HCA in the playoffs

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colts18
Posts: 313
Joined: Fri Aug 31, 2012 1:52 am

HCA in the playoffs

Post by colts18 »

Anyone have theories on why its so big in thee playoffs? Acrossthecourt wrote a good article on HCA in the playoffs. The advantage goes from +3 in the regular season to +4.5 in the playoffs despite the fact that travel time and rest is equal in the playoffs. A big factor of HCA in the regular season is the rest and travel yet in the playoffs those aren't even factored in which makes the HCA gap between RS and PS even bigger :shock:

http://ascreamingcomesacrossthecourt.bl ... yoffs.html

From the 2nd round-Finals, 75% of HCA teams won and about 83% of game 7 teams win at home

viewtopic.php?f=2&t=8021&p=13098

is there a reason why game 6 and 7 HCA is so big?
AcrossTheCourt
Posts: 237
Joined: Sat Feb 16, 2013 11:56 am

Re: HCA in the playoffs

Post by AcrossTheCourt »

My guess is that it's the human factor. It's the same reason why HCA even exists, even independent of refs. Players perform better with the support of the crowd, and the crowd is more supportive in the playoffs -- which increases in game 7's and such. I should probably break it down by what game it is in the series, or round, some time.

If you want a ridiculous HCA, look at 2008. That year the advantage was 8+.
colts18
Posts: 313
Joined: Fri Aug 31, 2012 1:52 am

Re: HCA in the playoffs

Post by colts18 »

AcrossTheCourt wrote:
If you want a ridiculous HCA, look at 2008. That year the advantage was 8+.
My guess is that the 2008 Celtics are responsible for like half of that. IIRC they every home game in the playoffs that year (by huge margins) and lost close to every road game.
AcrossTheCourt
Posts: 237
Joined: Sat Feb 16, 2013 11:56 am

Re: HCA in the playoffs

Post by AcrossTheCourt »

colts18 wrote:
AcrossTheCourt wrote:
If you want a ridiculous HCA, look at 2008. That year the advantage was 8+.
My guess is that the 2008 Celtics are responsible for like half of that. IIRC they every home game in the playoffs that year (by huge margins) and lost close to every road game.
Even when I deleted them it was still high.

I just double-check and it's at 7.3 (without Boston.) There were actually a lot of blowouts that season.
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