APBRmetrics

In 2015 playoffs the Warriors outperformed the simple regular season SRS differential with their series opponents in 3 of 4 series, albeit by only an average of plus 1.1 pts per game. In 2016 they underperformed in 3 of 4 series by an average of -2.2 pts per game. Two playoffs doesn't make for a "trend" necessarily. But neither playoffs on average showed much elevation of play compared to regular season. 4 over performances, 4 underperformances doesn't seem that great, though I haven't checked it for other titlewinners. It is wins that matter, not margins; but average differentials hint at expected win outcomes. With home court advantage they probably should have been expected to do a little better than simple SRS differential. The yr to yr performance changes could be taken down to 4 factors level or even greater detail. How much was decline by Warriors, better fight by and less injuries for other teams vs. "luck" / "randomness" / referee "influence"? Would have to study harder to attempt a serious answer.