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2012 Finals: Miami vs Oklahoma
Posted: Tue Jun 12, 2012 10:30 am
by Mike G
Preview of the Finals.
Regular season and first 3 playoff series' standardized per 36 minute rates; eWins per game and per 480 minutes.
Miami HeatCode: Select all
Anthony,Joel
opp eW/G mpg Eff% Sco Reb Ast PF Stl TO Blk 3s e480
R.S .032 20 .584 6.6 7.3 .3 3.3 1.0 1.2 2.3 0 .73
NYK .021 17 .667 4.7 7.6 .5 3.7 .8 1.2 .4 0 .59
Ind .052 29 .660 8.7 5.6 .0 3.4 .6 .8 2.5 0 .87
Bos .016 10 .611 6.0 6.8 .6 7.3 .0 .5 1.5 0 .56
Battier,Shane
opp eW/G mpg Eff% Sco Reb Ast PF Stl TO Blk 3s e480
R.S .020 23 .501 7.4 3.8 2.0 2.3 1.4 .8 .7 62 .42
NYK .038 28 .526 8.9 4.5 2.6 3.8 1.3 .8 .8 7 .66
Ind -.017 29 .329 3.4 4.3 1.1 3.6 1.2 1.0 1.0 6 -.28
Bos .018 38 .500 6.5 3.4 2.3 2.6 1.0 1.0 .8 14 .23
Bosh,Chris
opp eW/G mpg Eff% Sco Reb Ast PF Stl TO Blk 3s e480
R.S .111 30 .541 21.1 9.1 2.1 2.4 .9 2.2 .8 10 1.53
NYK .112 33 .595 21.7 8.5 1.6 1.7 .4 1.7 .9 2 1.62
Ind .053 3 .542 33.1 11.2 .0 .0 .0 6.3 .0 0 1.60
Bos .080 10 .614 19.4 11.5 .6 1.4 .5 1. 1.9 3 1.57
Chalmers,Mario
opp eW/G mpg Eff% Sco Reb Ast PF Stl TO Blk 3s e480
R.S .059 28 .572 14.5 3.8 4.9 3.3 2.0 2.9 .2 101 1.00
NYK .091 36 .551 14.8 4.4 5.6 2.6 1.6 2.0 .2 10 1.21
Ind .067 32 .551 14.3 5.9 3.9 4.5 .6 1.9 .4 6 1.02
Bos .074 38 .532 12.4 3.5 5.5 2.5 1.1 1.6 .1 9 .92
Cole,Norris
opp eW/G mpg Eff% Sco Reb Ast PF Stl TO Blk 3s e480
R.S .010 19 .448 11.8 2.5 3.8 3.2 1.1 2.7 .1 21 .26
NYK -.002 4 .500 8.0 2.0 .0 1.8 1.8 1.8 .0 0 -.18
Ind .003 10 .455 5.1 2.2 3.9 4.6 1.5 .5 .0 0 .11
Bos .000 7 .304 3.4 0.8 5.0 4.0 2.0 1.3 .0 0 -.01
Haslem,Udonis
opp eW/G mpg Eff% Sco Reb Ast PF Stl TO Blk 3s e480
R.S .040 24 .472 8.6 11.0 1.0 3.0 .7 1.3 .5 0 .79
NYK .035 19 .432 7.1 13.3 1.0 5.7 .4 1.1 .8 0 .90
Ind .021 14 .577 14.2 9.3 .5 4.4 .0 2.4 .0 0 .60
Bos .070 27 .494 8.2 14.1 1.9 4.3 .7 1.1 .4 0 1.23
James,Lebron
opp eW/G mpg Eff% Sco Reb Ast PF Stl TO Blk 3s e480
R.S .206 35 .593 31.3 8.6 6.7 1.5 1.8 3.4 .8 54 2.65
NYK .206 38 .586 36.1 6.5 6.6 2.7 2.1 4.0 .2 7 2.60
Ind .296 42 .547 30.7 10.0 6.7 .7 2.3 2.5 .6 3 3.37
Bos .224 46 .573 31.6 10.2 3.7 2.0 .9 2.7 1.0 9 2.34
Jones,James
opp eW/G mpg Eff% Sco Reb Ast PF Stl TO Blk 3s e480
R.S .006 10 .561 9.6 2.6 1.0 2.2 .8 .5 .4 46 .24
NYK .010 4 .643 21.4 3.9 .0 3.5 .0 .0 .0 1 .98
Ind -.001 7 .375 7.1 3.9 1.0 .7 .0 .0 .7 2 -.04
Bos .003 10 .543 9.2 3.9 .6 1.9 1.0 1.0 .0 4 .17
Miller,Mike
opp eW/G mpg Eff% Sco Reb Ast PF Stl TO Blk 3s e480
R.S .024 11 .560 11.4 6.0 2.0 2.5 .6 1.3 .3 53 .59
NYK .047 23 .563 13.0 5.9 3.0 2.1 .6 .3 .0 11 .96
Ind -.001 20 .524 6.8 4.5 1.8 3.4 1.4 2.0 .3 6 -.03
Bos .006 13 .477 10.6 6.9 .9 4.8 .4 1.5 .0 7 .23
Wade,Dwyane
opp eW/G mpg Eff% Sco Reb Ast PF Stl TO Blk 3s e480
R.S .148 25 .549 27.8 5.9 5.7 2.5 1.9 2.9 1.4 15 2.15
NYK .139 36 .525 25.9 3.8 5.1 2.8 2.8 2.4 1.2 2 1.86
Ind .178 38 .525 29.0 5.6 4.0 2.4 1.3 3.0 1.3 3 2.25
Bos .127 42 .508 19.9 5.7 5.4 2.6 1.2 2.8 1.2 3 1.44
mpg are player minutes divided by team games.
eW/G are eWins per game in which the player appeared.
eW/G and eW/480min should both be expected to fall with greater competition in playoffs. Average e480 = 1.00, but this is relative to the competition at hand.
Oklahoma ThunderCode: Select all
Collison,Nick
opp eW/G mpg Eff% Sco Reb Ast PF Stl TO Blk 3s e480
R.S .028 20 .612 7.8 7.1 2.2 3.8 .8 1.5 .7 0 .65
Dal .004 19 .500 3.7 3.9 4.1 7.7 .5 1.8 .9 0 .10
LAL .031 18 .720 8.9 6.3 2.6 2.6 .7 1.1 .4 0 .80
SAS .029 14 .694 11.6 8.7 1.3 5.2 2.4 1.2 .4 0 1.01
Cook,Daequan
opp eW/G mpg Eff% Sco Reb Ast PF Stl TO Blk 3s e480
R.S .011 15 .507 10.5 4.3 .5 2.3 .7 .5 .4 79 .29
Dal .011 11 .412 8.3 6.6 2.0 3.0 2.3 .0 .0 4 .51
LAL -.004 7 .500 8.5 0.0 1.1 1.0 .0 .0 .0 2 -.31
SAS .002 4 .714 13.9 1.5 .0 1.4 .0 .0 .0 2 .16
Durant,Kevin
opp eW/G mpg Eff% Sco Reb Ast PF Stl TO Blk 3s e480
R.S .163 39 .598 29.8 8.0 3.5 1.9 1.3 3.6 1.1 133 2.04
Dal .156 42 .567 26.5 7.1 4.1 2.4 .9 3.3 1.5 9 1.79
LAL .196 40 .609 30.2 8.3 3.2 .9 1.4 2.5 .5 9 2.34
SAS .191 43 .646 29.4 6.9 4.4 2.1 1.4 2.1 1.3 10 2.13
Fisher,Derek
opp eW/G mpg Eff% Sco Reb Ast PF Stl TO Blk 3s e480
R.S -.002 20 .426 7.4 2.4 2.4 2.5 .9 1.2 .1 11 -.04
Dal .026 24 .688 13.9 3.1 .9 1.8 1.1 1.1 .4 5 .53
LAL .006 18 .404 6.5 2.4 2.7 3.0 1.9 .4 .4 3 .15
SAS .015 22 .467 9.7 2.8 3.6 3.6 1.0 .5 .0 5 .32
Harden,James
opp eW/G mpg Eff% Sco Reb Ast PF Stl TO Blk 3s e480
R.S .093 29 .642 21.1 4.7 4.1 2.7 1.1 2.4 .3 114 1.44
Dal .153 32 .658 25.4 6.4 5.5 3.3 2.7 2.4 .3 6 2.28
LAL .095 29 .548 22.9 6.0 3.0 4.1 1.9 2.4 .2 5 1.58
SAS .101 32 .627 23.1 6.5 4.1 3.6 1.3 2.0 .0 14 1.51
Ibaka,Serge
opp eW/G mpg Eff% Sco Reb Ast PF Stl TO Blk 3s e480
R.S .084 27 .549 13.0 10.7 .6 3.7 .7 1.6 4.7 1 1.51
Dal .098 30 .667 15.5 8.9 .8 4.9 .6 .9 4.0 1 1.57
LAL .068 27 .463 9.7 7.9 1.3 4.5 .5 .3 5.3 0 1.19
SAS .074 31 .621 14.7 7.3 .4 2.4 1.0 1.2 3.1 0 1.16
Perkins,Kendrick
opp eW/G mpg Eff% Sco Reb Ast PF Stl TO Blk 3s e480
R.S .038 26 .517 7.2 9.4 1.8 4.0 .5 2.5 1.5 0 .69
Dal .031 23 .484 5.8 10.9 1.0 4.0 .4 1.6 1.2 0 .66
LAL .029 29 .455 4.7 7.5 1.8 3.7 .5 1.7 2.7 0 .49
SAS .020 28 .449 6.7 8.8 1.2 4.6 .7 2.6 1.7 0 .35
Sefolosha,Thabo
opp eW/G mpg Eff% Sco Reb Ast PF Stl TO Blk 3s e480
R.S .027 14 .575 8.7 5.4 2.0 3.1 1.5 1.6 .6 31 .61
Dal .022 17 .500 6.4 3.9 4.1 4.2 1.0 .0 1.0 3 .62
LAL .029 19 .524 8.7 4.0 4.0 5.6 2.6 1.1 .4 4 .72
SAS .047 26 .565 10.9 6.7 1.5 2.4 3.3 .9 .5 7 .88
Westbrook,Russell
opp eW/G mpg Eff% Sco Reb Ast PF Stl TO Blk 3s e480
R.S .126 35 .529 26.1 5.0 6.2 2.3 1.8 3.8 .3 62 1.72
Dal .115 37 .520 23.9 4.0 5.7 2.3 2.3 2.5 .0 4 1.51
LAL .172 36 .545 29.4 5.9 5.5 2.0 1.6 .8 .0 3 2.31
SAS .093 39 .445 15.8 6.0 7.8 2.8 1.4 3.1 .9 8 1.16
Fisher's regular season (R.S) line is for his Okl time only.
Re: 2012 Finals: Miami vs Oklahoma
Posted: Tue Jun 12, 2012 1:11 pm
by Mike G
Prediction (fanciful)
Using a straight-line extrapolation for a 5th point, based on the first 4 -- Regular season + rounds 1,2,3 (seen above) -- I've generated "expected" values in each category.
Minutes are then manually adjusted. For Okl, this is little more than to delete Cook and others; for Miami, Bosh was given 30 minutes/G, and others had theirs reduced.
Some of the extrapolated values are implausible or impossible, but I left them "as is". The key value is
e480, which when multiplied by mpg/480 produces the eWins per game prediction.
Obviously, both teams cannot average .625 wins per game. All player rates, from Eff% to eW/480 can be expected to fall short of the numbers shown.
Code: Select all
Miami
eW/G per36 rates mpg Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e480
.259 James,Lebron 46 .550 31.3 10.9 3.7 1.2 2.3 .9 2.70
.130 Wade,Dwyane 42 .497 20.5 5.6 4.6 .9 2.9 1.2 1.49
.101 Bosh,Chris 30 .614 25.4 12.6 -.5 .0 4.0 1.5 1.61
.074 Chalmers,Mario 38 .521 12.3 4.5 5.0 .4 1.2 .2 .93
.057 Haslem,Udonis 24 .547 11.0 13.3 1.6 .4 1.7 .1 1.14
.016 Anthony,Joel 12 .649 7.1 5.9 .5 -.2 .3 1.6 .63
.000 Jones,James 6 .450 7.9 4.6 .6 .6 .7 .2 .03
-.001 Cole,Norris 4 .308 .1 .6 5.1 2.2 .2 .0 -.08
-.002 Miller,Mike 10 .459 8.3 6.2 .9 .8 1.8 .0 -.08
-.007 Battier,Shane 28 .414 4.5 3.6 1.8 .8 1.1 1.0 -.12
.627 Miami 240
Oklahoma
eW/G per36 rates mpg Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e480
.219 Durant,Kevin 46 .652 29.6 7.1 4.3 1.5 1.6 1.0 2.28
.121 Westbrook,Russel 40 .453 17.4 6.5 7.4 1.3 1.7 .8 1.45
.105 Harden,James 32 .580 24.1 7.2 3.5 1.7 2.0 .0 1.58
.064 Ibaka,Serge 31 .578 13.1 6.0 .7 .9 .5 3.5 1.00
.055 Sefolosha,Thabo 28 .539 10.9 6.0 2.5 3.9 .7 .3 .94
.029 Collison,Nick 13 .748 12.1 8.3 1.5 2.4 1.0 .3 1.08
.018 Fisher,Derek 21 .456 9.2 2.8 3.8 1.5 .1 .1 .41
.015 Perkins,Kendrick 29 .417 5.4 7.8 1.2 .6 2.2 2.4 .24
.626 Oklahoma 240
The Thunder have only 3 bigs in their rotation, and they total 73 mpg. Apparently Durant is PF for about half his minutes, and I guess Harden is SF for much of his time on the floor.
Re: 2012 Finals: Miami vs Oklahoma
Posted: Wed Jun 13, 2012 4:59 pm
by Mike G
Thunder 1, Heat 0
Score: 105-94
Pythagorean wins: .81 - .19; eWins: .66 - .34
Code: Select all
eWins per36 rates tm mpg Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e480
.23 Durant,Kevin Okl 46 .735 36.1 7.5 3.6 .0 1.6 .8 2.36
.19 Westbrook,Russel Okl 42 .474 23.4 8.2 13.4 .9 1.7 .0 2.21
.13 James,Lebron Mia 46 .526 23.4 7.6 3.2 3.1 3.1 .0 1.40
.09 Chalmers,Mario Mia 35 .857 15.6 2.2 6.2 .0 1.0 1.0 1.17
.08 Collison,Nick Okl 21 .800 18.0 19.6 .0 1.7 3.3 .0 1.82
.07 Wade,Dwyane Mia 42 .442 14.2 3.7 7.6 .9 2.6 .0 .75
.06 Battier,Shane Mia 42 .850 15.5 3.7 .0 .9 .0 .0 .68
.05 Perkins,Kendrick Okl 25 1.00 8.8 12.1 .0 .0 2.9 1.5 1.01
.05 Sefolosha,Thabo Okl 29 .563 12.3 1.5 3.2 2.5 1.3 1.3 .87
.05 Ibaka,Serge Okl 27 .476 11.4 9.6 1.8 1.3 .0 .0 .84
eWins per36 rates tm mpg Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e480
.01 Fisher,Derek Okl 25 .600 7.8 5.0 1.8 .0 .0 .0 .28
.01 Haslem,Udonis Mia 29 .333 3.0 14.8 .0 .0 1.3 .0 .22
.01 Miller,Mike Mia 10 .500 6.2 0.0 7.1 .0 .0 .0 .25
.00 Harden,James Okl 22 .417 7.1 0.0 6.4 .0 1.6 .0 -.08
-.02 Bosh,Chris Mia 34 .417 7.0 5.6 .0 .0 1.0 .0 -.21
Effective shooting: Okl .580 - .540 Mia
Rebounds: Okl 43 - 35 Mia
Turnovers: 10-10
Re: 2012 Finals: Miami vs Oklahoma
Posted: Fri Jun 15, 2012 12:28 pm
by Mike G
Thunder 1, Heat 1
Avg score: Okl 100.5 - 97.0 Mia
Pyth wins: 1.23 - .77; eWins 1.12 - .88
Code: Select all
eWins per36 rates tm mpg Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e480
.39 Durant,Kevin Okl 43 .687 37.8 5.6 2.3 .9 1.7 .9 2.18
.32 James,Lebron Mia 44 .549 27.1 8.0 4.3 2.1 2.5 .0 1.73
.31 Westbrook,Russel Okl 42 .466 21.6 8.2 10.2 .9 1.7 .0 1.76
.21 Battier,Shane Mia 42 .944 22.4 2.5 .5 .4 .0 .0 1.21
.18 Wade,Dwyane Mia 41 .483 18.0 5.1 7.4 .5 2.7 .5 1.07
.11 Ibaka,Serge Okl 28 .486 9.6 7.6 1.6 .6 .0 3.2 .97
.11 Bosh,Chris Mia 37 .473 10.8 11.0 .6 .5 1.5 1.0 .70
.10 Harden,James Okl 29 .634 19.2 2.9 3.5 .6 1.8 .0 .88
.10 Collison,Nick Okl 18 .800 10.9 14.0 1.1 1.8 1.8 .0 1.38
.07 Sefolosha,Thabo Okl 33 .462 5.8 3.9 2.6 2.2 1.1 1.6 .55
eWins per36 rates tm mpg Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e480
.05 Chalmers,Mario Mia 38 .536 7.2 3.3 4.1 1.5 1.9 .5 .35
.05 Perkins,Kendrick Okl 23 .500 6.3 14.1 .0 .0 4.0 1.6 .49
.03 Miller,Mike Mia 6 .667 13.8 3.1 6.5 .0 .0 .0 1.13
.01 Haslem,Udonis Mia 23 .375 3.2 13.2 .0 .0 2.3 .8 .12
-.01 Fisher,Derek Okl 25 .400 3.9 3.3 .8 1.4 .0 .0 -.14
-.03 Cole,Norris Mia 7 .333 3.1 2.8 .0 .0 2.5 .0 -.98
shooting: Mia .553 - .551 Okl
rebounds: Okl 39.5 - 37.5 Mia
turnovers: Okl 10.0 - 11.5 Mia
Re: 2012 Finals: Miami vs Oklahoma
Posted: Mon Jun 18, 2012 12:54 pm
by Mike G
Heat 2, Thunder 1
Avg score: Okl 95.3 - 95.0 Mia
Pyth wins: 1.53 - 1.47; eWins 1.51 - 1.49
Code: Select all
eWins per36 rates tm mpg Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e480
.50 James,Lebron Mia 44 .545 27.9 9.5 3.9 1.4 2.8 .0 1.83
.50 Durant,Kevin Okl 41 .660 35.3 5.6 1.5 .9 2.7 1.2 1.95
.41 Westbrook,Russel Okl 41 .474 21.1 6.9 7.9 .6 1.8 .6 1.58
.33 Battier,Shane Mia 40 1.000 21.4 2.7 .3 .6 .0 .0 1.34
.32 Wade,Dwyane Mia 42 .472 19.3 5.5 7.3 .9 3.2 .3 1.21
.16 Perkins,Kendrick Okl 26 .563 9.1 13.9 .0 .0 2.3 1.4 .99
.16 Bosh,Chris Mia 37 .434 9.9 11.3 .4 .3 1.3 1.3 .71
.16 Harden,James Okl 30 .515 14.2 4.3 4.8 1.1 1.9 .0 .82
.15 Ibaka,Serge Okl 26 .468 8.9 7.8 1.1 .5 .0 3.3 .93
.08 Sefolosha,Thabo Okl 31 .429 6.2 3.5 2.3 2.7 1.6 1.6 .43
eWins per36 rates tm mpg Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e480
.08 Collison,Nick Okl 16 .556 7.3 11.3 .8 2.0 1.4 .0 .77
.06 Haslem,Udonis Mia 20 .545 7.5 11.8 .0 .0 2.4 1.2 .51
.06 Miller,Mike Mia 6 .667 17.7 5.8 4.1 .0 .0 1.7 1.56
.06 Jones,James Mia 6 .889 20.8 4.0 .0 1.8 .0 .0 1.51
.04 Chalmers,Mario Mia 38 .386 4.3 3.2 4.0 1.6 1.6 .6 .15
-.01 Fisher,Derek Okl 26 .459 6.4 2.0 .5 1.8 .0 .0 -.06
-.05 Cole,Norris Mia 6 .200 1.4 1.9 .0 .0 1.7 .0 -1.17
shooting: Mia .534 - .527 Okl
rebounds: Mia 40.0 - 39.0 Okl
turnovers: Okl 10.3 - 11.7 Mia
Re: 2012 Finals: Miami vs Oklahoma
Posted: Wed Jun 20, 2012 10:37 pm
by Mike G
Heat 3, Thunder 1
Avg score: 97.3 - 96.0
Pyth wins: 2.17 - 1.83; eWins: 2.09 - 1.91
Code: Select all
eWins per36 rates tm mpg Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e480
.75 James,Lebron Mia 44 .544 26.4 9.4 5.9 1.4 2.7 .0 2.04
.64 Westbrook,Russel Okl 42 .525 25.9 6.8 6.9 .7 2.0 .4 1.82
.59 Durant,Kevin Okl 43 .644 30.6 4.6 1.8 1.1 2.6 .9 1.66
.48 Wade,Dwyane Mia 42 .487 20.5 5.4 6.3 1.1 2.8 .7 1.37
.25 Battier,Shane Mia 40 .887 13.8 3.4 .3 .7 .0 .0 .75
.24 Bosh,Chris Mia 37 .454 10.6 11.2 .3 .5 1.2 1.0 .77
.22 Ibaka,Serge Okl 26 .473 8.1 8.6 1.6 .7 .3 2.8 1.01
.20 Chalmers,Mario Mia 37 .532 10.6 3.1 4.0 1.7 1.5 .5 .65
.17 Harden,James Okl 32 .467 11.5 6.1 4.1 1.1 2.5 .0 .64
.16 Perkins,Kendrick Okl 24 .524 8.2 12.7 .0 .0 1.9 1.1 .78
eWins per36 rates tm mpg Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e480
.14 Collison,Nick Okl 17 .615 8.9 10.8 1.2 1.5 1.0 .5 1.00
.08 Haslem,Udonis Mia 18 .545 6.3 11.8 .6 .0 2.5 1.0 .55
.06 Sefolosha,Thabo Okl 30 .411 5.9 3.4 1.8 2.1 1.2 1.2 .25
.05 Jones,James Mia 10 .846 12.0 6.0 .0 .9 .9 .0 .68
.05 Miller,Mike Mia 5 .571 13.0 6.9 3.7 .0 .0 1.5 1.21
-.01 Cole,Norris Mia 7 .455 10.1 4.1 .0 .0 1.2 .0 -.24
-.05 Fisher,Derek Okl 25 .436 4.8 1.6 .4 1.7 .0 .0 -.24
shooting: Mia .543 - .531 Okl
rebounds: Mia 40.0 - 38.0 Okl
turnovers: Okl 10.5 - 11.0 Mia
Re: 2012 Finals: Miami vs Oklahoma
Posted: Wed Jun 20, 2012 11:20 pm
by Crow
Harden and Ibaka fade dramatically from their per game eWin performance in the previous round.
Almost all of Miami's eWin advantage is coming from outside the top star duos.
Re: 2012 Finals: Miami vs Oklahoma
Posted: Thu Jun 21, 2012 2:06 pm
by Mike G
Through 4 Finals games, round-by-round performance by players still in their teams' rotations.
eWins per game refers to games in which the player has appeared. MPG is relative to team games.
Code: Select all
MIAMI HEAT
Battier,Shane
opp eW/G mpg Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e480
NYK .038 28 .526 8.9 4.5 2.6 1.3 .8 .8 .66
Ind -.017 29 .329 3.4 4.3 1.1 1.2 1.0 1.0 -.28
Bos .018 38 .500 6.5 3.4 2.3 1.0 1.0 .8 .23
Okl .062 40 .887 13.8 3.4 .3 .7 .0 .0 .75
Bosh,Chris
opp eW/G mpg Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e480
NYK .112 33 .595 21.7 8.5 1.6 .4 1.7 .9 1.62
Ind .053 3 .542 33.1 11.2 .0 .0 6.3 .0 1.60
Bos .080 10 .614 19.4 11.5 .6 .5 1.9 1.9 1.57
Okl .059 37 .454 10.6 11.2 .3 .5 1.2 1.0 .77
Chalmers,Mario
opp eW/G mpg Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e480
NYK .091 36 .551 14.8 4.4 5.6 1.6 2.0 .2 1.21
Ind .067 32 .551 14.3 5.9 3.9 .6 1.9 .4 1.02
Bos .074 38 .532 12.4 3.5 5.5 1.1 1.6 .1 .92
Okl .050 37 .532 10.6 3.1 4.0 1.7 1.5 .5 .65
Cole,Norris
opp eW/G mpg Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e480
NYK -.002 4 .500 8.0 2.0 .0 1.8 1.8 .0 -.18
Ind .003 10 .455 5.1 2.2 3.9 1.5 .5 .0 .11
Bos .000 7 .304 3.4 .8 5.0 2.0 1.3 .0 -.01
Okl -.003 7 .455 10.1 4.1 .0 .0 1.2 .0 -.24
Haslem,Udonis
opp eW/G mpg Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e480
NYK .035 19 .432 7.1 13.3 1.0 .4 1.1 .8 .90
Ind .021 14 .577 14.2 9.3 .5 .0 2.4 .0 .60
Bos .070 27 .494 8.2 14.1 1.9 .7 1.1 .4 1.23
Okl .020 18 .545 6.3 11.8 .6 .0 2.5 1.0 .55
James,Lebron
opp eW/G mpg Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e480
NYK .206 38 .586 36.1 6.5 6.6 2.1 4.0 .2 2.60
Ind .296 42 .547 30.7 10.0 6.7 2.3 2.5 .6 3.37
Bos .224 46 .573 31.6 10.2 3.7 .9 2.7 1.0 2.34
Okl .187 44 .544 26.4 9.4 5.9 1.4 2.7 .0 2.04
Jones,James
opp eW/G mpg Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e480
NYK .010 4 .643 21.4 3.9 .0 .0 .0 .0 .98
Ind -.001 7 .375 7.1 3.9 1.0 .0 .0 .7 -.04
Bos .003 10 .543 9.2 3.9 .6 1.0 1.0 .0 .17
Okl .014 10 .846 12.0 6.0 .0 .9 .9 .0 .68
Miller,Mike
opp eW/G mpg Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e480
NYK .047 23 .563 13.0 5.9 3.0 .6 .3 .0 .96
Ind -.001 20 .524 6.8 4.5 1.8 1.4 2.0 .3 -.03
Bos .006 13 .477 10.6 6.9 .9 .4 1.5 .0 .23
Okl .013 5 .571 13.0 6.9 3.7 .0 .0 1.5 1.21
Wade,Dwyane
opp eW/G mpg Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e480
NYK .139 36 .525 25.9 3.8 5.1 2.8 2.4 1.2 1.86
Ind .178 38 .525 29.0 5.6 4.0 1.3 3.0 1.3 2.25
Bos .127 42 .508 19.9 5.7 5.4 1.2 2.8 1.2 1.44
Okl .120 42 .487 20.5 5.4 6.3 1.1 2.8 .7 1.37
OKLAHOMA THUNDER
Collison,Nick
opp eW/G mpg Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e480
Dal .004 19 .500 3.7 3.9 4.1 .5 1.8 .9 .10
LAL .031 18 .720 8.9 6.3 2.6 .7 1.1 .4 .80
SAS .029 14 .694 11.6 8.7 1.3 2.4 1.2 .4 1.01
Mia .034 17 .615 8.9 10.8 1.2 1.5 1.0 .5 1.00
Durant,Kevin
opp eW/G mpg Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e480
Dal .156 42 .567 26.5 7.1 4.1 .9 3.3 1.5 1.79
LAL .196 40 .609 30.2 8.3 3.2 1.4 2.5 .5 2.34
SAS .191 43 .646 29.4 6.9 4.4 1.4 2.1 1.3 2.13
Mia .147 43 .644 30.6 4.6 1.8 1.1 2.6 .9 1.66
Fisher,Derek
opp eW/G mpg Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e480
Dal .026 24 .688 13.9 3.1 .9 1.1 1.1 .4 .53
LAL .006 18 .404 6.5 2.4 2.7 1.9 .4 .4 .15
SAS .015 22 .467 9.7 2.8 3.6 1.0 .5 .0 .32
Mia -.012 25 .436 4.8 1.6 .4 1.7 .0 .0 -.24
Harden,James
opp eW/G mpg Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e480
Dal .153 32 .658 25.4 6.4 5.5 2.7 2.4 .3 2.28
LAL .095 29 .548 22.9 6.0 3.0 1.9 2.4 .2 1.58
SAS .101 32 .627 23.1 6.5 4.1 1.3 2.0 .0 1.51
Mia .043 32 .467 11.5 6.1 4.1 1.1 2.5 .0 .64
Ibaka,Serge
opp eW/G mpg Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e480
Dal .098 30 .667 15.5 8.9 .8 .6 .9 4.0 1.57
LAL .068 27 .463 9.7 7.9 1.3 .5 .3 5.3 1.19
SAS .074 31 .621 14.7 7.3 .4 1.0 1.2 3.1 1.16
Mia .055 26 .473 8.1 8.6 1.6 .7 .3 2.8 1.01
Perkins,Kendrick
opp eW/G mpg Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e480
Dal .031 23 .484 5.8 10.9 1.0 .4 1.6 1.2 .66
LAL .029 29 .455 4.7 7.5 1.8 .5 1.7 2.7 .49
SAS .020 28 .449 6.7 8.8 1.2 .7 2.6 1.7 .35
Mia .039 24 .524 8.2 12.7 .0 .0 1.9 1.1 .78
Sefolosha,Thabo
opp eW/G mpg Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e480
Dal .022 17 .500 6.4 3.9 4.1 1.0 .0 1.0 .62
LAL .029 19 .524 8.7 4.0 4.0 2.6 1.1 .4 .72
SAS .047 26 .565 10.9 6.7 1.5 3.3 .9 .5 .88
Mia .016 30 .411 5.9 3.4 1.8 2.1 1.2 1.2 .25
Westbrook,Russell
opp eW/G mpg Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e480
Dal .115 37 .520 23.9 4.0 5.7 2.3 2.5 .0 1.51
LAL .172 36 .545 29.4 5.9 5.5 1.6 .8 .0 2.31
SAS .093 39 .445 15.8 6.0 7.8 1.4 3.1 .9 1.16
Mia .159 42 .525 25.9 6.8 6.9 .7 2.0 .4 1.82
Getting weaker (not adjusting for level of competition) in each successive round of playoffs: Bosh, Chalmers; Harden, Ibaka.
Now playing their best playoff basketball: Battier, Miller (for 5 mpg); Collison, Perkins.
Perk's productivity is almost inversely related to his MPG.
Re: 2012 Finals: Miami vs Oklahoma
Posted: Fri Jun 22, 2012 12:40 am
by bbstats
Mike,
I'd love to appreciate these numbers, but I've never been able to track down any glossary, explanation of terms, or derivation/methods for your work. Is this available somewhere?
Re: 2012 Finals: Miami vs Oklahoma
Posted: Fri Jun 22, 2012 10:38 am
by J.E.
Congratulations to the Miami Heat for winning the finals and to LeBron James for deservedly winning finals MVP
Re: 2012 Finals: Miami vs Oklahoma
Posted: Fri Jun 22, 2012 1:32 pm
by Mike G
Miami Heat 4, Oklahoma Thunder 1
Average score: 102-98
Pythagorean Wins: 3.15 - 1.85; eWins: 2.82 - 2.18
Code: Select all
eWins per36 rates tm mpg Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e480
.97 James,Lebron Mia 44 .546 25.4 9.6 7.7 1.3 3.1 .3 2.12
.70 Durant,Kevin Okl 43 .640 29.7 5.7 1.9 1.2 3.2 .9 1.58
.65 Westbrook,Russel Okl 42 .493 22.1 6.2 6.5 .9 1.9 .3 1.48
.64 Wade,Dwyane Mia 41 .504 20.7 6.1 6.1 1.3 2.5 1.1 1.52
.38 Bosh,Chris Mia 36 .518 13.6 10.6 .3 .6 1.0 1.2 1.00
.29 Chalmers,Mario Mia 37 .559 11.0 2.9 5.1 1.8 2.0 .4 .75
.27 Battier,Shane Mia 38 .841 13.6 3.7 .5 .8 .2 .0 .70
.26 Harden,James Okl 33 .517 13.2 5.7 4.2 1.3 2.6 .0 .76
.23 Ibaka,Serge Okl 26 .455 8.1 8.1 1.2 .6 .3 2.8 .84
.19 Miller,Mike Mia 9 .816 27.9 7.6 1.8 .7 .0 .7 2.04
eWins per36 rates tm mpg Eff% Sco Reb Ast Stl TO Blk e480
.13 Collison,Nick Okl 17 .563 7.1 10.4 1.3 1.2 .8 .4 .76
.13 Perkins,Kendrick Okl 23 .480 6.7 11.9 .0 .3 1.9 .9 .53
.07 Haslem,Udonis Mia 16 .500 5.3 10.6 1.1 .0 2.1 .9 .43
.02 Sefolosha,Thabo Okl 26 .383 5.0 3.2 1.6 2.0 1.1 1.1 .08
.02 Jones,James Mia 9 .733 9.3 5.2 .0 .8 1.5 .0 .19
.01 Fisher,Derek Okl 26 .528 6.6 2.4 1.2 1.3 .0 .0 .03
-.04 Cole,Norris Mia 9 .433 7.7 3.4 .0 .0 .7 .0 -.39
Effective shooting: Mia .564 - .531 Okl
Rebounds per game: Mia 40.2 - 38.0 Okl
Turnovers per game: Okl 11.0 - 11.4 Mia
Re: 2012 Finals: Miami vs Oklahoma
Posted: Fri Jun 22, 2012 1:53 pm
by Mike G
bbstats wrote:Mike,
I'd love to appreciate these numbers, but I've never been able to track down any glossary, explanation of terms, or derivation/methods for your work. Is this available somewhere?
It's been done, and it's buried in the wreckage of the site meltdown. There's this "recovered" thread:
http://apbr.org/metrics/viewtopic.php?f=2&t=101
Re: 2012 Finals: Miami vs Oklahoma
Posted: Sat Jun 23, 2012 12:22 pm
by huevonkiller
What an amazing series.
It's time for Hollinger to give LeBron more credit too.
Wow LeBron probably has the two greatest post-seasons of all time. In 2012 he had 5.8 win shares, and a 284 WS/48. In 2009 he had the greatest post-season of all time. What a freak of nature.