Other 2023-24 commentary

[Crow]

Lillard starts season with a BPM clearly worse than any of his previous full seasons.

TS% is alright, bolstered by career highest 3pta and fta rates. Shots at rim rate at career low. Turnover rate at career high point so far.

[Crow]

Lose the opening game of the in-season tournament and you have NO chance to make the quarterfinals unless you win 3 straight and win a tie-breaker.

With 6 groups / 5 games, you could lose 2 and still have an outside chance.

As is, many teams will
be totally done by next Friday and many many more will be on slim remaining chances.

3 win teams will almost always still have to sweat the tiebreaker detail and some 4-0 teams might have to as well.

Will fans like tiebreakers playing such a large role? I doubt it.

[Crow]

15 oldest teams, 11 .500 or better.

15 youngest teams, 7 ,500 or better so far.

[Crow]

Sabonis 15th in league on BPM. Haliburton 39th.

Sabonis at career best.

Haliburton was 20+% above that mark last season but only 45% of it right now.

[Crow]

About 40% of minutes qualified players are neutral or above. About 25% of the rest who've played. Probably less ultimately for those who haven't played yet.

[Crow]

Former Celtic, Kelly Olynyk almost 50% ahead of new Celtic Porzingis on BPM. Different styles, different ages, different price tags. Different results on different contexts. But worth mentioning imo.

[Crow]

Haliburton lights up tonight for 43 and presumably against LaMelo Ball? Hornets squeak out the win though. Ball shoots 4 for 15 and has worst shooting stats of career to date.

[Crow]

Scoring leaders and titlewinners and the lack of overlap for last 23 seasons.

https://x.com/bballstrategy/status/1721 ... 93428?s=20

[Crow]

Magic, Pacers and Raptors ahead of Nets, Cavs and Heat in BRef projections for 6-8th seeds right now. But small differences and a long way to go.

Including some weight from last season would probably make sense. Not sure if they do. Guessing not.

[Crow]

Cade Cunningham:

https://x.com/bballstrategy/status/1722 ... 10849?s=20

[Crow]

Negative team results for 8 of 11 most used Cole Anthony lineups, all bad to horrible. Overall +/- is -10 / 100p. On / off is -25. Bad to horrible with all starters. Probably should not be combined with starters without some adjustment. Worked pretty well last season. What's different? Shooting and / or shot defense.

[Crow]

Pistons lineup of Sasser-Cunningham-Thompson-Bagley-Stewart has been +18 in 20 minutes but more importantly contains some of the less bad pairs.

I'd give to 100+ minutes this month and see what happens.

[Crow]

Pistons decided to play Hayes Ivey Cunningham 21 minutes last night and it did fabulous.

But it is only 53rd most tested for season and was only decent before yesterday.

Sure try it but be selective about priorities and get meaningful sample sizes.

Do they need to play 351 trios? No. 50 or 100 would probably be smarter.

[Crow]

Giannis: Most minutes per game in 6 years. Worst 3pt fg% and lowest 3pt rate in 9 years; but career best efg% and almost best ts% due to career best 2pt fg%.

Lowest BPM estimate for season (to date) and 2 straight years of decline.

[Crow]

Hayes Ivey Cunningham goes unused tonight after last game success. Cuz why?


Pistons fall to 9.5% win.