.26 Brionna Jones Atl 28 .696 16.2 6.0 3.4 2.4 2.6 .4 1.23
.23 Naz Hillmon Atl 34 .559 11.7 9.3 2.5 .3 1.8 1.1 .92
.22 Rhyne Howard Atl 35 .465 15.1 3.8 2.7 1.6 2.5 .4 .86
.19 Jordin Canada Atl 27 .369 9.9 3.2 8.9 1.3 2.3 .5 .96
.18 Natasha Howard Ind 26 .500 14.2 8.1 3.4 .6 2.9 .5 .96
.11 Brianna Turner Ind 17 .500 4.0 10.4 3.0 2.4 2.0 2.0 .86
eWin per36 rates tm mpg Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e400
.09 Makayla Timpson Ind 5 .733 23.9 17.3 .0 .0 .0 2.2 2.69
.09 Te-Hina PaoPao Atl 10 .633 23.1 5.4 1.1 1.0 4.4 1.1 1.23
.05 Brittney Griner Atl 11 .424 13.1 2.9 3.9 .0 2.0 1.0 .62
.04 Lexie Hull Ind 30 .433 9.9 4.5 1.9 1.0 2.9 .0 .17
.01 Aerial Powers Ind 16 .324 6.4 4.6 .8 1.6 2.0 .7 .08
-.01 Maya Caldwell Atl 13 .500 5.5 4.8 1.6 .8 3.2 .8 -.11
-.01 Nia Coffey Atl 5 .200 2.0 5.7 .0 .0 .0 .0 -.31
-.02 Shey Peddy Ind 14 .250 3.2 2.2 1.7 2.7 2.3 .0 -.18
rebounds: Ind 34.3 - 34.0 Atl
turnovers: Ind 11.0 - 13.0 Atl
Code: Select all
. Fever min PER WS/40 e400 . Dream min PER WS/40 e400
Mitchell 97 26.7 .290 1.95 Howard 105 11.6 .030 .86
Boston 90 19.4 .212 1.89 Hillmon 102 13.6 .126 .92
Hull 90 4.0 -.007 .17 Gray 99 16.5 .115 1.39
Sims 86 13.5 .087 1.35 Jones 85 19.2 .183 1.23
Howard 77 12.0 .074 .96 Canada 81 10.7 .013 .96
Turner 50 14.9 .162 .86 Caldwell 40 4.9 -.039 -.11
Powers 49 2.3 -.066 .08 Griner 32 10.3 -.012 .62
Peddy 43 -1.4 -.121 -.18 PaoPao 29 20.3 .044 1.23
Timpson 14 50.8 .605 2.69 Coffey 16 -3.9 -.148 -.31
Hall 3 50.8 .523 3.09 W-Kimbrough 6 34.9 .385 1.99
. Koné 3 -44.3 -1.171 -2.62
.total 600 14.1 .116 1.08 . total 600 13.2 .066 .92
note2 : These may be preliminary. WS sum to less than games in all series.
Las Vegas Aces 2 - 1 Seattle Storm
avg score 86.3 - 78.7
Pyth wins 2.19 - .81 , eWins 1.84 - 1.16
Code: Select all
eWin per36 rates tm mpg Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e400
.80 A'ja Wilson LVA 35 .611 33.0 9.3 3.9 2.2 2.4 2.1 3.05
.44 Jackie Young LVA 32 .648 24.3 4.7 5.1 3.1 3.4 .0 1.81
.36 Nneka Ogwumike Sea 31 .543 17.0 11.4 2.8 .8 2.0 .0 1.55
.30 Skylar Diggins Sea 32 .531 16.8 2.8 5.1 2.0 2.7 .8 1.24
.23 Do. Malonga Sea 23 .491 10.1 13.5 1.7 1.0 1.5 2.5 1.38
.23 Chelsea Gray LVA 34 .545 9.0 2.6 9.3 1.7 2.9 1.1 .90
.17 NaLyssa Smith LVA 25 .556 9.0 10.8 1.7 1.4 .5 1.0 .94
.13 Ezi Magbegor Sea 25 .536 6.2 6.9 3.1 1.6 1.0 1.5 .69
.12 Erica Wheeler Sea 27 .487 12.4 2.7 3.4 1.3 1.3 .0 .62
.12 Jewell Loyd LVA 28 .633 12.0 3.8 2.3 .7 .8 .8 .56
eWin per36 rates tm mpg Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e400
.09 Gabby Williams Sea 30 .518 9.6 4.3 2.2 1.7 2.4 .0 .41
.08 Dana Evans LVA 17 .500 10.5 2.6 7.1 .0 .6 .0 .65
.03 Tiffany Mitchell Sea 4 .600 14.4 2.8 4.7 .0 .0 .0 .89
.02 Cheyenne P-Tyus LVA 9 .714 13.2 5.0 1.3 .0 2.4 1.2 .29
.00 Kierstan Bell LVA 15 .500 8.2 7.6 .9 .0 2.4 .0 .04
-.12 Brittney Sykes Sea 22 .433 5.9 4.2 1.0 .0 6.2 .6 -.71
rebounds: Sea 33.0 - 31.7 LV
turnovers: LV 11.0 - 12.7 Sea
Code: Select all
. Aces min PER WS/40 e400 . Storm min PER WS/40 e400
Wilson 106 37.6 .347 3.05 Diggins 97 20.9 .093 1.24
Gray 101 15.1 .096 .90 Ogwumike 93 22.6 .117 1.55
Young 97 26.6 .235 1.81 Williams 91 12.1 -.026 .41
Loyd 84 17.2 .147 .56 Wheeler 80 14.6 .046 .62
N Smith 75 16.1 .158 .94 Magbegor 74 13.7 .067 .69
Evans 51 14.2 .136 .65 Malonga 68 20.8 .119 1.38
Bell 46 6.2 -.037 .04 Sykes 66 -3.9 -.277 -.71
P-Tyus 26 13.1 .137 .29 Mitchell 12 22.5 .230 .89
Gust'on 5 -15.6 -.534 .01 Brown 7 32.3 -.270 .99
Nye 5 -15.6 -.453 -.49 Cooke 7 3.0 .194 -.13
Stokes 5 -3.9 -.035 -1.13 Holmes 5 2.7 -.049 -.35
.total 600 19.8 .162 1.23 . total 600 15.2 .030 .77
Re: WNBA 2025 eWins etc.
Phoenix Mercury 2 - 1 New York Liberty
avg score 78.0 - 69.7
Pyth wins 2.31 - .69 , eWins 1.90 - 1.10
shooting : Phx .480 - .448 NY
rebounds: Phx 39.7 - 39.0 NY
turnovers: Phx 10.0 - 15.0 NY
avg score 78.0 - 69.7
Pyth wins 2.31 - .69 , eWins 1.90 - 1.10
Code: Select all
eWin per36 rates tm mpg Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e400
.60 Alyssa Thomas Phx 35 .441 20.7 8.3 11.7 1.3 3.2 .4 2.33
.48 Satou Sabally Phx 34 .470 20.3 8.9 4.2 3.0 2.2 .4 1.91
.41 Breanna Stewart NY 32 .563 22.6 6.0 4.0 1.6 1.6 1.2 1.75
.27 DeWanna Bonner Phx 24 .577 16.0 8.7 1.8 2.6 .5 .5 1.47
.26 Sabrina Ionescu NY 35 .427 16.6 5.0 5.5 .4 3.5 1.0 .98
.23 Natasha Cloud NY 34 .717 15.5 3.6 3.6 2.9 3.2 .4 .89
.18 Jonquel Jones NY 30 .315 6.3 12.3 3.3 .0 1.7 2.5 .79
.18 Kahleah Copper Phx 33 .494 16.8 4.3 .5 .7 1.5 .7 .71
.18 Sami Whitcomb Phx 22 .431 12.6 2.7 4.5 2.8 .5 .5 1.07
.09 Kathryn Westbeld Phx 11 .800 18.6 5.1 2.4 .0 1.0 .0 1.04
eWin per36 rates tm mpg Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e400
.08 Emma Meesseman NY 13 .310 10.4 11.7 5.5 .0 4.1 .0 .81
.08 Monique A Makani Phx 26 .383 9.8 3.5 5.0 .5 2.0 .0 .42
.06 Natasha Mack Phx 18 .500 6.2 5.6 2.6 1.3 .7 .7 .41
-.03 Kennedy Burke NY 17 .333 8.4 4.0 .7 .6 3.8 1.3 -.20
-.05 Leonie Fiebich NY 30 .395 5.8 4.1 1.8 .4 2.5 .4 -.22
rebounds: Phx 39.7 - 39.0 NY
turnovers: Phx 10.0 - 15.0 NY
Code: Select all
Mercury min PER WS/40 e400 Liberty min PER WS/40 e400
Thomas 104 19.9 .168 2.43 Ionescu 106 9.8 -.040 1.02
Sabally 101 18.3 .206 1.99 Cloud 103 17.2 .159 .93
Copper 100 10.1 .121 .74 Stewart 95 24.5 .243 1.83
Makani 77 4.7 .044 .44 Fiebich 91 2.6 -.047 -.23
Bonner 73 22.2 .289 1.53 Jones 90 6.6 -.009 .83
Whitcomb 66 15.2 .184 1.11 Burke 52 .2 -.177 -.21
Mack 55 11.7 .180 .43 Meesseman 40 6.2 -.157 .85
Westbeld 34 22.2 .283 1.08 Gardner 15 1.0 .035 -.44
Laksa 5 12.9 -.025 .76 Johannes 10 -3.2 -.165 -.22
Held 5 -29.9 -.706 -2.00 Talbot 9 -5.1 -.118 -.99
Brown 3 -11.1 -.256 -.18 Harrison 7 45.7 .379 2.51
Williams 3 .0 .068 -.92 N Sabally 7 .6 -.248 .79
. total 625 14.7 .164 1.27 . total 625 10.4 .021 .73
Re: WNBA 2025 eWins etc.
Updated final rankings for the 1st round.
I've taken the liberty of adjusting PER and WS to make them average 15.0 and .100 for each series. Otherwise PER goes way high or low, depending on offensive dominance. Win Shares were short of the number of games in every series.
A player in a 17.5 PER series has 40% higher PER than the equivalent player in a 12.5 PER series. This seems substantial and worth a recalibration.
So in the LV-Sea series, I've subtracted 2.5 from everyone's PER; added 2.5 for those in Phx-NY.
WS/48 are bumped up by .004 (LV-Sea) to .013 (Min-GS).
Now total WS match the number of games in each series; and I've added PER-wins and averaged 3 'wins' metrics for this top30:The Phx-NYL series had an overtime period, which may distort some of these numbers, but not by much.
In subsequent rounds, I'll be doing separate series, rather than submitting everyone to the same standards. Assume PER and WS will still need to be standardized.
I've taken the liberty of adjusting PER and WS to make them average 15.0 and .100 for each series. Otherwise PER goes way high or low, depending on offensive dominance. Win Shares were short of the number of games in every series.
Code: Select all
tm PER WS/48 tm PER WS/48
Ind 14.1 .116 Min 19.7 .205
Atl 13.2 .066 GSV 12.4 -.031
avg 13.6 .091 avg 16.0 .087
tm PER WS/48 tm PER WS/48
LVA 19.8 .162 Phx 14.7 .164
Sea 15.2 .030 NYL 10.4 .021
avg 17.5 .096 avg 12.5 .093
So in the LV-Sea series, I've subtracted 2.5 from everyone's PER; added 2.5 for those in Phx-NY.
WS/48 are bumped up by .004 (LV-Sea) to .013 (Min-GS).
Now total WS match the number of games in each series; and I've added PER-wins and averaged 3 'wins' metrics for this top30:
Code: Select all
xyzW 1st round tm min PER2 ws40+ e400 p2W WS2 eWin
.82 A'ja Wilson LVA 106 35.6 .358 2.86 .75 .95 .75
.57 Kelsey Mitchell Ind 97 28.7 .303 1.82 .54 .73 .44
.49 Breanna Stewart NYL 95 27.0 .240 1.75 .47 .57 .41
.48 Jackie Young LVA 97 24.3 .243 1.75 .44 .59 .42
.48 Alyssa Thomas Phx 104 22.4 .168 2.33 .41 .44 .60
.45 Satou Sabally Phx 101 20.8 .205 1.91 .37 .52 .48
.42 Aliyah Boston Ind 90 20.8 .222 1.89 .34 .50 .42
.40 Napheesa Collier Min 65 27.5 .321 2.11 .34 .52 .34
.37 DeWanna Bonner Phx 73 24.7 .285 1.47 .33 .52 .27
.33 Natasha Cloud NYL 103 19.7 .160 .89 .35 .41 .23
xyzW 11-20 tm min PER2 ws40+ e400 p2W WS2 eWin
.33 Nneka Ogwumike Sea 93 20.1 .123 1.54 .34 .29 .36
.32 Brionna Jones Atl 85 20.8 .192 1.15 .32 .41 .24
.32 Allisha Gray Atl 99 17.9 .125 1.43 .31 .31 .35
.30 Kayla McBride Min 64 22.1 .263 1.42 .26 .42 .23
.28 Skylar Diggins Sea 97 18.5 .099 1.21 .32 .24 .29
.28 Naz Hillmon Atl 102 15.0 .134 .91 .25 .34 .23
.24 Odyssey Sims Ind 86 15.0 .097 1.38 .21 .21 .30
.22 Chelsea Gray LVA 101 12.6 .099 .90 .20 .25 .23
.22 Sami Whitcomb Phx 66 17.7 .184 1.07 .20 .30 .18
.22 Kahleah Copper Phx 100 12.6 .123 .71 .19 .31 .18
xyzW 21-31 tm min PER2 ws40+ e400 p2W WS2 eWin
.22 NaLyssa Smith LVA 75 13.5 .160 1.01 .16 .30 .19
.22 Dominique Malonga Sea 68 18.2 .124 1.32 .22 .21 .22
.22 Jewell Loyd LVA 84 14.7 .150 .61 .21 .31 .13
.18 Rhyne Howard Atl 105 13.0 .039 .87 .22 .10 .23
.18 Natisha Hiedeman Min 48 17.5 .179 1.42 .15 .21 .17
.17 Natasha Howard Ind 77 13.4 .083 .98 .16 .16 .19
.17 Jessica Shepard Min 36 20.1 .259 1.53 .13 .23 .14
.16 Bridget Carleton Min 44 15.2 .267 .80 .11 .29 .09
.16 Kathryn Westbeld Phx 34 24.7 .279 1.04 .15 .24 .09
.15 Makayla Timpson Ind 14 53.3 .621 2.61 .15 .22 .09
.15 Brianna Turner Ind 50 16.3 .169 .80 .14 .21 .10
In subsequent rounds, I'll be doing separate series, rather than submitting everyone to the same standards. Assume PER and WS will still need to be standardized.
Re: WNBA 2025 eWins etc.
By Winshares / 48 and old school Oliver offense and defensive ratings at BRef Natasha Cloud was lightyears ahead of Sabrina Ionescu.
By regular season record, #1, 2, 4 and 6 advanced.
Dream loss was unexpected, given regular season stats.
Lynx had best regular season offense and defense. Should win. Unless Mercury defense clamps them or Aces outpoint, influenced by FTs.
By regular season record, #1, 2, 4 and 6 advanced.
Dream loss was unexpected, given regular season stats.
Lynx had best regular season offense and defense. Should win. Unless Mercury defense clamps them or Aces outpoint, influenced by FTs.
Re: WNBA 2025 eWins etc.
"Minnesota Lynx Guard DiJonai Carrington Out for Rest of 2025 WNBA Playoffs with Foot Sprain."
Matchups and injuries can impact playoffs. Some winners get to title because of them, others regardless.
Matchups and injuries can impact playoffs. Some winners get to title because of them, others regardless.
Re: WNBA 2025 eWins etc.
Ionescu had another bad shooting stretch, but only Cloud and Stewart shot better. Using only 7 players, the other 4 were a combined .092 worse TS%.
Cloud with a horrendous TO% in playoffs may have had something to do with her shooting less than normal. And it didn't bother her WS rate very much.
Teams with fewer turnovers all won:
Cloud with a horrendous TO% in playoffs may have had something to do with her shooting less than normal. And it didn't bother her WS rate very much.
Teams with fewer turnovers all won:
Code: Select all
Win TO% TO% Lose
Phx 11.1 16.4 NYL
Ind 12.4 14.6 Atl
LVA 13.2 14.4 Sea
Min 13.3 16.8 GSV
Re: WNBA 2025 eWins etc.
Cloud took about 1 fewer true shooting attempts in playoffs than regular season. Ionescu about 1 more.
Cloud 1 more turnover, Ionescu most of 1 more.
Could be "random", could be correlated.
for players and between players.
Cloud 1 more turnover, Ionescu most of 1 more.
Could be "random", could be correlated.
for players and between players.
Re: WNBA 2025 eWins etc.
The avg WNBA player, ages weighted by minutes played, was 1.5 years older than NBA avg last year -- 28.0 to 26.5.
Those teams which made the postseason averaged 28.4 y.o. in the season, and in the first round ticked up a fraction.Teams that went older in round 1 won their series; those that didn't lost theirs.
Those teams which made the postseason averaged 28.4 y.o. in the season, and in the first round ticked up a fraction.
Code: Select all
diff tm RS PO
+2.6 Phx 27.8 30.4
+0.7 Ind 28.1 28.8
+0.2 Min 28.8 29.0
+0.1 LVA 28.1 28.2
+0.0 NYL 29.4 29.4
-0.3 Atl 27.8 27.5
-0.6 Sea 30.2 29.6
-1.5 GSV 27.0 25.5
+.15 avg 28.40 28.55