https://xrapm.com/table_pages/tf.html
6 over +4 on own team PPS:
Jokic, Durant, Giannis, Curry, DFS and Reaves. Unclear if it has been updated for this season. D Green 7th, SGA 11th, Doncic 12th. A Simons estimate 2nd worst, Salaun 9th worst. Kuzma 17th worst.
Wembanyama first on estimated opponent PPS. Amen Thompson 3rd, Gobert 5th. SGA a surprise 6th. Collinearity is an influence. Bottom 10 includes Brunson, Beal, T Young, JVal, Missi, Keyonte George. Fox and Risacher in bottom 20. LaMelo Ball at 22nd lowest.
RAPM factors
Re: RAPM factors
19 over +3 on own team PPS. 9 leading contenders have one or more. Pistons, Magic, Timberwolves, Celtics and Spurs do not. Essential in playoffs?
Gobert nudges ahead of Wembanyama for lead on estimated opponent pps impact.
Hartenstein 4th on defensive rebounding impact.
Some expected names at top on offensive rebounding but I wasn't expecting to see Vanderbilt and LaRavia in top 10.
SGA no surprise at best at limiting own team turnovers.
Weighted sum max is a pretty constrained +4.0.
Gobert nudges ahead of Wembanyama for lead on estimated opponent pps impact.
Hartenstein 4th on defensive rebounding impact.
Some expected names at top on offensive rebounding but I wasn't expecting to see Vanderbilt and LaRavia in top 10.
SGA no surprise at best at limiting own team turnovers.
Weighted sum max is a pretty constrained +4.0.
Re: RAPM factors
Very bottom on own team pps impact has a handful of trad centers.
But bottom also has perimeters including Simons 6th lowest, Dillon Brooks 23rd, Kuzma 28th.
Not sure how much is signal vs. noise. But there are some big estimates each way.
Bigs (both centers and today's PFs) are fairly represented at very top too.
Overall position rankings on this factor or any other would take sorting. Adding a position column would allow that functionality easily.
Turnover impacts and opponent pps impact are estimated with tightest ranges. Perhaps because they are often shared responsibilities (though every factor coukd be to some degree). They are followed by defensive rebounding. The widest ranges are for own team pps impact and offensive rebounding.
But bottom also has perimeters including Simons 6th lowest, Dillon Brooks 23rd, Kuzma 28th.
Not sure how much is signal vs. noise. But there are some big estimates each way.
Bigs (both centers and today's PFs) are fairly represented at very top too.
Overall position rankings on this factor or any other would take sorting. Adding a position column would allow that functionality easily.
Turnover impacts and opponent pps impact are estimated with tightest ranges. Perhaps because they are often shared responsibilities (though every factor coukd be to some degree). They are followed by defensive rebounding. The widest ranges are for own team pps impact and offensive rebounding.
Re: RAPM factors
D Daniels 15th worst impact on opponent pps? Something to consider. What is right and not? There could be "errors". In metrics and / or eye tests.
Lots of RAPM esrimates "seem" reasonable though.
Bigs of course dominate top of defensive rebounding rapm. But a few names surprise including Jabari Smith and Duncan Robinson and also Ajay Mitchell and Mike Conley.
Lots of RAPM esrimates "seem" reasonable though.
Bigs of course dominate top of defensive rebounding rapm. But a few names surprise including Jabari Smith and Duncan Robinson and also Ajay Mitchell and Mike Conley.
Re: RAPM factors
GMs and analytic staffs, if they have relative confidence in RAPM factors could shop, even bargain hunt for overall impact or specific hoped for adds. How well do RAPM factors transfer across teams? Something that should be studied.
Finney - Smith had 4th best weighted sum at this level. What did buyers and sellers know of and think about this?
Kornet 5th, I Joe 6th, Caruso 10th, Aaron Wiggins 17th... Brandon Clarke 19, Podziemski 24 McBride 26th, K Williams 30, Holmgren 32, Dort 40, Jaylin Williams 64, 3 other former Thunder in-between...
Sure appears to be a lot of potential value in reading public stats and analytic products more than the other teams might.
Dru Smith estimated 17th here. I didn't know that but liked him by other means. Did Heat know? Who else, if any? Reading data and reacting to it with more study and proposed actions should be a full-time job on teams, probably several times over.
Absolute bottom 3: Carrington, N Smith, C Williams. I rejected them severely in draft and this is further validation beyond the other metrics I use to check on young players.
Salaun still 12th lowest. Is he rising? I'd know that if I took snapshots and created time based tables or graphs. Who, if any, are doing that? Insiders getting paid should, unless everything they are doing is considered higher value.
Short-term changes likely has a lot of noise but monthly would potentially offer some early signals.
Juzang has the 3 ball and size but very little else. 5th worst here, bad on other metrics. OK in G league. Best option on a 2 way? Bet on potential? Would take more study but good chance that somebody has a more interesting and / or better case. Marketing influence?
Jarace Walker... terrible here, terrible BPM, getting 24 minutes per game. Worse every month this season. Helps the tank and / or undeserved foolishness? Bottom 10% on overall Darko, roughly bottom 20% on both sides of ball. 'But we traded for him as an 8th pick and he is just 22 still...' Apparent peak mid last season and down pretty sharply, moreso on defense. 4th worst rate of decline on league (since beginning of last season I believe, even worse since mid last season). Why has he failed? Why has the development plan and coaching failed? Was the initial evaluation not only wrong based on play to date but perhaps wrong at the draft? Offensive rebounding completely disappeared. Shooting was not impressive in college and has fallen to terrible. 3pt shooting was his saving feature before this season.
LeBron James estimated on this approach as one of worst in league and slightly worse than Bronny. That is a previously undiscovered (probably) ofound.
Always more to be found.
Doncic, 8th best here. 3 positive factors, 3 negative. Outside own team pps, he would sum to much lower.
Finney - Smith had 4th best weighted sum at this level. What did buyers and sellers know of and think about this?
Kornet 5th, I Joe 6th, Caruso 10th, Aaron Wiggins 17th... Brandon Clarke 19, Podziemski 24 McBride 26th, K Williams 30, Holmgren 32, Dort 40, Jaylin Williams 64, 3 other former Thunder in-between...
Sure appears to be a lot of potential value in reading public stats and analytic products more than the other teams might.
Dru Smith estimated 17th here. I didn't know that but liked him by other means. Did Heat know? Who else, if any? Reading data and reacting to it with more study and proposed actions should be a full-time job on teams, probably several times over.
Absolute bottom 3: Carrington, N Smith, C Williams. I rejected them severely in draft and this is further validation beyond the other metrics I use to check on young players.
Salaun still 12th lowest. Is he rising? I'd know that if I took snapshots and created time based tables or graphs. Who, if any, are doing that? Insiders getting paid should, unless everything they are doing is considered higher value.
Short-term changes likely has a lot of noise but monthly would potentially offer some early signals.
Juzang has the 3 ball and size but very little else. 5th worst here, bad on other metrics. OK in G league. Best option on a 2 way? Bet on potential? Would take more study but good chance that somebody has a more interesting and / or better case. Marketing influence?
Jarace Walker... terrible here, terrible BPM, getting 24 minutes per game. Worse every month this season. Helps the tank and / or undeserved foolishness? Bottom 10% on overall Darko, roughly bottom 20% on both sides of ball. 'But we traded for him as an 8th pick and he is just 22 still...' Apparent peak mid last season and down pretty sharply, moreso on defense. 4th worst rate of decline on league (since beginning of last season I believe, even worse since mid last season). Why has he failed? Why has the development plan and coaching failed? Was the initial evaluation not only wrong based on play to date but perhaps wrong at the draft? Offensive rebounding completely disappeared. Shooting was not impressive in college and has fallen to terrible. 3pt shooting was his saving feature before this season.
LeBron James estimated on this approach as one of worst in league and slightly worse than Bronny. That is a previously undiscovered (probably) ofound.
Always more to be found.
Doncic, 8th best here. 3 positive factors, 3 negative. Outside own team pps, he would sum to much lower.